FPL price change predictions: Who will rise + fall on March 5?

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Verbruggen	BHA	4.5m	209.7%	Very Likely
Tavernier	BOU	5.4m	191.2%	Very Likely
Darlow	LEE	3.9m	168.0%	Very Likely
Semenyo	MCI	8.2m	158.5%	Very Likely
Senesi	BOU	5.1m	158.1%	Very Likely
Groß	BHA	5.5m	132.5%	Very Likely
Calvert-Lewin	LEE	5.6m	110.9%	Very Likely
Struijk	LEE	4.3m	98.7%	Likely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	78.0%	Unlikely
Mainoo	MUN	4.6m	81.3%	Unlikely
Hill	BOU	4.2m	79.4%	Unlikely
Cucurella	CHE	6.0m	69.3%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	70.6%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	67.9%	Unlikely
Cunha	MUN	8.0m	66.0%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	64.7%	Unlikely
Sarr	CRY	6.3m	63.7%	Unlikely
Welbeck	BHA	6.2m	57.6%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	61.6%	Unlikely
O'Reilly	MCI	5.0m	54.1%	Unlikely
Aït-Nouri	MCI	5.7m	59.5%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	56.1%	Unlikely
Leno	FUL	4.9m	55.2%	Unlikely
Gakpo	LIV	7.3m	55.4%	Unlikely
Gomez	BHA	4.9m	54.3%	Unlikely
Frimpong	LIV	5.7m	51.1%	Unlikely
Haaland	MCI	14.4m	40.8%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.6m	43.1%	Unlikely
Minteh	BHA	5.5m	45.9%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	45.9%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.5m	46.1%	Unlikely
Damsgaard	BRE	5.6m	44.7%	Unlikely
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	44.7%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	43.2%	Unlikely
Gibbs-White	NFO	7.4m	40.5%	Unlikely
Aina	NFO	4.7m	40.0%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	38.9%	Unlikely
M.Fernandes	WHU	5.5m	38.0%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.2m	37.8%	Unlikely
Mitoma	BHA	6.1m	36.0%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
O.Dango	BRE	6.0m	189.6%	Very Likely
Thiago	BRE	7.3m	171.7%	Very Likely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	170.6%	Very Likely
Virgil	LIV	6.3m	159.6%	Very Likely
Mbeumo	MUN	8.6m	157.4%	Very Likely
Kroupi.Jr	BOU	4.7m	144.5%	Very Likely
J.Timber	ARS	6.3m	132.0%	Very Likely
Raúl	FUL	6.2m	125.2%	Very Likely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	110.5%	Very Likely
Mané	WOL	4.4m	105.6%	Very Likely
Lucca	NFO	5.5m	96.3%	Maybe
Potts	WHU	4.4m	87.2%	Unlikely
Kevin	FUL	5.8m	86.4%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	85.9%	Unlikely
Areola	WHU	4.3m	85.5%	Unlikely
Spence	TOT	4.2m	84.8%	Unlikely
Gallagher	TOT	5.1m	79.9%	Unlikely
Burrowes	AVL	4.4m	80.5%	Unlikely
Weiss	BUR	4.3m	80.5%	Unlikely
McAidoo	MCI	4.5m	79.7%	Unlikely
Merino	ARS	5.4m	76.9%	Unlikely
Guéhi	MCI	5.1m	77.5%	Unlikely
Longstaff	LEE	4.8m	75.6%	Unlikely
Zubimendi	ARS	5.1m	74.4%	Unlikely
Ekitiké	LIV	9.3m	61.3%	Unlikely
Travers	EVE	4.3m	74.0%	Unlikely
Emenalo	CHE	4.5m	73.9%	Unlikely
Piroe	LEE	4.9m	73.2%	Unlikely
Estève	BUR	3.9m	72.4%	Unlikely
Evanilson	BOU	6.8m	77.9%	Unlikely
Rice	ARS	7.3m	68.8%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	4.9m	69.3%	Unlikely
Grealish	EVE	6.3m	68.4%	Unlikely
Slonina	CHE	3.9m	68.2%	Unlikely
Johnson	CRY	6.5m	67.3%	Unlikely
Salmon	ARS	4.0m	65.7%	Unlikely
Trafford	MCI	4.5m	66.7%	Unlikely
Lamadrid	WHU	5.0m	66.5%	Unlikely
Maguire	MUN	4.4m	63.2%	Unlikely
Reijnders	MCI	5.0m	64.8%	Unlikely

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	Player	Club	Factors
Up	Donnarumma	MCI	C
Up	Verbruggen	BHA	C, Vs
Down	Raya Martin	ARS	A
Up	Darlow	LEE	B, Vs, £
Up	Petrovic	BOU	B
Up	Henderson	CRY	C

Last updated: 10 Apr, 2026 9:57am

	Player	Club	Factors
Up	O’Reilly	MCI	B
No Change	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	A
Up	van Hecke	BHA	B, Vs
No Change	Hill	BOU	B, £
Up	Struijk	LEE	B, Vs, £
Up	Lacroix	CRY	A
Down	van Dijk	LIV	C
Down	Thiaw	NEW	C, Rest
No Change	Kayode	BRE	B
No Change	Cash	AVL	C

Last updated: 7 Apr, 2026 3:02pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
Up	Semenyo	MCI	B
No Change	Palmer	CHE	C
Up	Tavernier	BOU	C, £
Up	Ismaila Sarr	CRY	A
No Change	Gordon	NEW	A, OoP
No Change	Rice	ARS	C
No Change	Rogers	AVL	C
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £
Down	Szoboszlai	LIV	B
Down	Wilson	FUL	A
Up	Hinshelwood	BHA	B, Vs, £

Last updated: 10 Apr, 2026 10:24am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	C
Up	João Pedro	CHE	A
Up	Welbeck	BHA	A, Vs
Up	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	C, Vs
No Change	Bowen	WHU	B
Down	Thiago	BRE	B

Last updated: 7 Apr, 2026 3:01pm

We’ve a brand spanking new widget on the Fantasy Football Scout home page, which details the predicted Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes for the upcoming evening.

These come courtesy of LiveFPL, who launched their new price change predictor in late 2024.

Since then, the brains behind the site – our friend Ragabolly – has been tweaking his predictor tool to try and make it the most reliable one out there.

Only FPL themselves know how their mysterious price change algorithm works – and the goalposts seem to be moving all the time.

But Ragabolly’s predictor gives a pretty damned good gauge of who is nearing falling or rising in price.

The best price change predictor of February is…@LiveFPLnet and @fpl_statistics
with one 1st and 2nd place each.
Performance is still way down from December and January. Let’s see if the predictors can pick it back up in March. pic.twitter.com/60scsUxPbW
— What The FPL (@WhatTheF__PL) February 28, 2025

And here is who is close to doing so at 01.30 GMT on Monday 5 March.…

PRICE CHANGE PREDICTIONS: MARCH 5

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Verbruggen	BHA	4.5m	209.7%	Very Likely
Tavernier	BOU	5.4m	191.2%	Very Likely
Darlow	LEE	3.9m	168.0%	Very Likely
Semenyo	MCI	8.2m	158.5%	Very Likely
Senesi	BOU	5.1m	158.1%	Very Likely
Groß	BHA	5.5m	132.5%	Very Likely
Calvert-Lewin	LEE	5.6m	110.9%	Very Likely
Struijk	LEE	4.3m	98.7%	Likely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	78.0%	Unlikely
Mainoo	MUN	4.6m	81.3%	Unlikely
Hill	BOU	4.2m	79.4%	Unlikely
Cucurella	CHE	6.0m	69.3%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	70.6%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	67.9%	Unlikely
Cunha	MUN	8.0m	66.0%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	64.7%	Unlikely
Sarr	CRY	6.3m	63.7%	Unlikely
Welbeck	BHA	6.2m	57.6%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	61.6%	Unlikely
O'Reilly	MCI	5.0m	54.1%	Unlikely
Aït-Nouri	MCI	5.7m	59.5%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	56.1%	Unlikely
Leno	FUL	4.9m	55.2%	Unlikely
Gakpo	LIV	7.3m	55.4%	Unlikely
Gomez	BHA	4.9m	54.3%	Unlikely
Frimpong	LIV	5.7m	51.1%	Unlikely
Haaland	MCI	14.4m	40.8%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.6m	43.1%	Unlikely
Minteh	BHA	5.5m	45.9%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	45.9%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.5m	46.1%	Unlikely
Damsgaard	BRE	5.6m	44.7%	Unlikely
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	44.7%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	43.2%	Unlikely
Gibbs-White	NFO	7.4m	40.5%	Unlikely
Aina	NFO	4.7m	40.0%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	38.9%	Unlikely
M.Fernandes	WHU	5.5m	38.0%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.2m	37.8%	Unlikely
Mitoma	BHA	6.1m	36.0%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
O.Dango	BRE	6.0m	189.6%	Very Likely
Thiago	BRE	7.3m	171.7%	Very Likely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	170.6%	Very Likely
Virgil	LIV	6.3m	159.6%	Very Likely
Mbeumo	MUN	8.6m	157.4%	Very Likely
Kroupi.Jr	BOU	4.7m	144.5%	Very Likely
J.Timber	ARS	6.3m	132.0%	Very Likely
Raúl	FUL	6.2m	125.2%	Very Likely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	110.5%	Very Likely
Mané	WOL	4.4m	105.6%	Very Likely
Lucca	NFO	5.5m	96.3%	Maybe
Potts	WHU	4.4m	87.2%	Unlikely
Kevin	FUL	5.8m	86.4%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	85.9%	Unlikely
Areola	WHU	4.3m	85.5%	Unlikely
Spence	TOT	4.2m	84.8%	Unlikely
Gallagher	TOT	5.1m	79.9%	Unlikely
Burrowes	AVL	4.4m	80.5%	Unlikely
Weiss	BUR	4.3m	80.5%	Unlikely
McAidoo	MCI	4.5m	79.7%	Unlikely
Merino	ARS	5.4m	76.9%	Unlikely
Guéhi	MCI	5.1m	77.5%	Unlikely
Longstaff	LEE	4.8m	75.6%	Unlikely
Zubimendi	ARS	5.1m	74.4%	Unlikely
Ekitiké	LIV	9.3m	61.3%	Unlikely
Travers	EVE	4.3m	74.0%	Unlikely
Emenalo	CHE	4.5m	73.9%	Unlikely
Piroe	LEE	4.9m	73.2%	Unlikely
Estève	BUR	3.9m	72.4%	Unlikely
Evanilson	BOU	6.8m	77.9%	Unlikely
Rice	ARS	7.3m	68.8%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	4.9m	69.3%	Unlikely
Grealish	EVE	6.3m	68.4%	Unlikely
Slonina	CHE	3.9m	68.2%	Unlikely
Johnson	CRY	6.5m	67.3%	Unlikely
Salmon	ARS	4.0m	65.7%	Unlikely
Trafford	MCI	4.5m	66.7%	Unlikely
Lamadrid	WHU	5.0m	66.5%	Unlikely
Maguire	MUN	4.4m	63.2%	Unlikely
Reijnders	MCI	5.0m	64.8%	Unlikely

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These numbers will keep changing throughout the day (so keep checking back), responding to transfer market activity on FPL.

You can read all the confirmed changes here.

HOW LIVEFPL’S PRICE PREDICTOR WORKS

You can see these predictions in more detail on the LiveFPL website.

LiveFPL has launched a Price Change Predictor

Players with at least 100% progress are estimated to rise that night and those with -100% or more are estimated to drop.

This column is a standard feature on predictors but what sets LiveFPL’s apart is the measurement of progress per hour, which allows an educated guess of their end-of-day expected percentage.

LiveFPL has launched a Price Change Predictor 1

Furthermore, there’s an at-a-glance table that neatly summarises which players are currently in those zones and which are about to be.

You’re also able to filter out the lower-owned assets, focusing instead on relevant ones.

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