Paddy Says
9 April 2011 640 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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Just over an hour to go before the door slams shut on another week’s Fantasy tinkering. Time for our Saturday morning sit down with our bookie buddies at Paddy Power – can their odds sway our late late gameweek thinking?

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Chelsea 1.72 (WIG)
  • Man Utd 2.00 (FUL)
  • Tottenham 2.25 (STK)
  • Arsenal 2.40 (blp)
  • Blackburn 2.40 (BIR)
  • Aston Villa 2.50 (NEW)
  • Sunderland 2.87 (WBA)

Defeated on home turf in the Champions League in midweek, Chelsea head the Clean Sheet market with by far and away the shortest price this week. Wigan travel to Stamford Bridge with a markedly better defensive record on the road than at home, sporting a reasonable 1.43gca (goals conceded away), but still very much lacking bite going forward, tallying a mere 0.79gsa (goals scored away). David Luiz was ineligible mid-week and will surely return to the Chelsea back four – given Paddy’s odds it’s no surprise to see him enjoying heavy Fantasy investment this week ahead of the double in gameweek 33.

Manchester United welcomed Rio Ferdinand back from his calf injury to keep a clean sheet at Stamford Bridge, but he could well be rested with Chris Smalling drafted in. The former Fulham defender could face off against his former team-mates then, with Paddy ranking Alex Ferguson’s back four as strong options for another shut-out. We’re less than certain here, with Bobby Zamora and Clint Dempsey key threats for the visitors.

Fresh from a Real mauling on Tuesday night, Harry Rednapp will be looking to add to a recent spat of clean-sheets against a travel sick Stoke unit. Michael Dawson will be key to dealing with Rory Delap’s slingshot throws, and, given Stoke’s poor scoring record away from home, Spurs look justified as third favourites in Paddy’s reckoning.

Further down, the value in Fantasy terms can be found via Blackburn at home to Birmingham and Villa hosting Newcastle. Paddy offers them favourable odds, with Chris Samba and Kyle Walker both graced with selection in this week’s Scout Picks.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • R Van Persie 1.53 (blp)
  • F Torres 1.61 (WIG)
  • D Drogba 1.61 (WIG)
  • J Hernandez 1.83 (FUL)
  • D Berbatov 1.90 (FUL)
  • D Bent 1.90 (NEW)
  • N Anelka 1.90 (WIG)
  • F Lampard 1.90 (WIG)
  • M Chamakh 2.00 (blp)
  • N Bendtner 2.00 (blp)
  • S Kalou 2.10 (WIG)
  • S Nasri 2.10 (blp)
  • A Arshavin 2.10 (blp)
  • C Fabregas 2.30 (blp)
  • D Welbeck 2.30 (WBA)
  • Asamoah Gyan 2.30 (WBA)
  • R van der Vaart 2.37 (STK)
  • P Crouch 2.37 (STK)
  • D Sturridge 2.40 (WHM)
  • Nani 2.40 (FUL)
  • T Walcott 2.50 (blp)
  • J Defoe 2.60 (STK)
  • C Tevez 2.60 (liv)
  • R Pavlyuchenko 2.60 (STK)
  • J Elmander 2.62 (WHM)
  • K Davies 2.62 (WHM)
  • F Malouda 2.60 (WIG)
  • L Suarez 2.62 (MCY)
  • J Elmander 2.70 (WHM)
  • K Davies 2.70 (WHM)
  • J Beckford 2.75 (EVE)

January and February were golden months for Robin Van Persie in what most players would consider an injury devastated season. For the Dutchman however, it’s business as usual – Fantasy Managers have come to accept his brilliance and brittle limbs in equal measure. Ten of Van Persie’s eleven goals were notched up in a short burst of games, and Paddy have him as a huge favourite to register against the Blackpool defence this weekend.

Didier Drogba and Fernando Torres get close to Van Persie’s odds but, in Fantasy terms, neither is nailed on for starts at home to Wigan. Carlo Ancelotti will surely rest players ahead of the Champions League second leg on Tuesday and Wednesday’s strike pairing are leading contenders.

Some familiar names follow the Chelsea duo. Darren Bent heads them up – he was in the goals again last weekend and should find Newcastle’s 1.53gca record an invitation to continue boosting his late assault on the Golden Boot.

Midfielders Frank Lampard and Salomon Kalou join the list a few places down, hovering around the even money mark. Lampard has been snaffling up Fantasy interest this week and heads the likes of Rafael Van der Vaart and Samir Nasri when it comes to Paddy’s midfielder scoring odds.

Switching back to strikers – Paddy rate both Asamoah Gyan and Danny Welbeck over Bolton’s Daniel Sturridge – we’re not sure we agree with that assessment, but there’s no doubt that all three will head into the gameweek as strong scoring prospects.

That trio are fancied above Carlos Tevez and Luis Suarez who come face to face at Anfield on Monday night. If you’re looking for a striker with Fantasy potential and decent odds for a goal however, consider one of “Big Dunc’s Differentials” – Wolves’ Sylvan Ebanks-Blake. Paddy have him at 3.0 for a goal against Everton – that looks tempting with Mick McCarthy set to go with a 4-4-2 and with and in-form Matt Jarvis feeding from the flank.

Paddy’s Scout Specials

Friday night’s “Fantasy Flutter” was packed with Paddy specials based on our Scout Picks selections. You can get a view on the batch of special bets right here. These include the Clean Sheet Accumulator with 8/1 offered on shutouts for Blackburn (vs Birmingham), Spurs (vs Stoke) and Chelsea (vs Wigan) this weekend. Other highlights are odds of 9/1 on Chris Samba scoring a header and 17/2 on a Daniel Sturridge brace against West Ham at the Reebok.

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy takes a trip to Villa Park for this weekend’s refund special. If Darren Bent scores the last goal, Paddy Power will pay back all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions. Also, if you’re going to bet, always gamble responsibly.

640 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. TommyK
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Kuszczak to leave United in summer

    (Sky sports on twitter)

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    1. Marknlard
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Man U need a better keeper than him anyway.

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      1. Blue Teets
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Lloris on his way !!!!

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      2. TommyK
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I'm sure that's why he's going- De Gea FTW!

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  2. LastOneToLeaveTurnTheLightO…
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    To field Barton or Odemwingie?

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    1. LastOneToLeaveTurnTheLightO…
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      anyone?

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  3. Hegsmouth
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    If I transfer out VDV and Rooney to bring in Lamps, I have 7.9 to buy a striker. Who is the best option for that price?

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    1. knightsofcydonia
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      gyan

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  4. tbhogal
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Guys - Who to sign this week? Have 2 free transfers
    Begovic, (Szczceny)
    Johnson,Kolarov,Coleman (Huth,Kelly)
    Nasri,Nani,Barton, Young,Adam,Bale
    V,Persie, Zigic (Rooney)

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    1. Nibbsy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      You've got too many midfielders. If you've got Bale then switch him to Lampard and downgrade Rooney.

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  5. AP
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    "We have a better defence than United if you look at the numbers."

    Name the man behind the quote.

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    1. Blue Teets
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Whoever said that is either an idiot or just plain dishonest. I don't know which is worse...

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      1. Just One More Thing
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Arsena Whinger?? Crazy! Not one of those Arsenal back four would get in the United side.

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    2. Waldaz
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Your favourite Arséne?

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      1. AP
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        😛

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    3. TommyK
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Arsene Failger?

      I'm starting to develop a soft spot for the guy..... :mrgreen:

      (BTW, TECHNICALLY he's right)

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    4. arfa
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      i think Arsene is finally losing it......

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  6. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Hmmm - liking the look of Skippers Brig ...

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  7. mouldy_uk
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Welbeck or Odem?

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  8. super zlatan
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    super zlatan says:
    April 9 at 10:49 am
    Robinson
    Coleman, luiz, r Johnson
    Nani, nasri, vdv, Adam
    Rvp(c), tevez, welbeck

    Subs Gordon, silva, foley, Kelly

    Team look ok lads? No Frank though..
    Please comment…..

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Your team is ok.

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    2. dogtanion
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      I'd downgrade Silva and upgrade VdV or Nasri to Lampard if I were you..you're going to need him next week anyway, and Wigan at home isn't too bad either..

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      1. super zlatan
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Would have to take an 8 point hit to do that as I have used my freebie to get welbeck in

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        1. dogtanion
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          The best things in life aren't free.

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  9. For Fuchs Sake
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Will Smalling play today? Thoughts?

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    1. TommyK
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Yes- rio needs a rest

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  10. Baby Face Nelson
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Smalling Luiz Huth RJ

    which one to bench? i have to play 3

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Bench RJ if you have Foster.

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    2. GREENDREAMS11
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      who is your keeper ?

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      1. Baby Face Nelson
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Keeper is Cech

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    3. Lucky_2010
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      i would say smalling even though played (h) btw not sure he'll in the starting lineup??

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  11. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    BIGGEST FEAR ABOUT LAMPARD TODAY.

    Chelsea are 3-0 up, and get a penalty.

    Lamps says to Torres, 'go on, you take it, you need it'

    I jump around screaming, saying 'No Frank, No!! take it yourself!'

    (Enough for me to give the (C) to RVP I think.)

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    1. TommyK
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Ancelotti said he may not play torres.....

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      1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        u trust ancelotti???

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        1. Lucky_2010
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          +1 lol

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  12. NLB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Ahh doing my head in!
    Need to bench 1:
    Kolarov, Coleman, Huth

    Any help guys?

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    1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Should be Kolorov, he's got no form lately, yet for some reason, we all keep him in our team, waiting for the 2 assists, clean sheet and 3 bonus that invariably never comes.....

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      1. Nibbsy
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        All are away but Kolarov is on set pieces. Between Coleman and Huth imo. I'm benching Huth.

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      2. Blue Teets
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Lately ? He's always been poor. it's the position he's in and the quality around that can get him big points...

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  13. Tmel
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone thinking Kalou or any idea if he may be starting at all? Don't know whether to get in him in Terry

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    1. Podge
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      I bought and captained him. So he's prolly not playing.

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  14. Azzy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    both teams to score - bet

    if i click no and only one team scores do i win?

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    1. Podge
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Of course

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  15. JapBen
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Hi everyone, advice would be greatly appreciated
    My team:
    Mignolet (Foster)
    Walker, R. Johnson, Coleman (Kolarov, Djourou)
    VDV, Young, Nasri, Nani, Adam
    Tevez, RVP (Zigic)

    The plan for next GW is Kolarov > Luiz, Nani or VDV for Lampard and Tevez > a striker worth 7M or under (to have the funds for the other 2 transfers, for a 4 point hit) OR should I swap Tevez this week for a striker worth 7M or under (Gyan, Wellbeck, Sturridge, Hoillet etc). What do you guys reckon? I haven't used any transfers this GW.

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  16. SAINTS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Sorry to be another one asking but I want to get Zigic out. I have 0.7m in the bank which means I have 5.9m to spend. My options are:

    Sturridge - Good fixture today, blank next week, then double week
    Welbeck - Good fixture today, not great form but great fixtures to the end
    Hoilett - Ok fixture today, ok fixtures to the end, good form and cheap

    PLEASE HELP!

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    1. The Wizard of Ozil
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      i went Sturridge last night, still have Zigic tho so can bench Sturridge next week the get rid of Zigic after his duble..

      if you can field a strong 11 next week without sturridge id go him

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      1. The Wizard of Ozil
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        if not Welbeck

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  17. Mak_Gold
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Captaining Berba despite having RVP,Lamps,Nani,Nasri,Adam,Gyan and Luiz.Right choice?Today could be the day all that patience with Berba will finally pay off.Agree?

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      1. RoysCallerAnne
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Why not? Do it. He could score 3. I think he will def start anyway

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        1. Mak_Gold
            14 years, 8 months ago

            Cheers.

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        2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Indeed. 🙁

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      2. Daz
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        RVP or Droggers for captain????

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        1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          easy..RVP.

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        2. gooner dave
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          rvp because there should be no valid reason that he atleast doesn't start.

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      3. gooner dave
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I See drog's went up in price last night. Is it really worth bringing him in though? between him and torres. Can't really get lamps in, which if any would you choose?
        rewind to a year ago/or start of this season. "Bringing drogba in,is it worth it" would have been hailed as a stupid question.

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        1. arfa
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          im going for Drogs....no Torres......ahh fook it,dunno

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        2. RoysCallerAnne
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          I did Rooney to Drogba last night before the price rise. Riskiest move of the season for me.

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        3. Rasping Drive
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Although I expect Drogs to start, there's a risk that he won't which puts me off the transfer. The same applies to Torres as well. Sorry, that's not much help is it?

          Have you got RvP? If yes, I would be tempted to do Coleman to Luiz and Nasri to Lampard, if you can afford it.

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          1. gooner dave
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            i'd love to do that. However 2.8 mill too short.

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            1. Rasping Drive
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              Oops sorry there mate. I see you have RvP so how about Nasri to Lamps and Rooney to Bent? If you're dead set on getting Lamps in that is.

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        4. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          The one I wouldn't go for is Torres - but what do I know? 🙂

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      4. Rasping Drive
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Play Barton, Huth or RJ this week? Already have Begovic. Whaddaya reckon, chaps?

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        1. SAINTS
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          What's the rest of your defence?

          and any thoughts on my post above?

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          1. Rasping Drive
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            -10, let's jut say the rest of my defence is solid (sorry, rival is a lurker).

            Re your question, I think it depends on how much you intend to play your third striker. But of the three I would probably plump for Sturridge going by the stats.

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            1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              Lot of lurkers on here, RD!!! 😀

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            2. Jack Frost
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              sturridge------ or in second place SEB

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      5. dogtanion
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        2 boring questions : Any word on Coleman? Will Foley start?

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        1. super zlatan
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          I have both. I'm currently startin Coleman but thinking of switching to foley

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      6. everyday, i'm shufflin…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        That odds well back RVP as captain. Lampard is very close anyway.

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      7. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Midfield of vdv young nani nasri Adam, swap vdv for lampard or wait until next week?

        Also, smalling, Coleman, zamora. Which 2 to start?

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        1. MARVELLUS
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          1. do it

          2. bench coleman

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        2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Smalling and Zamora. I would do it this week ...

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      8. Eedee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        will coleman play today?

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        1. dogtanion
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          I don't know. I need him too or else I'll only have 10 players. Anybody know?

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          1. Damo.
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            I would say he's not gonna start lads. But that's no good really 🙂

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            1. dogtanion
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              Cheers Damo! One thing I know is that Johnny Giles is always wrong so Coleman will start

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              1. Damo.
                • 15 Years
                14 years, 8 months ago

                He knows how to wear a suit though. Living Legend.

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      9. duncansarmy
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        The question is:

        Young/VDV out for lamps....worth 4pts?

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Yes, imo.

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      10. MARVELLUS
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Best striker to bring in, 8.1m or less?

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        1. Fudge
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          asamoah!

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          1. Blue Teets
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            I've brought Anelka in. 50/50 captain with Bent...

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      11. macco84
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Lads whats the negative attitude towards Coleman this week?

        A) Is it that he's really unlikely to start
        B) Playing crap
        C) No chance of clean sheet.

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          A)

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          1. Jonesy
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            A) + B)

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        2. Nibbsy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          All of the above. Mainly A.

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      12. Hegsmouth
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Rooney + VDV for Lamps and Hernandez. Yay or nay?

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      13. greghammer95
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Starting to bottle it. RVP (C) for me probably. 🙁

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      14. Fudge
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I STILL CAN'T PICK MY CAPTAIN BETWEEN RVP AND LAMPARD

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        1. Jonesy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Lamps, you know you should!

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        2. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          rvp

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        3. Fudge
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          cheers. 1-1

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          1. dogtanion
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            RvP

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            1. Torres76
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              RVP...

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