Scout Notes
4 January 2026 150 comments
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While we usually try to avoid saying someone has “punished his sellers” on these pages, it’s difficult to argue that Declan Rice (£7.1m) didn’t do it on Saturday.

A 50% injury flag, coupled with many Fantasy managers rejigging their Arsenal triple-up to accommodate Gabriel Magalhaes (£6.6m), saw Rice become the most-sold player of Gameweek 20:

NameTeamTransfers out
RiceARS688,604
ThiagoBRE361,623
FodenMCI335,843
ChalobahCHE291,124
SemenyoBOU280,894

He responded by not just being passed fit and starting but by scoring his first goals since Gameweek 10.

This was his first-ever Premier League brace, doubling his season’s goals tally and helping him register his joint-biggest ever Fantasy Premier League (FPL) haul of 17 points.

RICE: TWO SHOTS, TWO GOALS

Mikel Arteta left it late to decide on including Rice – and it was a close-run thing.

“Every hour for him was important to be able to be available today. We didn’t know for how long. So in the manner that he competed, played and on top of that scored two goals, I think it was outstanding. And a really big message for the team.

“He was so disappointed not to play against Villa. He really wanted it. He tried in the morning, it was nowhere near a possibility. He wanted to train the next day, it wasn’t a possibility. Until the last minute, I asked him, how are you feeling? He said, I’m in. And he showed that he was big time in.” – Mikel Arteta on Declan Rice

Open-play goal threat has been the one thing really lacking from the otherwise peerless all-rounder Rice. He’s proved himself as a direct free-kick specialist, trusty corner taker and DefCon/bonus point amasser in recent months.

The goals haven’t, or hadn’t, really flowed until Saturday. Just two in the first half of 2025/26, and just five Premier League strikes in all of 2025. His minutes-per-shot (M/S, below) average is somewhere between James Garner (£5.1m) and Marshall Munetsi (£5.3m) this season:

will Semenyo

The point is, though, that he’s already competitive as a Fantasy pick even without the goals. If Rice can boost his so-so shot numbers (in only one match in 2025/26 has he had more than one effort in the box), then the sky’s the limit.

will Semenyo

Above: Rice’s heatmap in Gameweek 19, with the two goals circled in green


Arsenal’s top points-scorer of 2025 is off to a flyer in 2026.

SAKA BENCHED… BUT WHEN WILL IT HAPPEN AGAIN?

Despite a generous Tuesday-Saturday-Thursday turnaround in Gameweeks 19-21, Arteta wasn’t taking any chances with Bukayo Saka (£10.3m).

He and Leandro Trossard (£7.0m) dropped to the bench, with Noni Madueke (£6.8m) and Gabriel Martinelli (£6.8m) taking their places. Madueke was especially lively, carrying the ball well down the right.

“It’s really important, especially because the ones that come in, they did really well.” – Mikel Arteta on being able to rotate

Arteta has shown less reluctance to hand Saka a breather, particularly of late. There will still be times when he starts three matches in a week – note the trio of successive starts at the end of November. The Gameweek 14 benching against Brentford, indeed, came straight after this run, the fourth match in 11 days.

The more winnable the fixture, or the less prestigious the competition, the greater chance of a rest.

Looking ahead, the hope would be that Saka gets the games against Portsmouth, Inter and Kairat off. Arsenal are already qualified in the Champions League, so those latter two matter naught.

If so, the next problem Premier League match could come in Gameweeks 25/26 (after the EFL Cup semi-final second leg), but we’ll cross that bridge when we come to it.

Saka at least came off the bench to grab an assist, stretching his run to one blank in 10 Gameweeks (if we take the liberty to include DefCon points as a return!). No one on show created more chances (three), either.

Martin Odegaard (£7.8m) now has attacking returns in three successive Gameweeks, too. He teed up Rice for Arsenal’s first.

GABRIEL ALMOST MATCHING HAALAND

Rice may mop up the headlines but one Arsenal player is head and shoulders above all the others this season.

Gabriel’s points-per-start average is right up there with Erling Haaland‘s (£15.1m):

He bolstered that average on Saturday, netting yet another goal and banking more DefCon points.

A wayward pass from the Brazilian cost his teammates a clean sheet early on; further chagrin for FPL managers who own other Arsenal defenders but not him.

Jurrien Timber (£6.4m) looks set to join Gabriel in banking DefCon points after the refresh:

IRAOLA ON KROUPI

A Gabriel gift presented Evanilson (£7.0m) with his third strike of the season.

The Brazilian is not the Bournemouth that many FPL managers care about, of course; that would be bench fodder Junior Kroupi (£4.6m).

He lashed in Bournemouth’s second goal from distance on Saturday, taking his tally to a very impressive six for the season. That’s twice what Evanilson has.

Unfortunately, his manager doesn’t seem to value goalscoring above all other line-leading attributes. He’s mentioned previously about what Evanilson brings to the frontline; he seems more lukewarm on Kroupi.

“With, Junior, we have to find out where we can use him better, because it’s true that when we put Enes [Unal] and Junior [on as substitutes against Arsenal], they came together almost like two nines. You have Junior’s finishing, that is amazing, but from that moment till the end, I think Arsenal have control of the game because they control the middle.

“You lose one player in the middle so you cannot almost recover the ball as high. You don’t create things. So, in games where we put him straight away as a nine, also we haven’t had the best of the results.” – Andoni Iraola on Junior Kroupi

WILL SEMENYO STILL BE A BOURNEMOUTH PLAYER IN GAMEWEEK 21?

Antoine Semenyo (£7.7m) picked up his fifth booking of the season on Saturday. Fear not, owners, the cut-off point for yellow card accumulation has now passed, so there’s no one-match ban for him.

The winger got through 90 minutes against the Gunners, having a couple of cracks from distance, flashing a few crosses across the area, but ultimately blanking.

The question is: will Semenyo still be in the black and red come Gameweek 21? An easier test awaits then, against an inconsistent Tottenham Hotspur.

Iraola said he expected that to be the case when speaking on Friday, and he doubled down on that after full-time.

“Yes, I expect the situation hasn’t changed [about him starting on Wednesday]. So, he is our player, I expect him to play against the Spurs. Yes, there’s a lot of noise around around him. I understand. But this is the situation right now.” – Andoni Iroala on Antoine Semenyo


price change predictions
150 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Sir Michael Taker
    • 11 Years
    16 hours, 52 mins ago

    I think the site needs to just stop publishing Arteta quotes which is akin to citing the Sun for news stories

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      16 hours, 44 mins ago

      I don't think so, but adding a disclaimer *Arteta is not to be trusted, would be an idea. That has usually been mentioned though.

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        16 hours, 43 mins ago

        This was 2nd time when I remember 50% flagged player starting.

        1. Sir Michael Taker
          • 11 Years
          16 hours, 35 mins ago

          Jokes on him anyway. Very bad role model. Hopefully his children grow up never believing a word daddy says

        2. ebb2sparky
          • 15 Years
          16 hours, 6 mins ago

          Did Son score 4 goals once when he was either red flagged or 25%?

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      15 hours, 58 mins ago

      Didn’t Arteta just say let’s see how today’s training session goes on Friday? Should have been 75% chance of playing

  2. Lanley Staurel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    16 hours, 41 mins ago

    So 45% of people own Semenyo. Any owners out there? What are your plans? Must be a heap of dead teams owning him too at that level given his situation.

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      15 hours, 54 mins ago

      selling this week

    2. ebb2sparky
      • 15 Years
      15 hours, 26 mins ago

      I'm selling for Rice but not sure whether to wait until GW22. Semenyo has the better fixture in gw21 but will he start and put 100% in? Also Rice will get a price rise whilst Semenyo falls so I might just do it this week.

    3. Offs!de
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      12 hours, 18 mins ago

      Playing him this GW and after that gonna replace him with Rice / Rodgers

  3. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    16 hours, 40 mins ago

    Thoughts with 1FT and 1.0ITB, could roll?

    Dub
    Gab/Timber/Dorgu
    Saka/Foden/Cunha/HWilson
    Haaland(c)/Ekitike/Thiago

    Verb/VVD/Potts/Heaven

  4. tbos83
    • 5 Years
    16 hours, 39 mins ago

    Absolutely fuming about Rice. Yet another example of why ppl who don't tinker (eg my ML leader) usually always have the edge in the game. Need to learn my lesson and step the hell away.

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      15 hours, 53 mins ago

      people were tricked here
      he was injured, but
      arteta lied about it

    2. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      15 hours, 50 mins ago

      Same for me,
      Just gotta move on.

    3. Wolfman180
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      15 hours, 40 mins ago

      The same can be true the opposite way though. I had the same feeling before this GW and decided against doing Keane, Foden to Cherki, Gabriel. I've not fully checked but with Gabriel scoring it may look like I should've made the move.

    4. OneTeamInBristol
      • 2 Years
      14 hours, 50 mins ago

      Disagree. Once I saw he travelled with the team and did the pre match walk-around, he had to be involved. Played Rice over Garner as a result.

      1. Utopsis
        • 5 Years
        14 hours, 18 mins ago

        Well done

  5. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    16 hours, 33 mins ago

    Timber defcons added yet?

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 hours, 54 mins ago

      Still waiting

    2. OneTeamInBristol
      • 2 Years
      14 hours, 49 mins ago

      Happens end of gameweek

  6. Glasner Ball
    • 13 Years
    16 hours, 32 mins ago

    Lovely green arrow yesterday (47 points) thanks to Rice & Co and back to top of own league.

    Only doubt for me today is either O'Reilly or DCL but if so then Van Hecke first on bench at least.

  7. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    16 hours, 28 mins ago

    Cunha > Rice in 21 or 22?

    Downside miss Cunha v Burnley

    Upside- catch Rice rises.

    1. Studs Up
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      15 hours, 44 mins ago

      Will decide after the Leeds match

  8. Mom, Butters just gave me a…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    16 hours, 26 mins ago

    Do we know how many people benched Rice this GW?

    And is there a chance that some games will be cancelled due to icy conditions?

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      15 hours, 48 mins ago

      46,525
      Yes

      1. Mom, Butters just gave me a…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        15 hours, 22 mins ago

        Nice 🙂

  9. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    16 hours, 26 mins ago

    Which fwd fodder is likely to play more?

    A) Kroupi
    B) Mane

    1. Sir Michael Taker
      • 11 Years
      16 hours, 24 mins ago

      B unless Evanilson gets sold

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        16 hours, 15 mins ago

        Cheers, good fixtures next week, doing him for Raul will free up 1.7 and give great flexibility moving on. Tempting with a hit or two, though…

        Pope
        Gabriel, Timber, Cunha, Wilson
        Haaland, Etikite, Mane

        Subs: Dub, Senesi, Rodon, King

  10. Mr. O'Connell
    • 13 Years
    16 hours, 26 mins ago

    Team selling value 100.9m. Anyone out there worse?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      14 hours, 21 mins ago

      Probably not

  11. Drizzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    16 hours, 23 mins ago

    Having no Gabriel and Rice when both my main rivals have them is not good to wake up to. Absolute rank plummet.

    The unfortunate combination of KDH, Richards and Keane injuries means I'm in patching up mode where even when I'm fixing the main problem the team as a whole looks poor.

    I would really love to wildcard. I know I'll regret it later on but by then I may be so far behind a WC will be too late to fix it. Sigh.

    1. Sir Michael Taker
      • 11 Years
      16 hours, 21 mins ago

      Mine probably needs it but I just have a feeling the meta could change again when Afcon ends. Can you imagine if Salah actually became a viable pick? Unlikely but stranger things have happened

  12. Mother Farke
    • 1 Year
    16 hours, 22 mins ago

    Those who get Rice off the bench are going to feel like Oscar Hertwig in 1876.

  13. Warby84
    • 10 Years
    16 hours, 20 mins ago

    Rice is such a boring pick, so overrated.. Maybe I’m the only one who thinks this, have not owned and never will..

    1. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      16 hours, 18 mins ago

      Maybe.
      A but Ramsey/Yaya eque.

      Boring but points flowing. Set and forget at his price.

      1. Warby84
        • 10 Years
        16 hours, 16 mins ago

        Defcon makes a difference obviously

    2. Warby84
      • 10 Years
      16 hours, 17 mins ago

      Gameweeks 11-16; 2-6-4-3-6-2

      1. ebb2sparky
        • 15 Years
        16 hours, 1 min ago

        And what about gameweek 10-17?

        1. Over Midwicket
          • 14 Years
          14 hours, 57 mins ago

          Shh let the non owners cry salty tears

    3. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      16 hours, 16 mins ago

      Have not owned, but soon will.

    4. Crystal Alice
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      16 hours, 15 mins ago

      boring but steady, averaging 6.3 points per match at 7m

      1. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        16 hours, 12 mins ago

        How high do you think he goes next season assuming they don't depower the defconning? Must be at least 8m surely

    5. Nightcrawler
      • 6 Years
      16 hours, 9 mins ago

      he's got a few very lucky assists this season

      sarr heading it to eze. would not have been an assist last season
      obrien playing volleyball in everton box
      bighton player heading into his own goal

      1. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        16 hours, 7 mins ago

        He would be significantly nerfed if the rules on corners changed again to what they used to be

    6. Glasner Ball
      • 13 Years
      16 hours, 4 mins ago

      Rice is set and forget at his price point nice and easy, and never bench 😉

    7. FOREST FOREVER 2
      • 1 Year
      13 hours, 29 mins ago

      I agree with you except very last part. i will own him soon, I think this is the season of boring picks.

  14. Nightcrawler
    • 6 Years
    16 hours, 11 mins ago

    Another torrid gameweek in an increasingly torrid season. Gabreil destroyed me before he got injured, now he is doing it again. will just get him in now

    10m gw rank last gw with a hit, 9.7m gw rank so far this gw.

    OR gone from 6k to 26k in a matter of days

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      16 hours, 9 mins ago

      Torrid season - OR 26k

      Ok

    2. HAKUNA MATETA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      15 hours, 38 mins ago

      What an absolute shambles. My heart bleeds for you old boy.

  15. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    16 hours, 6 mins ago

    Thoughts on this lot?

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel, Gvardiol, Keane, Cash
    Saka, Foden, Gordon, Rogers
    Haaland, Watkins

    Victory, Timber, KDH, Guiu 1ft 0itb

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      16 hours, 1 min ago

      Incredibly strong

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        15 hours, 55 mins ago

        Thank you. Disappointment awaits then

  16. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    15 hours, 41 mins ago

    Surprised to see Chalobah drop. Are people so desperate to get Gabriel, that they are taking their eye off their other players? Chelsea fixtures are about to take a huge upturn and they will want him back.

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      14 hours, 55 mins ago

      Agree, having him next to Timber and Gabriel for the foreseable future.

    2. Utopsis
      • 5 Years
      14 hours, 15 mins ago

      Yep this happens every single week