Fixtures
10 July 2016 1428 comments
Paul Paul
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Having started our series of budget rotation articles with a look at what’s on offer from Burnley and West Brom and Hull and Middlesbrough, we now focus on the merits of a Bournemouth and Watford pairing that alternates home/away over all 38 Gameweeks of the upcoming campaign.

The Fixtures

Both sides survived the step up from the Championship last season, with the Hornets’ defence proving far more impressive.

Watford racked up eight clean sheets at home, on a par with Tottenham and bettered only by United, Arsenal and Leicester in 2015/16.

Their defence was breached just 19 times at Vicarage Road, which was the fifth-most resilient home record, though on their travels, it was a different matter altogether – Watford kept just three away shut-outs and shipped 31 goals by comparison.

The departure of Quique Sanchez Flores will force a re-assessment of their main men, though, as the Hornets become used to the tactics of new manager Walter Mazzarri.

Bournemouth, it’s fair to say, struggled at the back in their first year in the top-flight. Eddie Howe’s men managed just seven clean sheets all season – four at home and three away – and ultimately conceded 67 goals in 2015/16, a tally superior only to relegated Villa. If they are to be seriously considered as a potential rotation option, the Dean Court club will need to step up their level of resilience.

Nonetheless, the duo have potential as a rotation option. By selecting the side with the “easier” fixture, you’d face just four of last year’s top eight all the way up to Gameweek 20, when the second wildcard of the season will be available.

The fact that this occurs three times in the first five fixtures (including two home encounters with United and a visit from Chelsea) may deter many from initially eyeing up this combination but, aside from a home match against Leicester in Gameweek 16, the schedule still looks promising in spite of the fact that only seven of the remaining 16 matches (cpl, WBA, bur, BOU, HUL, swa, HUL, SUN, sto, STO, wba, bur, sun, CPL, swa, sto) would be at home.

Indeed, this combination looks like one to bear in mind for the second half of the season. From Gameweek 21 onwards, the more favourable fixture is considered at home in 16 of the 18 cases (MID, WAT, CPL, BUR, MCI, wba, SOT, WHM, SWA, SUN, WBA, CHE, SWA, MID, sun, STO, BUR, MCI).

If you’re looking to research further on rotation pairs, as mentioned in a previous article, we’ve introduced a new feature for members this season to help analyse potential fixture pairings via the Season Ticker. By selecting any team and hitting “sort by rotation”, the ticker now ranks those teams most appropriate for rotation with the highlighted team over the Gameweek range you choose to display. You can apply this using both the attacking and defence filters to analyse rotation pairings at both ends of the pitch.

The Defence

Watford
Heurelho Gomes looks nailed-on between the sticks. The Brazilian made more saves than any keeper in the top-flight, including a trio of penalty stops, and may well be in line for a slight price rise up to 5.0 this term.

Our assessment of Watford’s defenders may ultimately be determined by Mazzarri’s tactical approach. Should the Italian operate with a 3-5-2 formation, the likes of Jose Holebas and Allan Nyom could be utilised as wing-backs, which should benefit their prospects of attacking returns.

Holebas, in particular, could be one to watch – his frequency of both shots and key passes was far quicker than Nyom’s last term and the Greek international could have the chance to prove himself, with former loanee Nathan Ake no longer at the club.

Elsewhere in defence, Flores’ chopping and changing meant that Craig Cathcart was the only Watford defender to start more than 30 league matches in 2015/16 and therefore led the way overall for Clearances, Blocks and Interceptions.

Both Miguel Britos and Sebastian Prodl will also be looking to resurrect their careers under Mazzarri though the arrival of Christian Kabasele looks ominous for their prospects unless Watford move to three at the back. The new boy seems poised to become a regular in the upcoming campaign and carries a much-need goal threat from the back that may well see him leap onto our radars – he netted four times for Genk in the Belgian top-flight last term and his aerial menace is clearly worth monitoring.

Bournemouth
Whereas Gomes led the way for saves between the posts, Artur Boruc sat just twelfth in the pecking order. The Pole missed six matches through injury and remains Eddie Howe’s number one for the season ahead – although he made a couple of spot-kick stops, he looks a far less enticing option than the likes of Gomes, Vito Mannone and Tom Heaton for save point potential.

Howe’s tendency to name a settled back-four whenever possible lessens the likelihood of rotation in the Bournemouth defence. The versatile Simon Francis started all 38 matches last year, with Charlie Daniels (37 starts) and Steve Cook (36 starts) not far behind and all three are expected to retain their roles next time out.

Howe’s use of Francis (who earned four assists last year) could influence how we assess the best route into the Cherries’ backline. Having started last season at right-back, his appeal was diminished by a shift to centre-half, though the return from injury of Tommy Elphick late in the campaign allowed Francis to revert back to the flank. Elphick’s summer departure to Villa has been offset by the loan arrival of Nathan Ake, who is versatile enough to be stationed at centre-half, allowing Francis to take up the right-back berth again. Ake could also be fielded at left-back or central midfield and may also be one to keep an eye on.

Daniels, meanwhile, arrived on our radars midway through last season and went on to serve up three goals and five assists. Callum Wilson’s recovery from injury will likely deny him spot-kick duties, though, which is something to consider bearing in mind that two of his strikes were penalties in 2015/16.

Cook could prove a real under the radar option. Second only to Virgil van Dijk for successful headers last season, he found the net on four occasions and also finished runner-up for Clearances, Blocks and Interceptions (CBI) amongst all Premier League defenders – if Howe’s side can step up their resilience, then, Cook could emerge as their key defensive asset.

In terms of FPL prices for the year ahead, Watford’s total of 11 clean sheets – bettered by just six other sides and on a par with Liverpool, West Brom and West Ham – could potentially see their backline regulars slightly rise to 5.0. The likes of Cook and possibly Daniels could also be subject to a price hike in line with their attacking output, though you should still be able to snap up a budget combination at 9.0 or 9.5.

The Attack

Watford
As the only two players to net more than twice for the Hornets last term, Odion Ighalo and Troy Deeney are the standout candidates in the final third.

After scoring 14 times in the first 19 Gameweeks, Ighalo netted just twice in the second half of the season, whereas Deeney seemed to settle more as the campaign unfolded and ended with 13 goals to his name. Both will be set for a price hike to around the 7.5 mark in 2016/17, with Deeney’s spot-kick duties perhaps swaying the interest in his direction.

New signings Isaac Success and Jerome Sinclair will be tasked with bringing more goal threat to a side that tucked away just 9% of their chances last season – the fourth-lowest conversion rate in the top-flight.

The latter is unproven at this level, whilst Success arrives on the back of six goals for Grenada last year and is expected to be stationed out wide if Watford opt for a 4-2-3-1 set-up. If listed as a forward, though, his appeal looks limited, whilst the first five fixtures (sot, CHE, ARS, whm, MUN) is likely to deter most from eyeing up the Hornets attack at the outset.

Bournemouth
Reports on Thursday indicate that Howe has had a bid accepted for Jordon Ibe, which certainly underlines his willingness to compensate for the loss of Matt Ritchie to Newcastle, given that the Scot sat first for attempts on goal and second for key passes last year.

Despite a lack of dead-ball duties, Ibe bettered Ritchie for minutes per key pass (63.3 to 74.5), though was slightly slower (43.7 minutes to 40.6) when it came to frequency of attempts on goal.

Ibe would be favourite to be stationed on the right, with Max Gradel expected to line up on the opposite flank. The Ivorian arrived at Dean Court on the back of 17 strikes for Saint Etienne but his campaign was disrupted by a serious knee injury last time out and limited him to just a single strike. On the upside, he should be no more than 6.0 and is one to monitor in the mid-price bracket.

The recent acquisition of Lewis Cook from Leeds adds to Howe’s options in midfield, though a goal and two assists over 43 appearances in the Championship last season is far from persuasive.

In terms of frequency of shots and key passes, Junior Stanislas was quicker than any Cherries attacker last year, though having started just 17 times last term – mainly as a result of Gradel’s absence – he may struggle to find a place in Howe’s XI.

Like Gradel, Callum Wilson was also stuck on the sidelines for much of last season. After scoring five times in six matches, the frontman succumbed to a cruciate ligament injury that kept him out of contention until April. With a full pre-season behind him, the former Coventry man will be looking to prove himself again and, with spot-kick duties in hand, looks one of the front-runners for the budget forward slot.

Josh King and Benik Afobe are likely to battle it out for a starting berth, depending on whether Howe opts for a 4-4-1-1 or 4-4-2. King, in particular, could be handy option if classified as a midfielder again, though, like Stanislas, he may have to rely on injuries to others to nail down a regular role in Howe’s XI.

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1,428 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. KingZamalek
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Play one of Pogba, Giroud, Umtiti?

    1. gazza0088
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Giroud

      1. KingZamalek
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Thanks! Who do you think will score more points: Pogba or Umtiti?

        1. gazza0088
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Umtiti most likely 6, Pogba most likely 3 but with a higher potential for more. So if you're chasing someone, I'd select Pogba, if you're happy with a safer 6 points choose Umtiti.

  2. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    best C

    1. cr7
    2.payet
    3.griezman
    4.giru

    1. KingZamalek
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Grizzly man

    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      😆

  3. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Nani over Giroud. If Giroud scores surely one of my French players would have assisted the goal. Trying to protect a ML lead.

    Rui Patricio
    Guerreiro Koscielny Sagna
    Matuidi Payet Pogba Renato Sanches
    Nani Griezmaan (C) Ronaldo

    Bench: Lloris, Evra, Fonte, Joao Mario

    1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      I'm protecting a 17 point lead..I'm going giroud

  4. 32chickens
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Negredo to middlesboro
    Could be tasty with unfinished business

    1. Trigg ⭐️
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Always rated him. Really hope we get him!

  5. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Just put fifty quid on Pepe red card, printing euros......

  6. 1justlookin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    last question, is Guerreiro the best POR Defender to have?

    1. Meinhoff
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Yup

  7. BB-8
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Re post-
    Play Pepe or Sanches? Starting Guerreiro

    1. nevins84
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Id go sanch pepe a yc magnet

    2. BlzE_94
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      I'm playing Cedric over Sanches....starting Guerreiro too.

    3. gazza0088
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      sanches

  8. nevins84
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Whos on penos for france

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Greasy person

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Griz

    3. Critical Observer
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Griezmann

      1. Critical Observer
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        A fairly predictable peno-shooter, mind

    4. Trigg ⭐️
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      They got one in their last game, how bad is your memory? 😆

      1. nevins84
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Hahaha thats right panicking here lol

  9. Hibbo
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    France are a real prime example of the development of a tournament team throughout a competition.

    Umtiti, Sissoko, Giroud & Griezmann as a two, Pogba playing in the pivot, Payet playing the 10, Kante dropping out.

    Great balls by Deschamps too change it up many don't and die on their own sword.

  10. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    How many FK's will Ronnie blast against the wall or fire into row Z?

  11. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Going for a 4 (FRA) & 2 (POR) split in defence. Would I be best going for Patricio over Lloris and picking French back four? Feeling there should be more save points on offer

    1. Trigg ⭐️
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Good logic.

      I'd go France back 4 and Guerreiro. Decent attacking potential there, too.

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Do you think France will get a CS?

    3. JÆKS ⭐
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Yes

  12. Johnny Drama
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Sagna or Sissoko?

  13. Red Reddington ⚽
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Renato, Mario or Adrien? Choose 2.

    1. Johnny Drama
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Renato Adrien

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      RM

    3. Invincibles
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Rm

  14. Baby Cuties
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    More attacking threat:

    Sagna or Evra?
    Soares or Guerreiro?

    1. ..RL..
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Sagna and Guerriero

  15. 420king
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    A) 4 french defenders, Pogba, Giroud
    B) 5 french defenders, Joao Mario, Giroud
    C) 5 french defenders, Pogba, Nani

    i'm chasing 3 pts and scared rival will go with 4 french defenders

    1. Invincibles
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Considering 5F too, which French mids/forwards you have?

      1. 420king
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        Payet and Griezmann the only 2, room for just one more

  16. Invincibles
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Repost:
    Trailing by 12 pts, assuming my ML leader plays a generic team, what sort of team should I pick?

    Currently have:

    Loris
    Sagna evra kosc guerr
    Pogba payet mario
    Giru Ron Griez(c)

    Another French def and bank on a cs?
    Any Suggestions?

  17. ..RL..
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    433 with Sanches in and Fonte/Cedric left out
    OR
    523 dropping Sanches and playing both Fonte and Cedric?

  18. Just A Hat
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    FPL to open in 25 minutes for a laugh

    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Was thinking the same.....would be Lukaku levels of trolling if they did 😀

      1. Just A Hat
        • 17 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        😀 the chaos would take FFS down

  19. KingZamalek
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Basically went for the french starting XI except:

    Guerreiro > Umtiti
    Sanches > Matuidi
    Ronaldo > Sissoko

    1. Invincibles
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Think nearly all will do this, concerned as I'm chasing a lead

  20. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    a) 5-2-3 with Guerrero
    b) 4-3-3 with Sanches

  21. Gazpilicueta
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    final lineups?

  22. BENOIT
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Pick one to start:

    A.) Joao Mario
    B.) Matuidi
    C.) Pepe
    D.) Sagna

    1. KingZamalek
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Sagna

  23. Frank Black
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Shocked that Lucas Silva has been forced to retire at 23 for heart problems.

    1. Bun Rab
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Same for James Taylor at 26. Crazy.

      http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cricket/36024253

    2. Somalion
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Yep, but better off in the long run. Must have been the medical at Sporting which caught it. Could be a very lucky boy.

  24. Invincibles
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Chasing 10 pts, 5 French def and giroud (c)?

  25. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Okay last question - Sanches or Joao Mario to start? Here's the squad currently:

    Lloris
    Koscielny - Sagna - Guerreiro
    Sissoko - Payet - Pogba - Sanches
    Griezmann (c) - Giroud - Ronaldo

    Patricio - Joao Mario - Cedric - Fonte

    1. BENOIT
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      More teams will probably have Sanches.

      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        Good point - cheers

  26. MGD
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    How can you see rival teams?

    Quick reply if possible ,thanks 🙂

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Click on team.

      1. MGD
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        I only get previous round points. Is that because he hasnt made changes yet or do i have to click something else?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 17 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          Can't see most probably then.

        2. Lone Wolf FPL
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 day ago

          they wait like you

    2. 420king
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      not possible

      1. MGD
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 day ago

        yeah i think its like that... Can't see any subs, even of those that i know have made them.

        Too bad...

    3. Jbuckl1878
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      You can only see them once the matchday starts in between games and as this is the only game in the matchday you can't

  27. Why Always Me
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Payet captain if I'm chasing? 7 points behind

  28. BENOIT
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    I've got a couple of spare transfers, worth doing Fonte -----> Cedric ???

    1. MGD
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Cedric more dangerous upfront imo

  29. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 day ago

    Hoping to see lots of Griezmann (c)s in my mini league!

    1. BENOIT
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 day ago

      Leading then?