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4 May 2023 278 comments
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Sam Allardyce’s return to the Premier League has caused quite a stir, having been appointed Leeds United manager until the end of the season.

The former England boss has been out of work since leaving West Bromwich Albion in 2021, but will now try to save the Whites from Premier League relegation with only four games of the campaign remaining.

That includes a visit to Manchester City in Gameweek 35, then home games against Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur as well as a trip to West Ham United.

Over the years, Allardyce has a proven record for avoiding relegation, but what does his appointment mean for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers?

Our Scout Report takes a closer look.

WHY WAS GRACIA SACKED?

What can FPL managers expect from Javi Gracia at Leeds? 2

Javi Gracia was sacked by Leeds after only 10 weeks and 12 matches in charge, with his final game a 4-1 defeat at Bournemouth in Gameweek 34.

It was the latest heavy loss under the former Watford manager, following 6-1, 5-1 and 4-1 thrashings by Liverpool, Crystal Palace and Arsenal respectively last month. In fact, the 23 goals they conceded in April is a new Premier League record.

As a result, Leeds are without a win in five and only sit outside the relegation zone on goal difference.

ALLARDYCE: “I’M AS GOOD AS PEP AND KLOPP”

In his first press conference, Allardyce came out fighting, launching a passionate defence of his managerial ability.

“Far too many people think that I’m old and antiquated, which is so far from the truth. I may be 68 and look old but there’s nobody ahead of me in football terms. Not Pep, not Klopp, not Arteta. It’s all there with me, and I shared it with them. They do what they do. I do what I do. But in terms of knowledge, and depth of knowledge, I’m up there with them.

“I’m not saying I’m better than them but certainly as good as they are. I just wish that sometimes you can get the opportunity that you can show it. But that’s never going to happen for me now, apart from [aiming to] keep Leeds up, and if I stayed at Leeds, [hoping] this club was big enough to build a team that was going to challenge those boys eventually, but that’s a long story away.” – Sam Allardyce

A STRONG STARTER?

In the Premier League, Allardyce has previously managed Bolton Wanderers, Newcastle United, Blackburn Rovers, West Ham United, Sunderland, Crystal Palace, Everton and West Brom.

In that time, Allardyce’s teams have played in the Premier League in 17 seasons and only been relegated on one occasion, which was during his most recent stint at the Hawthorns.

Still, it was in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic and because of the rules designed to slow the spread of the virus, clubs could not operate as they would normally have been able to.

Allardyce doesn’t have much time to instil his methods at Leeds and has a decidedly mixed opening four-match record at his most recent clubs. Worryingly, he will take just three training sessions before Saturday’s trip to Man City.

ClubAppointedOpening four resultsOutcome
West BromDecember 2020West Brom 0-3 Aston Villa; Liverpool 1-1 West Brom; West Brom 0-5 Leeds, West Brom 0-4 Arsenal19th (relegated) – Allardyce fell short with the Baggies, finishing 13 points off safety
EvertonDecember 2017Everton 2-0 Huddersfield; Liverpool 1-1 Everton; Newcastle 0-1 Everton; Everton 3-1 SwanseaHired to steady the ship, which he achieved with an impressive 8th-place finish
Crystal PalaceDecember 2016Watford 1-1 Palace; Arsenal 2-0 Palace; Palace 1-2 Swansea; West Ham 3-0 PalaceSaved Palace from the drop, finishing 14th, despite a slow start
SunderlandOctober 2015West Brom 1-0 Sunderland, Sunderland 3-0 Newcastle; Everton 6-2 Sunderland; Sunderland 0-1 SouthamptonAllardyce was brought in to rescue Sunderland from relegation, which he achieved by two points, as they finished 17th

Allardyce’s all-time Premier League managerial record currently stands at 537 matches, with a 33%-win percentage and an average of 1.26 points per game.

MANAGERIAL STYLE

Tactics might be largely irrelevant with just four games to go, but Allardyce mainly used a 4-1-4-1 formation at West Brom, with a defensive midfielder (Okay Yokuslu) sitting in behind two number eights (Conor Gallagher and Ainsley Maitland-Niles).

He did, however, flirt with 4-2-3-1 – Leeds’ go-to formation this season – and 5-4-1 systems.

At Leeds, we can expect a focus on defence, with a direct approach, placing emphasis on set pieces and crosses into the box. Indeed, Allardyce has already suggested Leeds are good enough going forward but need tightening up at the back.

“There is not a problem with Leeds in possession, but there is a massive problem off it. If they want to stay up, they have to stop conceding. We have to cope out of possession. We need a pattern, a system and style of play to say: this is how we stop the opposition. You can then get more possession higher up the field and attack them. You get two benefits: stop the goals going in and get more opportunities to score goals.” – Sam Allardyce

“It was about confidence. It was clear to him we weren’t playing with confidence. That was the first thing he wanted to address, and the other thing is tactically being organised, defending, and not conceding as many goals. Those were the first two things he said and we stripped everything back to basics.” – Jack Harrison

THE PROSPECTS

“His natural charisma and characteristics, and of his staff, brings a lot of energy into the training sessions and even in the building. It’s given a little bit of lift to the team and even just having that presence has given us a bit of confidence.” – Jack Harrison

Leeds sit second-bottom of our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 35-38 and have one of the worst runs of fixtures among the sides at the bottom of the table. Three of their remaining opponents sit in the top half, meaning Allardyce has a huge task ahead to make sure they avoid the drop.

He needs to make an immediate impact, too, but Leeds’ underlying defensive numbers since the restart are alarming, which suggests we should continue to target them, rather than actively look to bring their assets in.

The data certainly points towards Erling Haaland (£12.4m) and Alexander Isak (£6.9m)/Callum Wilson (£7.0m) as our next two captains, in Gameweeks 35 and 36 respectively, with a final-day punt on Harry Kane (£11.4m) or Son Heung-min (£11.5m) not out of the question either.

2022/23 (Premier League rank)Gameweek 17 onwards (Premier League rank)
Played3420
Goals conceded6741
Clean sheets53
Minutes per expected goal conceded (xGC)55.9 (16th=)51.3 (20th)

Further forward, Leeds do possess the right profile of player for counter-attacking football, with Wilfried Gnonto’s (£4.7m) pace in wide areas and Patrick Bamford’s (£7.1m) ability to hold the ball up key ingredients.

The latter has started the last two games and has been involved in three goals in his last four outings. Previously, he’s also been the Whites’ main penalty-taker.

It’s also worth noting Allardyce has already picked out both Bamford and Gnonto as key players.

“Well, I want Patrick Bamford to be on top form, because I think he’s a key player in terms of holding the ball up and being able to get up the pitch, and him to score goals. Give him the opportunity to score goals. Hopefully he stays fit and he becomes a key player.” – Sam Allardyce

That suggests Bamford will be the central striker, with Gnonto potentially flanking him – Allardyce recently revealed on his podcast that the Italian should be starting, having fallen out of favour under Javi Gracia.

So, if you need a sub-£5.0m forward for the run-in, he might be one to consider, knowing he’ll have plenty of space to exploit on the counter.

Elsewhere, Jack Harrison (£5.7m) is Leeds’ top points scorer in FPL this season, with 120. However, it’s nigh-on impossible to fit him in, given the appeal of the cheap Brighton midfielders.

Double Gameweek players probably need to be prioritised by FPL managers right now, meaning Allardyce will really have to hit the ground running for Leeds’ assets to be considered during the run-in. That’s unlikely, but not impossible.

“It’s a nice easy one on Saturday. But it has been done. Brentford did it. Brentford won there (last November). Shocks do happen.

“It’s a hard challenge, but somebody had to do it. I’d have liked it to have longer. We need to pull off a surprise win from somewhere.” – Sam Allardyce



278 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Last Man Standing GW34 (47 teams)

    Safety score = 111
    Top score = Greg Simpson 131

    20 teams eliminated, 27 teams through to GW35
    Minimum 14 teams out next GW
    Congrats to the final 27!

    LMS Cup down to final 16!

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

    1. gart888
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Congrats on being one of the 27!

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Hello top score 😎
      Probably means I'm out next week 😀

  2. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Those without a Newcastle striker, are you saving a transfer or getting one this week?

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Rolling, then Wilson next week

      1. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        GW35;
        Steele
        Stones, Shaw, Estu
        Salah, Rashford, Grealish, Mitoma
        Haaland(c), Kane, Watkins

        Kepa, Burn, White, Andreas

        1FT & 0.6ITB.

        1. Zenith UK
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          GW36;

          Watkins & White > Trippier & Wilson (free). Leaves me a royal benching headache;

          Steele²
          Trippier², Stones, Shaw
          Salah, Rashford, Grealish, Mitoma²
          Haaland(c), Kane, Wilson²

          Kepa (v NOT), Burn², Estu², Andreas*

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'll get one next week, with Wilson's and Isak's injury record nothing is guaranteed with either in terms of fitness

    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Rolling for sure. I want as much time as possible before I pick between Wilson/Isak.

      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Was thinking of doing Watkins to one of them, but gonna try and save...

    4. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah will roll and probably get Wilson for Jota as I have a rival in 1st who has Isak, I'm currently 3rd 26 points behind

    5. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Rolling
      Reverse ARS-NEW game was quite a cagey 0-0 from memory
      Want to make decision on which might be right one on as much data/eye test as possible e.g. maybe we find out who is on penalties and also have to bear in mind Wilson's injury record (FTs are precious at this stage of season so wouldn't want to bring in Wilson now and then have to switch to Isak for the DGW)
      Also I like Watkins fixture, I think there are goals in that Birmingham derby - love that he is the most sold player this week too

    6. Capocannonieri
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Newcastle strikers, have Isak, but he does not always play.

      So, I like the player, but he's not exactly nailed. But more likely to play than Wilson.

  3. FCSB
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ederson
    TAA Shaw Estupinan
    Salah Rashford Fernandes March Mitoma
    Haaland Isak

    Kepa Trippier Botman Greenwood

    1FT, 0.0itb

    1. Save FT?
    2. Isak to Alvarez (pending early team news), then back to Isak / Wilson GW36

    Thanks

  4. Scratch
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    122 points for the week pretty satisfied with that... though knowing this place I'll see a post below lamenting one of their poor decisions and asking if 177 is any good

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Is 131 a good score?

      If only Pep wasn't bald (and his new apprentice De Zebri)

      1. McGurn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        i got 278. Any good?

        1. Capocannonieri
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          578? Any Good?

          122 is pretty good?

  5. Scalper
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    If going for a Newcastle striker, what’s your reason for choosing Wilson over Isak or vice versa

    1. Scratch
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I have Isak and 2 other Newcastle already but i'm half thinking of bringing in Wilson for the double (i have 2 FT this week so selling Botman means nothing)
      To answer, who knows... I got Isak thinking he was the preferred "9" but Wilson's looking good and if both are on the pitch at the same time I believe Wilson would be the pen taker.

    2. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Probably Wilson as my rival has Isak. How many doublers are you planning to have for GW36?

      1. Scalper
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Probably 5

        1. Steve Stiffler
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          not too bad I have 4 atm, will probably bring in Wilson and a defender or Pope from Newcastle aswell.

    3. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Wilson due to lower ownership

    4. djman102
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Been planning on both for a couple of weeks now. Both seem to be doing well and could be a nice high-risk/high-reward differential for 36

  6. Big_Andy_GAWA
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Kepa (bou) or Raya (liv) for this GW? I kinda fancy doing the second as it's on TV...

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I've gone for the wrong one I think for the last 4 GWs, but on Kepa I think!
      Liverpool scored at home in every single home game bar one with an average of 2.6 goals per game
      Chelsea are terrible and probably don't also CS, but it also seems a bit more optimum from an FPL perspective as I don't own any BOU player whereas I have Salah and TAA who I want attacking returns from

  7. McGurn
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Even as a non Mac Allister owner, even before his penalty, he was embarrassingly better than everyone else on that pitch tonight. A truly superb player. Brighton will be £100m richer in the summer!

    1. Capocannonieri
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Where is Mac going?

      For the neutral fan, I hope Liverpool or Newcastle.

      It would also be good for Enzo to leave Chelsea for Liverpool or Newcastle (if only). He needs to say that he does not feel safe with so many head-cases and mentally weak people around him in Samford Bridge.

  8. FantasyFooty01
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Into week 7 of last man standing. Only 25 left so massive picks now. Who should I pick for this weekend? Already picked the below teams and can’t pick them again:
    Arsenal✅
    West Ham✅
    Aston Villa✅
    Man City✅
    Newcastle✅
    Brentford✅

    1. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      brighton

  9. Capocannonieri
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    This Allardyce article is funny. If Allardyce is honest, he would know and say that he is the "Angle of Death".

    "I am often the last Premier thing that many clubs see before they descend".

    "After you try style, grace, and fantasy techniques. You come to me for practicality and a last chance."

    Leeds is going to defend like crazy and try to win with counter-attack. Not because Allardyce is boring and dumb, but that's all Leeds can do to avoid losing 1-4 every week. They are too sloppy in possession and careless defensively to play high-block, shoot-out games.

  10. Smitchell15
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    For gw 35…
    Which one would you keep…

    Shaw - trippier - March