Opinion
28 October 2016 1808 comments
J0E J0E
Share:

Sergio Aguero is a white knight for Fantasy Football managers, always there to salvage a dire Gameweek with his goals.

Over the last two seasons, he has amassed a total of 50 strikes in the Premier League and already has two double-digit Fantasy Premier League point hauls in this campaign.

Above all, he scored a sensational nine goals across two unforgettable Gameweek 8 fixtures in 2014/15 and 2015/16, turning our seasons on their heads.

But after averaging a mere point per match across his last three Gameweeks and with speculation surrounding Pep Guardiola’s relationship with the striker, doubts are setting in.

With this in mind we ask the Burning Question – should we even consider ignoring a fit Sergio Aguero?

Simon March (2014/15 FPL Champion) says….

My dad is playing Fantasy Football for the first time this season and, while chatting about his team last weekend, he told me he was planning on transferring Aguero out, grumbling about his recent poor scores and apparent lack of value for money.

Almost by reflex, I launched into a lengthy lecture about how Aguero is the “best player in the game”, that he’s capable of scoring five goals in a single match, and, with his ever-high ownership, it’s sometimes too dangerous to even consider not captaining Aguero, let alone not having him at all.

“Owning Aguero”, I confidently declared, “is basically the cost of entry in Fantasy Football”.

As soon as the words left my mouth, though, I was hit by the memory of having said something similar about Eden Hazard early last season.

Admittedly not without good reason, Hazard had, after all, been the top-scoring player the previous season, but, on reflection, I kept faith with him a few Gameweeks too long, all despite his obviously miserable form.

It’s true that my season didn’t really get going last year until I eventually ditched him. So I wonder now if it’s ever really sensible to declare anyone ‘untouchable’, even Aguero.

But are the situations really comparable?

Yes we’ve experienced a notable drop in returns from Aguero in recent weeks but, unlike Chelsea last season, Man City aren’t currently in the midst of an epic meltdown.

Aguero will continue to get chances and, if he gets chances, he will eventually get goals. With Middlesbrough and Crystal Palace among a few decent upcoming fixtures for City and Aguero, you have to believe that this will happen sooner rather than later.

I can’t help thinking that Aguero has, in recent weeks, encountered a ‘perfect storm’ of momentum-stalling events; form-interrupting suspension, fatigue-inducing international trips leading to inconsistent starts and a succession of fixtures against three of the best defences in the league.

His returns have dipped, but with these hurdles seemingly behind him, I’m reasonably confident that Sergio will get his groove back soon. So I’ll be keeping hold, for the time being at least.

Jonty says….

To see if Aguero’s lack of Fantasy returns is indicative of poor form or just bad luck, I thought I’d delve a little deeper into his statistics using the Members Area Comparison Tool.

For this exercise, I compared his first three matches, where he scored three times, with those three, recent dire games.

In terms of goal attempts, he’s still doing fine, averaging four a game over his recent barren spell, compared to five over the start. But here’s the key factor, just 2.7 of those were in the box in the last three matches, compared to 4.3 early on this season.

Clearly, Pep Guardiola’s instructions for Aguero to broaden his game are working, to the detriment of close range shooting.

There’s further bad news.

He’s not proficient at creating chances and providing those killer passes for team-mates to score from.

Crossing, through balls, chances created and passing are all down over the latest three matches. This is worrying as, even without that close range shooting. it doesn’t look like we will have assist potential to fall back on.

Another factor to consider is that Aguero’s slump in form could be part of a wider malaise across the City squad. This is certainly a view backed by community regular F Society among others earlier in the week.

City and Aguero may well see an upturn in form, which offers hope to his owners. The Argentine’s accuracy is another cause for optimism.

Over the last three matches, half his shots have been on target, compared to just a third during those first three lucrative games.

But for 13 million, we don’t want doubts and questions marks, particularly when Harry Kane is due to return for Spurs soon with a far lower price tag.

Another blank against West Brom and I’ll be seriously considering transferring him out, focusing my City cash on Kevin De Bruyne.

Paul says…

For a number of seasons, Aguero – when fit – has been proven royalty across the Fantasy games.

So far, this year hasn’t been about his fitness.

Three sub appearances in a run of four matches would have been inconceivable during his time under Roberto Mancini or Manuel Pellegrini, yet it’s a situation we’re facing up to just two months into the Pep Guardiola era.

You can point to his unparalleled statistics over the last few years – but those were not under Guardiola.

The new manager wants a different Sergio from the one we’ve become accustomed to.

He needs his frontman to harass and press and track back to win possession from opponents. Perhaps that stray elbow into the face of Winston Reid back in Gameweek 3 was the first crack of frustration.

Yes, Aguero didn’t see red at the time and was banned retrospectively, but there’s no doubt that it was a highly unusual act from a player who has never been sent off for City.

Of course, he will continue to score when given a chance. His talent and ability to put the ball in the back of the net isn’t in question.

Perhaps, as City become more familiar with Guardiola’s approach, the Argentine will remain as essential as ever.

There is no question this recent run of team sheets needs monitoring. There’s only so much grace that nostalgia can buy you in Fantasy football, particularly for 13 million.

Mark says…

It seems strange that, having attempted to build an ill-fated strategy without Aguero last season, now I find myself attempting to build a campaign to retain his services.

There’s no doubt that this is a testing time for Aguero as a Fantasy asset.

Forget the returns and statistics for a moment; my concerns mainly surround his relationship with his manager and the role he’s being asked to play.

As I mentioned on the ScoutCast several weeks ago, Aguero’s words on Guardiola while on duty with Argentina puzzled and worried me.

Guardiola’s response on Aguero’s reaction to criticism compounded matters.

Why did such an exchange happen in the press in an age where clubs scrutinise every breath taken by managers and players. For me, the statements made were by design – loaded with intent.

Guardiola has since expressed his belief in Aguero, but I’m not entirely confident that the striker can be Pep’s player.

We know from experience and from his recent words on the Joe Hart and Claudio Bravo, that he won’t back down – there is no compromising Pep’s masterplan.

For now, I’m holding, but only because I don’t see a major benefit in taking the risk on a potential upturn in Aguero’s output.

Until Harry Kane’s return, and there’s a major improvement in fixtures for Arsenal and Spurs in defensive terms, I can’t see myself using the Aguero funds effectively.

He’s still an attacker in potential the most attacking Premier League side, and he’s still a lethal finisher who will convert opportunities that come his way. Those are facts that have convinced me to give the situation time to heal and improve.

Eventually, should my doubts remain, I will be forced to consider selling on. For now, until the concerns escalate with another couple of blanks or worrying press, I’ll be holding.

But the exit plan is already being drafted.

1,808 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Clickzy
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Hey guys,

    Is Antonio & Defoe out for Coutinho and Wilson worth a -4 in your opinion?

    1. Tansey
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Yes for me

    2. Aubaaaaa
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Yes

  2. Tansey
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Those not captaining Alexis... what's your reason for thinking he won't score big?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Im thinking he will score big imo

    2. Henryyy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 days ago

      i think lukaku will score bigger

      1. Tansey
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Do you not reckon West Ham have tightened up a bit?

    3. Joggers Nipple
      10 years, 10 days ago

      I just think Lukkaku will get more. Its close to be fair

      1. Tansey
        10 years, 10 days ago

        You still think West Ham is an easy fixture? Not so sure after last 2 weeks

    4. Brap.
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Possible position change if Walcott out

      Last week's trolling

      1. noquarternt
        10 years, 10 days ago

        This. Wenger talking about putting Giroud back up top and Sanchez on the wing.

        1. Eze Really?
          10 years, 10 days ago

          Wenger says Giroud will have to wait for his place. Whether that includes the Wally injury though I don't know.

    5. fedolefan
      10 years, 10 days ago

      If you can't trust Alexis with the captaincy against a wretched Sunderland, you should never captain him.

      1. Nabs Kebabs
        10 years, 10 days ago

        not gonna reply last page?

    6. Rake
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Lukaku more likely to score. And seriously fed up of blanks when I captained him the last 2 times.

      1. goforgoal
        10 years, 10 days ago

        sanchez is all about the burst. he will blank 2 to 3 games then hit a brace or hat trick. standard sanchez

  3. nick_pkt_12
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Thoughts?

    A. Start Walker
    B. Start Capoue

    1. noquarternt
      10 years, 10 days ago

      lol

    2. Aubaaaaa
      10 years, 10 days ago

      A

  4. Joggers Nipple
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Excuse not looking on site, on cr@ppy phone.
    Is Walcott out long term?
    See loads getting rid, if short term seems perfect time for Capoue from the bench no?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 10 days ago

      1 GW max

    2. Brap.
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Small hammy twang, deffo fit for Tuesday

      Though with Arsenal's injury record who knows

    3. noquarternt
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Out for this weekend maybe. Wenger said he'll be back next Tuesday. Tough games coming up coinciding with Liverpool's easing probably spurring people into action.

    4. Joggers Nipple
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Thanks all. Easy hold for me.

  5. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Is it fair to say there's as much chance that Rojo will play and Shaw will miss out if Smalling fit?

    1. Netley Lucas
      10 years, 10 days ago

      I think Shaw needs this game.

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Why would Mourinho praise Rojo performance against City and drop him if fit

      1. Netley Lucas
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Yes but Rojo played CB. Shaw will start LB imho.

    3. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Blind could play LB if Smalling back and Rojo CB

      1. Netley Lucas
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Ah, I see what you're saying now. Still think it's a game Shaw needs for confidence. We'll see.

    4. BananaNose Maldonado
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Did you transfer in Rojo or not?

  6. Ravager
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Am I the only one a bit put off by Arsenal having the early kick-off?

    1. noquarternt
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Why let it cloud your thoughts?

      1. Ravager
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Lol, I've never had a big game in the first kick off. Much less a captain haul. So I'm weary...

        1. noquarternt
          10 years, 10 days ago

          There's no logical reason to be worried, so try not to let it get to you!

          1. Ravager
            10 years, 10 days ago

            True. Thanks!

    2. Brap.
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Put off what?

      1. Ravager
        10 years, 10 days ago

        San(C)hez

  7. Rolls-Royce
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Who would you play instead of Walcott:

    A. Smith
    B. Capoue

    1. noquarternt
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Smith.

  8. Siddos
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Play Lovern or Holebas?

    1. noquarternt
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Holebas

    2. Tansey
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Holebas

    3. Netley Lucas
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Holebas.

  9. PEPSIMAN
    10 years, 10 days ago

    KDB to Alxies for this week? Or keep KDB ?

    1. Brap.
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Keep

      Might not play this week but he's a G

      Unless you got 2ft then maybe twist

  10. Helia
    10 years, 10 days ago

    walcott looks to be sitting out this one yeah?

    GTG or use a FT?

    Foster
    Valencia Koscielny Williams
    Sanchez Walcott Firmino Allen
    Aguero (c) Lukaku Benteke

    pickford capoue stones amat

    1FT 0.7 itb

    a) stones > Holebas
    b) stones, benteke > deeney (c) holebas
    c) walcott > sigurdson/tadic
    d) save

    1. Dilzy
      10 years, 10 days ago

      save

      1. Helia
        10 years, 10 days ago

        yeah.. dont know why i put b and c there. its basically out of a and d. Stones looks like his going to drop which is pretty much the only reason i was considering it

    2. Hy liverpool
      10 years, 10 days ago

      wally to coutinho

      1. Helia
        10 years, 10 days ago

        i have a plan to make allen into hazard so for that to happen only can downgrade... its a good shout though, cheers

    3. Joggers Nipple
      10 years, 10 days ago

      A just looks good long term but cant see who you would drop to play him.
      Prob hold

      1. Helia
        10 years, 10 days ago

        thanks

  11. E25
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Was all set for sterling -> Cout then Walcott injury happened. Have Sanchez, firmino and capoue.

    A stick with sterling>Cout and play capoue
    B Walcott>Chadli
    C Walcott>????

    1. Helia
      10 years, 10 days ago

      a

  12. goforgoal
    10 years, 10 days ago

    cech
    bellerin pieters
    traore sanchez coutino firmino allen
    austin lukaku aguero

    subs: clyne, kingsley, love

    Is it absurd to play all out attack for traore (vs bournemouth)?

    1. Football Weekender
      10 years, 10 days ago

      I'd play Clyne over Traore.

      1. goforgoal
        10 years, 10 days ago

        lfc has failed to keep a clean sheet against palace for the past 3 seasons in the epl (home or away)

  13. Hy liverpool
    10 years, 10 days ago

    i think i'm done...good night all !

    1. Helia
      10 years, 10 days ago

      goodluck

  14. Tansey
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Coutinho or Lukaku captain?

    Everton haven't won in four games

    Coutinho's big hauls only came against a makeshift Arsenal GW1 defense and Hull

    1. liiusions
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Lukaku, you don't need Everton to win

    2. Helia
      10 years, 10 days ago

      lukaku

    3. Swan - Villa Proud
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Lukaku

    4. Football Weekender
      10 years, 10 days ago

      In my opinion Lukaku is the top captain choice of any player this GW. Great record against West Ham too.

  15. Pooodle
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Play Foster or Pickford?

    1. Aubaaaaa
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Tough choice. But if it's me, I'll play foster. Just so because I'm an Arsenal fan.

      Then again, west brom is playing at home and their defence isn't too bad. Also, they're against a man city team that hasn't won in their last 6 games in all competitions.

      1. Football Weekender
        10 years, 10 days ago

        This. Better chance of WBA keeping a cleanie. Pickford will probably make more saves though so it is a tough call.

  16. Swan - Villa Proud
    10 years, 10 days ago

    So other than your players scoring a touchdown n of points, what do you most want to see this weekend? For me...

    1) Kun's average position
    2) Saints lineup and form (who to get for Hull hunting next week)
    3) Will Jaku return?

    1. Kante Be Bothered
      10 years, 10 days ago

      1)Man Utd loose
      2) Boufal
      3) Chelsea win
      4)Arsenal

  17. ASAP Rocky
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Play Deeney or Lovren? I'm leanin' Deeney

    1. Aubaaaaa
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Deeney by a mile

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 10 days ago

      One in Scout Picks

    3. Swan - Villa Proud
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Troy

    4. Zasa
      10 years, 10 days ago

      😯

    5. Zasa
      10 years, 10 days ago

      The Deenster

    6. Football Weekender
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Play Deeney. And if you haven't got Lukaku, consider captaining him too!

    7. Brap.
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Troy "Overly-Timbered Backside" Deeney

    8. jia you
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Deeney, I have the armband on him all week so doubt that I'll change it now, GL!

  18. 50pipsDaily
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Rashford out for Austin, good to go guys?

    1. Football Weekender
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Depends on the rest of your team but that's a solid transfer. Good fixtures on the horizon for Austin too.

      1. 50pipsDaily
        10 years, 10 days ago

        I have two option Austin or Deeney dont know which one.

        Antonio, Sanchez, Coutinho, Firminho,Capou
        Costa, Aguero, Rashford*

        2fts

        1. Football Weekender
          10 years, 10 days ago

          Tough one. I think Deeney just edges it. Should see a return from him this weekend too given Hull's current whipping boy status.

  19. LOS BLANCOS
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Happy diwali to those who are celebrating

    1. Delhidynamo
      10 years, 10 days ago

      it's tomorrow man. Choti Diwali today

      1. DOG GOD IT - KEANE 16
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Happy deepavali to all celebrating ... Here in malaysia it's today

      2. LOS BLANCOS
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Oh.. but we celebrate it here from today.

    2. mipola
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Thanks and same to you!

  20. La Roja
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Any idea when Butland is back? Thinking to draft Grant in and play him

  21. Clickzy
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Austin or Wilson?

    1. Football Weekender
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Austin

    2. Kante Be Bothered
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Wilson now Austin later

  22. Dormer
    10 years, 10 days ago

    If you had Foster and Pickford and 1 FT but no money ITB would you do Foster to Heaton or Boruc? I also have no Burnley or Bouremouth defenders.

    1. Clickzy
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Heaton, he's a save machine

      1. Football Weekender
        10 years, 10 days ago

        This. Heaton will finish in the top 3 highest scoring 'keepers come the end of the season. He's fantasy gold.

    2. Moss
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Keep Foster. WBA fixtures improve soon.

    3. Amateur Pundit Zan
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Id save

    4. Joggers Nipple
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Save. Foster is just 6 points behind and end of season i predict ahead of Heaton. Pick and play every week for me

  23. JasonG123
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Good to go?
    0FT, 0.1m ITB.

    Pickford
    Mustafi Walker Holebas
    Sanchez (c) Firmino Walcott Antonio
    Aguero Lukakue (vc) Deeney

    Subs: Jakupovic // Pieters Fletcher Lenihan

    1. Football Weekender
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Good team. I'd captain Lukaku personally but you're gtg.

    2. FPLEL
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Can't find a flaw gtg

  24. Prison Mike
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Play Lovren (cry) or Williams (WHU) ?

    1. DOG GOD IT - KEANE 16
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Williams

  25. cawa_beton
    10 years, 10 days ago

    guys
    what should i use in defend
    aspi holebas shaw walker?
    walker - no doubt, other - dont now what to do...

    1. Kante Be Bothered
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Holebas Walker Azpi

  26. Kane Train
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Walcott > Firmino or Mane

    1. Kante Be Bothered
      10 years, 10 days ago

      mane

    2. FPLEL
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Mane

    3. Joggers Nipple
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Mane

  27. jia you
    10 years, 10 days ago

    With Walcott probably being rested, it will be an all out treble pronged attack on Hull by me with Denney(C). Eggs in one basket springs to mind, wish me luck!

  28. sammymitch99
    10 years, 10 days ago

    whats everyone doing with antonio? if trading who are you trading in for him!

    1. tets mcgee (Ha La Land)
      10 years, 10 days ago

      chadli in 2 weeks. crazy to sell now

  29. Poor man's Igor Biscan
    10 years, 10 days ago

    What to do with this motley crew?

    Heaton
    Kosc Kone Vertonghen
    Fletcher Firmino KDB Mane
    Kun Luk Bony

    Pickford Evans Snodgrass Amat

    1FT £0.1m

    3 transfers I want to do are:

    Bony, Vert & Snoddy > Wilson, Holebas & Siggy.

    Am thinking about saving this week and taking one hit next week to do all 3.

    Any pressing case for Wilson now this week? I figure Bony is going to troll me by finally scoring against his old club the minute I ditch him.

    Any other defenders for max 4.9? Holebas is on 4 yellows.

    Appreciate any feedback

    1. jia you
      10 years, 10 days ago

      KDB might not play so can you do the double transfer this week, keeping Bony for on last hurrah?

  30. zøphar
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Siggy for free or Alli (-4) for Walcott?