Paddy Says
9 April 2011 640 comments
Money Mike Money Mike
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Just over an hour to go before the door slams shut on another week’s Fantasy tinkering. Time for our Saturday morning sit down with our bookie buddies at Paddy Power – can their odds sway our late late gameweek thinking?

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Chelsea 1.72 (WIG)
  • Man Utd 2.00 (FUL)
  • Tottenham 2.25 (STK)
  • Arsenal 2.40 (blp)
  • Blackburn 2.40 (BIR)
  • Aston Villa 2.50 (NEW)
  • Sunderland 2.87 (WBA)

Defeated on home turf in the Champions League in midweek, Chelsea head the Clean Sheet market with by far and away the shortest price this week. Wigan travel to Stamford Bridge with a markedly better defensive record on the road than at home, sporting a reasonable 1.43gca (goals conceded away), but still very much lacking bite going forward, tallying a mere 0.79gsa (goals scored away). David Luiz was ineligible mid-week and will surely return to the Chelsea back four – given Paddy’s odds it’s no surprise to see him enjoying heavy Fantasy investment this week ahead of the double in gameweek 33.

Manchester United welcomed Rio Ferdinand back from his calf injury to keep a clean sheet at Stamford Bridge, but he could well be rested with Chris Smalling drafted in. The former Fulham defender could face off against his former team-mates then, with Paddy ranking Alex Ferguson’s back four as strong options for another shut-out. We’re less than certain here, with Bobby Zamora and Clint Dempsey key threats for the visitors.

Fresh from a Real mauling on Tuesday night, Harry Rednapp will be looking to add to a recent spat of clean-sheets against a travel sick Stoke unit. Michael Dawson will be key to dealing with Rory Delap’s slingshot throws, and, given Stoke’s poor scoring record away from home, Spurs look justified as third favourites in Paddy’s reckoning.

Further down, the value in Fantasy terms can be found via Blackburn at home to Birmingham and Villa hosting Newcastle. Paddy offers them favourable odds, with Chris Samba and Kyle Walker both graced with selection in this week’s Scout Picks.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • R Van Persie 1.53 (blp)
  • F Torres 1.61 (WIG)
  • D Drogba 1.61 (WIG)
  • J Hernandez 1.83 (FUL)
  • D Berbatov 1.90 (FUL)
  • D Bent 1.90 (NEW)
  • N Anelka 1.90 (WIG)
  • F Lampard 1.90 (WIG)
  • M Chamakh 2.00 (blp)
  • N Bendtner 2.00 (blp)
  • S Kalou 2.10 (WIG)
  • S Nasri 2.10 (blp)
  • A Arshavin 2.10 (blp)
  • C Fabregas 2.30 (blp)
  • D Welbeck 2.30 (WBA)
  • Asamoah Gyan 2.30 (WBA)
  • R van der Vaart 2.37 (STK)
  • P Crouch 2.37 (STK)
  • D Sturridge 2.40 (WHM)
  • Nani 2.40 (FUL)
  • T Walcott 2.50 (blp)
  • J Defoe 2.60 (STK)
  • C Tevez 2.60 (liv)
  • R Pavlyuchenko 2.60 (STK)
  • J Elmander 2.62 (WHM)
  • K Davies 2.62 (WHM)
  • F Malouda 2.60 (WIG)
  • L Suarez 2.62 (MCY)
  • J Elmander 2.70 (WHM)
  • K Davies 2.70 (WHM)
  • J Beckford 2.75 (EVE)

January and February were golden months for Robin Van Persie in what most players would consider an injury devastated season. For the Dutchman however, it’s business as usual – Fantasy Managers have come to accept his brilliance and brittle limbs in equal measure. Ten of Van Persie’s eleven goals were notched up in a short burst of games, and Paddy have him as a huge favourite to register against the Blackpool defence this weekend.

Didier Drogba and Fernando Torres get close to Van Persie’s odds but, in Fantasy terms, neither is nailed on for starts at home to Wigan. Carlo Ancelotti will surely rest players ahead of the Champions League second leg on Tuesday and Wednesday’s strike pairing are leading contenders.

Some familiar names follow the Chelsea duo. Darren Bent heads them up – he was in the goals again last weekend and should find Newcastle’s 1.53gca record an invitation to continue boosting his late assault on the Golden Boot.

Midfielders Frank Lampard and Salomon Kalou join the list a few places down, hovering around the even money mark. Lampard has been snaffling up Fantasy interest this week and heads the likes of Rafael Van der Vaart and Samir Nasri when it comes to Paddy’s midfielder scoring odds.

Switching back to strikers – Paddy rate both Asamoah Gyan and Danny Welbeck over Bolton’s Daniel Sturridge – we’re not sure we agree with that assessment, but there’s no doubt that all three will head into the gameweek as strong scoring prospects.

That trio are fancied above Carlos Tevez and Luis Suarez who come face to face at Anfield on Monday night. If you’re looking for a striker with Fantasy potential and decent odds for a goal however, consider one of “Big Dunc’s Differentials” – Wolves’ Sylvan Ebanks-Blake. Paddy have him at 3.0 for a goal against Everton – that looks tempting with Mick McCarthy set to go with a 4-4-2 and with and in-form Matt Jarvis feeding from the flank.

Paddy’s Scout Specials

Friday night’s “Fantasy Flutter” was packed with Paddy specials based on our Scout Picks selections. You can get a view on the batch of special bets right here. These include the Clean Sheet Accumulator with 8/1 offered on shutouts for Blackburn (vs Birmingham), Spurs (vs Stoke) and Chelsea (vs Wigan) this weekend. Other highlights are odds of 9/1 on Chris Samba scoring a header and 17/2 on a Daniel Sturridge brace against West Ham at the Reebok.

Paddy’s Money Back Special

Paddy takes a trip to Villa Park for this weekend’s refund special. If Darren Bent scores the last goal, Paddy Power will pay back all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions. Also, if you’re going to bet, always gamble responsibly.

640 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Nibbsy
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Which Danny - Sturridge or Welbeck (blanks don't matter)?

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    1. SAINTS
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      I'm having exactly the same dilemma. I'm leaning toward Welbeck at the moment for no other reason than gut feeling.

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      1. jimnastics
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I'm going Wellbeck as well, Sturridge is decent but I really don't see Bolton getting much out of their DGW, which would be the biggest reason for getting him. On the other hand, Sunderland have a fantastic run-in fixture wise, and a fully fit Wellbeck + Gyan was excellent earlier on in the season, I don't see why it shouldn't spark up again.

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        1. Nibbsy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Scout picks and differentials have both gone Sturridge though!

          Also Sunderland's end of season capitulation worries me.

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    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Sturridge, then.

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      1. SAINTS
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        why?

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Because he will be a great option for the double. Henderson's dropped, and Richardson's more selfish - and Sunderland appear to have lost their mojo ...

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          1. The Wizard of Ozil
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            i went Sturridge it's a real 50/50 tho

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    3. Nibbsy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Sod it, gone for Sturridge. It was 50-50 and he's got a double coming up.

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I wish you joy of it! 🙂

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  2. Richie147
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    HELP HELP HELP Who to bench Carrol or Adam

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    1. Long Live King Eric
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Carroll

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      1. Richie147
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Thank you made my mind up now lol

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    2. TommyK
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Neither if you can help it- but otherwise carroll.

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    3. Podge
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Both.

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  3. mouldy_uk
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Who to play

    (A) Huth
    (B) Coleman
    (C) Distin

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    1. knightsofcydonia
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      huth

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    2. El Doctor
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      huthers

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  4. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    4 point hit
    Gordon and Coleman to Cech and Walker?
    leaves me with a horrible side next week though with simpson, walker, barton, tevez and berbs doin f-all next week.. else save my transfer and have two free next week and a probably fit coleman too

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    1. MARVELLUS
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      leave keeper transfer for next week?
      i'm planning on playing begovic, saving that transfer for next week, save 4 pts.

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        cech + walker to outscore R.Johnson + Begovic by 4 points this week though.. surely?

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        1. MARVELLUS
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          do def transfer, qn is will cech outscore begovic by at least 4 pts??

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  5. footynutdyl
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Who do you guys think i should captain out of Luiz, Van der Vaart, Bent, Gyan, Downing, Nasri or Smalling?

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Get a real captain option.

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      1. El Doctor
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        +! 🙂

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    2. Blue Teets
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      If you captain Chris you will get 12 guaranteed, but VdV or Nas MAY get 30+

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  6. MARVELLUS
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Doing obvious transfers, a rare hit (4pt):

    Kolarov, Barton, Rooney OUT for Luiz, Lampard and Gyan.

    Any reason not to do this?

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Liverpool's defense only thing - but all good moves!

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    2. Blue Teets
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Can you do it without swapping Kol and Gyan ? If so then that is a monumental transfer...

      You won't make up the -4 from Gyan/Kol.

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  7. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Reckon I should save the transfer? If not, any ideas? Cheers

    Foster
    Luiz, Baines, Kolarov
    Nani, Fabs, VDV, A Young, Nasri
    RVP(c), Welbeck

    Bench: Stockdale, Coleman, Zigic, Kelly
    Bank 0.0m

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    1. Declan
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Yep, save it!

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  8. Zola
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Guys, please help me bench two: Kolarov, R Johnson, Coleman, Barton, Brunt

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      coleman and barton!

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  9. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 8 months ago

    Nani or vdv for lampard?

    First time this questions been asked? 🙂

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    1. Akers
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Nani and VDV are my top two captain candidates.

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      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I could get rid of young but can't ignore his fixtures!

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        1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          i took vdv out for lamps last night

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    2. MTPockets
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I did nani

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    3. Sim Simma
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Right, is having Lampard,Fabregas,Nani,VDV and Young a midfield overkill ?

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      1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        no, looks good but i would do VDV/Young to Nasri next week, depending on how VDV does this week.

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      2. Nibbsy
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Not for this week, but you will prob need to downgrade one of them next week.

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    4. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      huth, coleman, kolorov, smalling.

      thats my back 4.

      Chances of all 4 playing?? Chances of 3 playing??

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    5. Richie147
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Me again HELP HELP HELP Who to bench Bardsey or Huth

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      1. Sim Simma
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Huth

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        1. Richie147
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Thankyou

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          1. El Doctor
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            Keep huth in. Spurs will lose or draw today

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    6. Baby Face Nelson
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Please bench one

      Smalling Luiz Huth RJ

      (keeper Cech)

      thanks

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    7. MARVELLUS
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Anyone know the SUN GK situation??

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      1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        mignolet

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        1. MARVELLUS
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          is he nailed on?

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          1. Declan
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            Yes

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    8. beatle-barker
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Any word yet on Coleman starting?

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      1. dogtanion
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Surely there's a Toffees fan in the know?

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    9. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Less than 15 minutes......

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        *13 mins 😡

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          get a calculator....

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      2. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        i always do my transfers before sat morning now, much less stressful!

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Me too!!! 😀 <- The smile of serenity ...

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        2. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          I did mine early as I went out all day. Normally like the late transfers.

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          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            Good luck today, you two! 🙂

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            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              Bono isn't on the site is he?

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              1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                14 years, 8 months ago

                Eh??? 🙂

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              2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                14 years, 8 months ago

                Ohhh, ha, ha - synapses aren't quite there this morning - a belated very good!!! 😀

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            2. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
              • 15 Years
              14 years, 8 months ago

              et tu

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    10. markieffm
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Ok please help. Who to bench, Adam, odem or Barton?

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      1. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        barton

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        1. Podge
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          +1

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    11. Spoiler
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      rooney to torres for a 4 pointer?

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      1. GREENDREAMS11
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        tricky one spolier but i done it myself . also looking to the double coming up .

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        1. dogtanion
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          how's your team going greendreams??!

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          1. GREENDREAMS11
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 8 months ago

            score 1643, on about 44k

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      2. mir
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        been thinking about it all week and even saying i'll do it,... but i've bottled it.

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      3. RoysCallerAnne
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Drogba instead.

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    12. Primprong
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Play Adam or Brunt?

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      1. Podge
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Brunt

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    13. Water_Pink
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      will smalling play?

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      1. freddie
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I think so

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      2. Marknlard
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        You still need to sort your team link out.

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        1. freddie
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          me?

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      3. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah, can't see him playing rio with chelsea on tues. I'm 99% sure smalling will start.

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        1. Water_Pink
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          cheers. cause i benched hangeland instead.

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    14. freddie
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      OK lamps or rvp or bent captain?

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      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Lampard for me ...

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        1. freddie
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Good lad, just needed someone to make a decision for me

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    15. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Torres will not start this week

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      1. Spoiler
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        proof? backup?

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        1. GREENDREAMS11
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          if torres doesn't play my (C) will default to fat frank if that helps with your decision so not really too risky for me.

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      2. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        but will he finish?

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        1. Sess!
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          I think he'll start but he'll be off on 60 mins if doesn't score. For what it's worth my dad who likes a bet has said he'll give me £50 if torres doesn't score today

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      3. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        he won't start scoring

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    16. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Rooney, VDV, Coleman -> SEB, Lampard, A.Cole?

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      1. dogtanion
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        big call.....what ya gonna do?

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        1. Drip Doctor
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          No idea man!

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    17. Burly - swear i wont ever (…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      British Standard Time clock for those looking to use every minute of the deadline.

      http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/city.html?n=136

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      1. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        For once I'm not frantically making changes just before the deadline. Did it all whilst having a few beers last night. Could go one of two ways 🙂

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      2. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        /pedant hat on

        British Summer Time.

        😉

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    18. Torres76
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Out of Adam, Nani, Nasri, Ash Young, VDV -

      Ash Young and Adam have good fixtures...
      Nasri + VDV - a doubler each
      Nani - rotation risk but better fixtures than Nasri and VDV...

      One of Nasri, Nani and VDV will have to go for Fat Frank...Money is on Nasri going...

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    19. jimnastics
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Can't decide between playing Barton or Kolarov... thoughts??

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      1. Declan
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Kolarov

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    20. gooner dave
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      torres or drogs, final call.....

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      1. Spoiler
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        same argh im wondering if at all, i just hope one of them starts

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        1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          of course one of them will start!!!!

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      2. GREENDREAMS11
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        lol. drumroll....................

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      3. Water_Pink
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        torres

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      4. Retro
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Neither, I've gone Terry. Who are you abstaining Dave?

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        1. Retro
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Em, captaining!

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      5. arfa
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        i just done Rooney to Drogba.

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    21. jhill89
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      Do I keep Coleman in my team or sub him and put in Evatt (yes my def is shite...)

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      1. Madridista
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        BLP - ARS
        EVE - wol

        Take a gamble on Coleman.

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    22. Madridista
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      bent, nani or safe vidic as captain?

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      1. dogtanion
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        Bent

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    23. mahone24
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 8 months ago

      A/ Kolarov Bentley Rooney to Ruiz Lamps Welbeck
      B/ BentLEy Rooney to Lamps Welbeck
      C/ Kelly Bentley Rooney to Lamps Welbeck Walker

      Then bench Adam, Welbeck, Odem or VDV??????

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      1. Madridista
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 8 months ago

        I don't know why people are transferring out rooney just becauses he misses 1 game.

        bench Odem

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        1. Sess!
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 8 months ago

          Business end of the season and people need points not 12m sitting on their bench

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