FPL price change predictions: Who will rise + fall on March 12?

We’ve got a new widget on the Fantasy Football Scout home page, which details the predicted Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes for the upcoming evening.

These come courtesy of LiveFPL, who launched their new price change predictor in late 2024.

Since then, the brains behind the site – our friend Ragabolly – has been tweaking his predictor tool to try and make it the most reliable one out there.

Only FPL themselves know how their mysterious price change algorithm works – and the goalposts seem to be moving all the time.

But Ragabolly’s predictor gives a pretty damned good gauge of who is nearing falling or rising in price.

The best price change predictor of February is…@LiveFPLnet and @fpl_statistics
with one 1st and 2nd place each.
Performance is still way down from December and January. Let’s see if the predictors can pick it back up in March. pic.twitter.com/60scsUxPbW
— What The FPL (@WhatTheF__PL) February 28, 2025

And here is who is close to doing so at 01.30 GMT on Wednesday 12 March.…

PRICE CHANGE PREDICTIONS: MARCH 12

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Mbeumo	BRE	8.0m	106.0%	Very Likely
Schär	NEW	5.5m	95.9%	Maybe
Kiwior	ARS	4.8m	92.4%	Unlikely
Rúben	MCI	5.4m	91.9%	Unlikely
Sels	NFO	5.1m	86.9%	Unlikely
Trossard	ARS	6.7m	77.4%	Unlikely
Aït-Nouri	WOL	5.0m	73.8%	Unlikely
Strand Larsen	WOL	5.4m	72.9%	Unlikely
Collins	BRE	4.5m	71.8%	Unlikely
Rice	ARS	6.2m	71.1%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.6m	68.6%	Unlikely
Cunha	WOL	7.0m	61.9%	Unlikely
Welbeck	BHA	5.5m	61.8%	Unlikely
Branthwaite	EVE	4.8m	61.0%	Unlikely
Barnes	NEW	6.0m	58.4%	Unlikely
Areola	WHU	4.2m	58.3%	Unlikely
Burn	NEW	4.5m	57.9%	Unlikely
Konsa	AVL	4.4m	57.7%	Unlikely
Lacroix	CRY	4.5m	56.9%	Unlikely
Spence	TOT	4.4m	55.9%	Unlikely
James	CHE	4.8m	54.6%	Unlikely
Schade	BRE	5.1m	54.1%	Unlikely
Bradley	LIV	4.7m	52.8%	Unlikely
Martinelli	ARS	6.5m	52.0%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	4.8m	50.7%	Unlikely
Delap	IPS	5.6m	50.7%	Unlikely
Flekken	BRE	4.4m	50.2%	Unlikely
Enzo	CHE	4.7m	45.9%	Unlikely
Leno	FUL	5.0m	45.2%	Unlikely
Johnson	TOT	6.2m	44.7%	Unlikely
Wood	NFO	7.0m	44.1%	Unlikely
Thomas	LEI	3.9m	43.1%	Unlikely
Elanga	NFO	5.4m	42.5%	Unlikely
Tonali	NEW	5.5m	42.5%	Unlikely
Raúl	FUL	5.3m	39.1%	Unlikely
Mac Allister	LIV	6.2m	38.4%	Unlikely
Castagne	FUL	4.2m	36.2%	Unlikely
N.Jackson	CHE	7.7m	35.7%	Unlikely
Isak	NEW	9.6m	35.5%	Unlikely
Estupiñan	BHA	4.9m	34.0%	Unlikely

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Echeverri	MCI	5.9m	108.5%	Very Likely
Dúbravka	NEW	4.1m	102.3%	Very Likely
M.Asensio	AVL	6.2m	101.8%	Very Likely
Saka	ARS	10.5m	101.4%	Very Likely
Esse	CRY	4.7m	101.2%	Very Likely
I.Sarr	CRY	5.8m	101.1%	Very Likely
Muñoz	CRY	5.3m	100.9%	Very Likely
Gabriel	ARS	6.2m	100.8%	Very Likely
Disasi	AVL	4.2m	100.8%	Very Likely
Quansah	LIV	3.9m	100.2%	Very Likely
Digne	AVL	4.5m	100.2%	Very Likely
McAteer	LEI	4.7m	99.8%	Likely
B.Soumaré	LEI	4.4m	100.1%	Very Likely
Jaros	LIV	4.0m	99.9%	Maybe
Justin	LEI	4.1m	99.9%	Maybe
Saliba	ARS	6.6m	98.2%	Maybe
Eze	CRY	6.9m	97.6%	Maybe
Endo	LIV	4.6m	96.9%	Maybe
Hill	BOU	3.9m	96.6%	Maybe
C.Miguel	NFO	4.1m	96.0%	Maybe
Mangala	EVE	5.0m	95.0%	Maybe
Rogers	AVL	5.7m	92.7%	Unlikely
Willock	NEW	4.7m	92.0%	Unlikely
Carvalho	BRE	4.5m	87.4%	Unlikely
Bailey	AVL	6.2m	87.2%	Unlikely
Tarkowski	EVE	4.9m	81.3%	Unlikely
Kalajdžić	WOL	4.8m	79.4%	Unlikely
Savinho	MCI	6.2m	79.1%	Unlikely
Baleba	BHA	5.0m	79.2%	Unlikely
Dragusin	TOT	4.3m	78.6%	Unlikely
Olsen	AVL	4.5m	78.4%	Unlikely
Archer	SOU	4.9m	78.0%	Unlikely
F.Kadıoğlu	BHA	4.4m	77.5%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.6m	76.2%	Unlikely
Skipp	LEI	4.7m	76.5%	Unlikely
Setford	ARS	4.5m	75.5%	Unlikely
Ings	WHU	4.9m	75.0%	Unlikely
Chiesa	LIV	6.8m	74.8%	Unlikely
Harwood-Bellis	SOU	4.0m	74.1%	Unlikely
Matthews	CRY	3.9m	73.6%	Unlikely

These numbers will keep changing throughout the day (so keep checking back), responding to transfer market activity on FPL.

You can read all the confirmed changes here.

HOW LIVEFPL’S PRICE PREDICTOR WORKS

You can see these predictions in more detail on the LiveFPL website.

LiveFPL has launched a Price Change Predictor

Players with at least 100% progress are estimated to rise that night and those with -100% or more are estimated to drop.

This column is a standard feature on predictors but what sets LiveFPL’s apart is the measurement of progress per hour, which allows an educated guess of their end-of-day expected percentage.

LiveFPL has launched a Price Change Predictor 1

Furthermore, there’s an at-a-glance table that neatly summarises which players are currently in those zones and which are about to be.

You’re also able to filter out the lower-owned assets, focusing instead on relevant ones.