Paddy Says
9 April 2011 640 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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Just over an hour to go before the door slams shut on another week’s Fantasy tinkering. Time for our Saturday morning sit down with our bookie buddies at Paddy Power – can their odds sway our late late gameweek thinking?

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Chelsea 1.72 (WIG)
  • Man Utd 2.00 (FUL)
  • Tottenham 2.25 (STK)
  • Arsenal 2.40 (blp)
  • Blackburn 2.40 (BIR)
  • Aston Villa 2.50 (NEW)
  • Sunderland 2.87 (WBA)

Defeated on home turf in the Champions League in midweek, Chelsea head the Clean Sheet market with by far and away the shortest price this week. Wigan travel to Stamford Bridge with a markedly better defensive record on the road than at home, sporting a reasonable 1.43gca (goals conceded away), but still very much lacking bite going forward, tallying a mere 0.79gsa (goals scored away). David Luiz was ineligible mid-week and will surely return to the Chelsea back four – given Paddy’s odds it’s no surprise to see him enjoying heavy Fantasy investment this week ahead of the double in gameweek 33.

Manchester United welcomed Rio Ferdinand back from his calf injury to keep a clean sheet at Stamford Bridge, but he could well be rested with Chris Smalling drafted in. The former Fulham defender could face off against his former team-mates then, with Paddy ranking Alex Ferguson’s back four as strong options for another shut-out. We’re less than certain here, with Bobby Zamora and Clint Dempsey key threats for the visitors.

Fresh from a Real mauling on Tuesday night, Harry Rednapp will be looking to add to a recent spat of clean-sheets against a travel sick Stoke unit. Michael Dawson will be key to dealing with Rory Delap’s slingshot throws, and, given Stoke’s poor scoring record away from home, Spurs look justified as third favourites in Paddy’s reckoning.

Further down, the value in Fantasy terms can be found via Blackburn at home to Birmingham and Villa hosting Newcastle. Paddy offers them favourable odds, with Chris Samba and Kyle Walker both graced with selection in this week’s Scout Picks.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • R Van Persie 1.53 (blp)
  • F Torres 1.61 (WIG)
  • D Drogba 1.61 (WIG)
  • J Hernandez 1.83 (FUL)
  • D Berbatov 1.90 (FUL)
  • D Bent 1.90 (NEW)
  • N Anelka 1.90 (WIG)
  • F Lampard 1.90 (WIG)
  • M Chamakh 2.00 (blp)
  • N Bendtner 2.00 (blp)
  • S Kalou 2.10 (WIG)
  • S Nasri 2.10 (blp)
  • A Arshavin 2.10 (blp)
  • C Fabregas 2.30 (blp)
  • D Welbeck 2.30 (WBA)
  • Asamoah Gyan 2.30 (WBA)
  • R van der Vaart 2.37 (STK)
  • P Crouch 2.37 (STK)
  • D Sturridge 2.40 (WHM)
  • Nani 2.40 (FUL)
  • T Walcott 2.50 (blp)
  • J Defoe 2.60 (STK)
  • C Tevez 2.60 (liv)
  • R Pavlyuchenko 2.60 (STK)
  • J Elmander 2.62 (WHM)
  • K Davies 2.62 (WHM)
  • F Malouda 2.60 (WIG)
  • L Suarez 2.62 (MCY)
  • J Elmander 2.70 (WHM)
  • K Davies 2.70 (WHM)
  • J Beckford 2.75 (EVE)

January and February were golden months for Robin Van Persie in what most players would consider an injury devastated season. For the Dutchman however, it’s business as usual – Fantasy Managers have come to accept his brilliance and brittle limbs in equal measure. Ten of Van Persie’s eleven goals were notched up in a short burst of games, and Paddy have him as a huge favourite to register against the Blackpool defence this weekend.

Didier Drogba and Fernando Torres get close to Van Persie’s odds but, in Fantasy terms, neither is nailed on for starts at home to Wigan. Carlo Ancelotti will surely rest players ahead of the Champions League second leg on Tuesday and Wednesday’s strike pairing are leading contenders.

Some familiar names follow the Chelsea duo. Darren Bent heads them up – he was in the goals again last weekend and should find Newcastle’s 1.53gca record an invitation to continue boosting his late assault on the Golden Boot.

Midfielders Frank Lampard and Salomon Kalou join the list a few places down, hovering around the even money mark. Lampard has been snaffling up Fantasy interest this week and heads the likes of Rafael Van der Vaart and Samir Nasri when it comes to Paddy’s midfielder scoring odds.

Switching back to strikers – Paddy rate both Asamoah Gyan and Danny Welbeck over Bolton’s Daniel Sturridge – we’re not sure we agree with that assessment, but there’s no doubt that all three will head into the gameweek as strong scoring prospects.

That trio are fancied above Carlos Tevez and Luis Suarez who come face to face at Anfield on Monday night. If you’re looking for a striker with Fantasy potential and decent odds for a goal however, consider one of “Big Dunc’s Differentials” – Wolves’ Sylvan Ebanks-Blake. Paddy have him at 3.0 for a goal against Everton – that looks tempting with Mick McCarthy set to go with a 4-4-2 and with and in-form Matt Jarvis feeding from the flank.

Paddy’s Scout Specials

Friday night’s “Fantasy Flutter” was packed with Paddy specials based on our Scout Picks selections. You can get a view on the batch of special bets right here. These include the Clean Sheet Accumulator with 8/1 offered on shutouts for Blackburn (vs Birmingham), Spurs (vs Stoke) and Chelsea (vs Wigan) this weekend. Other highlights are odds of 9/1 on Chris Samba scoring a header and 17/2 on a Daniel Sturridge brace against West Ham at the Reebok.

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy takes a trip to Villa Park for this weekend’s refund special. If Darren Bent scores the last goal, Paddy Power will pay back all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions. Also, if you’re going to bet, always gamble responsibly.

640 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. NLB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Ahh who to start? (need 2)
    Huth, Coleman, Carr, Kolarov

    Thanks

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      kolarov and coleman

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    2. El Doctor
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      huth!

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  2. For Fuchs Sake
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    VDV or Young to Lampard?

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  3. thehodge
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Foster Robinson
    Coleman Hangeland Huth Luiz Kolarov
    Nani Young Adam Vdv Nasri
    Rooney Sturridge Rvp
    Havent looked at my team all week and i’m in desperate need of some help. Havent made my transfer yet.
    Any suggestions?
    Thanks

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    1. knightsofcydonia
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Coleman/Hangelabd/ Kolarov > Walker
      Rooney > Bent for this week?

      Robinson
      Huth Luiz Walker
      Nani Young VDV Nasri
      Sturridge RVP Bent

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  4. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Nani and 4 points
    Or
    Lampard and (c)
    ???

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    1. MCH
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Was thinking the exact same thing myself. I have RVP so I think (c) and Nani+4 is better.

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  5. razor
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Tevez and Ethers>Lamps and Welbeck
    or
    The above with Kelly>Walker(4pt hit)

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    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Top only

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    2. MCH
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Would be a bad hit. Very very few defenders are ever worth a hit.

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  6. catch22
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Foster
    Smalling Luiz Walker
    Nasri VdV Lampard Adam Nani
    Torres Van Persie(C)

    Begovic Carroll Johnson R Coleman

    Is my team ok, are subs in right order??

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    1. Disco Pat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Team looks solid. I've gone for the villa attacking trio of bent young and downing, alo.g with begovic,but the rest of my team fairly similar.I posted earlier.

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  7. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Start Brunt or Odemwingie?

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    1. Cheggers
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      brnt

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  8. Rum
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Nolan + Huth -> Luiz + Jarvis?

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  9. Michael
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    which two chelsea strikers will start and did anchellotti say anything in his interview

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    1. mr messi
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      He didn't say - just said he would be fielding a strong team

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    2. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      I'm only guessing, but I think he might play Drogba and Torres agian, just to try and get them to gel somehow before the next Utd game.

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  10. Cheggers
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    i am playing Huth, Roger Johnson and VDV.

    With this in mind, Begovic or Foster in goal?

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    1. Disco Pat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      I went begovic out of them two

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    2. zissou
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Still prefer foster

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    3. MCH
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Foster is a shorter price for an unlikely clean sheet which would assume Bego would have more chance of racking up save points. I would still go Foster though.

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  11. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Rooney & Dempsey > Lampard & Sturridge

    Worth a 4 point hit?

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    1. Baz
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      yes

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  12. Disco Pat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Have I selected right team?
    Begovic
    Luiz (c) samba huth
    Young downing nani nasri
    Bent RVP anelka
    Subs - Foster Adam Coleman Djourou
    What you think?
    On route to Croker now

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    1. knightsofcydonia
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      dont like Young and Downing..

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    2. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Interesting captain choose. Could be an inspired one. Hope it works

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      1. Disco Pat
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I hope so too.had downing and young last few wks.been stung with capt choice last few wks so going to take a chance.could regret it though.

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  13. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    have'nt taken hits for a while so considerin takin one this week and one next.. this week
    Gordon and Coleman to Cech and Walker
    Next week
    A.Young and Berbatov to Lampard and DJ Campbell

    Worth it?

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    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      leaves me with
      Cech Begovic
      Luiz Baines Walker Johnson Simpson
      Lampard Nasri Nani Adam Barton
      Tevez RVP DJ
      for next week
      Gordon, Berbs and Coleman gotta go soon anyway

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  14. super zlatan
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Robinson
    Coleman, luiz, r Johnson
    Nani, nasri, vdv, Adam
    Rvp(c), tevez, welbeck

    Subs Gordon, silva, foley, Kelly

    Team look ok lads? No Frank though..
    Please comment.....

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    1. Disco Pat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      ive no frank the tank either.was between frank + hoillet or Adam+bent last night,went with bent. Not too sure about Franks form,though I could regret not getting him and hoillet! You're team look good,you have right team out. Well in my opinion anyways. Thanks for reply earlier

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  15. gooner dave
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Morning all

    Vidic out for luiz
    nasri/vdv out for lampard 4 points. Stupidity?
    or drogba in for rooney luiz in for coleman (also 4 points)
    or just luiz in for coleman and sweat on frank doing nowt?

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    1. super zlatan
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Vdv and nasri could get decent points though

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      1. gooner dave
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        i know, thats the potential kick in the spuds. reckon i'll go coleman out for luiz.

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        1. super zlatan
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          What do u think of my team gooner dave? See above

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          1. gooner dave
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            bar coleman, and playing adam. looks good. adam could get something admitedly. as of now i'm playing both.

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            1. super zlatan
              • 14 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              Cheers dave

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    2. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Would you be more pissed off if you bought Lampard and he got you only three points, or if you didn't buy him and he scored 15?

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    3. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      sweating 'frank doing nowt' is my biggest fear.

      im trying to get him in too, but will have to take a hit to do it. i think it will be worth it. famous last words

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  16. Akers
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Need Chelsea coverage and can only really afford/accommodate Anelka or Torres.

    I KNEW IT WOULD COME TO THIS!

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    1. Damo.
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      I don't know Akers man you would think that Anelka will start and surely get game time over the DW. Tough one

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      1. Akers
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Forget it, I'm not gonna put myself through the inevitable drama.

        No Chelsea coverage. Yikes.

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        1. gooner dave
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          good (brave) man.

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  17. cbswalsh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Who to play Adam or Dempsey?

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    1. Akers
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Adam, without a second thought.

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    2. K3lviN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Adam. Home tie, bonus point magnet

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    3. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      adam for sure 😕

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  18. SoccerDb
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Little bit of info for those wondering whether to captain RVP... He has scored or assisted in every league game that he has started for Arsenal, where they have scored (bar 1 v Chelsea away). So unless you're backing a Blackpool cleanie that boy is going to get some points!!

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  19. G0SS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    I just posted this but then realised I have 2 free transfers this week and could do this for free.

    Is Lamps essential today??? 4 point hit for Silva out and Lamps in and Torres out Chicarito in???

    Yes?? No??? I was gonna wait till next week and do it for free

    I could also bring in sturridge instead of chicarito and bench him next week but have him for the double in GW34???

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    1. gooner dave
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      in that situation i would do it next week. Must admit though i'm sweating on not having (or being able to ) get frank in.

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  20. The painted man
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Odemwingie or Dempsey for this gameweek ?

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    1. Blue Teets
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Obv not Dempsey as he is playing Utd away.....

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  21. razor
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Kelly>Walker(4pt hit)??

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      no

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    2. Nibbsy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Who would you play otherwise?

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      1. razor
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Huth

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  22. Tmel
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    A) Kolarov > Walker & Bentley > Kalou/Ramires
    B) Kolarov > Terry & Huth > Walker

    ??

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  23. MTPockets
      14 years, 8 months ago

      who takes penalties for arsenal assuming all fit - rvp/fabs?

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        rvp

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      2. K3lviN
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        RVP

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        1. MTPockets
            14 years, 8 months ago

            cheers guys

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      3. Erevos
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Hart or Foster?
        + Johnson R. or Simpson?

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      4. thehodge
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Coleman to Walker
        Young to Lamps(C)
        Rooney to Bent
        8 point hit
        Yes/No?
        Thanks

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        1. knightsofcydonia
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Go for it 😉

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      5. For Fuchs Sake
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Get rid of VDV or Young for Lampard? VDV off form, moody and some tricky games coming up, Young some nice fixtures ahead.

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        1. dogtanion
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          I sold VdV myself in order to get Frank in.

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        2. SAINTS
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          I think your answer is right there Ken.

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        3. arfa
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          im waiting a week for Lumpard,but will be watching results come in waiting for a frank brace

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        4. MTPockets
            14 years, 8 months ago

            or nani?

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        5. Rum
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Nolan + Huth -> Luiz + Jarvis? (4 point hit)
          Nolan + Tevez -> Lampard + Holiett? (4 point hit)

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        6. Nibbsy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Sturridge, Welbeck or SEB?

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          1. MARVELLUS
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            welbeck, other two have blanks.

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            1. Nibbsy
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              Blanks not a problem, wouldn't play any of them next week anyway. Still Welbeck?

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        7. NLB
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          BENCH 1:
          Kolarov, Huth, Coleman

          Cheers guys

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          1. MARVELLUS
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            coleman.

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        8. MARVELLUS
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Considering a rare 8 pt hit, worth it??

          Szsz out for Mignolet (otherkeeper Begovic)
          Kolarov out for Luiz
          Barton out for Lampard
          Rooney out for Gyan.

          Gone for obvious transfers, don’t like hits, but currently have NO keeper for next GW, and Lampard will hopefully do VERY well next GW’s…

          Go for it?

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