634x258 Members
3 August 2013 2533 comments
Mark Mark
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Grab the popcorn, it’s Saturday night at the movies. We conclude our Rate My Team preview set with an epic 14-minute, stat filled video outlining just how β€œProfessor” Chris Atkinson’s statistical model works.

Admittedly, this is one for the hardcore number freaks but, even so, we hope this offers some insight into the workings behind the Projections and the Rate My Team tool and the effort we put in to maintain it.

If you missed parts one and two of this series, you can catch them here and here.

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Registered users can click here to upgrade their account.

New users can click here to sign up.

For further details on the benefits offered by our membership, view this page.

What is Rate My Team?
Rate My team is a statistical model built specifically to assess every player in the Premier League and return their expected values for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points in a given Gameweek. The system is a complex and thorough one which, of course, plots the probabilities of a player’s time on the pitch, their expected number of goals, assists, bonus points, yellow and red cards, clean sheets, own goals, goals conceded and saves. The strength of the opponent they are facing in a given Gameweek is also crucial; so every team has an attacking and defensive rating, every player a probability of playing a given match with injuries, suspensions and international absence factored in.

How Can It Help Me?
If you’re a member you can use the Rate My Team tool in a number of ways. Firstly, you can use it as a projections tool to predict what specific players will score, on average, over the next X number of Gameweeks. As you would have seen in our first movie, you have a players table that can be filtered by position or FPL cost and which can be extended to show any number of Gameweeks. You can also sort on β€œValue” to find those players projected to offer the best points per million return.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. EL FUTURO
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    walcott and bony
    OR
    giroud and michu

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      1st one

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    2. aflickering
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      neither, stay away from swansea. first one if you must, though...

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    3. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      First

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    4. Oflow
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Im going for the second, dont trust Walcott.

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      1. Bielsa's Bucket
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        I was actually considering swapping Wally for Michu. He has been having a storming preseason, haven't heard anything from Wally for awhile now. No bias either, I am an Arsenal fan.

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  2. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    looks like heitinga is playing defensive mid so no 3-4-3

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    1. The Machine
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Don't think they're gonna start with 3-4-3 in the league too

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      1. Wings Fan
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        I wouldn't pay too much attention to the starting formations. Its a flexible system. Heitinga can drop in at any time, and Baines and Coleman can push on.

        Will depend on the strength of the opponent and the scoreline at any given time

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    2. Captain Shirokov
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Yeah, thought that. Oh well.

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    3. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      a lot of Everton fans don't like Heitinga, he's a regular Dutch international!!?

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  3. teej
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    RMT please

    Begovic (Marshall)

    Shawcross, Jagielka, Riether (Garrido, Brayford)

    Mata*, Yaya, Lennon, Wilshere (Routledge)

    RVP, Kone, Anelka

    [£0.5 in the bank]

    Notes:
    - Yes, I'm taking the Wilshere gamble -___-
    - Not sure whether to drop Mata for Hazard for GW1
    - What do you guys think about Lennon?
    - Is Mertesacker a better option that Shawcross/Jagielka?

    Cheers, in advance, for the help πŸ™‚

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Very punty!
      Mata > Hazard
      Upgrade Yaya or Lennon
      Loads of love recently for Brayford..Who is he..?

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      1. Dre
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Brayford is Cardiff's new RB, signed for the first team.

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        1. Mavric Marco
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Nice one, He's going in my team for sure πŸ™‚

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      2. teej
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Got anyone in mind? I'm thinking Silva for Yaya.

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        1. Mavric Marco
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Yea Silva or Coutinho

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  4. Wings Fan
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Mirallas goes close cutting inside onto his left foot from an acute angle.

    Everton currently out-passing a full strength Real Madrid

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      πŸ™‚

      He'll be the FPL bargain of the season if he carries on like this!

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  5. fdotman
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Is this template or outdated trash?

    Boruc - Mannone
    Cole - Coleman - Collins - Brayford - Chester
    Hazard - Walcott - Coutinho - Snodgrass - Thomas
    RVP - Lukaku - JRod

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      I like it πŸ™‚

      Brayford again.! Everyones getting on him I see

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      1. Mílanista
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Not me πŸ˜‰

        Not going to be many/any clean sheets there for a while

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        1. Mavric Marco
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Yea I agree, but is he attacking minded being a RB or not?? Could grab an assist or two??

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          1. Mílanista
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 6 months ago

            Just as likely to come on the bench and being 4m he'll be there regularly. Prefer decent home fixtures that offer CS potential.

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    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Pretty standard, nothing wrong with it.

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  6. Chu Young Ping Pong
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Everton's formation?

    3-4-3?

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      No, 5-3-2 I think..?

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      1. Chu Young Ping Pong
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        No way.

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        1. Mavric Marco
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          I'm not watching, just a guess! πŸ™‚

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    2. Captain Shirokov
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      4-2-3-1/4-3-3

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  7. SpinyNorman [*_*]
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    a) Jaask for fixtures
    or
    b) Mannone to free up $$$

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Is Mannone nailed on? If so then b).

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    2. TJ
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      This is just silly. Rotate with who? $$$ for what?

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  8. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    coleman and jagielka have done excellently so far on ronaldo. cue ronaldo goal

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    1. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      lol can't write it

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    2. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      πŸ˜€

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    3. Chu Young Ping Pong
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Nice

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    4. Wings Fan
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Psychic tekkers

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  9. Chu Young Ping Pong
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Ronaldo

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Need another 1st half goal! Over 1.5 at evens

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  10. The Machine
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    If i was that RoyalC guy, i'd repost that comment WITHOUT the option K

    There. Problem sovled

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      He knows now. Next time when he updates it perhaps.

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  11. Pinatta
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    I'd love to see Eriksen come to ManUtd, but no rumours so far. Forget Fabregas. Opinions?

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Vidal from Juve πŸ˜‰ In my dreams..

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    2. Wings Fan
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Plays in the hole, for which they already have Kagawa and Rooney (for now). Couldn't play him in a midfield 2 with Carrick.

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      1. Pinatta
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        he's not exaclty in the hole, he's more a central midfielder.

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    3. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      dont think man utd need him with rooney and kagawa there already.

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  12. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Coleman gave ball away , his fault GOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLL

    Sorry , spanish commentary

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Any bets today Triggerlips?

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      1. Twelve years a slave
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Nope , traded the rugby final last night and the warriors game , sunday day off

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Good stuff, I've been quiet in the last week or so. Will get back into it soon again.

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  13. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    lets test this to the max

    arbeloa and pepe have done excellently on naismith so far

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      πŸ˜€

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    2. Captain Shirokov
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Lol

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    3. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Could say Kone the way things are going for him in the first 20 mins or so

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        I love Kone (see "Kone 2013") but he's been awful so far.

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        1. isacki: full casual
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Then he scores a disallowed goal πŸ˜†

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  14. The Machine
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Naismith goal

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  15. Chu Young Ping Pong
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Epic skills by Mirallas

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  16. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Surely pen?!?!

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  17. SuperOsçarBaby
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Mirallas > Ronaldo

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    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Excellent grav choice baaaaaabyyyyyyy

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      1. SuperOsçarBaby
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        compare to your grav and mine it's like beauty and the beast πŸ˜‰

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        1. Mílanista
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          That would be mine and ENRs. The beauty and the beast created the baby πŸ˜‰

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          1. SuperOsçarBaby
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 6 months ago

            we both have cool specs 😎

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            1. Mílanista
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              12 years, 6 months ago

              Complete with stylish headgear

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              1. SuperOsçarBaby
                • 13 Years
                12 years, 6 months ago

                πŸ™‚

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    2. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Baaaaaaaaaaaabyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

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  18. Wings Fan
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Great skill from Mirallas to win a free kick right on the edge of the box. He makes me happy in my pants

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  19. Godfather Bandit 42
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    unlucky Fellaini

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  20. teej
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    I'm not sure if this is the right time to ask but...
    Mirallas or Lennon?

    *braces self*

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    1. Wings Fan
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      John Lennon. Couldn't listen to Mirallas' music

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    2. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Mirallas

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  21. isacki: full casual
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Ronaldo is playing on the right a lot. Are they already preparing for Bale on the left?

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    1. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      isco

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Didn't realize Isco needed to play on the left enough for Ronaldo to swap sides. They're pretty two footed I suppose.

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  22. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    dive inside the area and ref gives a free kick. just saying that confuses me

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Was a blatant dive although Marcelo is having a shocker. He left his leg there and Mirallas just couldn't resist.

      Talking of the officials, have you seen the size of this linesman on the camera/near side!?!

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      1. applebonkers
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        dangled his leg and like a waffle on a fishing rod the belgian couldn't resist.

        will have a look for this lino

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  23. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    What about this team? Any advice on changes or concerns?

    Boruc/Gazzaniga
    Collins Terry Toure Coleman Chester
    Mirallas Hazard Oscar Nolan Thomas
    RVP Dzeko Grioud

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Oscar punt!? Nice πŸ™‚

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      1. Rinseboy
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Yer figure he could pay off. Big punt but means I can have those front three from the off!

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  24. Mavric Marco
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Seen the new font on the Barca kit..! Terrible..!

    http://i.imgur.com/7C5LFeh.png

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      1. Mavric Marco
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Aww! I feel bad now πŸ™

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    1. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      the 1s look more like 7s. think i read it was a font designed by a kid with some condition

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  25. Chu Young Ping Pong
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Kone is shit.

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  26. Demí
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Mirallas taking corners over Baines from both sides..

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    1. Mavric Marco
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Great! πŸ™‚

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    2. Vote Joke
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      Is Baines really worth the investment with that news?

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Pretty much wrote him off when Martinez took over, anticipating a loss of CS.

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    3. SuperOsçarBaby
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      baines is not worth 7.5m under martiinez

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      1. Vote Joke
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 6 months ago

        Why? Isn't he playing virtually as a midfielder from now on? Plus on fks and pens and classed as a defender?

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        1. isacki: full casual
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          Pretty much the same as last year positionally I would expect.

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          1. Vote Joke
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 6 months ago

            I thought he'd be a wing back in a 3-4-3

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            1. isacki: full casual
              • 14 Years
              12 years, 6 months ago

              Mooted, but the two friendlies I've seen so far were both 4 at the back. Also, the Wigan wingbacks under Martinez barely got any further forward than Baines because he got ridiculously far forward for a fullback anyway

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              1. isacki: full casual
                • 14 Years
                12 years, 6 months ago

                Although yes, because Heitinga is playing CDM today, he is occasionally dropping between the centerbacks to form 3 at the back - doesn't make too much difference positionally for Baines though.

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        2. SuperOsçarBaby
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 6 months ago

          he must have pienaar to involve in attack, not naismith πŸ˜‰
          and he is old now, performance down

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  27. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Come on ref! I need another 1st half goal!!

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      sweet

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    2. Wings Fan
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      πŸ™‚

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    3. teej
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      You got it

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  28. Wings Fan
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Mirallas to share corner duties too??

    I love him

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    1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      lol that guy is uber selfish.... FPL gold

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  29. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Going be a long season for everwigan

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    1. Chu Young Ping Pong
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      πŸ˜€

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    2. isacki: full casual
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 6 months ago

      There's one thing you can't take away from Martinez - his defending is consistent.

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  30. The Machine
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 6 months ago

    Not touching Coleman. Mertinez's defensive tactics are awful

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