Spot the Differential
28 August 2025 334 comments
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Spot the Differential puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Nottingham Forest and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.



PAPE MATAR SARR

Is Sarr the answer to Spurs' problems - and a good FPL pick? 1

  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BOU | whu | bha | WOL | lee

Pape Matar Sarr (£5.0m) looks like a player reborn under new Tottenham Hotspur boss, Thomas Frank.

Currently sitting in just 2.8% of FPL squads, he’s the only central midfielder to have started all three of Spurs’ competitive games this season.

In last weekend’s 2-0 win at the Etihad Stadium, Sarr pushed up right alongside centre-forward Richarlison (£6.7m), as you can see in the image below:

Prior to that, from a deeper role, he provided the assist for Brennan Johnson’s (£7.1m) strike against Burnley.

Sarr’s position and the extent of attacking freedom afforded to him will vary based on the opponent, but his capacity to make late runs into the box will remain.

It’s also worth noting Sarr has nearly reached the defensive contributions (DefCon) threshold in both matches this season, with 10 (BUR) and nine (mci).

While it’s Johnson and Mohammed Kudus (£6.6m) who are understandably dominating most FPL managers’ thoughts when assessing Tottenham’s midfield options this week, there is certainly value to be found elsewhere, particularly in the case of Sarr.

It suggests he could be the perfect differential enabler, with Spurs facing very favourable fixtures beyond Saturday’s home clash with Bournemouth.

DAN NDOYE

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: WHU | ars | bur | SUN | new

Arriving from Bologna in a deal worth £34m this summer, Dan Ndoye (£6.0m) appears to be the perfect winger for Nottingham Forest.

The Swiss international has the ability to provide quality crosses into target man Chris Wood (£7.7m), while he also possesses reasonable goal threat, having scored eight times in 30 Serie A appearances in 2024/25.

Ndoye, who provided the assist for Callum Hudson-Odoi’s (£6.0m) equaliser last week, should be presented with further opportunities to get amongst the points against a West Ham United side that allowed seven big chances in their 5-1 defeat to Chelsea, the most of any team in a single match this season. 

Looking further ahead, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face newly-promoted Burnley and Sunderland in Gameweeks 5 and 6:

For a team not known for its attacking play, Forest have totalled a very respectable six big chances across their first two matches (see image below), with Ndoye playing a direct role in two of these clear-cut opportunities.

It suggests a punt on the overlooked winger, who undoubtedly has the fixtures to excel, could pay off. 

Above: Team sorted by big chances (BCT) in 2025/26

MATTHIJS DE LIGT

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BUR | mci | CHE | bre | SUN

Although Patrick Dorgu (£4.5m) has attracted the majority of transfer interest this season, his Manchester United teammate Matthijs de Ligt (£5.0m) is a viable alternative.

The Dutchman has banked DefCon points in both matches of the 2025/26 season:

He’s yet to record any attacking points; however, he did take three shots against Arsenal in Gameweek 1 and poses a significant threat from set plays. 

Additionally, de Ligt secured three bonus points in the recent match against Fulham, thanks in part to six clearances, including one off the line.

The United centre-back is currently sitting in just 3.2% of FPL squads, but with clean sheet potential in three of the next five Gameweeks (BUR, bre, SUN), along with the capacity to accumulate DefCons in the other two (mci, CHE), he could prove to be a valuable differential asset.

United players admittedly won’t appeal to everyone following their unexpected midweek defeat to Grimsby Town in the Carabao Cup; however, in regard to de Ligt, there is at least rationale behind the selection.

334 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Bye bye Isak.

    Newcastle sign Woltemade

    1. Ziyech on the Bench
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      yep staying away from Etikeke

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Who

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 8 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Star of the Germany U21s this summer

        1. TiAgoFPL
          • 6 Years
          10 months, 16 days ago

          Thougt he was asking who Etikeke was.

    3. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Who dat?

    4. Feanor
      • 17 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      U Wolte made

  2. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Palmer to who? Savings will go to fund Guiu to Wood move.

    1) Sarr
    2) Kudus
    3) Johnson

    1. Ziyech on the Bench
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Kudus

    2. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Eze.

    3. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      2

  3. Ziyech on the Bench
    • 8 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    WC Activated! Any thoughts chaps? 1.6M ITB

    Pope

    Cucu, Porro, Milenkovic

    Salah, Gakpo, Mbeumo, Kudus

    JP, Wood, Richarlison (C)

    Dubs, Reijnders, Reinildo, Richards

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Too early

      1. Ziyech on the Bench
        • 8 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        can't undo once activated so not sure what's the point of replying that mate

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      You sure about Mbeumo?

      1. Ziyech on the Bench
        • 8 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        If he doesn't get an assist or a goal against Burnley I will probably ship him to Semenyo

    3. Feanor
      • 17 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      I'm on WC with Haaland not Salah. Think he will smash United in GW4

    4. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      No Arsenal or Haaland. What's the plan?

  4. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Who do you think will be the best option moving forward?

    A) Sarr (from Spurs)
    B) Ndoye
    C) Dango
    D) Caceido
    E) O’Riley
    F) Paulhina
    G) Ndiaye

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      E.

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Nailed?

        1. GreennRed
          • 14 Years
          10 months, 16 days ago

          Seems to be. On set pieces too

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      G

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Nailed?

    3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      B

    4. Unknown1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      C

    5. Leo14CFC
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 16 days ago

      I like B

    6. Raoul Nogues
      10 months, 16 days ago

      BC

    7. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      B

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Any of the new signings the last week who could threaten his starting role?

    8. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Cheers!

    9. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      B

  5. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Isak FPL stock may go up when he moves to Liverpool.

    Newcastle still looking for a second striker

    https://x.com/SkySports_Keith/status/1961118719758729377?t=77zWyDSWDmRAZ77OaAnGhA&s=19

    1. F4L
      • 11 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      if he could drop closer to 10, that'd be nice

  6. ⭐ ABHISHEK - THE CURIOUS …
    • 15 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Part of the backline looking to keep him at bay could be Kyle Walker, who is looking to become the first player in Premier League history to win seven away matches at Old Trafford.

  7. Tonyawesome69
    • 7 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Palmer is not in today's team training photos

    https://www.gettyimages.co.uk/photos/cobham-training-ground

  8. chocolove
    • 15 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Here we go, Isak!

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Liverpool to splash even much more cash!

  9. Alexis Nonsense
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    How nailed is Pope with Ramsdale lurking ?

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Wait and watch

      1. Alexis Nonsense
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Thank you, that's very insightful

    2. chocolove
      • 15 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Watch and learn

    3. Feanor
      • 17 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      I think injury is the concern with Pope

  10. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Would you sell both Palmer and Rutter for a hit?

    1. Alexis Nonsense
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Yes, the earlier you take the hits the more time you have with assets to get the hit back.

      Last season my 16 point hit made me climb 3m on rank within 10-12 weeks or so

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        That may prevent WC for now as well

    2. Feanor
      • 17 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Yeah, you should be able to pick two mids who will make up a 4 point hit

  11. Mother Farke
    • 2 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Has there been a Connor Bradley leak? Fastest rising player at the moment according to LiveFPL.

    1. ‘Tis the Season
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      How do you check this

      1. Mother Farke
        • 2 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        On http://www.livefpl.net

        Go to price changes and sort by rising per hour.

    2. Feanor
      • 17 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      I think they start Bradley at RB, and Grav, Mac and Szoboz in midfield

      Wirtz benched against the big boys

      1. Warby84
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        No chance, Szobo will replace Jones, Bradley RB.. Why would they bench wirtz

  12. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Palmer,Periera > which option for free?

    A) MGW,J.Pedro
    B) Sarr,Wood

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Sarr, Pedro an option?

      1. The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Yes but a Forest attacker fits in nicely to my plans.
        FH4. WC7.

    2. Raoul Nogues
      10 months, 16 days ago

      A

  13. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Best City mid on FH?
    Foden or Marmoush?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Reijnders or Bobb

    2. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      I'm a bit worried that Pep is going to do to Foden, what he's already done to Grealish

    3. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Reijinders

  14. F4L
    • 11 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    where do you think the new Newcastle striker will land in price, between 7.5-8.5mil?

    1. Leo14CFC
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 16 days ago

      I’ll go for 7.5

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      8.5 would be too much. Not proven in the prem, Bowen and Pedro et al are 8m or less and proven

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Agree, and they’re looking to sign another striker (JSL or Wissa?), so will not play every match

  15. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Which ?

    A) rogers -4 to cunha/mbuemo
    B) watkins -4 to wood

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      None

      1. Nightf0x
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Villa underperforming

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          10 months, 16 days ago

          Not for a hit

    2. Leo14CFC
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 16 days ago

      I’ll go wood ! Easier fixture

    3. 420king
      • 12 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      keep both

  16. chocolove
    • 15 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Forest is signing everyone, spending spree. Lol

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Anyone of them who might threaten Ndoye’s starting role?

  17. lekalatch
    • 6 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Already done 2 transfers for free, Saka Füllkrug —> Wood Semenyo

    Sels
    Cucu Porro Neco
    Palmer* Semenyo Gakpo Wirtz
    JP Wood Watkins

    Verbruggen - Rutter* VdV Diouf

    Another -4 for Palmer out? As both him and Rutter probably won’t feature, VdV will play…

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      VDV

  18. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Palace still not clicking, 0-0 against Fredrikstad, but 1-0 at home

    1. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 14 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Yep, we were terrible tonight, horrible game - although like at Selhurst low block/park the buss, and not sure how much the AstroTurf affected the game either. Just glad to get that over with 🙂

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      I'm happy to read these stats regardless of the result

      10 shots
      6 shots inside the box
      4 SoT
      1 big chance
      1 big chance missed

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Correcting:
        2 big chances
        2 big chances missed

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 months, 16 days ago

          Agree, not bad at all

  19. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Well Sarr hasn't passed the eye test tonight, hopefully they can bring some flair in for left 10

  20. HarryFPL
    • 3 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Keep or sell:
    Minteh
    Wirtz
    Strand Larsen

  21. Thanos
    • 4 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Not sure with such a small squad Palace can do Thursday to weekend turnarounds without player injuries or drop in output. Plus no Eze. Thinking of binning Mateta on WC.

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      New signings could still come

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Close to signing Yeremi Pino, linked with Akanji, Gallagher and Nelson

  22. 420king
    • 12 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Don't get why Palace are so popular, specially Sarr who just played 90 min in Norway and bookies rate him under 40% to get a return on Sunday.
    His xG+A last year was really good, though.

    1. Hughes Your Daddy
      • 14 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Its because we are playing Villa I think, if you look at our last matches v them you can see how well we did.

  23. Digital-Real
    • 9 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Definitely getting this new record signing for Newcastle into my team. Toon have a tradition of good striker(s) at the club

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      He's only scored 35 senior goals since 2019/20 season.

      Albeit he's breakthrough was more recent.

      Is he any good?

      6ft6 target man...

      1. GreennRed
        • 14 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Not so dissimilar to Gyokeres improving his form the past couple of years.

      2. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        36*

      3. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        not a target man by any stretch. He's really creative. Really good passing and dribbling numbers for a striker never mind a striker of his build. He does need to take more shots to be worth that fee probably but his all round game is really good, offers much more than Strand Larsen would. Incidentally Hugo didn't have loads of goals before he came to Liverpool, only one significant season on his cv. Same age as Woltemade, both from Germany.

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 months, 16 days ago

          Good feet for a gig man then.

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Let’s see who the 2nd striker is first, might share game time

  24. Four Letter Wirtz
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    My bench order is Rutter (MCI), Diouf (nfo), Rodon (NEW) - at least one of them is likely to come on for Palmer. Are they in the right order? BTW, I have Perri (NEW) in goal (don't ask me why, please)

    1. Punned It
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Why do you have Perri in goal, though?

      1. Punned It
        • 1 Year
        10 months, 16 days ago

        (maybe Rodon before Diouf, but deffo Rutter first)

      2. Four Letter Wirtz
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        GW1 bench boost, and rotates well with my main gk, Verbruggen

  25. HarryFPL
    • 3 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Keep or sell:
    Minteh
    Wirtz
    Strand Larsen

    Please help (2FTs)

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Sell
      Sell
      Keep

  26. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Should I keep Palmer in my line up (Anderson NF first on bench) or bench Palmer.
    Not getting up at 2.30 am to check the news tomorrow lol.
    Cheers fellas!

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Start Palmer - the deadline is on Saturday 11am BST

  27. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    If Wirtz blanks again, would you keep / buy him for the Burnley game?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Probably 'don't buy don't sell' in that scenario

    2. Khalico
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Selling

    3. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Sold for semenyo

  28. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Looking at the transfers page, I counted already over 14m transfers in of players for this GW
    Seems a super high amount, like 1.3x transfers for every single account registered
    I had been trying to wait for injury news and the transfer window but price changes have been brutal!

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      People are twitchy

      Some rolled 2 FTs

      A fair few hits and wildcards etc.

    2. Feanor
      • 17 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      I did Wirtz to Sememyo on the the first Sunday, then wildcarded on this past Friday.

      TV up to 101.3 already

      1. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Jesus
        I'm only on £100.3m TV, I've messed up the price changes badly this season

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      Why do they want him? CHE keep buying and they mostly end up being garbage.

      1. ☈☾
        • 8 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Don’t you see the buy low sell high all these players

        1. ☈☾
          • 8 Years
          10 months, 16 days ago

          *they

    2. grooveymatt65
      • 12 Years
      10 months, 16 days ago

      is he nailed? might get him if so

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        Ain't looking good for Neto's mins

      2. Feanor
        • 17 Years
        10 months, 16 days ago

        No, of course he's not nailed

  29. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    10 months, 16 days ago

    Chelsea sign Garnacho