Spot the Differential
11 September 2020 2172 comments
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The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

As always, we’ve selected three players with an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing, who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Christian Pulisic

Willian and Pulisic make case for Chelsea double-up with Norwich on horizon
  • FPL ownership: 6.6% (4.8% at the time of writing)
  • Price: £8.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: bha | LIV | wba | CRY | SOU

Despite a slow start, Christian Pulisic (£8.5m) enjoyed a fine first season at Chelsea, and hit top gear upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June.

The United States international contributed a combined eight goals and assists in just nine league appearances during Project Restart, and went on to score in the FA Cup final defeat to Arsenal.

That kind of output suggests a big campaign lies ahead.

In yesterday’s press conference, manager Frank Lampard confirmed Pulisic is in contention for Monday’s trip to Brighton, and with an ownership of just 4.8% at the time of writing, could be an explosive differential for those willing to gamble on him starting. Saying that, an appearance off the bench might not be the end of the world for owners, considering his ability to haul from limited minutes, as evidenced at Anfield last season.

The Blues’ opponents in Gameweek 1, Brighton and Hove Albion, head into the season with plenty of optimism themselves after a busy transfer window, though it’s worth noting they shipped 11 goals in just three home games against Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United during the restart, while doubts linger over their ability to keep things tight against the best attacking setups in the league. 

Following the arrivals of Kai Havertz (£8.5m), Hakim Ziyech (£8.0m) and Timo Werner (£9.5m), competition for places at Chelsea is fierce right now. However, we think this could have a positive effect on Pulisic, who could now take his game to another level and thrive alongside such quality.

James Ward-Prowse

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: cry | TOT | bur | WBA | che

James Ward-Prowse (£6.0m) may only have registered nine attacking returns last term, but with the Saints going from strength-to-strength, we’re backing the England international to kick on this season.

A product of the Saints academy, Ward-Prowse has become a vital part of manager Ralph Hasenhüttl’s midfield unit, and played every minute of the club’s 2019/20 Premier League campaign. 

It has been suggested the departure of Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (£5.0m), and re-introduction of Oriol Romeu (£4.5m) to the starting XI, will give the Southampton captain a bit more freedom to get forward, which is encouraging, but there is no getting away from the fact his ability from set-pieces and delivery from wide areas is the main attraction.

Ward-Prowse whipped in a massive 72 crosses from Gameweek 30+ onwards, more than any other player, while his 20 shots ranked joint-ninth amongst midfielders. Add to that free-kicks, corners and a share of penalties with Danny Ings (£8.5m), and we think there is a lot to like here. 

After a disappointing start to last season, Southampton performed well once Hasenhüttl had settled on his 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 system. Their away form was only bettered by Liverpool and Manchester City, while just the Manchester clubs collected more points during Project Restart.

The Saints are unbeaten in their last five league matches on the road, and take on a Crystal Palace side in Gameweek 1 who have won just four games all calendar year, all of which bodes well for Ward-Prowse and Southampton’s prospects this weekend.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: EVE | sou | NEW | mun | WHU

This season feels like a defining moment for Dele Alli (£8.0m), after another disappointing campaign last time round.

However, his performances under Jose Mourinho in the early weeks of his tenure offers hope he may be able to find his best level again. 

Under Mourinho’s stewardship, there was an immediate improvement in Alli’s output, which saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in five matches, while his underlying statistics suggest he may be being overlooked.

Since Mourinho’s first game in charge, amongst midfielders, only Raheem Sterling (£11.5m), Mohamed Salah (£12.0m) and Sadio Mané (£12.0m) accumulated big chances at a faster rate. His expected goal data was also encouraging, and trumped that of team-mate Son Heung-min (£9.0m), despite seeing fewer minutes.

While I’m unsure how much we can read into pre-season, Alli’s displays have offered promise, having registered two assists in a 3-0 home win over Ipswich Town before scoring in a 4-1 victory at Reading.

Up first for Tottenham Hotspur is Everton. While the Toffees’ will no doubt look a much better unit with their new midfield recruits, it may take time for them to gel, while their poor away record last term saw them concede 35 goals – only five teams gave up more.

Heading into the new season, it is vital for Alli to keep himself fit and find a bit more consistency in his performances. If he can do that, while retaining an attacking midfield role, he could be in for a big season.

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2,172 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Thoughts on this lot please chaps?? 827th Draft. Unsure on Rodriguez??? May switch him to JWP ?Thoughts?

    McCarthy Nyland
    TAA Egan KWP Taylor Mitchell
    Aubameyang Salah ASM Rodriguez Reed
    Werner Ings Mitrovic

    0.5 itb for Ings to Martial

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Missing some EVE

      1. DRIZ ✅
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Sorry WHU**

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Looks good but switch Rodriguez > JWP 😉

    3. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      That's a nice team I have to say

    4. KINGS
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      No Spurs

    5. PapaWengzz
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Rodriguez to Alli. Get Martial in GW3 - Auba, Ings > Kdb, Martial

  2. it lies in the proles
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Hello! Please a quick one:

    a) Bednarek + Wilson
    b) Dier + Rodrigo

    1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

  3. abcdef3
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Gone for a risky team. Feel free to let me know how stupid I am lol

    McCarthy
    Arnold - Van Dijk - Gomez
    Aubameyang - Son - Pulisic - Havertz - Saint Maximin
    Werner - Mitrovic

    Bench: Nyland - Taylor - Mitchell - Davis

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      6/10 looks good for the Liverpool fan boys

    2. Kante Touch This
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I had a similar set up in midfield but bottled it

      I do, however, think Pulisic and Havertz might be too risky to start with

      3 Liverpool atb is a bad decision

      1. abcdef3
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Pulisic and Havertz will both play surely with Ziyech out? I get what you mean though, I'm fighting the urge to just put Salah in lol

        1. Kante Touch This
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          I hope so as a Chelsea fan, Puli could be a sub this week as he's been recovering from corona, but can easily get points from the bench

          I'll be swapping Havertz to Pulisic after a few GW's

          1. abcdef3
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 14 days ago

            I'm a Chelsea fan too, which probably is a big reason why I'm picking both lol. My logic is that Havertz and Pulisic together get more points than Salah and a 4.5 bench fodder.

            1. Kante Touch This
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 14 days ago

              good logic tbf, you're starting to convince me! However I'll probably be swapping Salah for KDB so want to keep that price point

              1. abcdef3
                • 8 Years
                6 years, 14 days ago

                That's fair. I'm just gonna do that with Aubameyang

    3. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Looks great

      1. abcdef3
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Cheers

    4. fish&chips
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Like it. Triple Liverpool defence is a risk but they always bring value if you can be patient with them

      1. fish&chips
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        GW2 is going to be bad for you though. Triple Chelsea attack vs triple Liverpool defence

        1. abcdef3
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          Oh god yeah I didn't think of that... Welp, it was a nice idea while it lasted

  4. dshv
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Last push g2g?

    Mccarthy (nyland)
    Taa davies justin (taylor mitchell)
    Sala son auba soucek asm
    Werner callum (davis)

    Gw2 Son to bruno
    Gw3 Auba/salah to kdb

    Have 0.5 itb, opinions please

    1. Garlana
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      How does Son go to Bruno with 0.5 itb? you need 1.5m

      1. dshv
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Have 2itb

  5. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Why sudden love for my soucek? Is it because of Armstrong injury? I thought everybody's set on ASM or JWP as 4th mid..

    1. I Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Was in a lot of teams before he had to quarantine.

      1. The Rock
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        ^

      2. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        I thought they'd never return.. 🙁

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      there is no love for soucek

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        There is no war in Ba Sing Se

    3. Garlana
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Soucek is an enabler, makes it easier to bench a UTD player for after GW1.

    4. Powers106
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Moyes said he was basically ready to go so certainly he will start.

  6. AnyoneButLiverpool
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    I'm so bad at this game so any help would be really appreciated.

    McCarthy Nyland
    TAA Dier Justin Ayling Mitchell
    Auba Mane Pereira ASM Bissouma
    Kane Werner Adams

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Just choose the template team to start. That will keep you in the mix:

      McCarthy - Nyland
      TAA - VVD - Doherty - Egan - Douglas
      Auba - Salah - Son - ASM - Stephens
      Werner - Mitrovic - Davis

  7. Can’t beat em so&hell…
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    First RMT/ help.... I’m going to WC week 2 so any clangers here for week 1?

    McCarthy
    TAA/ Tierney/ Thomas
    Salah/ Auba/ Son/ ASM
    Kane/ Mitro/ Nketiah

    Button/ KWP/ Mitchel/ Stephens

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Nketiah starting %?

      1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        God knows.

  8. trafalgarlaw
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    GTG ? 0 ITB, need advice mate

    McCarthy
    TAA Justin Egan Vinagre
    Auba Salah Havertz Son
    Werner Mitrovic

    Nyland Stephens Douglas Davis

  9. DCSpurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Anyone considering a 5-4-1?

    1. Ser Davos
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      viable strategy, just needs to be thought out and optimised

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      My ideal team keeps coming back to that, people seem to keep warning against it though. What does your 5-4-1 template team look like?

  10. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Any word on Doherty from Mourinho's press conference?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      *Jose switches of TV*

  11. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    RP. Need some help guys.

    A) Davies+Soucek
    B) Justin+ASM

    1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      B

  12. The Train Driver
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Willian or Ings to score more gw1?

    1. The Train Driver
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Willian would give me Ramsdale instead of McCarthy in goal instead as well...

    2. luk46
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Ings, always Ings!

  13. fc_lando
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    a) Son + Greenwood
    or
    b) Alli + Havertz

    1. Positive vibes
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      B

  14. Warby84
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    McCarthy
    Trent Davies Robertson (Taylor/Mitchell)
    Salah Havertz Son Soucek (Bissouma)
    Werner Ings Wilson

    Deciding to replace Aubameyang with Son just to free up 3m for the squad or maybe go without Salah if I have the 2 FBs.

  15. Sz21
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Which of these would you prefer to start the season?
    1. Egan
    2. Saiss

    1. Ser Davos
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Egan for 5 then Saiss from 6 onwards

    2. I Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Egan to start. Better immediate fixtures. Can switch to a Wolves defender in GW4.

    3. Threat Level Midnight
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Egan Easily

  16. Dont_Win_Friends_With_Salah…
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Not a RMT, but a plea for help. Been working flat out and missed all presses... Will I get 11 players playing this weekend?

    Mccarthy
    Taa Doherty VVD Justin
    Auba Son Rodriguez Soucek
    Werner Wilson

    Nayland Mitchell Romeu Martial

    1. The Albatross
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      g2g, not sure if Nyland will be playing, no news yet

  17. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    For those wanting Martial & Bruno (or any 2 United attackers) in GW2, what's your plan?

    1) Bench one this week, bring in the other next week for free
    2) Take a hit to bring both in next week
    3) WC

    1. ludaslol
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Bench Martial this week. Then probably transfer Auba to Bruno for free. Or save 1.5 itb to do Son>Bruno gw2

      1. ludaslol
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Could also wait a week and do Auba > KDB and Son>Bruno for free gw3 if funds not enough gw2

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      praying i do well on gw1 first

    3. Big Col
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      2, was originally going to bench one But decided taking a hit would give more flexibility

    4. Strchld
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Im doing B.

    5. shirtless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Bench Bruno, if Werner flops will sell for Martial next week to preserve team value as they have Liverpool up next.

  18. KINGS
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    A) Egan Pullisic Jimi or
    B) Robbo Soucek Werner ?

  19. CrouchDown
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    What do you guys make of my FH team?

    Johnstone

    TAA Davies Saliba

    Auba(C) Salah Son Saka ASM

    Werner Ings

    1. luk46
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      thats a viable team, why fh?

  20. ludaslol
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    'm done tinkering on my attack now (expect ASM maybe). Thoughts on this lot?

    GW1: 4-4-2
    McCarthy
    TAA Davies Justin KWP
    Auba Son Havertz ASM
    DCL Werner

    Bench: Nyland, MARTIAL, 4.5, 4.0

    1m ITB for a rainy day. Or should I use it to upgrade my defence?

    GW2 will be 3-4-3 with Martial coming in, and probably saving a transfer.

  21. NULL-X-VOID
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Johnstone or Mcarthy?

  22. I Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Dallas or Ayling? Is one more nailed than the other or more attacking than the other?

    1. The Train Driver
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      There's a hot topic on it, fpl newcomers.

  23. Sharkytect
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Any better suggestions for 6.5 mod than Foden? Got a 532 formation woth him an martial on the bench at the mo.

  24. fakelund
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    ASM or JWP?

  25. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    To play:

    A) Vinagre vs shu
    B) Justin vs wba

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      B

  26. Egg noodle
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Zouma or Rudiger?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Z

      1. Egg noodle
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        We expect Silva to replace Rudiger then?

  27. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Tempted to start with this front 8:

    Auba Pulisic Havertz Pereira Bissouma
    Werner Ings Wilson

    Chelsea triple up from the start is clearly a gamble, but if they fire from week 1, their price would likely rise and I'd miss out.

    The plan would then be to switch Auba and Ings to KDB and Martial

    1. Egg noodle
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I'd have said its a great idea if Pulisic was fit. He is very unlikely to start.

    2. Garlana
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      yeh looks great but i've a feeling that Pulisic will be benched.

  28. PocketZola
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Play Justin or Walker peters?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Justin

      1. PocketZola
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        thanks

    2. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      who are you playing defenders then? both are good.

  29. Egg noodle
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    So many Vinagre's on this page. Have people forgotten that Marcal exists?

    1. PocketZola
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Many people haven't heard the news

    2. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Marcal is backup?

      1. Egg noodle
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Ofcourse not

        1. MARVELLUS
          • 17 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          How do you know that?

    3. MARVELLUS
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Still going with Vinagre. We don't know enough about how Marcel will fit in, is he backup? Vinagre is highly rated by Nuno I think.

    4. AnfieldLad
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Press conference just said Marcal needs time to settle in. Think Vinagre is more likely to be first choice anyway. The risk is more if he leaves imo

  30. Tarzan
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    RMT
    McCarthy - Nyland*
    TAA - Robertson - C Taylor* - Johnson - KWP
    Salah - Alli - Son - ASM - Soucek
    Vardy - Mitrovic - C Adams

    2.5 itb for Son to KDB
    *not playing in GW1

    1. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Nyland wont play in gw 2 either.. Excellent team..