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The Complete Guide to our FPL Gameweek 13 tips and advice

Miraculously, players infected with a contagious dose of “International-itis” are making full recoveries. Is anyone really surprised? Flags have been removed for the likes of Manchester United’s Anthony Martial, Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, and Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha. However there are the odd exceptions.

It has been confirmed that Manchester City’s Benjamin Mendy is out for 10 to 12 weeks and Tottenham’s Kieran Trippier is also facing a spell on the sidelines. Fantasy managers have sold the pair en masse – the defenders have departed from over 700k FPL teams at the time of writing.

The most popular Black Friday purchases are Manchester City’s Aymeric Laporte and Liverpool duo Andrew Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold. Each one has been snapped up by over 150k new managers.

A popular choice on the site, Everton’s Lucas Digne is only the tenth most transferred in defender this week with a little over 50k new owners. This includes Joe and Az. Will they be disappointed? Or will the 2.6% owned defender prove a canny differential?

For a run down of all the latest team news Neale (aka Skonto Rigga) has put together this handy article. To further help us with our transfer decisions Neale has researched player rotation over the festive schedule last year. As we enter this famously hectic period are there any players we can rely upon to start?

The latest ‘Frisking the Fixtures’ article points to a favourable swing for Manchester United. After six goals in the last five gameweeks, the potential of Anthony Martial was discussed on this week’s Scoutcast (see 15 minutes 50 seconds), and was the subject of an excellent Hot Topic by TheFantasyFreÆK. According to the bookies’ odds article posted by circusmonkey, Martial is expected to score 7.5 points this gameweek.

The third most transferred in player this round – after Wolves’s Jiménez and Everton’s Richarlison – the Frenchman has overtaken Paul Pogba as the most owned United outfield player. It will be interesting to see which of the two takes the next penalty. United have been awarded five penalties so far this season; Pogba has taken four of them missing two, while Martial converted their most recent penalty when Pogba missed out through injury.

Bookies odds were also the subject of another community article – Expected Clean Sheets by WesMantooth. An appreciation of odds as a predictive tool, the article highlighted the good work done by G-Whizz each week with his look at clean sheet odds. This week Wolves come out on top with a 58% chance of a shut-out.

Greyhead returned with his weekly look at The Great and The Good, reflecting on the moves made by this select band of managers in Gameweek 12. Mark’s hit spree continued as he took his quota of West Ham players up to three. Fabianski and Balbuena joining Marko Arnautovic in his side.

Unsurprisingly Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah was the popular captain choice for his side’s home match against Fulham. However a much trickier choice presents itself this week. The Captain Sensible article weighs up the pros and cons of armband candidates Richarlison, Salah, and Aguero. While Joe and Neale also discuss the captaincy options in this 20 minute video.

Joe continued his excellent ‘Meet the Manager’ series interviewing financial services expert Marc Rubinstein. Discover how Marc applies risk management techniques to FPL management, an approach which has garnered three top five thousand finishes.

David followed up his insightful work from last week on where teams concede the most chances from. Part two examines the defensive weaknesses of the remaining ten teams – Leicester to Wolves – and Part three consolidates and digs deeper into the players most likely to benefit over the next six gameweeks. It’s thrown up a few expected and some unexpected names, and has certainly provided food for thought.

Neale continued David’s comparison articles from last week, examining the performances of Marcos Alonso and Mohamed Salah. Over the International Break, this series of members articles has also taken a look at Raheem Sterling, Sergio Aguero and Harry Kane. The purpose is to compare their current season with their best ever season to gauge how well they are performing and if they are providing value for money.

A selection of players who clearly haven’t provided value for money this season were the subject of an article by Tacalabala. He looked back on the traps many of us have fallen into – promising players who blanked as soon as they entered our teams.

To view all our discussions please visit our Hot Topics page, and if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our Community section to submit your article.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

COMMUNITY TOURNAMENTS

While the draw for the first round of the FFS Cup 2018/19 has taken place, fantasy managers have until 10.30am on Monday November 26 to enter their teams for the Members Cup. Details on how to enter can be found here.

Both tournaments have £300 in prizes on offer.

The FFS Manager Melee gets underway this week with the seeding round. When ‘Arry Met Sarri won the best photo competition and have been entered into pot 1.

The second FFS Charity Cup took place last weekend in Watford. A huge thank you to former Career Hall of Fame number one Peter Kouwenberg (aka MyPrettyPony) for organising everything from the venue to the format of the tournament and the post match drinks in the pub.

There were some keenly contested matches and amongst some fairly average finishing (my xG stats were impressive, my total of 0 goals less so) there were moments of sublime teamwork. At least that’s how I like to remember it.

Nearly £700 has been raised for our chosen charity – the Campaign Against Living Miserably. CALM is dedicated to preventing male suicide, the single biggest killer of men under the age of 45 in the UK. It would be great to push total closer to £1,000 – donations can still be made via our JustGiving page.

If you are running a community tournament and would like the latest scores included in future Community Round-Ups, please email us a summary of the current leaders and a link to your league, spreadsheet or head-to-head competition at geoff@fantasyfootballscout.co.uk

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside. Follow them on Twitter

1,419 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Olee
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    GTG?
    Patricio
    Laporte-Alonso-Robertson-Doherty
    Sterling-Richarlison-Hazard-Gudmumdsson
    Aguero(c)-Wilson
    Bench: Button-Arnie-Hojbjerg-AWB

    1ft, 0,8m itb

    1. Rider on the Storm
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Gtg

    2. Genji3lade
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      g2g, not tempted to captain Sterling?

      1. Olee
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Tempted yes, risk of rotation keeping me off

    3. shadeslayer
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Arnie as 1st sub

      1. Olee
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Arnie is first sub, button is a gk

  2. Genji3lade
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Have people forgotten City can score 5 against anyone? Sterling and Aguero without doubt the meta captaincy picks this week

    1. Rider on the Storm
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Salah has the potential too

    2. AuFeld
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      WHU has the worst defense at home on their left flank for chances and crosses conceded. Sterling to run havoc if he starts over Mahrez. VC Aguero.

    3. FDMS All Starz
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      So can pool tbh

  3. Rider on the Storm
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Why paterson doesnt rise more interest? He cheap, oop, in form, good fix, imune of rotation?

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Because he is Scottish 😛

    2. My Name Is Pepu
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Because he plays for Cardiff 😆

    3. FDMS All Starz
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Get him in now and watch how the rest on here rush to get him in for the Christmas period, a great enabler imo

  4. CHARLIE HULL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Pretty set of Mendy to Digne. Now to decide on one of the below for a -4:

    A) Hojberg to Martial
    B) Success to Jimenez

    Really want both but means a -8 with no Digne.

    Current team (Ryan/Button, Alonso Mendy Rob Doherty WB, Salah Haz Rich Brooks Hoj, Aguero Arnie Success)

    Cheers!

    1. Rider on the Storm
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      If -4 is required: martial
      Or just play brooks or of armie

    2. shadeslayer
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No need for a - 4

  5. wanaj84
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    sane or mahrez?
    lukaku or rashford?

    1. Rider on the Storm
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Sane
      None

  6. Chicxulub
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Am I G2G? 0.0 ITB 0 FT

    Fabianski (MCI)
    Doherty (HUD) Duffy (LEI) Digne (CAR)
    Rich (CAR) Sterling (whu) Salah (wat) Haz (tot)
    Jimenez (HUD) Aguero (whu) Arnie (MCI)

    Button (LEI) Yedlin (bur) Murphy (eve) AWB (mun)

    C: Salah
    VC: Richarlison

    Bench order and captains ok?

    1. Genji3lade
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Sterling (c) Aguero (v) imo

      1. Chicxulub
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks for the input 🙂

    2. Mr Tin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      looks good.

  7. FPLMarc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Problems with Salah:

    1) For 13m, he gets no bonuses and isn't on penalties. The only week he scored 10+, so did Mane.

    2) Liverpool's home games toughen up for a bit (EVE, MUN, NEW, ARS).

    3) Over Xmas, they face Newcastle, Arsenal and Man City. The 'easy' game will be used to rotate for the harder two, which are difficult even for Liverpool.

    So, certainly after Everton, is it time to temporarily ditch Liverpool attacking assets?

    1. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Sounds like you have made your mind up already 🙂

    2. F_Ivanovic
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Already ahead of the curve having gone for Sterling and Hazard on my WC over Salah. tbh, I wanted to fit all 3 in but there's just no way I can make it happen that I'm happy with.

    3. Jafalad
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      You are solely focused on the negatives. His stats are actually pretty good and won't be rotated. He started slow last season and he will soon click into gear.

    4. My Name Is Pepu
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      So you're telling me Everton, Newcastle and Arsenal at home are bad fixtures for Salah? 🙂

      1. FPLMarc
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Not so much Arsenal but the other two defend well - Everton held out at Chelsea and Newcastle have 3 away clean sheets.

        1. My Name Is Pepu
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Everton at the Bridge and Everton at Anfield is a mismatch comparison. Derbies are always a different ball game. You've mentioned that Newcastle have kept 3 away clean sheets so far but you never specified that those 3 clean sheets were against the mighty Cardiff lads, the free-flowing Southampton boys and the swashbuckling Eagles.

          1. FPLMarc
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            5 years, 5 months ago

            True, although Newcastle only conceded 2 to City, Chelsea and Arsenal. They'll lose but it'll never be heavy.

            1. My Name Is Pepu
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 5 months ago

              They might hold out Liverpool or they might concede 5 or just a goal or two. All I'm saying is the probability of Salah getting a haul in these fixtures is not too bad. Though, I'd agree that it's annoying that he keeps missing out on BAPS every game.

  8. FPL_Crisis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Just catching up on the manager notes post press conferences
    Surely Klopp does not rest Robbo and go with Moreno away from home
    That’s just asking for trouble

    1. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      This sounds like the logic of a Robertson owner

      1. Ady87
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        It’s the logic of anyone that has a clue about footy. Watford away isn’t the game to rest one of your best players.

      2. FPL_Crisis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Both Robbo owner and Liverpool supporter!
        Risky play away from home playing moreno EVER

    2. My Name Is Pepu
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Playing Moreno anyway, home or away is asking for trouble.

  9. amaximoment
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Is it too risky going with Milner? He's the pens taker but not a certainty to start. If I need to transfer, who for? Also feeling a Sane (C) this week with his form?

    Alisson
    Robbo Alonso Keane
    Sane Siggy Martial Milner
    Murray Kane Aguero

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I had him for weeks but got sick of the 1 pointers

      1. amaximoment
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Yeh it's just guessing the right weeks to put him in.. might switch for nuno at wolves...

  10. Ady87
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    GTG?

    Ederson
    Alonso Robertson Bennett
    Sterling(c) Hazard Martial Richarlison
    Aguero Arnautovic Wilson

    1. Genji3lade
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      GTG!

  11. HD7
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    I like that this week the Captain choice isnt so easy. Im between Salah Richa and Kun but will probably go with Mo 🙂
    How about you?

    1. Jafalad
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Salah. It's really easy. Much better away returns that Kun and Rich's underlying stats are deeply concerning.

    2. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Only 1 away return for Kun. Im backing West Ham to get a result this week

      Can someone talk me out of Martial or Doherty captain???
      Feeling bold this week.........

  12. Von Lipwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    GTG?

    Patricio
    Alonso Robbo Dunk Bennett
    Mahrez Hazard Mane Richarlison(c)
    Wilson Kun(v)

    Hamer/Arnie/AWB/Hudson-Odoi

  13. F_Ivanovic
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Best mid for 4.5 or less?

  14. Rider on the Storm
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    A Fraser+ paterson (can rotate)
    B martial + camarasa
    ?

  15. screamer73
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Guys, please suggest a budget keeper and defender for the upcoming gameweeks.

    1. korbendallas82
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      A Wan Bissaka Maby. Fixture list is looking ok, again. He is at 4.2.

  16. DavidSilva
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Little stuck would appreciate the help

    Hart
    Robbo Chil Tripp
    Salah Silva Costa Anderson
    Arno Kane Wilson

    Foster Pererya Jonny AWB

    Have 2ft 0.0 ITB

  17. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Start one:

    A) Bennett

    B) Fraser

    1. DavidSilva
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Fraser

  18. Taegugk Warrior
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    RMWCT

    Hart
    Alonso Doherty TAA
    Salah Sterling Martial Richarlison
    Aguero Arnautovic Jimenez

    Hamer dunk Camarasa peltier

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      weak bench

  19. doowral
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    This captaincy dilemma is really wrecking my head now...

    My team is

    Ederson (Hamer)
    Pereira, Doherty, Keane, Alonso (Wan-Bissaka)
    Hazard, Martial, Richarlison, Salah, Mane
    Jimenez (Arnautovic, Ings)

    I could go with any of my midfield options really, bar probably Hazard.

    I’ve only blanked on armband twice so far and Salah strikes me as the safest, however I’m really drawn to Martial, and then of course there is Richarlison with a great fixture and Mané who can be more explosive.

    In my mini-league, from seven closest rivals, 3/7 have Salah,

    1. doowral
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      2/7 Richarlison, 5/7 Mane and 1/7 Martial, with the rest mainly having Sterling and Aguero as armband choices...

    2. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      They could all score a hattie, and Doherty could score, assist and keep a cleanie.....

      Whatever happens that's 15+ points you'll get.

      The difference between Martial or Rich blanking and the 8 points Salah always gets is the risk premium you pay for taking a punt.

      1. Cruyff's Eleven
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        That premium or investment could yield you the difference between the 30 points you get from captaining Rich and the 16 you would have had from Salah....

        Don't gamble if you're not prepared to lose.... 😉

        1. Cruyff's Eleven
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Oh, I'm taking the 16 from Kun for what it's worth...

  20. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    bottoms up

    a) Yedlin, Rich -4 (Yedlin likely to warm bench)
    b) Stones, Deulofeu (Deulofeu likely to warm bench)

    which one?

  21. CHARLIE HULL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Who to bench?

    A) Arnautovic
    B) Brooks

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Brooks

    2. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      B

  22. Spurs Go MaddiSon
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Have Salah, what to do with Mane?
    A) Rich in
    B) Martial in
    C) Keep Mane

    1. Looney Toons
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I brought Rich in, seems inevitable he'll pick up points against cardiff

  23. Looney Toons
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Patricio or Hart?? (I'm a Newcastle fan so it's hard for me to pick Hart)

    1. Spurs Go MaddiSon
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Patricio easily

      1. Looney Toons
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Yea that's what I was thinking but have doherty so did't want to put all my eggs in one basket

        1. Spurs Go MaddiSon
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Have had Bennett and Patricio for long, doubling up Wolves defence can reward nicely

  24. Ay Ay Ron
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone else considering a Wolves defensive triple up?

  25. _werre_
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Anybody considering making Jimenez captain?

    1. Ay Ay Ron
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Don’t have Jiminez. I’m going for Bennet, Doherty and Pat! Nerve recking 90 minutes coming up tomorrow.....

  26. Yav
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    When are you going to release collective intelligence part 2, Topmarx?
    Part 1 was epic.