Scout Notes
4 January 2026 150 comments
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While we usually try to avoid saying someone has “punished his sellers” on these pages, it’s difficult to argue that Declan Rice (£7.1m) didn’t do it on Saturday.

A 50% injury flag, coupled with many Fantasy managers rejigging their Arsenal triple-up to accommodate Gabriel Magalhaes (£6.6m), saw Rice become the most-sold player of Gameweek 20:

NameTeamTransfers out
RiceARS688,604
ThiagoBRE361,623
FodenMCI335,843
ChalobahCHE291,124
SemenyoBOU280,894

He responded by not just being passed fit and starting but by scoring his first goals since Gameweek 10.

This was his first-ever Premier League brace, doubling his season’s goals tally and helping him register his joint-biggest ever Fantasy Premier League (FPL) haul of 17 points.

RICE: TWO SHOTS, TWO GOALS

Mikel Arteta left it late to decide on including Rice – and it was a close-run thing.

“Every hour for him was important to be able to be available today. We didn’t know for how long. So in the manner that he competed, played and on top of that scored two goals, I think it was outstanding. And a really big message for the team.

“He was so disappointed not to play against Villa. He really wanted it. He tried in the morning, it was nowhere near a possibility. He wanted to train the next day, it wasn’t a possibility. Until the last minute, I asked him, how are you feeling? He said, I’m in. And he showed that he was big time in.” – Mikel Arteta on Declan Rice

Open-play goal threat has been the one thing really lacking from the otherwise peerless all-rounder Rice. He’s proved himself as a direct free-kick specialist, trusty corner taker and DefCon/bonus point amasser in recent months.

The goals haven’t, or hadn’t, really flowed until Saturday. Just two in the first half of 2025/26, and just five Premier League strikes in all of 2025. His minutes-per-shot (M/S, below) average is somewhere between James Garner (£5.1m) and Marshall Munetsi (£5.3m) this season:

will Semenyo

The point is, though, that he’s already competitive as a Fantasy pick even without the goals. If Rice can boost his so-so shot numbers (in only one match in 2025/26 has he had more than one effort in the box), then the sky’s the limit.

will Semenyo

Above: Rice’s heatmap in Gameweek 19, with the two goals circled in green


Arsenal’s top points-scorer of 2025 is off to a flyer in 2026.

SAKA BENCHED… BUT WHEN WILL IT HAPPEN AGAIN?

Despite a generous Tuesday-Saturday-Thursday turnaround in Gameweeks 19-21, Arteta wasn’t taking any chances with Bukayo Saka (£10.3m).

He and Leandro Trossard (£7.0m) dropped to the bench, with Noni Madueke (£6.8m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£6.8m) taking their places. Madueke was especially lively, carrying the ball well down the right.

“It’s really important, especially because the ones that come in, they did really well.” – Mikel Arteta on being able to rotate

Arteta has shown less reluctance to hand Saka a breather, particularly of late. There will still be times when he starts three matches in a week – note the trio of successive starts at the end of November. The Gameweek 14 benching against Brentford, indeed, came straight after this run, the fourth match in 11 days.

The more winnable the fixture, or the less prestigious the competition, the greater chance of a rest.

Looking ahead, the hope would be that Saka gets the games against Portsmouth, Inter and Kairat off. Arsenal are already qualified in the Champions League, so those latter two matter naught.

If so, the next problem Premier League match could come in Gameweeks 25/26 (after the EFL Cup semi-final second leg), but we’ll cross that bridge when we come to it.

Saka at least came off the bench to grab an assist, stretching his run to one blank in 10 Gameweeks (if we take the liberty to include DefCon points as a return!). No one on show created more chances (three), either.

Martin Odegaard (£7.8m) now has attacking returns in three successive Gameweeks, too. He teed up Rice for Arsenal’s first.

GABRIEL ALMOST MATCHING HAALAND

Rice may mop up the headlines but one Arsenal player is head and shoulders above all the others this season.

Gabriel’s points-per-start average is right up there with Erling Haaland‘s (£15.1m):

He bolstered that average on Saturday, netting yet another goal and banking more DefCon points.

A wayward pass from the Brazilian cost his teammates a clean sheet early on; further chagrin for FPL managers who own other Arsenal defenders but not him.

Jurrien Timber (£6.4m) looks set to join Gabriel in banking DefCon points after the refresh:

IRAOLA ON KROUPI

A Gabriel gift presented Evanilson (£7.0m) with his third strike of the season.

The Brazilian is not the Bournemouth that many FPL managers care about, of course; that would be bench fodder Junior Kroupi (£4.6m).

He lashed in Bournemouth’s second goal from distance on Saturday, taking his tally to a very impressive six for the season. That’s twice what Evanilson has.

Unfortunately, his manager doesn’t seem to value goalscoring above all other line-leading attributes. He’s mentioned previously about what Evanilson brings to the frontline; he seems more lukewarm on Kroupi.

“With, Junior, we have to find out where we can use him better, because it’s true that when we put Enes [Unal] and Junior [on as substitutes against Arsenal], they came together almost like two nines. You have Junior’s finishing, that is amazing, but from that moment till the end, I think Arsenal have control of the game because they control the middle.

“You lose one player in the middle so you cannot almost recover the ball as high. You don’t create things. So, in games where we put him straight away as a nine, also we haven’t had the best of the results.” – Andoni Iraola on Junior Kroupi

WILL SEMENYO STILL BE A BOURNEMOUTH PLAYER IN GAMEWEEK 21?

Antoine Semenyo (£7.7m) picked up his fifth booking of the season on Saturday. Fear not, owners, the cut-off point for yellow card accumulation has now passed, so there’s no one-match ban for him.

The winger got through 90 minutes against the Gunners, having a couple of cracks from distance, flashing a few crosses across the area, but ultimately blanking.

The question is: will Semenyo still be in the black and red come Gameweek 21? An easier test awaits then, against an inconsistent Tottenham Hotspur.

Iraola said he expected that to be the case when speaking on Friday, and he doubled down on that after full-time.

“Yes, I expect the situation hasn’t changed [about him starting on Wednesday]. So, he is our player, I expect him to play against the Spurs. Yes, there’s a lot of noise around around him. I understand. But this is the situation right now.” – Andoni Iroala on Antoine Semenyo


price change predictions
150 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Feanor
    • 16 Years
    3 days, 4 hours ago

    Missed another Gabriel price rise, damn it. I knew price changes happening around 3pm NZ time would catch me out.

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 days, 4 hours ago

      Best get things done during lunchtime. Cut-off is 2:30pm NZDT.

  2. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    3 days, 4 hours ago

    Last Man Standing Update (381 teams)

    Current safety score = 7
    Top score = 51

    https://plan.livefpl.net//LMS

  3. FCSB
    • 9 Years
    3 days, 4 hours ago

    Raya
    Hall Gabriel Dorgu O’Reilly
    Cunha Foden Rice
    Thiago Ekitike Haaland

    Dubravka Wilson Minteh VanHecke

    1FT, 0.5itb

    Is this a save FT this week?

    1. DannyD
      • 11 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      Yes

  4. Bob_the_builder
    • 9 Years
    3 days, 3 hours ago

    Timber is still at 9 Defcons?

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 days, 45 mins ago

      Yes, but it is supposed to be updated later.

  5. Snoop Udogie Dogg
    • 5 Years
    3 days, 3 hours ago

    lol only just seen that 3rd Villa goal

  6. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
    • 1 Year
    3 days, 3 hours ago

    Repost

    Football Friends,
    My Arsenal assets are Saka, Rice, & Timber. I want to get Gabriel back- pre injury he was pure gold- but I want both mids so the only way I can do it is to move Timber for him. Is this the no-brainer it appears to be? Or should I just stay with Timber?

    And if the consensus is to move Timber for Gabriel, would you do it now or after Arsenal has played Liverpool?

    Appreciate any and all suggestions. And Happy 2026!

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 days, 3 hours ago

      I would sell Saka and bring in Gabriel. No worries about them playing pool mate.

      1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
        • 1 Year
        3 days, 3 hours ago

        I was afraid someone would say that 😎 OK, next question: Other than Saka my mids are Rice, Foden, Wilson, & Semenyo. Semenyo’s all but gone for me, so who in for Saka? Palmer? Rogers? Bruno G? Not sold on Cherki and not looking for Bruno F until he’s 100% healthy (if even then)

        Much appreciation for the input, cheers!

        1. bso
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 days, 2 hours ago

          Rogers then Bruno G

          1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
            • 1 Year
            3 days, 2 hours ago

            Gracias

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 days, 2 hours ago

      I would do Timber > Gabriel! In fact, I did do it, and 26pts later I’m suggesting it to you!

      1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
        • 1 Year
        3 days, 1 hour ago

        Merci

  7. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 days, 3 hours ago

    Start Mukiele or Timber (have Gabriel)?

    1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
      • 1 Year
      3 days, 3 hours ago

      Mukiele by just a bit

  8. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    3 days, 3 hours ago

    Mukiele

  9. Cloughie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 days, 3 hours ago

    Rice or Rogers anyone????

    1. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
      • 1 Year
      3 days, 2 hours ago

      Rice.

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 days, 1 hour ago

      Rice more routes to points although Im going both

  10. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 days, 2 hours ago

    Thought on this 352? What would you change?

    Sanchez

    Gabriel Timber Tarkowski

    Palmer Rice BrunoG Foden Cherki

    Haaland Ekitike

    Dub Alderete Kroupi Nallo

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      3 days, 1 hour ago

      Perfect, similar to mine price pointwise, can always free up cash from BrunoG or Cherki to KDH etc if need be in the future

      1. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 days, 1 hour ago

        Yeah Chermiti and even Ekitike the ones I am not sure on but I need a few moves to get to this anyway.

  11. Bavarian
    • 7 Years
    3 days, 2 hours ago

    Best replacenent for Raya??

    1. Bavarian
      • 7 Years
      3 days, 2 hours ago

      Replacement*

    2. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 days, 1 hour ago

      Roefs or Sanchez

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 days, 1 hour ago

        This

    3. Ausman
      • 2 Years
      3 days, 1 hour ago

      Roefs

  12. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    3 days, 1 hour ago

    What to do with this dilema?
    Left money itb for Rice on wc but due to doubt decided to punt on Mitoma for 3gws then switch to Rice, I can afford 1 price rise so should I....
    1. Get Rice now

    2. Try and hold Mitoma for Bou fixture then swap (can bench Mitoma v City)

    1. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 days, 1 hour ago

      1. You weren’t to know Rice wouldnt play.
      Just make the move and get it done.
      Mitoma is nowhere near a 90 min player he doesn’t win over Rice even short term. Players in different universes.

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 days, 1 hour ago

        Ye good point, can see an assist and decons v Liverpool

    2. Ausman
      • 2 Years
      3 days, 1 hour ago

      If you want Rice get him now. Alot of people sold him thinking he would miss a few games, and after his brace there will be a mad scramble to get him back, so you could get priced out. Not sure what drew you to Mitoma but he seems to be strugling for minutes after missing so much football.

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        3 days, 1 hour ago

        I think burnley drew me haha not many options under 7.2, Ill just do it hel prob double rise once flags gone

  13. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    3 days, 1 hour ago

    Luckily I already have Rice and Gabriel. Also have Saka. Is he a hold until Bruno is back? I can't afford Palmer in one move

    1. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 days, 1 hour ago

      Probably hold. Thhis was probably just a rest but Madueke did very well.

      1. waltzingmatildas
        • 15 Years
        3 days, 1 hour ago

        Yeah probably for now. Cheers

  14. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 days, 1 hour ago

    1FT and .2 short of O’’Reilly to Tark
    So that would need a hit.
    Was going to bench Virgil this week and have him for Bur, but now thinking he can go for Tark for free this week

    A. O’Reilly to Tark for a hit with something like Wilson to Garner
    B. Virgil to Tark for free

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      3 days, 1 hour ago

      I think I'd prefer A. O'Reilly seems the bigger problem

      1. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 days, 59 mins ago

        Interesting, I suppose we will know more when this lot of games are finished

      2. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 days, 56 mins ago

        I suppose I don’t mind Garner as a short term punt just not an exciting pick

  15. Khalico
    • 10 Years
    3 days, 1 hour ago

    Hold Senesi or Van de Ven ?

    1. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 days, 1 hour ago

      Maybehold VDV. Senesi is gone off a cliff. Bou defence hasn’t looked good for awhile. Ok he was up against Madueke and Saka but Truffert looks hopeless. VDV at least might have the odd goal in him.

    2. PartyTime
      • 4 Years
      3 days, 45 mins ago

      VdV

  16. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 days, 1 hour ago

    Ok the 442 version rather than the 352 posted earlier - when Bruno is back. I said I wouldn’t get Bruno but this looks tasty even if with a pretty weak bench. Fofana could be anyone at that price who gets more minutes.

    Sanchez

    Gabriel Timber Tark Alderete

    Palmer Bruno Foden Rice

    Haaland Ekitike

    Dub Fofana Kroupi Devenny

  17. PartyTime
    • 4 Years
    3 days, 59 mins ago

    My midfield:
    Saka, Foden, Cherki, Gordon, Anderson.
    £0.1 itb.

    Who will you ditch for Rice?

    Thanks

    1. Sandy Ravage
      • 9 Years
      3 days, 53 mins ago

      probably Foden

      1. PartyTime
        • 4 Years
        3 days, 43 mins ago

        I’m hoping Howe makes the decision easy for me after he subs Gordon off the pitch at HT

  18. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 days, 55 mins ago

    Woke up to find the number '17' under a player with a swollen knee firs on my bench. I need Pep roulette to do me a favour and bench Foden and keep him there.

  19. Sandy Ravage
    • 9 Years
    3 days, 53 mins ago

    For GW 22 onwards:
    A - Rice (nfo) (have Saka)
    B - Ekitike (BUR)

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 days, 48 mins ago

      A

    2. PartyTime
      • 4 Years
      3 days, 47 mins ago

      Easy A because you get more routes to pts. DC, setpiece, G + A, 90 mins etc

    3. Sandy Ravage
      • 9 Years
      3 days, 30 mins ago

      Agreed

  20. PartyTime
    • 4 Years
    3 days, 51 mins ago

    Anyone thinking of sailing on without Gabriel or any arsenal defender?

    Timber has been a frustrating pick for my team. Missed out on DC last night, injury, rotation etc Meanwhile, Gabriel has been a pain the arse. Never owned when he hauls.

    At this point, I think it’s better to be part of a different party. I created a league for no Arsenal defenders. League pts starts from GW21.

    The only rule is that you don’t get to pick a defender from the best defence in the league(Arsenal)

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 days, 49 mins ago

      I disagree completely. The sweet spot is owning just Gabriel from their defense. He's a monster. Has it all - clean sheets, goals, bonus and the only Arse defender who gets defcons.

      The rest are rubbish picks. Over priced and don't offer anything that a Alderete or Keane don't offer.

      1. Sandy Ravage
        • 9 Years
        3 days, 31 mins ago

        This

      2. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        2 days, 23 hours ago

        Unfortunately Gabby who does it all gave Evanilson an open net

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 days, 33 mins ago

      Timber is probably getting his defcon points. I don't understand these antifpl leagues, remember that no BS-league. They are playing like FPL general who is in his no Haaland league atm. I play this game with given rules without adding any restrictions to explain to myself why I am doing badly when/if that happens. Just buy Gabriel like everyone else.

      1. PartyTime
        • 4 Years
        3 days, 27 mins ago

        Yes, I just read the Timber 3 pts update in the article. Thank you.
        The issue is that Gabby’s price is skyrocketing & I’m trying to quit taking hits since i’m fond of that. I also think it’s fun to be without esp if the damage has been done.

  21. mookie
    • 12 Years
    3 days, 38 mins ago

    Good news for Timber owners and bad news for Van Hecke owners.
    https://x.com/LiveFPLnet/status/2007703638857396378

    "As OPTA updated their stats overnight, Timber will get DEFCON points and Van Hecke will lose them."

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 days, 35 mins ago

      Hilarious. This game is rigged.

      1. Studs Up
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 days, 15 mins ago

        Hilarious comment

      2. Benedict_Alexander_Arnold
        • 1 Year
        2 days, 23 hours ago

        Stop the steal

    2. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 days, 27 mins ago

      When will this be seen on FPL site and LiveFpl ?

      1. mookie
        • 12 Years
        3 days, 20 mins ago

        I think when today's games bonus points are in.

        1. Albrightondknight
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 days, 18 mins ago

          K thanks much/

    3. PartyTime
      • 4 Years
      3 days, 22 mins ago

      Heck! Gotta take the 3 pts & run away

  22. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 days, 35 mins ago

    Which is the best Sunderland defender to get for DC and set piece goal threat?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 days, 28 mins ago

      Alderete

    2. Sandy Ravage
      • 9 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      Mukiele/ Alderete

  23. Baps Hunter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 days, 27 mins ago

    I am still wondering the optimal Arsenal setup. Gabriel is there certainly and Rice is 3 million less than Saka, so Gabi has to best pick and Rice prolly 2nd best. Between Saka and Timber it has to be tight because of the money. That 4 million can do a lot elsewhere, but on the other hand having Saka as a place holder for Palmer has its merit too(?) Perhaps keeping what you have is the way to go?

    1. PartyTime
      • 4 Years
      3 days, 23 mins ago

      Saka, Rice & Gabby imo

    2. Catastrophe
      • 15 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      Rice, Gabriel, Timber

  24. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    3 days, 16 mins ago

    Saka + lee fee to rice + rogers (-4)
    1) yes
    2) no

    1. PartyTime
      • 4 Years
      3 days, 6 mins ago

      1

  25. PartyTime
    • 4 Years
    3 days, 4 mins ago

    Saka ain’t even on pens at that price. Might consider ditching. He is definitely on the chopping board now.

    1. The Hunt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      Saka will keep on getting returns but he's at least 1m over valued since forfeiting at least some of Arsenal's penalties. Having said that, most of us can still afford the luxury of having him in our teams as he can be easily subsidised not only by players who have emerged as bargains this season but by premiums who have fallen off the radar and condensed the game (Salah/Palmer/Isak).

  26. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 days, 23 hours ago

    Ditch Bowen for DCL? Will be needing extra funds to upgrade Minteh and Szsobozlai.

    1. Sandy Ravage
      • 9 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      I'd do it, as I think they'll match each other over the next few games

  27. Rollercoaster
    • 12 Years
    2 days, 23 hours ago

    Had him for 2weeks, now useless Wirtz has to go for Rice

    1. Tomerick
      • 11 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      Maybe see if he does anything this week first? Two weeks ago he got a 10 pointer.

      1. Rollercoaster
        • 12 Years
        2 days, 23 hours ago

        True

  28. Tomerick
    • 11 Years
    2 days, 23 hours ago

    So with the great Defcon reset, I lose can Hecke’s defcon to gain Timber’s?

    1. PartyTime
      • 4 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      Ownership swing

    2. Lanley Staurel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      Im lost - Van Hecke still has his Defcon doesnt he? Still showing in my team.

      1. Tomerick
        • 11 Years
        2 days, 23 hours ago

        Apparently the haverecalculated them all and he goes to 9 and Timber goes to 10. People were saying it would update last night but seems to still be on the cards later today.

  29. el polako
    • 8 Years
    2 days, 23 hours ago

    Arteta - don’t know who his main penalties taker is and he is never honest about players injuries.
    He’s worse than Pep, let’s hope Arsenal will bottle title race in April.

    1. PartyTime
      • 4 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      I don’t want them to win the league. Arsenal fans are too noisy in my neighborhood. No PL trophy in over 20 years so you can imagine the amount of noise pollution come May.

      Arteta sucks as well!

    2. Sir Michael Taker
      • 11 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      Lost count of how many years I'vee played this game but Baldteta is worsee for the game than covid and project restart

  30. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 days, 23 hours ago

    Bowen or Thiago > DCL?

    Needs funds to upgrade Minteh and Szsobozlai.

    1. el polako
      • 8 Years
      2 days, 23 hours ago

      I would keep Thiago - he is still on pens.
      Bowen is probably already thinking about his next club and his teammates gave up and are already mentally in the Championship.

      1. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        2 days, 23 hours ago

        Paqueta and his bad back spent the weekend down the bookies

        1. el polako
          • 8 Years
          2 days, 23 hours ago

          You can take a boy out of favela, but you can’t…

          1. Mother Farke
            • 1 Year
            2 days, 23 hours ago

            Favelas are too poor to have bookies in them.