634x258 The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Front 7 for next week... thoughts?

    Walcott (NEW) Navas (CPL) Silva (CPL) Hazard (LIV)

    Suarez (che) Lukaku (SOT) Rooney (nor)

    I think it looks sweet... but it did this week and it was awful 🙁

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    1. Cevap
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      i like it besides navas...but then again he has been doing really well lately

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    2. floydy_floyd
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Nice

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  2. Venom Snake
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Does oscar need to leave my team, how did he play?

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  3. Elniñorules
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    David Silva.

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    1. isacki: full casual
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Gimme a Walcott and Silva five.

      Back in my team where they belong and scoring points.

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      1. Elniñorules
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Well, Walcott five. But props on Silva 😉

        Was contemplating Ramsey > Silva for a hit, went against it thinking Silva is a rotation risk for Palace.

        You reckon Silva will start vs Palace?

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        1. isacki: full casual
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          I'm thinking surely City can't rest both Silva and Negredo - it's not really City without them, especially with Aguero out.

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        2. floydy_floyd
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          I'm 80% sure he will

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  4. HurriKane
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone noticed collins subbed off injured -a doubt for next gw home to westbrom ?

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  5. Stephen - Robot Daniels
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    BE WARY OF STOKE

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  6. Cevap
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    great to see the pages flowing after a great day of matches...need some of the experts to help on on a dilemna...did a -8 (a bit kneejerky and intoxicated when I did) but it worked out.

    was thinking ramsey and negredo to rooney and sterling/ kasami for a -4

    any thoughts? thanks in advance...

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  7. isacki: full casual
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    What do you make of Negredo being subbed off for Dzeko on 77'? Saved for Palace, or still rested?

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    1. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Looked knackered more than anything. I suspect one of Negredo or Silva will play in the hole/2nd striker position, unless Jovetic is fit?

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        I assumed Negredo would be rested for the Palace game with Dzeko playing CF and Silva in the hole. Wondering if anything has changed.

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        1. Elniñorules
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Silva been playing a lot though lately. Suspect he might need a rest with yaya in the hole?

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          1. isacki: full casual
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah, it's just the eventual team would be ugly as hell and Pellegrini can't afford to take Palace too lightly - we all know they're way harder to beat than Holloway's jokers.

            If all the tired players got rested they'd have a front six like

            --------Dzeko
            Milner Yaya Navas
            Fernandinho Garcia

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            1. Elniñorules
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Nasri to start. I can see something like this tho you may be right on Silva

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              1. isacki: full casual
                • 14 Years
                12 years, 1 month ago

                Thing is hasn't Nasri played even more than Silva as he was playing through Silva's long injury. He's also the less essential player for City.

                Either way, if they play the above I'll be cheering on Palace 😆

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                1. Get up ya bum
                  • 16 Years
                  12 years, 1 month ago

                  That doesn't really matter though. Silva's been building up his match fitness recently. Really all that would come into it is how the players are feeling. Who pulled up better, who's sore etc

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    2. isacki: full casual
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Considering Negredo & Ramsey > Rooney & Sterling/Barkley/Januzaj -4.

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    3. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      All the subs were tactical. They were 1 up and under the pump. Him and Nasri were tiring pretty bad

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      1. isacki: full casual
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah, did Silva look tired?

        It seems unlikely to me that Pellegrini would rest both Silva and Negredo against Palace, but I suppose this is City.

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        1. Get up ya bum
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          He didn't really but doesn't seem to tire as much. I think it's more conservative running rather than fitness.
          I think you're right. I fancy Silva to start but it's all guesswork

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          1. isacki: full casual
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah gotta embrace the uncertainty.

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  8. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    I now the bonus fairy has been kind to me today, but how the feck have i gone from 25k to 12k with Suarez as my captain?

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    1. Cevap
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      don't ask too many questions. 🙂

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  9. Scottys Army
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Lovely finish from remy

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  10. dodger49
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    2 FT: Ramsey - Lukaku -> Sterling - Negredo ?
    I have no City players currently

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    1. Ole Gunnar Kush
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      no negredo is a rotation risk

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      1. Ole Gunnar Kush
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        and is tired

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        1. dodger49
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          True but I need City coverage for Palace game this week. Silva?

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  11. Ady87
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    HBA looked good today. Is Cabaye really that much better of a swap for Ramsey?

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    1. Ady87
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Goal last GW, 2 assists and hit the post twice this GE.

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    2. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Yep

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  12. Gooner Kebab
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    poor refereeing, NEW always gonna look good in a 11 vs 9.

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  13. mr. inconspicuous
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    What do you think to Ozil and Ramsey to Walcott and Silva? (2FTs)

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good.

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    2. Cevap
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      looks good

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    3. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      looks very good, especially since it's free 😎

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  14. white lightning
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    How did Welbeck play?

    My front 3 are Suarez, Remy, Welbeck. I want to bring in Rooney. Who should I get rid of - Remy or Welbeck?

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    1. chandramouli
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      welbeck...

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    2. Ole Gunnar Kush
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      welbeck

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    3. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Welbeck came off with a recurrence of his knee injury, stay away

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  15. floydy_floyd
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Gouffran has snuck his way onto the front page 😯

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  16. Dougal McGuire
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    So, why the rush to get rid of Lukaku? was on a 10 man side today, and has great fixtures coming up for several weeks. Hard to believe getting rid is worth a hit or more important than dealing with injuries. Even if I wasn't loaded with little red boxes I would not want to get rid of now.

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  17. UnderstandablyDistraught
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Could do with opinions other than my own

    Terry and Ramsey ➡ Walcott and Bardsley/Tompkins for -4

    or

    Ramsey to Lallana or Cabaye and save the pts

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    1. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cabaye absolutely amiga

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      1. UnderstandablyDistraught
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        thanks enr. you've rebounded well

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    2. Shankly Gates
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Keep. Terry. Ramsey to lallana

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  18. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Biggest question this GW.

    Will Silva start vs Palace?

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    1. Scottys Army
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      yes imo

      2 attacking changes

      milner for navas

      dzeko for negredo

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    2. UnderstandablyDistraught
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Would think he's on for 70mins anyway

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    3. Cevap
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      why not? Maybe nasri gets a rest since he's been shite anyway

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      1. 7shadesofsmoke
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        nasri was given an early finish today. I think he is a safe starter.

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      2. Scottys Army
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        he played well actually

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    4. Get up ya bum
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Tricky ay. Same with Negredo. Think I'm gonna gamble with the captaincy this week on one of them

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    5. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I think it's clear that he's key to their attacking and can certainly play game after game if the plan is always to bring him off after 60-70 minutes..

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    6. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Yes...

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    7. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      monster question.

      I think this is one game where Pelli will feel he can rest one or two, but with Negredo getting a knock and with Silva only recently back from a break himself, i think he should start the 'little magician' and bring him off as soon as they have a two goal margin.

      They're at home and palace will need to be broken down. Silva is the man for unlocking defences.

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    8. bitterandstout
        12 years, 1 month ago

        don't see why he wouldn't. He was out GW10-15, started the next three, surely he'll start.

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      • ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        100%. Imo

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      • GuyIncognito
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        I think so. I also think Palace will do a decent job parking the bus and City won't get out of second gear so I don't expect a ridiculous score.

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      • Venom Snake
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        He better, he's my captain!

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      • Ole Gunnar Kush
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        absolutely

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        1. Ole Gunnar Kush
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          He's one of the freshest players in the City squad

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    9. Shankly Gates
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Good idea for -4 ??
      Ramsey and lukaku to Walcott and Rodriguez
      Help appreciated

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      1. UnderstandablyDistraught
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Considered this one but am holding Lukaku

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    10. Ribus
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Do u think Kolarov will play against Palace or is it too risky?

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      1. SW6
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        90% sure he'll play

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      2. Ole Gunnar Kush
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Risky. He might start vs Palace but hes not nailed on so youre setting yourself up to transfer him out again which is a waste of a transfer

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    11. DÏLKS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I've just done Howard --> Szcesney

      Is it worth doing Vlaar --> Ward (-4)

      And if I do that, I can afford Ramsey --> Walcott

      What you reckon??

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    12. sinik
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I've cooled off Eriksen a bit..

      so it looks like the main replacements being touted for Ramsey are Cabaye, Lallana, Sterling and some with Januzaj.

      First two are favorites (set to rise today), latter two are a bit more of the differential-variety.

      so if you decide you're not bringing in Cabaye or Lallana, you have another to day to think about your Ramsey replacement (unless you're bringing in Wally)

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    13. BT31 - WE ARE ALL TINKERMEN…
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      What to do?

      A) Howard/Ozil/Ramsey > Mannone/Silva/Walcottt for -8
      B) Ozil/Walcott > Navas/Walcott for -4

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      1. Messiah Hazard
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        How can B be possible

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        1. BT31 - WE ARE ALL TINKERMEN…
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          No idea! Should say Ramsey.

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    14. crystalpalaceRus
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      What a goal by cabaye. wait till you see gayles

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    15. Nice to Finally Michu
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Really appreciate your help on my way to my best OR ever! Now what to do with 2 FTs amd 2.7 in the bank?
      A) Ramsey > Eriksen
      B) Baker and Ramsey > Kompany and Eriksen
      C) Ramsey and Pozuelo > Cabaye and Eriksen (would have to bench one each week though)
      -Could someome also inform me about this alleged Negredo injury

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    16. UKG
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Glad I went through with the below for this gw....hits pay off, sometimes 😉 - Playing Howard over Manonne though, didn't see that coming! - 66 all out.

      Merry Christmas.

      UKG
      How does this look:

      Migs > Mannone (to free cash)
      Ravel > Cabaye
      Ramsey > Walcott

      2 days, 22 hours ago
      #
      Login To Reply

      jmcclory123
      for a -8 not worth it

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    17. FPL Touches
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Can't help but feel HBA is being overlooked as a Ramsey replacement...

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      1. Ady87
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        I owned Cabaye up until his suspension and he has continued his good form. It's between these 2 but I can't decide!

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      2. bitterandstout
          12 years, 1 month ago

          he's not starting much either. last two starts: GW9 and today.

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        • najk
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Horrible fixtures though...

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      3. najk
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Silva or Walcott in a game of thumb war... I mean football?

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        1. FPL Touches
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Wally more explosive

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          1. Ole Gunnar Kush
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            +1

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      4. LeBron - King of Argentina
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Repost.

        Hi lads!

        My team: http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/624174/event-history/18/

        Have 1 FT and 0.7 in the bank. Ramsey's selling value is 6.8 and Howard's 5.8.

        Does Howard + Ramsey -> Cabaye + Mannone for -4 sound good?

        Thanks in advance.

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        1. FPL Touches
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Sensible.

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        2. Messiah Hazard
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Dont like Cabaye's fixtures... but if you trust him go for it...

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          1. LeBron - King of Argentina
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            What about Lallana? I could also do Lewis to Mannone and keep Howard. Thoughts?

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            1. najk
              • 12 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Keep Howard. Lewis -> Man-On!

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              1. LeBron - King of Argentina
                • 13 Years
                12 years, 1 month ago

                Ta. What about Ramsey?

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          2. bitterandstout
              12 years, 1 month ago

              this!

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              1. LeBron - King of Argentina
                • 13 Years
                12 years, 1 month ago

                Which midfielder would you get for 7.5 mil?

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        3. iCon
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Best 4.0m defender up to the WC?

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          1. Messiah Hazard
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 1 month ago

            Chester

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            1. iCon
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              12 years, 1 month ago

              Should have said, but already have him. Cheers anyway

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