Pro Pundits
26 August 2022 384 comments
milanista10 milanista10
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With Gameweek 4 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) almost upon us, we’re once again getting tips and advice from our top team of Pro Pundits, Hall of Famers and guest contributors.

Our writers will be providing regular articles and team reveals throughout the new season, with only Premium Members able to access every single one.

Next up is FPL Milanista, who is ranked 50th in our Hall of Fame and has posted overall ranks of 473rd and 1,547th in the last two FPL seasons. He is also a nine-year veteran of the Fantasy Football Scout site.

The FFS Pro Pundits 31

Gameweek 3 was not free-scoring but it was one that we can learn a lot from. One of the most important Fantasy Football traits that must be carried by any successful manager was grossly illustrated here – patience is a virtue.

It is always said that a person who can wait for something without frustration is possessing a very useful skill and that is exactly what you need in FPL. Owners of Ivan Perisic (£5.5m, 12 points) and Marcus Rashford (£6.3m, ten points) will understand.

However, instead of being distressed by past events, we shall keep our minds focused on what is happening next. A lot of social media talk has circulated about how badly the premium defenders failed in Gameweek 3 and, alongside the suspended Kalidou Koulibaly, we see Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m), Reece James (£6.1m), Joao Cancelo (£7.1m) and Andrew Robertson (£6.9m) amongst the five most transferred-out defenders.

So is this a logical move? Not really. These four premiums are exactly the ones in my own squad and I haven’t even considered letting any of them go.

Even if I was Wildcarding today, they would certainly remain in there without hesitation. Each is playing at home in a favourable Gameweek 4 fixture and we all know how explosive they can be on their day. Let’s just look at Perisic’s haul and hope that this weekend will bring similar rewards for these.

Premium defender stats

Additionally, here are some relevant stats to determine if we are being just blinded by their past historical FPL points or if they have simply been unlucky of late.

Alexander-Arnold, as always, is still dominating all creativity stats among defenders throughout the first three Gameweeks, with his 1.15 expected assists (xA), eight chances created and two big chances created top of the list.



384 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    clean sheet odds:

    CLEAN SHEET (%)

    LIVERPOOL 63%
    MAN CITY 55%
    ARSENAL 49%
    CHELSEA 47%
    TOTTENHAM 47%
    BRENTFORD 38%
    BRIGHTON 37%
    MAN UTD 33%
    ASTON VILLA 31%
    NEWCASTLE 31%
    WOLVES 31%
    EVERTON 24%
    WEST HAM 24%
    LEEDS 20%
    SOUTHAMPTON 15%
    NOTTINGHAM FOREST 14%
    LEICESTER 12%
    Fulham 9%
    CRYSTAL PALACE 7%
    BOURNEMOUTH 6%

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        cheers

    1. The Senate
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Me with Ederson, TAA, Robbo, Cancelo, James:
      Friday - looks good, hauls inbound
      Sunday - 1 0 1 0 1

      1. The Philosopher
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        The binary back 5

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I hope those four first cleanies materialize...

    3. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      With a back four of TAA Cancelo and James, I'm in the unenviable position of hoping that none of the top 5 teams listed keep a CS.........

    4. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Hope big at the back comes good this week. I’m losing faith

    5. TheSteel
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      The disrespect to Fulham in this post

  2. ankj70
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Start 1

    A) neco
    B) Patterson
    C) andreas

    1. The Senate
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      C

    2. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      C

    3. Henryyy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      C

    4. ebb2sparky
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      C

    5. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B

  3. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Before you make any transfers, take a look at schedule and rest times for each team. This is in my opinion the most useful article of the week and everybody should check it out, if you haven't already:

    https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2022/08/23/fpl-gameweeks-4-6-rotation-risk-how-much-rest-does-each-team-get/

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I have taken one hit this GW, wanted to take another one.

      I have ditched the 2nd hit but the 1st one sets me up for GW4 and GW5.

  4. southernpacific
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Can someone explain what xG means?

    1. Captain Vantastic™
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Ex Gf.

      1. southernpacific
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Got it

    2. The Philosopher
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Expected Grief

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      expected Goals.

      It relates to the position to the goal that the chances are and the relative position of the keeper and defenders etc...

      point blank on the line, with no goalkeeper is xG 0.99 as people still stumble or miss rarely.

    4. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      It could mean some of the defences are at risk of conceding but we will not know 🙂

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        no it relates entirely to the attacking team.

        xGc is totally different.

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          But my money would be on a forward or mid with a very high xG at the moment compared to one with a low xG and so on.

  5. The Philosopher
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Reps

    Start one:

    A: Neto
    B: Bailey

    1. adams_6
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Bailey

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Bailey

  6. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Why’s this site always down?

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      The hamsters need breaks.

    2. The Philosopher
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Lack of viagra

  7. Chilli Heatwave
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Mitrovic or Zaha?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Zaha depending on fixtures

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Mitrovic this week

  8. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Do people expect Tsimikas to start the 'easier' game vs Bournemouth this GW or the GW5 midweek vs Newcastle to rest Robbo just before Everton away and the UCL that following week?

    1. Bobby Crush
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I think a change or two might be in order. Very hard to see what those will be.

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Maybe minutes managed, which Klopp has already been doing, but no travel for Liverpool players G4-6 means that rest between games is okay until UCL. I'm also not sure Liverpool are in a position to rest players at the minute.

    3. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Neither

    4. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Tsimi is not 4.0 this season 🙂

  9. Bobby Crush
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Repost, as no one replied.

    Any moves worth a hit here?
    Justin to Perisic?
    4.5 to Harrison?

    Pope
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Justin
    Andreas, Martinelli, Salah, Kulu
    Jesus Haaland

    1. The Senate
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      is your 4.5 mid playing? can you bench Justin for them?

      1. Bobby Crush
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        I have two of them, so one is playing, one not (Reed).

    2. The Biscuitmen
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Unlikely to be worth a hit but I'd look to get Justin out ASAP. Perisic is good if you have the funds, Dunk is god if you need 4.5 and less rotation risk.

      1. Bobby Crush
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Thanks! Yes, I want to move him, and am thinking Dunk. But unsure about the hit.

  10. Rhodes your boat
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    On a wc

    A) Andreas
    B) neco

    1) zaha
    2) Toney

    1. Rainer
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      First depends on how many defenders you want to back? Both good bench fodder!

      Toney!

    2. adams_6
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Defender and mid

      or

      Mid and forward
      ?

  11. Gazpilicueta
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Is Joe Gomez an option?
    4.5 liverpool CB, looks like starting?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Don't think I'd go there but not sure how long is Matip out for?

    2. adams_6
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Short term, maybe

    3. Piggs Boson
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Matip due back next GW according to his FPL flag.

      Gomez has been crap.

  12. Magic Hamster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    I should know the answer to this by now....

    I have 2FT and don't really have any moves I want to make. If I don't make any moves will I have 2FT for game week 5 or do I drop back down to 1?

    Thanks folks.

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Still 2

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      2

    3. adams_6
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Still 2. Nice!

    4. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      You can carry 1FT over between GWs.

      If you have 2FTs and don't use them, you'll lose 1FT, but gain the 1FT for the new GW. So you'll have 2FTs to use next GW.

      1. Magic Hamster
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Thanks folks, think I'll stick with what I've got then.

        1. Hairy Potter
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          I'm probably doing Archer to Stansfield instead of losing a FT, but using a FT on non-playing 3rd bencher is definitely a luxury.

  13. adams_6
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    I'm thinking of goinf Foden to Diaz this week. Didn't like Foden 65 mins v Barca and I think LFC will bully Bournemouth after their poor showing v United.
    Thoughts? Thanks

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      yeah

      go for it

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Diaz (c)

      1. The Mentaculus
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Uh oh, Knight's gone rogue

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      City are at home GW4 and 5 so choose your poison.

      Both are good options but Foden is a minute risk.

  14. Ahmed Adam
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Best captain Choice

    1) Salah
    2) Haaland
    3) Jesus

    1. Patrick Bateman
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      1 easy.

    2. Football is home
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      3

  15. Josh.E
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Who scores more in the next three?
    A. Neto
    B. Saliba

    1. Patrick Bateman
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Toss a coin. Neto is due a return but you can't look past Fulham at home for Saliba

  16. Patrick Bateman
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Best team?

    a) 4-4-2
    Sanchez
    James, Dias, TAA, Saliba
    Martinelli, Diaz, Salah, Gundogan
    Jesus, Haaland
    (Williams, Andreas, 4.5)

    b) 5-3-2
    Sanchez
    James, TAA, Perisic, Trippier, Cancelo
    Martinelli, Diaz, Salah
    Jesus, Haaland
    (Da Silva, Andreas, 4.5)

    1. The Biscuitmen
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      B but that's my team so I'm biased!

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Gundo Dias Saliba vs Cancelo Trippier Perisic basically? Probably B

  17. Gazpilicueta
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Anyone considering Danny Welbeck?
    When I watched Brightons GW1 game he looked fantastic, and their fixtures are great.
    are people just going for Toney/Mitro instead? or do we think he might be a viable option?

    1. The Biscuitmen
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      A hardworking player in a good team but I have concerns over Welbeck's finishing. Also the other 2 are the focal points of their teams so more likely to get most of the chances.

    2. notlob legin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Yes - currently in my WC draft.

      Front 3 of Toney, Jesus Welbeck

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      His fixtures are better than Mitro at similar price. I'd personally look to get Toney if the budget was there, but at the price and the fixtures, Welbeck is certainly an option.

      1. Hairy Potter
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Isak could be in the mix depending on his price in FPL.

    4. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Looked decent v WHU but didn't actually take any shots. I considered him earlier but just feels a slightly underwhelming pick tbh

  18. Saintjack01
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Anyone else tempted to captain Jesus over salah?

    1. Puntillimon
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Nope

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      When all else fails, pick the player which you feel will score the most points.

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Between Salah and KDB for me, but Salah clear favourite.

    4. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Not here

      Salah cap 100%

    5. 3 A
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Me.
      I captain Salah last week, he outscore Jesus but Jesus looks more lively 🙂

  19. Eleven Hag
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    What is Maddison owners doing with him?

    Keep/Sell/Bench?

    1. Hurnt
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I sold for diaz ft

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Selling for Gundogan. Will probably get him back around GW9

    3. Drumandbaines123
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Tempted to just play him but will probably bench because of the injury concern. Everyone will be wanting him in a few weeks anyway so may as well hold.

    4. Football is home
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Keep him. Chelsea is sh*t.

  20. Juwmad
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Ward - iversen
    trent - cancelo - robbo - reece - neco
    salah - martinelli - rodrigo - andreas - lavia
    haaland - jesus - dervisoglu
    1 free transfer. Neco out, walker vs perisic in? 0.6 in bank, transfering sanchez in for iversen next round. Wc gw8

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Transfer Sanchez in this week?

      1. Juwmad
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Dont want to play neco or pereira this gw, so that transfer brings to little value this round

    2. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I would downgrade Robbo do 4.5 and try to get Toney.

      1. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        to 4.5*

      2. Juwmad
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Trying to avoid -4. Im giving robbo atleast one more chance, with the fixtures incoming.

  21. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    WC team

    Suggestions? Or G2G?
    Tempted to get rid of Robbo but they can wreak havoc this week with Bou. Taa is too expensive, Robbo should do the job. If he blanks again then downgrade to Perisic/Trippier.

    Sanchez
    Cancelo Robbo Saliba
    Salah(C) Martinelli Rodrigo Kulu
    Haaland Jesus Toney

    Iversen Andreas Patterson Neco

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Looks good

      1. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Thx

    2. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Very good

    3. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      2x4.0 def on wc? idk

      1. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        They are playing so far. Who would you downgrade to upgrade on of them?

    4. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Anyway to get TAA over Robbo? Rainer suggesting he could be benched a few posts earlier...

      1. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Yes, I saw that but it is impossible to squeeze 1.5 mil more for Taa. I would rather get VVD in that case, just to cover potential cs this week.

      2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
        • 17 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Why would anyone in their right mind listen to Rainer? Do you have a real source?

        1. Sun Jihai
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 27 days ago

          A few of the fan predicted line-ups on the Liverpool forums are calling for Tsimikas to start:
          https://www.redandwhitekop.com/forum/index.php?topic=352949.0
          https://forums.liverpoolfc.com/threads/408975-PREMIER-LEAGUE-SAT-27-AUGUST-Bournemouth-(h)-15-00

          1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
            • 17 Years
            4 years, 27 days ago

            Ok cheers. Although they don't pick the team. He's been pretty woeful to be fair

    5. Fantasizer
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      U r on a wc and have robbo instead of taa? U r doomed

  22. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Guys bit lost what to do here. Was in a good place but dropped a good amount. 1M ITB and 2FT. Really like the look of Toney but not sure how to get him

    Ederson
    TAA Cancelo James Trippier Patterson
    Salah Diaz Martinelli Dasilva Andreas
    Haaland Jesus Archer

    A) TAA + Archer to Perisic + Toney for free?
    B) Patterson to Saliba/Cucurella and save FT
    C) Ederson, James + Archer to Sanchez, Cucurella + Toney -4pts
    D) Ederson + Dasilva to Sanchez/Raya + Rodrigo for free
    E) James/Trippier to Perisic

    1. The Biscuitmen
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      That looks strong to me for the time being. I have Diaz and might look to reduce him down to get Toney next week but wouldn't do it before Bournemouth. Maybe B and reassess after the weekend on how to get Toney? D isn't bad but loses your 2nd FT. Wouldn't go for the other 3 options personally.

  23. camarozz
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Anyone activated their WC this gw and regret doing so?
    Ul admit I panicked Saturday after an awful start to my season an got rid of my expensive back line.

    Feel it's gonna backfire on me and I'm scared lol.

  24. TheSteel
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Saka owners, its our turn this weekend 😉

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Did Saka to Martinelli, so surely he'll score...

    2. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      Do you dare to captain him?

      1. TheSteel
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Absolutely not lol

  25. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    Another FPL assest I might become interested in which plays in the bargain bin category is

    Sergio Gomez @ 4.5

    Fortunately the next 2 GW's will be a good indicator of where he fits in the City setup.

    1. TheSteel
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 27 days ago

      I reckon he’ll come off the bench to relieve Walker or Cancelo as well as start cup matches.

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Saying all of that, KDB the only one I am interested in at the moment.

      2. FOO FIGHTER
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 27 days ago

        Or Gundo if he starts matches...

  26. Football is home
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    GW4 captain:
    A)Jesus
    B)Mohamed
    C)Buddha
    D)Krishna

  27. Drumandbaines123
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    I really don't understand why JWP isn't more highly owned and coveted. Constantly ticks along with points and guaranteed 90 minutes every week. Talisman, on penalties, all set pieces including free-kicks & corners and mops up the bonus points too when he returns. Oh yes and only 6.5m. Yes he's not a "sexy" pick but with so many routes to points he's surely a great option and appears to be once again going under the radar.

  28. Feanor
    • 17 Years
    4 years, 27 days ago

    I hope Milanista is aware of the Robbo benching rumors