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Projecting Value – The Goalkeepers

24 July 2011 1575 comments
Paul Paul
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Obtaining a better balance to your squad is fundamental to Fantasy success. It’s all very well selecting the likes of Frank Lampard and Robin Van Persie but if such luxury choices leave you rummaging around the bargain basement for players that offer little returns, it’s perhaps time for a re-think.

Since the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) 2011/12 game launched on late Thursday evening, we’ve been working away in the background and, after many hours of number-crunching, have produced our first set of Projected Points Returns for the upcoming season.

The factors taken into consideration with our Projections are varied- past performance, team tactics, possible rotation, the impact of new signings, susceptibility to injury, the new FPL Bonus Points system and even January 2012β€˜s African Cup of Nations come into the equation. As pre-season continues and the season unfolds, we will update these figures on a regular basis to offer an up-to-date reflection of each player’s potential going into Gameweek one. Our full list of “Projections” will be released on the Members Area early next week but, over a series of articles, we’re going to start to dissect them right here and now for our Members.

Our aim is to help shape your Fantasy squad for the upcoming campaign with a series of articles highlighting those players who come out favourably in one of the most vital categories- value per Fantasy pound. By identifying the likely returns on offer next season, we pick our way through the positions and look, in the main, at the low-to-mid-price candidates who will hopefully provide that all-important balance required for your Fantasy squad ahead of the start of next season.

We kick off by turning our attentions to the top ten goalkeepers…

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

1,575 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Locarno
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Very few people with Kolarov.

    On paper, he looks great. πŸ™‚

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    1. jayzico
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      clichy is where it's at πŸ™‚

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    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      He's due.....

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  2. Demí
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    1-0 Man city. Balotelli pen

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    1. Screaming Midget
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Is the game on TV or just streaming online?

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      1. Demí
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        ESPN i think, but i'm streaming it

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    2. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      damn thought it was live on espn after this copa america final. is beckham playing?

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      1. Demí
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah

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        1. applebonkers
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          sweet, hope he scores so i can tell db πŸ˜‰

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          1. Demí
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 6 months ago

            lol πŸ™‚

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  3. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Balotelli goal, from a penaltty interestingly.

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    1. andy85wsm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      What's interesting? πŸ™‚

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  4. Screaming Midget
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    I'm thinking of Wild Carding after GW3 as well. 3 weeks may be enough to get a decent idea on form, plus there will no doubts be a few injuries in the International matches + make some decent profit.

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  5. wagner is king
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    barton,sinclaire,seissegnon or another better option around that price?

    help would be greatfull

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    1. King Eric, in America
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Sinclair, Sessegnon, Taarabt, Etherington, Albrighton

      All of these are floating about as popular picks in that range.

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    2. Holy See
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Albrighton, Wilshere, Ramsey are a few others, I'd go Sess or Barton at the mo. Tchoyi is a slightly cheaper alternative.

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    3. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Albrighton, Tchoiy, Mulumbu, Etherington, Pennant, Duff, Ben Arfa, Hoolahan, Brunt, Moses, Cabaye, O Hara, Taarabt. There are loads of midfielders around that price or slightly cheaper that people have been suggesting. It seems that nearly everyone is having trouble deciding on the midfield.

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  6. Caladan Brood
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    RMT:

    Given - Ruddy

    Kompany - Rafael - Alcaraz - Simpson - Orr

    Lampard - VDV - Albrighton - Ben Arfa - Dyer

    RVP - Suarez - Zamora

    A bit sketchy in defence? Maybe downgrade VDV and boost defence? What's your thoughts?

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    1. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      like it al lot. if rafael gets the right back spot, you'll be fine playing 3 at the back and rotating one of alcaraz, simpson and orr with kompany and rafael.

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      1. jayzico
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        yeah, must say, quality team!

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  7. ZeSuPeR
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    needs taraabt

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  8. rin-tin-tin
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    heres my team - wondering if should tinker with the forward line (or open to suggestions to any other players/positions)

    Given (ruddy)
    luiz,rafael,kompany (simpson,wilkinson)
    VDV,taarabt,wilshere,sinclair (surman)
    rooney,VP,zamora

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    1. rin-tin-tin
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      got 0.5mill to spare

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      1. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Can I've a loan?

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    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      I'd use the half million for Odemwingie in place of Zamora but a lot of RMT's on here have had Zamora so I may be in the minority.

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  9. Bullet Tooth Toney
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Dear all, as a regular user of the site, but occasional poster, I thought that I'd contribute a bit of knowledge about my team Norwich in return for picking your brains for the rest of the season!

    I'd anticipate the regular early season starting line up as...

    Ruddy
    Martin Barnett Whitbread Tierney
    Bennett Johnson Fox/Crofts Hoolahan
    Vaughan Holt

    This could equally be a 4-2-3-1 with the two wingers and hoolahan rotating behind Holt.

    Free kicks wise, Fox usually took them last season, but if hes not in the team ive heard Bennett has a good delivery. Holt will be on pens but doesnt take free kicks.

    Potential wise, I'd strongly avoid our defence, I don't see many clean sheets this season regardless of opponent or home/away. Midfield wise, Bennett/Pilkington when fit could have potential, and Johnson is not bad value at 4.5, has a good engine and shot and may well be a key player.

    I see Hoolahan in a lot of teams, but personally I'd avoid him, he is a poor mans David Silva, and a decent player, but when man marked/singled by good opponents he does tend to be contained. Also, when influential, he is often the Modric playing the second assist.

    Holt may well be a decent choice, with pens, as captain, and also the focal point of the team. If we win, I think he will pick up the majority of bonus points, and with the early season fixtures and momentum from last season he would be the pick of the squad.

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    1. Locarno
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Helpful. And Holt is the only Norwich player I'd touch with a barge-pole, totally agree with it...

      "poor man's Silva"? You've just described 90 per cent of the PL's midfielders.

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    2. King Eric, in America
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Very nicely done. Thanks.

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    3. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      No space for NAughton then?

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      1. Bullet Tooth Toney
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Poor mans David Silva as in style of player, close control, neat touches and a creative element, he is a good footballer but not any where near the style or quality of him.

        I'll be shocked if Naughton starts the season at right back barring an injury to Martin, who was 2nd or 3rd in the player of the season last year, cant remember which, but he got my vote. He was excellent, especially seeing as we played a diamond midfield therefore he was consistantly exposed. Gets forward a lot, but I think with a change in formation this season to 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 he will not get forward as much. Lambert isn't naive enough to leave our full backs 1 vs 2 in the Premiership, hence the wide man transfer policy.

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    4. Holy See
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Cheers Haddock, very kind. Gonna stay up? πŸ˜‰

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      1. Bullet Tooth Toney
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        I hope we will, I think theres 5 sides for 3 spaces! Again with De Laet (below), he may well force his way in I just think that there will be a certain loyalty to the players that did so well last season.

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    5. berba is class
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      mate what about de laet i think hes a quality young player why do you think he wont start

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    6. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks for that. R Martin scored 5 from def last year so is in my side. Is he under threat from Naughton?

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    7. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Good post.
      Bit wary of all three promoted sides to be honest, don't fancy their chances.

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      1. Locarno
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Norwich will go down. Blackburn/QPR/Newcastle/Wolves for the other two spots.

        *whistles*

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        1. Holy See
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          Swansea *whispers*

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          1. Bullet Tooth Toney
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 6 months ago

            Swansea, and two of QPR, Norwich Wigan and Blackburn for me.

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          2. Locarno
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 6 months ago

            Swansea??? With Sinclair's 42 goals? Are you mad?

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            1. Bullet Tooth Toney
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              14 years, 6 months ago

              Haha if he scores 42 goals ill eat my own scrote.

              They'l miss De Vries, who was a big part of their play distributing to the midfield from the back. Pratley was physical and would have been good in the prem, and Borini got them over the line.

              Will be interested to see who they sign before the big kick off.

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      2. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Some great FPL players were relegated last season! πŸ˜‰

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    8. ToonTom
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Hate Ipswich seemed to think Ward would start at the back? Any reason for possible different ideas?
      Thanks though, really helpful

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      1. Bullet Tooth Toney
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Well its a toss up between Ward and Whitbread really, with De Laet hovering potentially in there too.

        Barnett has pace so I think he'l play, but Whitbread really impressed towards the end of last season and is reportedly getting a new contract. That was an iffy one though for sure, time will tell, either way I wouldnt get them tho!

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        1. ToonTom
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          Cheers, I did actually have in provisionally, due to being 4 million, but I have put very little thought into it. However I will be starting to think things through now!

          Cheers again, good luck.

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          1. Bullet Tooth Toney
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            14 years, 6 months ago

            In all seriousness I dont think we'l keep more than 5 or 6 clean sheets all season either way! Should be entertaining to watch though, I think we'l suprise a few.

            Cheers you too.

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  10. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Hah, anybody just see Balotelli's little move against Galaxy?

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    1. @FuzzyWarbles
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      i did. its why i logged on. he just out-balotelli'ed himself.

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    2. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Have had it described to me. Sounds brilliant lol

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      1. FPL Emu
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Lol. Directly subbed out as well.

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      2. @FuzzyWarbles
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        wide open goalhe tries to do a back heel shot for no reason at all.

        disgrace to the la galaxy

        disgrace to the sport

        disgrace to athletics

        disgrace to humanity.

        other than that, not so bad.

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        1. @FuzzyWarbles
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          oh yeah disgrace to his own team

          and disgrace to the fans.

          is there anyone left? his parents?

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  11. Demí
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    loool Balotelli. What a doughnut

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  12. CoolBeans
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Does anyone have and idea of Chelsea's Back 4? Im thinking

    Ivanovic....Luiz....Terry....Cole.

    Hard to know who'll get the nod between Luiz and Alex. Has anyone been keeping an eye on their pre-season?

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  13. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Balotelli getting subbed apparantly. This sounds hilarious πŸ˜†

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  14. @FuzzyWarbles
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    balotelli off. bye bye idiot

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  15. Oliver Reed
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    oh dear. Mario taken off and does the italisn gesture for ' you kunt' to mancini lol

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    1. King Eric, in America
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Aaaaaaannnnnddddd there's the reason Biblotelli's name isn't appearing on many RMTs ...

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      1. Oliver Reed
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        the boy is a lost cause. They should get rid before the season starts and get 2 strikers instead of just one..

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    2. Shakey
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      there's a gesture for that? what is it?

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      1. @FuzzyWarbles
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        usually scraping the fingers under the chin and out. If in know my Italian sign language.

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      2. Oliver Reed
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        http://t3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQ4gFfuhnoL1WlNtb_1HqS5B37tZBSHXlIjOF_zCXms6jX4k2zQ

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      3. Locarno
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        http://www.zimbio.com/photos/Arsene+Wenger/Alex+Ferguson

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  16. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    I wonder what Mancini's reaction would be if Balotelli put it next to the left post and into the back of the net.

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  17. MB10
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    What do people think of Baines. Is he too dear or a must have?

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    1. @FuzzyWarbles
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      13 minutes since marios joke, commentators havent stopped talking about it, you can feel it in the crowd too. Yeah its a friendly and nothing on the line but its a packed house and they feel like a bunch of rubes.

      Aguero is coming. ANd hes going to start every match with this dunderhead still in the squad.

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      1. @FuzzyWarbles
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        me thinks that wasnt where this post was intended to go. oops. my rage has taken over my ability to communicate properly.

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  18. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    He's taking the piss, give him a break. He knew it was pre-season. Bitta craic never hurt anyone

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    1. Attila the Bum
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Tell that to Amy Winehouse

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      1. Shakey
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        actual lol

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      2. SOM.... This is Fellaini�…
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        hehe

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      3. Lewis - Sky Pod
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        excellent.

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    2. King Eric, in America
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Symbolic of his pissy attitude towards everyone/everything.

      He's truly despicable.

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  19. Mr Anonymous
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    I have a feeling Rooney is going to run riot against West Brom. They had one of the worst defensive records last season, so I can easily see him netting 2+ with the supplies coming from Nani/Young/Valencia/Park. He's the only sure-fire captain for GW1 in my opinion.

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    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Damn, you've got me wondering about Rooney now. Still, I don't see why Van Persie (my current £12m pick) can't run riot at Newcastle.

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    2. NeedleVor
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      You could argue that any Man City forward player would make a more suitable captain choice for the first gameweek.

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      1. King Eric, in America
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        True, but tougher to predict (for city)

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    3. Bigo1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      +1. I have Roon as a differential, will probably switch to VP on GW4 (I can see him scoring well at OT vs Tot/Ars, two fairly poor defenses away)

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  20. berba is class
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Given

    Orr Rafael Kompany

    Taarabt Ben Arfa Lampard Duff Silva

    Rooney Bent

    SUBS Ruddy Graham Wes Brown Simpson
    PLEASE RATE MY TEAM
    CHEERS LADS

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    1. Holy See
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      6/10

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      1. berba is class
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Why only 6 ???

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        1. Holy See
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          Don't fancy Ruddy, Orr, Rafael (potential ratation), Brown (potentially crap), so not crazy bout GK & DEFs. Heard Barfa was injured for start of season (?), I think Duff is gettin a bit past it. All in all I think there are better options in alot of those positions. Given, Kompany & Rooney, no complaints there tho πŸ˜€

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  21. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Brilliant fron Suarez and Forlan! πŸ˜€

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    1. Cymro
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      A nation of 3.5 million people. Awesome.

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  22. Cymro
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    3-0 Forlan. Suarez assist again

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  23. abatoirnoises
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Al-Habsi, Given

    Rafael, Hutton, Jose Enrique, O'Shea, Shawcross

    Murphy, Albrighton, O'Hara, Walcott, Ramires

    Rooney, Van Persie, Ba
    Back to the drawing board?

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  24. Scroobius Mac
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    So Taarabt's staying is he? That changes everything. What do people think of the following:
    Given Kenny
    Cashley Kompany Hughes Simpson Brown
    VDV Lamps Taarabt O'Hara Sessegnon
    Holt Zamora Bent

    Feel like I'm missing out on having Rooney/RVP up front but can't stretch it that far.

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    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Like it πŸ™‚

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    2. Call Me Old Fashioned
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      perhaps VDV downgrade to fund rooney/rvp. Then try to get VDV post GW7?

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      1. Scroobius Mac
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Hmm I just think with the pricing of the midfielders that I'd rather have the extra funds for switching to Silva/Liverpool MFer if that seems like a good idea. Same argument can be made about switching to Rooney/RVP though.

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        1. Call Me Old Fashioned
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          just depend on who you think will score better VDV, RVP or rooney. I fancy RVP as he proved in DGW last year against lpool and spurs he got a good haul, though that may change depending on Fab/Nasri..

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  25. Call Me Old Fashioned
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Cech Ruddy
    Rafael Kompany Hughes Orr Simpson
    Malouda Yaya O'Hara Tarrabt Dyer
    RVP Zamora Suarez
    0.5m spare

    Obviously this depends on if Rafael holds RB spot, if not Cech/Ruddy can be a <10m combo and Rafael to Luiz/Cole.
    Thoughts?

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    1. Scroobius Mac
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Not a fan of Rafael just yet, would wait a couple of weeks to see if he's first choice. Cashley and Given/Kenny would be better than Rafael and Cech/Ruddy imo.

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      1. Call Me Old Fashioned
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah my final choice will be made after charity shield. I was just toying with ways to gets City/chelsea mid and defence cover. I had given/al habsi with cole. Which 4.5 rotates better with given, kenny or al habsi?

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    2. NeedleVor
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      So many teams, so little time to take it all in! πŸ™‚

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  26. yeates45
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    RTM please...

    Given, Kenny

    Hughes, Kompany, Samba, Figueroa, Simpson

    Silva, Lampard, Murphy, Taarabt, Ben Arfa

    Rooney, Zamora, Rodallega

    I am awaiting to see if Luiz will play first team for chelsea if so:

    Lampard for Malouda and Figueroa for Luiz

    What do you think?

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    1. Call Me Old Fashioned
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      all bases seemed covered here, only question mark is murphy imo

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      1. yeates45
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Murphy I chose him due to the fact he takes pens and free kicks...

        I've got £6.5m if I take out Murphy....

        Albrighton or Gamst Pedersen

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        1. Call Me Old Fashioned
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 6 months ago

          I think Albrighton, O'Hara, Sessegnon, Barton are good options at that price. Dont touch MGP, he didnt play much under Kean, I had him in my 15 to much frustration at back end of season.

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          1. Call Me Old Fashioned
            • 15 Years
            14 years, 6 months ago

            didnt know that about murphy actually :S

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    2. yeates45
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Or GW1 play VDV ahead of Lampard leaving 2m in the bank for a 2GW change...

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  27. Shakey
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Nice goal by Gabby Logan.

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  28. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Just wondering wat players are most common in everyones team....and wat is the best choose players to bring into a team

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    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Go to transfers and select 'teams selected by %'

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      1. damiang2233
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        i know that but i was just asking people personal view

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    2. Locarno
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      πŸ™„

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  29. Tight Arsene
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    MOTO GP BBC2 now.

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  30. Demí
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 6 months ago

    Seen this Attila:

    http://www.mirrorfootball.co.uk/news/Newcastle-defender-Jose-Enrique-uses-twitter-to-launch-attack-on-transfer-policy-article775735.html?utm_source=footballURLs&utm_medium=twitter

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    1. Shakey
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      He's just upset because no one wants to pay his silly wage demands.

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    2. ToonTom
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 6 months ago

      Some of it doesnt make sense alas. The guy is very good, but too big for his boots. Hes only just rejoined twitter too!

      Fair play if he wants to go to a bigger club, just do it so we can get a replacement in!

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      1. Attila the Bum
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 6 months ago

        Agree with this.

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