Spot the Differential
2 January 2026 652 comments
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Our Gameweek 20 differentials column brings a trio of low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.


MARTIN ODEGAARD

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £7.8m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bou | LIV | nfo | MUN | lee

After scoring and providing an assist over the last two Gameweeks, Arsenal’s Martin Odegaard (£7.8m) looks like a great option for the Gunners’ trip to the Vitality Stadium.

The playmaker should certainly be full of confidence coming up against strugglers Bournemouth, having won possession to brilliantly set up Martin Zubimendi (£5.2m) against Aston Villa on Tuesday.

“He needed some consistency and some games. Obviously, he had two times the shoulder injury, then he had a big knee injury, and that takes a little bit of time.

“Now you can see that it’s flowing, that his energy level is back to where it is. He’s taking risks, he’s affecting the game in a great way and I think he was really, really good today again.” – Mikel Arteta on Martin Odegaard in Gameweek 19

Odegaard impressively ranks first among all players for chances created over the last six Gameweeks, with 20.

He is also joint-ninth in his position for goal attempts during the same timeframe (13).

Those underlying stats suggest Odegaard can continue his recent production against Bournemouth, as he comes up against a side that has failed to win since Gameweek 9, conceding 11 goals in their last four matches.

Andoni Iraola’s defence has admittedly performed better at home, but given Arsenal’s attacking output, Odegaard looks like an interesting differential prospect, particularly with Bournemouth conceding so many key passes from the left half-space.

Above: Bournemouth’s chances created conceded heatmap in 2025/26


FERDI KADIOGLU

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: BUR | mci | BOU | ful | EVE

For those Fantasy managers who aren’t afraid to roll the dice, Ferdi Kadioglu (£4.4m) could be a player to back this week as Brighton and Hove Albion entertain Burnley.

The £4.4m full-back provided his first assist of the 2025/26 campaign against West Ham United on Tuesday.

Furthermore, Kadioglu ranks joint-third among all FPL defenders for chances created and joint-10th for shots over the past four Gameweeks.

Set-pieces could prove crucial on Saturday, as Burnley, who have allowed nine goals in their last five matches, have conceded 76 goal attempts from dead-ball situations this season – only Aston Villa are worse off in that respect.

So as Brighton’s main corner-taker, Kadioglu could be set to profit from that weakness.

And with Brighton’s upcoming schedule pretty decent (they sit fifth on our Season Ticker for fixture difficulty in Gameweeks 20-28), and considering Kadioglu has the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch, he could be a nice differential pickup with just 0.3% ownership.

Defensively, Fabian Hurzeler’s troops have kept four clean sheets in their last 10 matches, offering further optimism ahead of Gameweek 20.


MATEUS FERNANDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: wol | NFO | tot | SUN | che

West Ham have endured a difficult season thus far, picking up just 14 points from 19 matches.

However, the 2-2 draw against Brighton on Tuesday may provide the perfect springboard as they prepare for a favourable upcoming schedule.

In their next six matches, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face Wolverhampton Wanderers, Nottingham Forest and Burnley, all of whom are currently ranked 17th or below in the table.

“What I want is to perform, compete and make this point [against Brighton] really valuable. If we achieve a good win there [at Molineux], a good performance, this is what we’re going to prepare.” – Nuno Espirito Santo

Budget midfielder Mateus Fernandes, who costs just £5.5m, has been a key creator for West Ham this season.

He’s created 14 chances since the start of November, the most of any Hammers player.

Furthermore, Fernandes has produced defensive contribution (DefCon) points in five of his last eight starts.

West Ham visit Wolves on Saturday.

Rob Edwards’ side have failed to keep a clean sheet so far this season and have looked particularly vulnerable at Molineux, conceding nine goals across their new manager’s four home games in charge.

Fernandes could act as a decent enabler, then, given West Ham’s favourable upcoming schedule.


Introducing The Eye Test 2

Introducing The Eye Test 2
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  1. Sam (Team Sam)
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 hours, 58 mins ago

    Bruno G or Gordon?

    Really struggling to decide!

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 hour, 59 mins ago

      Points say Bruno G.
      Stats probably say Gordon.

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      1 hour, 55 mins ago

      bruno g

    3. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      1 hour, 31 mins ago

      Bruno

    4. I have no Wirtz
        1 hour, 20 mins ago

        Neither,
        do you already have Rogers and Cherki?

        1. Sam (Team Sam)
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          1 hour, 19 mins ago

          I have Rogers. Cherki too risky for me given that I have Foden, plus Semenyo seems imminent.

    5. Soyland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 hours, 56 mins ago

      Any love for Kudus? The next four are quite good...

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 13 Years
        2 hours, 50 mins ago

        For Spurs' opponents

    6. JohnnyB10
        2 hours, 56 mins ago

        A: VVD and Senesi to Gabriel and Dorgu/Mukiele?

        B: Senesi and Reece James to Gabriel and Clyne?

        2 ft, any advice helpful… Or just roll? I have also Tarkowski and Gudmondsson…

        Senesi 4.5/4.9 value / Reece James 5.4/5.7

        1. TBL
          • 4 Years
          1 hour, 50 mins ago

          roll

          1. JohnnyB10
              1 hour, 45 mins ago

              Thanks! I wanted to roll in the first place and just nicely bank transfers, now in some doubt, Gabriel rising tonight, Senesi down… I’m happy with the defense, starting Reece/Tark/VVD this gw.

        2. Vasshin
          • 7 Years
          2 hours, 55 mins ago

          I have 1.1 in bank and
          Rogers Gordon Foden Semenyo Rice

          Thinking of transferring Foden or Semenyo out but don’t have any real alternatives

          Cunha has good fixtures but can’t really trust United players to do anything against them, similarly Wirtz could be injured. Could have brought Gapko but he hasn’t started yet.

          Any other options you guys can suggest

        3. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 hours, 53 mins ago

          Which one is better?

          A) Semenyo > Gordon/Bruno G
          B) Sem + Sensei to Minteh + Gabriel -4

          Thanks

          1. JT11fc
            • 7 Years
            2 hours, 50 mins ago

            B

          2. Gandalf
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            2 hours, 43 mins ago

            No to Minteh

          3. CYN
            • 7 Years
            2 hours, 31 mins ago

            A

        4. Cerylin
          • 10 Years
          2 hours, 53 mins ago

          Raya (Dubravka)
          VVD, Dorgu, O'Reilly (Chalobah, Andersen)
          Foden, Cunha, Saka, Anderson, Rice
          Ekitike, Haalaand (Guiu)

          I have 3 FT. I think i need Gabriel, I was planning to do Raya to VB so I can bring Gabriel in.

          Is this a smart move, I know Rice won't play on Sat. If so, who should I sub out for Gabriel:
          A) VVD
          B) O'Reilly

          Or something else entirely?

          1. Home Late From Age
            • 10 Years
            2 hours, 32 mins ago

            B

        5. Ronnies
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 hours, 52 mins ago

          Are there doubts about O'Reilly starting aswell? Play it safe and go Gudmundsson?

        6. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          2 hours, 51 mins ago

          Anderson with a bull check out to go 2-4, game back on...

          1. Jafooli
            • 13 Years
            2 hours, 45 mins ago

            What a SF, amazing contest...

        7. Kiyoshi
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 hours, 50 mins ago

          A: Thiaw / Bruno G
          B: Thiaw / Gordon
          C: Hall / Bruno G.
          D: Hall / Gordon

          1. OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            2 hours, 49 mins ago

            C

          2. donbagino
            • 5 Years
            2 hours, 38 mins ago

            B

          3. Home Late From Age
            • 10 Years
            2 hours, 30 mins ago

            D

        8. OptimusBlack
          • 12 Years
          2 hours, 49 mins ago

          Sorry for asking again but who to get ?
          A- Bruno G
          B- Cherki

          1. JT11fc
            • 7 Years
            2 hours, 48 mins ago

            Id always say Cherki but theres a reason BrunoG is on a ton of points I guess

          2. The 12th Man
            • 12 Years
            2 hours, 47 mins ago

            Close. I’ve gone Cherki.

          3. Home Late From Age
            • 10 Years
            2 hours, 29 mins ago

            B

          4. OptimusBlack
            • 12 Years
            2 hours, 20 mins ago

            Cheers Thank you guys

        9. JT11fc
          • 7 Years
          2 hours, 49 mins ago

          Hows this draft look?
          Verbruggen
          Gab Timber Tarks Nunes
          Saka Foden Palmer Rogers
          DCL Haaland

          Dub Mukiele Mane Devenny

          Foden to Cherki allows Bowen and more depth?

          1. JohnnyB10
              2 hours, 46 mins ago

              Looks nice! Cherki yes, you get Bowen.

              1. JT11fc
                • 7 Years
                2 hours, 45 mins ago

                Thanks, I do like Bowen

                1. JohnnyB10
                    2 hours, 37 mins ago

                    I brought him and Cheeky two weeks ago, I do like Jared too. Also Reece 🙂

              2. Captain Mal
                • 1 Year
                2 hours, 43 mins ago

                No idea which of Foden or Cherki get affected by Semenyo. I'd rather start with Foden and have the option to downgrade than vice versa.
                I like the 2 strikers structure, wouldn't worry about Bowen. Bench admittedly too thin.

                1. JT11fc
                  • 7 Years
                  2 hours, 40 mins ago

                  Thanks, assuming Foden continues in the 10 with Doku Cherki Semenyo Savinho rotating on the wings but its Pep.

            • KostaK
              • 4 Years
              2 hours, 48 mins ago

              Start Dorgu or O’Reilly?

              1. JT11fc
                • 7 Years
                2 hours, 48 mins ago

                Dorgu more certain to start

              2. Home Late From Age
                • 10 Years
                2 hours, 28 mins ago

                Dorgu

            • FPL Blow-In
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              2 hours, 48 mins ago

              Is this very silly? I’m on an early WC so banking transfers is going to be paramount moving forward. I want KDH as my 5th mid on WC and do not want to spend an important transfer on 5th mid fodder down the line.

              I will have fodder 3rd striker and want Keane too. This would mean I could be using WC without a playing bench for this gw…

              1. JT11fc
                • 7 Years
                2 hours, 46 mins ago

                Not that silly, Keane shooould play

              2. I have no Wirtz
                  2 hours, 6 mins ago

                  It’s a calculated risk, not silly. But you could make your life easier with Garner instead of KDH.

              3. The 12th Man
                • 12 Years
                2 hours, 48 mins ago

                So, I’ve held off WCing.
                Took a -4. O’Reilly,Semenyo > Gabriel,Cherki.

                Dubravka
                Gabriel,VVD,Keane,Dalot
                Saka,Foden,Cherki,Cunha
                Haaaland,Ekitike

                Petrovic,Wilson,Senesi,Guiu.

                Thank you all, for your input.

                1. JT11fc
                  • 7 Years
                  2 hours, 47 mins ago

                  No real issues there at all

                  1. The 12th Man
                    • 12 Years
                    2 hours, 45 mins ago

                    Just keeper issues.
                    Changing soon hopefully if no issues outfield.

                    1. JT11fc
                      • 7 Years
                      2 hours, 45 mins ago

                      Yes definitely haha but theyr all so hit and miss

                2. OptimusBlack
                  • 12 Years
                  2 hours, 11 mins ago

                  Great transfer dude

                3. I have no Wirtz
                    2 hours, 3 mins ago

                    Well done. Perfectly executed, and saved the WC.

                    GL!

                  • Weasel Boy
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 13 Years
                    1 hour, 22 mins ago

                    I want to do this transfer but 0.2 off.
                    So it's a yes from me

                4. how now brown cow
                  • 11 Years
                  2 hours, 47 mins ago

                  My team is so broken, and only 1 ft, don't know where to start

                  Pope
                  Timber O'Reilly Mukiele
                  Saka Rice* Foden Minteh*
                  Haaland Jimenez Ekitike

                  Dubravka Dhaka Truffert Richards*

                  Is rice, Foden, Richards to vdv, Rogers, BrunoG/ Gordon worth a punchy -8?

                  Allows a possible route to Gabriel next week

                  Or just keep it simple and go Richards to van de ven?

                  1. Emiliano Sala
                    • 9 Years
                    1 hour, 49 mins ago

                    No

                  2. I have no Wirtz
                      1 hour, 1 min ago

                      That -8 you propose doesn’t look good.

                      Have you considered WC? Play with that, what would your new team look like?

                  3. FPL Blow-In
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 13 Years
                    2 hours, 46 mins ago

                    These are some crazy darts. Anderson to be throwing those scores and doubles % and still being down 4-1 is mad

                    1. Jafooli
                      • 13 Years
                      2 hours, 43 mins ago

                      Amazing contest, both playing so well...

                    2. NZREDS
                      • 12 Years
                      2 hours, 39 mins ago

                      So mad, fantastic match - good to see Anderson pull one back there

                  4. jonnybhoy
                    • 13 Years
                    2 hours, 46 mins ago

                    What to do? 1FT 1.8ITB. Defence isn't great.

                    Raya
                    Keane Timber Dorgu
                    Cunha Saka Bruno G Wilson Foden
                    Haaland Ekitike

                    Dubravka Sensei Gudmundsson Guiu

                    A) Raya to Pickford
                    B) Raya and Keane to Pickford and Gabriel -4pts
                    C) Raya and Senesi to Pickford and Gabriel -4pts
                    D) Roll

                    1. Emiliano Sala
                      • 9 Years
                      2 hours, 45 mins ago

                      D

                    2. I have no Wirtz
                        1 hour, 55 mins ago

                        C

                    3. Nightf0x
                      • 10 Years
                      2 hours, 45 mins ago

                      alison (dub)
                      cala oriley mukiele clyne (richards)
                      gordon foden saka (rice king)
                      tiago eki haland

                      3fts, itb 0.6, which ?

                      a) alison cala oriley king tiago -8 to john gabriel alderete rogers dcl.
                      b) cala oriley to gabriel obrien.
                      c) alison cala oriley king -4 to pickford gabriel alderete garner.
                      d) alison oriley saka king -4 to pickford gabriel rogers garner.

                    4. Boleyn Boy
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 15 Years
                      2 hours, 45 mins ago

                      Evening All. Who is the best def for £4.9m or under? Thanks in advance

                      1. Eze Come, Eze Go
                        • 1 Year
                        2 hours, 41 mins ago

                        Any Everton defender

                    5. Eze Come, Eze Go
                      • 1 Year
                      2 hours, 43 mins ago

                      Evening All. Starting and bench positions looking G2G?

                      Verbruggen
                      Timber - Van Hecke - O’Reilly
                      Saka - Gordon - Foden - Rogers - Minteh
                      Haaland (C) - Bowen

                      Dubravka - Chalobah - Gudmundsson - Kroupi

                      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                        • 9 Years
                        2 hours, 17 mins ago

                        Yep

                    6. Jafooli
                      • 13 Years
                      2 hours, 42 mins ago

                      Get in lad back to 4 - 3....

                      1. Eze Come, Eze Go
                        • 1 Year
                        2 hours, 39 mins ago

                        Who would you take out of midfield?

                        1. Jafooli
                          • 13 Years
                          2 hours, 36 mins ago

                          Jocky Wilson - he might practice 12hrs a day but he's not shy of the burger van...

                    7. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                      • 9 Years
                      2 hours, 41 mins ago

                      A) Chalobah, Foden, DCL + 0.6
                      B) Cash, Cherki, Watkins + 0.3
                      C) Cash, Cherki, DCL + 3.0

                      Roefs Dubravka
                      Gabriel Tarkowski Nunes XXX Alderete
                      Saka Palmer XXX Rogers Trossard
                      Haaland XXX Obi

                      1. Norco
                        • 11 Years
                        2 hours, 38 mins ago

                        Bowen instead of Watkins?

                        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
                          • 9 Years
                          2 hours, 32 mins ago

                          Nah don't want him

                    8. Flynny
                      • 10 Years
                      2 hours, 39 mins ago

                      What is the best way to get gabriel in please?

                      A......semenyo and oreilly to cherki and gabriel - 4

                      B.....raya and richards to verbruggen and gabriel - 4.......Andersen 1st sub

                      C.....raya and Anderson to verbruggen and gabriel - 4...keep richards for palace good fixture run but no bench this weekend

                      Raya
                      Oreilly hall andersen (richards rodon)
                      Saka foden cunha semenyo Anderson
                      Haaland ekiteke (guiu)

                      1. BR510
                          2 hours, 36 mins ago

                          I think B

                        • The 12th Man
                          • 12 Years
                          2 hours, 29 mins ago

                          A was my exact moves.

                          All good options though.

                          1. Flynny
                            • 10 Years
                            2 hours, 9 mins ago

                            Think I'm with you! Thanks

                        • Yozzer
                          • 8 Years
                          2 hours, 12 mins ago

                          O'Reilly or you will have 4 city players and a forced hand soon

                        • I have no Wirtz
                            1 hour, 52 mins ago

                            A

                        • BR510
                            2 hours, 38 mins ago

                            Long term:
                            1. Timber and Rodon to Gabriel and Tark (Saka Rice Gab)
                            2. Rice and Rodon to Gabriel and Rogers/Gordon (Saka Timber Gab)

                            1. TBL
                              • 4 Years
                              1 hour, 31 mins ago

                              1

                            2. antis0cial
                              • 9 Years
                              1 hour, 30 mins ago

                              1

                            1. Jafooli
                              • 13 Years
                              1 hour, 38 mins ago

                              Nice

                            2. Yozzer
                              • 8 Years
                              1 hour, 14 mins ago

                              That's not too surprising as they are assessing him before the game.

                          • CYN
                            • 7 Years
                            2 hours, 33 mins ago

                            Which is better?

                            A. Raya and Thiaw
                            B. Verbruggen and Timber

                            1. MJF
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 7 Years
                              2 hours, 32 mins ago

                              B because Raya is never gonna be value. Prefer Roefs to Verbruggen, though,

                              1. CYN
                                • 7 Years
                                2 hours, 30 mins ago

                                Roefs is financially out of reach for now unfortunately. Only 4.6 left for the keeper if keeping Timber.

                          • FPLMACKEM
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 5 Years
                            2 hours, 30 mins ago

                            Raya
                            Virgil, Gabriel, Hall
                            Cunha, Wilson, Foden, Saka, Anderson
                            Ekitike, Haaland (c)

                            Dubravka, Andersen, Rodon, Guiu

                            3ft 0.9 itb

                            Any suggestions here? Or just roll?

                            1. CYN
                              • 7 Years
                              2 hours, 29 mins ago

                              Roll seems fine

                          • corderz
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 11 Years
                            2 hours, 30 mins ago

                            Verbruggen Dubravka
                            Gabriel VVD O'Reilly Lacroix Thiaw
                            Foden Wirtz Rice Wilson King
                            Haaland Ekitike Thiago

                            3FT's + 0.4m

                            Rice > Rogers?

                            1. TBL
                              • 4 Years
                              1 hour, 32 mins ago

                              would rather keep Rice and move Wirtz

                              1. corderz
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 11 Years
                                1 hour, 24 mins ago

                                To who?

                          • TBL
                            • 4 Years
                            2 hours, 29 mins ago

                            saka or palmer on WC

                          • FPL Blow-In
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 13 Years
                            2 hours, 29 mins ago

                            Van Veen flinched 😯

                            1. Jafooli
                              • 13 Years
                              2 hours, 25 mins ago

                              But not by much...