Spot the Differential
28 August 2025 334 comments
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Spot the Differential puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Nottingham Forest and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.



PAPE MATAR SARR

Is Sarr the answer to Spurs' problems - and a good FPL pick? 1

  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BOU | whu | bha | WOL | lee

Pape Matar Sarr (£5.0m) looks like a player reborn under new Tottenham Hotspur boss, Thomas Frank.

Currently sitting in just 2.8% of FPL squads, he’s the only central midfielder to have started all three of Spurs’ competitive games this season.

In last weekend’s 2-0 win at the Etihad Stadium, Sarr pushed up right alongside centre-forward Richarlison (£6.7m), as you can see in the image below:

Prior to that, from a deeper role, he provided the assist for Brennan Johnson’s (£7.1m) strike against Burnley.

Sarr’s position and the extent of attacking freedom afforded to him will vary based on the opponent, but his capacity to make late runs into the box will remain.

It’s also worth noting Sarr has nearly reached the defensive contributions (DefCon) threshold in both matches this season, with 10 (BUR) and nine (mci).

While it’s Johnson and Mohammed Kudus (£6.6m) who are understandably dominating most FPL managers’ thoughts when assessing Tottenham’s midfield options this week, there is certainly value to be found elsewhere, particularly in the case of Sarr.

It suggests he could be the perfect differential enabler, with Spurs facing very favourable fixtures beyond Saturday’s home clash with Bournemouth.

DAN NDOYE

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: WHU | ars | bur | SUN | new

Arriving from Bologna in a deal worth £34m this summer, Dan Ndoye (£6.0m) appears to be the perfect winger for Nottingham Forest.

The Swiss international has the ability to provide quality crosses into target man Chris Wood (£7.7m), while he also possesses reasonable goal threat, having scored eight times in 30 Serie A appearances in 2024/25.

Ndoye, who provided the assist for Callum Hudson-Odoi’s (£6.0m) equaliser last week, should be presented with further opportunities to get amongst the points against a West Ham United side that allowed seven big chances in their 5-1 defeat to Chelsea, the most of any team in a single match this season. 

Looking further ahead, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face newly-promoted Burnley and Sunderland in Gameweeks 5 and 6:

For a team not known for its attacking play, Forest have totalled a very respectable six big chances across their first two matches (see image below), with Ndoye playing a direct role in two of these clear-cut opportunities.

It suggests a punt on the overlooked winger, who undoubtedly has the fixtures to excel, could pay off. 

Above: Team sorted by big chances (BCT) in 2025/26

MATTHIJS DE LIGT

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BUR | mci | CHE | bre | SUN

Although Patrick Dorgu (£4.5m) has attracted the majority of transfer interest this season, his Manchester United teammate Matthijs de Ligt (£5.0m) is a viable alternative.

The Dutchman has banked DefCon points in both matches of the 2025/26 season:

He’s yet to record any attacking points; however, he did take three shots against Arsenal in Gameweek 1 and poses a significant threat from set plays. 

Additionally, de Ligt secured three bonus points in the recent match against Fulham, thanks in part to six clearances, including one off the line.

The United centre-back is currently sitting in just 3.2% of FPL squads, but with clean sheet potential in three of the next five Gameweeks (BUR, bre, SUN), along with the capacity to accumulate DefCons in the other two (mci, CHE), he could prove to be a valuable differential asset.

United players admittedly won’t appeal to everyone following their unexpected midweek defeat to Grimsby Town in the Carabao Cup; however, in regard to de Ligt, there is at least rationale behind the selection.

334 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    9 months, 1 day ago

    Bye bye Isak.

    Newcastle sign Woltemade

    1. Ziyech on the Bench
      • 8 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      yep staying away from Etikeke

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Who

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 8 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Star of the Germany U21s this summer

        1. TiAgoFPL
          • 6 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Thougt he was asking who Etikeke was.

    3. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Who dat?

    4. Feanor
      • 16 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      U Wolte made

  2. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    9 months, 1 day ago

    Palmer to who? Savings will go to fund Guiu to Wood move.

    1) Sarr
    2) Kudus
    3) Johnson

    1. Ziyech on the Bench
      • 8 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Kudus

    2. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Eze.

    3. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      2

  3. Ziyech on the Bench
    • 8 Years
    9 months, 1 day ago

    WC Activated! Any thoughts chaps? 1.6M ITB

    Pope

    Cucu, Porro, Milenkovic

    Salah, Gakpo, Mbeumo, Kudus

    JP, Wood, Richarlison (C)

    Dubs, Reijnders, Reinildo, Richards

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Too early

      1. Ziyech on the Bench
        • 8 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        can't undo once activated so not sure what's the point of replying that mate

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      You sure about Mbeumo?

      1. Ziyech on the Bench
        • 8 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        If he doesn't get an assist or a goal against Burnley I will probably ship him to Semenyo

    3. Feanor
      • 16 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      I'm on WC with Haaland not Salah. Think he will smash United in GW4

    4. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      No Arsenal or Haaland. What's the plan?

  4. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 months, 1 day ago

    Who do you think will be the best option moving forward?

    A) Sarr (from Spurs)
    B) Ndoye
    C) Dango
    D) Caceido
    E) O’Riley
    F) Paulhina
    G) Ndiaye

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      E.

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Nailed?

        1. GreennRed
          • 14 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Seems to be. On set pieces too

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      G

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Nailed?

    3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      B

    4. Unknown1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      C

    5. Leo14CFC
      • 1 Year
      9 months, 1 day ago

      I like B

    6. Raoul Nogues
        9 months, 1 day ago

        BC

      • g40steve
        • 8 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        B

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Any of the new signings the last week who could threaten his starting role?

      • RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Cheers!

      • Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        B

    7. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Isak FPL stock may go up when he moves to Liverpool.

      Newcastle still looking for a second striker

      https://x.com/SkySports_Keith/status/1961118719758729377?t=77zWyDSWDmRAZ77OaAnGhA&s=19

      1. F4L
        • 11 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        if he could drop closer to 10, that'd be nice

    8. ⭐ ABHISHEK - THE CURIOUS …
      • 15 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Part of the backline looking to keep him at bay could be Kyle Walker, who is looking to become the first player in Premier League history to win seven away matches at Old Trafford.

    9. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Palmer is not in today's team training photos

      https://www.gettyimages.co.uk/photos/cobham-training-ground

    10. chocolove
      • 15 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Here we go, Isak!

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Liverpool to splash even much more cash!

    11. Alexis Nonsense
      • 10 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      How nailed is Pope with Ramsdale lurking ?

      1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 9 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Wait and watch

        1. Alexis Nonsense
          • 10 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Thank you, that's very insightful

      2. chocolove
        • 15 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Watch and learn

      3. Feanor
        • 16 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        I think injury is the concern with Pope

    12. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Would you sell both Palmer and Rutter for a hit?

      1. Alexis Nonsense
        • 10 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Yes, the earlier you take the hits the more time you have with assets to get the hit back.

        Last season my 16 point hit made me climb 3m on rank within 10-12 weeks or so

        1. Atimis
          • 9 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          That may prevent WC for now as well

      2. Feanor
        • 16 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Yeah, you should be able to pick two mids who will make up a 4 point hit

    13. Mother Farke
      • 2 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Has there been a Connor Bradley leak? Fastest rising player at the moment according to LiveFPL.

      1. ‘Tis the Season
        • 7 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        How do you check this

        1. Mother Farke
          • 2 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          On http://www.livefpl.net

          Go to price changes and sort by rising per hour.

      2. Feanor
        • 16 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        I think they start Bradley at RB, and Grav, Mac and Szoboz in midfield

        Wirtz benched against the big boys

        1. Warby84
          • 10 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          No chance, Szobo will replace Jones, Bradley RB.. Why would they bench wirtz

    14. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      9 months, 1 day ago

      Palmer,Periera > which option for free?

      A) MGW,J.Pedro
      B) Sarr,Wood

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Sarr, Pedro an option?

        1. The 12th Man
          • 12 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Yes but a Forest attacker fits in nicely to my plans.
          FH4. WC7.

      2. Raoul Nogues
          9 months, 1 day ago

          A

      3. Weeb Kakashi
        • 10 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Best City mid on FH?
        Foden or Marmoush?

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Reijnders or Bobb

        2. Haa-lala-land
          • 5 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          I'm a bit worried that Pep is going to do to Foden, what he's already done to Grealish

        3. Stranger Mings
          • 5 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Reijinders

      4. F4L
        • 11 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        where do you think the new Newcastle striker will land in price, between 7.5-8.5mil?

        1. Leo14CFC
          • 1 Year
          9 months, 1 day ago

          I’ll go for 7.5

        2. FPL Blow-In
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          8.5 would be too much. Not proven in the prem, Bowen and Pedro et al are 8m or less and proven

          1. RamaJama
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            Agree, and they’re looking to sign another striker (JSL or Wissa?), so will not play every match

      5. Nightf0x
        • 10 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Which ?

        A) rogers -4 to cunha/mbuemo
        B) watkins -4 to wood

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          None

          1. Nightf0x
            • 10 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            Villa underperforming

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 7 Years
              9 months, 1 day ago

              Not for a hit

        2. Leo14CFC
          • 1 Year
          9 months, 1 day ago

          I’ll go wood ! Easier fixture

        3. 420king
          • 11 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          keep both

      6. chocolove
        • 15 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Forest is signing everyone, spending spree. Lol

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Anyone of them who might threaten Ndoye’s starting role?

      7. lekalatch
        • 6 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Already done 2 transfers for free, Saka Füllkrug —> Wood Semenyo

        Sels
        Cucu Porro Neco
        Palmer* Semenyo Gakpo Wirtz
        JP Wood Watkins

        Verbruggen - Rutter* VdV Diouf

        Another -4 for Palmer out? As both him and Rutter probably won’t feature, VdV will play…

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          VDV

      8. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Palace still not clicking, 0-0 against Fredrikstad, but 1-0 at home

        1. Hughes Your Daddy
          • 13 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Yep, we were terrible tonight, horrible game - although like at Selhurst low block/park the buss, and not sure how much the AstroTurf affected the game either. Just glad to get that over with 🙂

        2. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          I'm happy to read these stats regardless of the result

          10 shots
          6 shots inside the box
          4 SoT
          1 big chance
          1 big chance missed

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            Correcting:
            2 big chances
            2 big chances missed

            1. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              9 months, 1 day ago

              Agree, not bad at all

      9. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Well Sarr hasn't passed the eye test tonight, hopefully they can bring some flair in for left 10

      10. HarryFPL
        • 3 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Keep or sell:
        Minteh
        Wirtz
        Strand Larsen

      11. Thanos
        • 4 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Not sure with such a small squad Palace can do Thursday to weekend turnarounds without player injuries or drop in output. Plus no Eze. Thinking of binning Mateta on WC.

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          New signings could still come

        2. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Close to signing Yeremi Pino, linked with Akanji, Gallagher and Nelson

      12. 420king
        • 11 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Don't get why Palace are so popular, specially Sarr who just played 90 min in Norway and bookies rate him under 40% to get a return on Sunday.
        His xG+A last year was really good, though.

        1. Hughes Your Daddy
          • 13 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Its because we are playing Villa I think, if you look at our last matches v them you can see how well we did.

      13. Digital-Real
        • 9 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Definitely getting this new record signing for Newcastle into my team. Toon have a tradition of good striker(s) at the club

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          He's only scored 35 senior goals since 2019/20 season.

          Albeit he's breakthrough was more recent.

          Is he any good?

          6ft6 target man...

          1. GreennRed
            • 14 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            Not so dissimilar to Gyokeres improving his form the past couple of years.

          2. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            36*

          3. Sir Michael Taker
            • 11 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            not a target man by any stretch. He's really creative. Really good passing and dribbling numbers for a striker never mind a striker of his build. He does need to take more shots to be worth that fee probably but his all round game is really good, offers much more than Strand Larsen would. Incidentally Hugo didn't have loads of goals before he came to Liverpool, only one significant season on his cv. Same age as Woltemade, both from Germany.

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 months, 1 day ago

              Good feet for a gig man then.

        2. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Let’s see who the 2nd striker is first, might share game time

      14. Four Letter Wirtz
        • 10 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        My bench order is Rutter (MCI), Diouf (nfo), Rodon (NEW) - at least one of them is likely to come on for Palmer. Are they in the right order? BTW, I have Perri (NEW) in goal (don't ask me why, please)

        1. Punned It
          • 1 Year
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Why do you have Perri in goal, though?

          1. Punned It
            • 1 Year
            9 months, 1 day ago

            (maybe Rodon before Diouf, but deffo Rutter first)

          2. Four Letter Wirtz
            • 10 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            GW1 bench boost, and rotates well with my main gk, Verbruggen

      15. HarryFPL
        • 3 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Keep or sell:
        Minteh
        Wirtz
        Strand Larsen

        Please help (2FTs)

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Sell
          Sell
          Keep

      16. bso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Should I keep Palmer in my line up (Anderson NF first on bench) or bench Palmer.
        Not getting up at 2.30 am to check the news tomorrow lol.
        Cheers fellas!

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Start Palmer - the deadline is on Saturday 11am BST

      17. ☈☾
        • 8 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        If Wirtz blanks again, would you keep / buy him for the Burnley game?

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Probably 'don't buy don't sell' in that scenario

        2. Khalico
          • 10 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Selling

        3. Stranger Mings
          • 5 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Sold for semenyo

      18. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Looking at the transfers page, I counted already over 14m transfers in of players for this GW
        Seems a super high amount, like 1.3x transfers for every single account registered
        I had been trying to wait for injury news and the transfer window but price changes have been brutal!

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          People are twitchy

          Some rolled 2 FTs

          A fair few hits and wildcards etc.

        2. Feanor
          • 16 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          I did Wirtz to Sememyo on the the first Sunday, then wildcarded on this past Friday.

          TV up to 101.3 already

          1. Sun Jihai
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            Jesus
            I'm only on £100.3m TV, I've messed up the price changes badly this season

        1. bso
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          Why do they want him? CHE keep buying and they mostly end up being garbage.

          1. ☈☾
            • 8 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            Don’t you see the buy low sell high all these players

            1. ☈☾
              • 8 Years
              9 months, 1 day ago

              *they

        2. grooveymatt65
          • 12 Years
          9 months, 1 day ago

          is he nailed? might get him if so

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            Ain't looking good for Neto's mins

          2. Feanor
            • 16 Years
            9 months, 1 day ago

            No, of course he's not nailed

      19. ☈☾
        • 8 Years
        9 months, 1 day ago

        Chelsea sign Garnacho