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14 October 2016 2519 comments
J0E J0E
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Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Arctic_Orangutans
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A. Snoddy & Mustafi
    B. Cazorla & Baines

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Cecil The Lion
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    3. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

      1. Arctic_Orangutans
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thought so guys cheers!

    4. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  2. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Who would you bench out of Holebas, Baines or Walker?

    1. BabyB
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Baines

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Baines or Holebas

    3. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      baines

    4. Margarido
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Baines...

    5. mad_beer ✅
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Baines as much as it might feeel wrong.

    6. Jude Rooney
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Holebas

    7. Jude Rooney
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      What happened to the never bench never captain mantra?

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        He lost it.

        1. Jude Rooney
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          When and why?

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Getting old.

            1. Jude Rooney
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              Still quality

    8. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks, guess I should just sell him.

    9. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Baines

    10. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not worried about Walker rotation? Trippier will play either this one or next surely.

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Hard to control that.

  3. YouReds
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Last spot up front...
    A) Tekkers
    B) Deeney?

    I'm torn :/

    1. Cecil The Lion
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  4. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Lallana to Walcott?

    1. YouReds
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah, or Son

      1. The_FF_King
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks 🙂

        1. Arctic_Orangutans
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Only reason I haven't got son is cos of his returns once Kane is back

  5. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Bench one...

    A) Williams

    B) Capoue

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Williams

    2. Cecil The Lion
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  6. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Sterling
    Sell or keep?

    Thanks

    1. Cecil The Lion
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep

    2. _Freddo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Would you have sold if he wasn't 'injured'?

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yes quite possibly to free up cash.
        I want a Spurs defender

        1. _Freddo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Don't be scared to sell then, I wanted to last week and his former trapped me, Firmino (the player I wanted) scored much better, go for it and ignore group think.

          1. Weasel Boy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Thanks F Soc.
            Tempted by Walcott or Son.

            1. _Freddo
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              Both very low risk imo as both are in good for just like him.

              1. _Freddo
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                9 years, 5 months ago

                *form

    3. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks.
      Think ill save FT this week

    5. FPL_DON
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      sell

  7. Cecil The Lion
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone tempted by an OOP PVA?

    1. mad_beer ✅
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      If it happens.

    2. rocky7st
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      If they had any chance of CS certainly would be. McNair could be an OOP too.

      1. Jude Rooney
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Bit different though

        1. Cecil The Lion
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          This. PVA actually scores goals...when he plays as a defender. As an out-and-out winger classified as a defender he could be gold

          1. Jude Rooney
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Exactly

  8. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Repost

    Hey guys would love some help on these 2 questions

    1. Valencia ---> Vert for free or save and have 2FT next week? (Cant get Arsenal def)

    2. If save start 3 of?

    A) Valencia
    B) Williams
    C) Collins
    D) Evans

    Cheers

    1. Lav
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Go Vert then play Collins and Evans with him

    2. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      1

    3. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Go Vert

  9. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pick one: Stones, Valencia or Holebas?

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Stones

    2. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      To play this weekend?

      Holebas

  10. adam28193
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Evening lads can I get some thoughts please?

    Foster (Pickford)

    Baines, bellerin, friend (Shaw, Amat)

    capoue, Firmino, Sanchez (C), Antonio, sterling

    Lukaku, Aguero

    1. adam28193
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Thinking of doing Shaw and Antonio > holebas and son and play holebas instead of baines?

    2. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep Antonio

  11. gribude
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Bellerin C madness?

    1. Jude Rooney
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yep

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Why?

        1. Jude Rooney
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Aguero and Sanchez both have decent home games and happen to be the best 2 players in the league

          1. Epic Fail
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Doesn't matter if they are the best players in the league. What matters is fantasy points. Being the best player in the league won't get Kun clean sheet points like it can for Bellerin.

            1. Jude Rooney
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              That makes no sense sorry

              1. Epic Fail
                • 15 Years
                9 years, 5 months ago

                Why not? You're saying that those 2 players are the best players in the league. But FPL doesn't care about that. Bellerin can get FPL points that Kun can't, no matter how good he is.

                1. Jude Rooney
                  • 13 Years
                  9 years, 5 months ago

                  Obviously but we are talking about captain choices here

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yes and no.
      If I'd captained Kosc last GW I'd have 15 extra pounts. 🙁

      1. adam28193
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Just enjoying boasting are we?

  12. fedolefan
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Bolasie likely to drop 0.1 and Snodgrass likely to rise 0.1?

    1. Jude Rooney
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      And?.......

  13. Petr Cech the Table
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pickford or Grant.

    Butland is due back next month. I'm on a WC.

    1. rocky7st
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Pickford, Grant definitely will lose his spot.

    2. Jude Rooney
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Both

  14. rocky7st
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    a) Lukaku, Snodgrass (or 6.2 mid), Capoue, Heaton (3-4-3)
    b) Diomande, Sterling, Walcott, Grant (3-5-2)

    Have Pickford as other GK and Deeney as 2nd striker.

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  15. JonnyOnionRings
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Ozil and Antonio TO Wally and Alli?

    1. mad_beer ✅
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Very sideways. No.

  16. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Hoping for more than 5 points from my defence this week

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      im hoping for 3

    2. mad_beer ✅
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Having Love and Amat doesn't help.

    3. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      That would be a game changing week.

      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I've been averaging 4

    4. Brayden29
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Tough week for my defence as well

    5. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      If I get more than 10 points from my defence I'd be happy

  17. Petr Cech the Table
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    How to improve WC team.

    Forster - Pickford
    Stones - Vertonghen - Williams - Koscielny - Amat
    Son - Capoue - Firmino - Allen - Sanchez
    Aguero (C) - Benteke - Deeney

    No money in the bank.

    1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not the best. Far too much spent on defence. Downgrade one of your heavy defenders and upgrade Allen.

    2. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Don't like Forster as a pick either, especially with saints fixtures.

    3. Haggis
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I get the paradigm change in defense budget, but this is a bit over the top IMHO.

      Downgrade Stones and/or Williams to Smith/Pieters/Holebas and upgrade Allen (which is uncertain to start)

      1. Petr Cech the Table
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks for feedback everyone.

    4. Emp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      downgrade williams to love , forster to grant and upgrade capoue to walcott.... you can thank me later 🙂

    5. Krafty Werks
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Forster > Boruc, Williams > Smith, Allen > Snodgrass.

  18. Margarido
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Getting Mustafi in!
    Lets hope Ozil/Cazorla can pick him in the 6 yard box 🙂

  19. Lav
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    GTG?

    Pick
    Vert Reid Friend
    Sanchez(c) Sterling Firm Snody Capoue
    Aguero Teke

    Subs: Foster Kaku Williams Wilson

  20. Jehstafari
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Is this a worthwhile WC chaps?

    Foster Heaton
    Valencia Stones Friend Amat Evans
    Sanchez Hazard Townsend Capoue Kante
    Costa Aguero Benteke

    to

    Jakupovic Pickford
    Bellerin Stones Pieters Holebas Amat
    Sanchez Walcott Coutinho Snodgrass Marney
    Costa Aguero Benteke

  21. Emp
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Im in a right mess have left myself with a very weak bench pls help:
    Pick Jaku
    Bruce Amat Galloway Valencia Williams
    Sanchez theo lallana Firm Antonio
    Kun Luk Anichebe

    1ft 1.0 itb
    Bruce and Anichebe are bench fodder who wont play just to strectch funds looks like galloway out of favour and lallana starting risk.

    Keeping all that in mind:
    a) Galloway to pieters
    b) galloway to pieters valencia to rose/walker/bel (-4)
    c) galloway top pieters, williams to rose/walker/mustafi
    d) Galloway to pieters lallana to son (-4)
    e) lallana to snoddy , galloway and valencia to walker and belerin (-8)
    Cheers!

  22. GS456
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Some late help please folks.
    Currently...
    Heaton
    Bellerin, Stones, Walker
    Firmino, Capoue, Sanchez (C), Antonio
    Aguero, Costa, Lukaku.

    Subs: Pickford, Bolasie, Evans, Amat

    a) Hold ft?
    b) Bolasie > Snoddy
    c) Capoue > Allen
    d) Evans > Peiters

    1. Emp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      d)

      1. Emp
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        oh waiot you not playing evans so a) or capoue to snod if you can

    2. Margarido
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Would play Bolasie and save

      1. GS456
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah going too save thanks all.

  23. Pigsinblankets
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Foster
    Walker, Williams, Holebas
    Sanchez, Firmino, Antonio, Capoue, Sterling
    Aguero, Lukaku

    2.2 ITB

    A) Williams -> Kosc
    B) Save the FT?

  24. Le _ Professeur
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Captain 🙂 ?

    A) Walcott
    B) Redmond

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Petr Cech the Table
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      You still have Redmond?

      A for sure.

  25. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Aren't WBA a bit of a bogey team for Spurs?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah, especially Kane.

      1. Jonty Rhodes
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Can you advise me please. Slightly controversial preferences to save price losses - i wanna keep hazard and collins as active players - hoping their price rises will come soon

        FT 1) Valencia for Mustafi (my preference - just need someone to support)
        FT 2) Ibra for Deeney (my preference - just his yellow cards are worry)
        -4 Transfer 3) Januzaj for Snodgrass (my preference as I can get Mane for Chadli next GW) or Mane

        Team:
        Pickford (Foster)
        Baines, Collins, Valencia (Mc Auley, Amat)
        Hazard, Antonio, Capoue (Chadli, Januzaj)
        Aguero (c), Ibrahim (vc), Lukaku

        0.1 ITB. 2 FT left!

  26. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Does it really matter if I blow my AOA now? All my defenders play against big teams

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Was thinking the same myself

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      No

    3. _Freddo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      No, it's a useless chip.

    4. Virgil Hilts
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Bit of a pointless chip really.

      Maybe just maybe when all your defenders are suspended or injured you might use it.

      I've set myself a target of never using it, out of principle, then writing a strongly worded letter of complaint to FPL Towers when it's not carried over to next season.

  27. mad_beer ✅
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Capoue and Ighalo to Wilson and Snoddy. Yes or no?

    1. Margarido
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      insta 🙂

      Really, Ighalo not the same…
      And he is playing wide left.

      1. mad_beer ✅
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks dude.

    2. Haggis
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Hell yeah!

  28. Margarido
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    If you would pick a BOU midfielder for their good run…

    Josh or Jack?

  29. Virgil Hilts
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Raheem Sterling THE most likely player to drop in price tonight out of 589 Fantasy Players, according to http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk

    World's gone mad.

    Funnily enough, I'm an owner.

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      People just see the yellow flag

    2. mad_beer ✅
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep the faith dude. I have.

  30. Concrete
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Anything worth a hit?

    Heaton
    Baines Mustafi Holebas
    Sanchez Firmino Antonio Snodgrass
    Aguero Lukaku Rashford

    Pickford Capoue Evans Amat