Scout Notes
18 January 2026 49 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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Liverpool might be unbeaten since November but they drew for the fourth successive league match on Saturday, with Burnley defying the odds to snatch a point.

The coupon-buster at Anfield is the latest Gameweek 22 match to get the Scout Notes treatment.


THE BEST OF TIMES, THE WIRTZ OF TIMES

Florian Wirtz‘s (£8.2m) is FPL’s “form” midfielder – ie points per match over the last 30 days – after his third double-digit haul since Christmas.

A well-taken goal against Burnley means he’s now delivered something (goal, assist, DefCon) in six of the last nine Gameweeks.

There’s some encouraging underlying data to back the returns up, too.

Looking at his top five expected goal involvement (xGI) totals of the season below, four of them have come in the last five Gameweeks (calibre of opposition might also be relevant here…):

Szoboszlai miss

And if you’re not a subscriber to the xG mumbo-jumbo, his performances have looked much, much better on the eye over the last month or so. His outside-of-the-boot pass for Hugo Ekitike (£8.9m) for an early chance on Saturday was sublime. As was his footwork for an opportunity he teed up for Cody Gakpo (£7.3m); that effort was cleared off the line to deny him an assist. Wirtz even nearly doubled Liverpool’s lead, a lovely first touch and some impressive upper-body strength seeing him bypass a couple of Burnley defenders but thwarted by Martin Dubravka (£4.0m).

MORE EKITIKE NEAR-MISSES

Another player boasting eye-popping numbers on Saturday was Ekitike. Six shots, 1.20 xGI. Unlike in Wirtz’s case, however, there was no reward.

The Igor Thiago (£7.1m) to Ekitike transfer that many made in Gameweek 18 couldn’t have gone much worse. The Liverpool striker has missed a couple of matches through injury, while Thiago went goal-crazy in those same Gameweeks. Ekitike hasn’t scored once since Christmas.

Rubbing salt in the wound is the fact that Ekitike has been heavily involved in the goalmouth action. Again looking at the French forward’s best xGI tallies of the season (below), the top two have come in his last two Premier League appearances.

A combined 2.67 xGI, zero actual returns…

After points-dodging against Leeds United, he was at it again on Saturday. The best of his chances can be seen below, a mishit shot from Curtis Jones (£5.4m) that Ekitike actually got studs on (according to Opta); another inch or two on the stretch and the ball was in.

Szoboszlai miss

Some further encouragement for his punch-drunk owners? He scored against his next two opponents, Bournemouth and Newcastle United, in the reverse fixtures.

SZOBOSZLAI PENALTY MISS – AND SALAH NOW RETURNS

Gakpo also had a hard-luck story, matching Ekitike for efforts (six) and seeing two of his shots cleared off the line. And he was denied an assist when Dominik Szoboszlai (£7.1m) missed a first-half penalty that the Dutchman had won.

Szoboszlai actually has a brilliant career record from the spot, scoring 20 of the 21 he had taken before Saturday. Wouldn’t you know it, he smashed his penalty against Burnley off the bar.

And now, Mohamed Salah (£14.0m) returns. Back from the Africa Cup of Nations, the Egyptian will presumably pick up penalty-taking duties again – if he can re-establish himself as a first-team regular and December’s civil war is a thing of the past, of course.

Elsewhere on a day in which Liverpool’s stats were more impressive than their overall performance, full-backs Milos Kerkez (£5.6m) and Jeremie Frimpong (£5.8m) racked up a whopping 10 chances created between them. There may not be another game this season in which they’re as advanced as they were on Saturday, mind:

Szoboszlai miss

ESTEVE INJURY BOOST + DUBRAVKA STARS

On the Burnley front, Dubravka had a fine match between the sticks. He has now registered more save points (22) than any other FPL goalkeeper this season.

As perfectly priced bench options, the Slovakian goalkeeper and Maxime Esteve (£3.9m) are by far the most-owned Burnley players in FPL.

Esteve has been in and out of the side with a recurring injury of late, and there were fears of another breakdown when he hobbled off on Merseyside.

It sounds like good news, however:

“No, it looked like it was cramp. He was getting cramp in both quads. So, that’s what it was. So, hopefully not too serious.” – Scott Parker on Maxime Esteve

Further forward, Marcus Edwards’ (£4.7m) impressive showings on the right flank have now resulted in an assist and a goal in the last two Gameweeks. It took Scott Parker a long, long time to trust him with a Premier League start – it is thought to stem from reservations about the winger’s defensive work rate – but that chance finally came in Gameweek 18. He’s started four of the five games since, a fitness concern accounting for the one benching.

The Clarets are proving to be pests to FPL managers. In nine of their 11 away matches this season, they’ve scored – busting many a clean sheet in the process:


price change predictions
49 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. RICICLE
    • 3 Years
    6 hours, 30 mins ago

    Well, it is officially my birthday, if you could deliver me a penalty save and max bonus Mr.’Verbruggen, it would be most appreciated haha!

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      6 hours, 30 mins ago

      Absolute shameful top of page first post on a fresh article!

      1. SalahFingers
        • 8 Years
        6 hours, 27 mins ago

        Happy Birthday!

    2. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      6 hours, 20 mins ago

      Happy birthday Ricicle

    3. Vazza
      • 5 Years
      6 hours, 15 mins ago

      Happy birthday mate

    4. Skonto Rigga
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      6 hours, 11 mins ago

      Happy birthday!

    5. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      6 hours, 11 mins ago

      Cheers guys much appreciated! 😉

    6. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 hours ago

      Happy Birthday!

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        2 hours, 11 mins ago

        Cheers TM! 🙂

    7. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      2 hours, 4 mins ago

      Happy birthday mate.

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        3 mins ago

        Cheers PS!

  2. SalahFingers
    • 8 Years
    6 hours, 27 mins ago

    A) Lacroix -> Chalobah
    B) Rogers -> Palmer

    Either of these worth a hit?

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      6 hours, 5 mins ago

      N

      1. SalahFingers
        • 8 Years
        6 hours, 4 mins ago

        Cheers. Bedtime then.

    2. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      6 hours, 3 mins ago

      If you could do A for free anytime its a good move, but no, not for a hit.
      I'm not convinced I'd get Palmer for free yet.

      1. SalahFingers
        • 8 Years
        6 hours, 1 min ago

        Yeah, Chelsea good fixtures coming up. I'll probably wait for my next transfer to get Chalobah in though. Thanks.

  3. Vazza
    • 5 Years
    6 hours, 16 mins ago

    According to Johnson, it’s not a physical issue limiting Palmer, who missed 2 months of the season trying to shake off a groin injury, and hasn’t looked sharp since.

    “Sources speaking anonymously to The Athletic to protect relationships say, medically, Palmer is 100 per cent fine, but is still working on his match fitness after such a significant spell out.”

    That’s good to hear, and new manager Liam Rosenior was at pains to point out that his star man had barely trained this week, meaning completing just his 4th full game of the season was a real achievement.

    But as Johnson notes, he’s just missing that crucial 10% that makes him special. “The usual sharpness to get away from players is not there.”

    He’s a “long way from his best,” and that’s affecting his confidence and decision making. Johnson noted the muted celebration to scoring his penalty, and the way he was “sitting disconsolately on the turf” at full time, despite his team having won.

    It now becomes a tricky balance between managing his minutes and getting him up to speed.

  4. Punty McPuntface
    • 9 Years
    6 hours, 13 mins ago

    If I don't make a transfer between now and next gw, will 5 city players (assuming Ghehi signs) in my team play?

    1. SalahFingers
      • 8 Years
      4 hours, 40 mins ago

      Assuming they actually play, yes all 5 will count.

      If you try to make a transfer, it must be a Man City player out.

    2. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 hours, 37 mins ago

      Yes you can have 5 but will be forced to remove City when you next make a transfer. All the rules say is you have to get back to 3 when making next transfer. I assumed that may mean a hit if you only had 1 FT.
      Can anyone else confirm?

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        4 hours, 6 mins ago

        3 max after transfers

  5. Manani
    • 14 Years
    6 hours, 4 mins ago

    gtg? 2FT

    Pope
    Timber gab Chalobah
    Rogers Wilson Rice Wirtz
    DCL Ekiteke Haaland
    (Dub Anderson OReilly Mukiele)

    1. Mr Turnip 1
        5 hours, 31 mins ago

        Option 1 gtg

        Option 2, sell O Reilly and BB, doubt there’ll be fifteen good doublers in GW33…

        1. Mr Turnip 1
            5 hours, 31 mins ago

            If no BB then roll though

      • Feanor
        • 16 Years
        5 hours, 59 mins ago

        I was on a 13 hour flight with no WiFi for today’s games, so turning on my phone to see 18 points from Pick and Tark was nice. Tarkowski only got off my bench thanks to Nunes being sick.

        1. Feanor
          • 16 Years
          5 hours, 36 mins ago

          Also great I didn’t waste a second watching the games lol

      • Joyce1998
        • 9 Years
        5 hours, 43 mins ago

        Thoughts on this wc draft?

        Sanchez
        Gabriel, Saliba, Andersen
        Palmer, Bruno F, Semenyo, Rice, Bruno G
        Haaland, Thiago

        Dubravka, Alderete, Mane, Dorgu

        1. Vasshin
          • 7 Years
          5 hours, 15 mins ago

          Very good team

      • Taegugk Warrior
        • 7 Years
        5 hours, 42 mins ago

        A. Cunha to Wirtz
        B. Bowen to Thiago
        C. Booth for -4

        1. JohnnyB10
            5 hours, 25 mins ago

            A

        2. JohnnyB10
            5 hours, 39 mins ago

            VVD to Dorgu for free? 🙂

          • Price Changes
            rainy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 10 Years
            4 hours, 56 mins ago

            Price changes 19th January

            Rises:
            Wirtz 8.3
            Thiago 7.2
            Dorgu 4.3

            Falls:
            Cunha 8.0
            Fer López 5.1

            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              4 hours, 42 mins ago

              Cheers Rainy!

          • hazza44
            • 13 Years
            4 hours, 52 mins ago

            Best Gordon replacement up to 9.0mil? Current midfield below:
            Bruno Rogers Rice Enzo ___

            1. SalahFingers
              • 8 Years
              4 hours, 22 mins ago

              I'd probably go the other Bruno.

          • lilmessipran
            • 13 Years
            4 hours, 42 mins ago

            Don't like wishing injuries on players but I could really do with Senesi missing out randomly this week to get some Dorgu bench jam

            1. The Knights Template
              • 12 Years
              3 hours, 28 mins ago

              Let’s just hope he hasn’t done his chores and that his mum won’t let him out to play!

          • TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            4 hours, 42 mins ago

            Last Man Standing Update (380 teams)

            Current safety score = 29
            Top score = 66

            https://plan.livefpl.net//LMS

          • Stevie B
            • 15 Years
            4 hours, 30 mins ago

            What to do with this mess? Who transfer out first?

            Pope, Dubravka
            Guehi, Nunes, Gabriel, Alderete, Chalobah
            Saka, Rice, Rogers, Wilson, Bruno G.
            Ekitike, Haaland, Calvert-Levin

            Thank you and good luck!

            1. Albrightondknight
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              3 hours, 55 mins ago

              Far from a mess looks pretty good to me.
              How much ITB and FT’s

          • Albrightondknight
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            4 hours, 1 min ago

            Is this starting 11 and bench correct? With Bruno I don’t want to play double Arsenal defence but should I do it?

            Sanchez

            Gabriel Tark O’Reilly

            Palmer BrunoF Rice Semenyo Wilson

            Haaland Thiago

            Dub Alderete Timber Barnes

            1. Onz
              • 8 Years
              3 hours, 30 mins ago

              Looks good to me, Alderete has good defcon potential, I can see him outscoring Timber, and Barns ( Burnley) is a 4.2 bench 3 player at best.
              Jury out on O'Reilly but the fixture is OK so hopefully plays 90.
              City are off to play in Norway, see how that goes before making a call. RAN will be back as well as the new signing. The overworked Haaland benched next week is likely with Marmoush returning. good luck. I was hoping for a BB next GW but with Haaland a risk I think I will give it a miss.

              1. Albrightondknight
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                3 hours, 21 mins ago

                Yeah there will be more competition for O’reilly spot for sure- he is gone soon.
                I considered Kroupi in the Barnes spot but cash was getting really tight.
                There are weeks soon that are BB options for sure. It’s not like a BB in a double GW is going to have 15 dgwers anyway as it’s not possible.

          • Philosopher's Stones
            • 5 Years
            2 hours, 15 mins ago

            Need Verbruggen to save my season.

          • Iain Dowies Love Child
            • 15 Years
            2 hours, 12 mins ago

            Current squad is:
            Roefs - Dubravka
            Gabriel - Timber - O'Reilly - Anderson - Alderate
            Foden - Semenyo - Rice - Bruno G - Rogers
            Haaland - Thiago - DCL
            Thinking, with 2 FT's:
            Foden to Bruno F
            Anderson to Reece James
            Thoughts?

            1. Onz
              • 8 Years
              3 mins ago

              no to both. roll and wait for the better fixture. James may be too risky, and still have his playing time managed. Chalobah or even Cucurella for the good run. Bruno F is/will be a good asset, better to give Foden one last hurrah.

          • SpaceCadet
            • 12 Years
            44 mins ago

            Early thoughts on what to do here? 1ft, 1.6m itb.

            Sanchez
            Gabriel konate vdv
            Saka Wirtz rice BrunoG
            Haaland Thiago dcl

            Dubravka Anderson keane diouf

            1. Onz
              • 8 Years
              22 mins ago

              Roll imo. Start thinking about potential DGW26 and blank 31.
              Haaland likely rotated next GW so a difficult captain choice.

              1. SpaceCadet
                • 12 Years
                10 mins ago

                Cheers.