Spot the Differential
17 November 2025 165 comments
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With the November international break almost over, it’s time for an early edition of our Spot the Differential column for Gameweek 12.

At the time of writing, these three players all have an ownership of 5.0% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).


MATHEUS CUNHA

  • FPL ownership: 4.4%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW12-16 fixtures: EVE | cry | WHU | wol | BOU

While most Fantasy managers are opting for Bruno Fernandes (£8.9m) and Bryan Mbeumo (£8.5m) in their pursuit of Manchester United coverage, the 4.4%-owned Matheus Cunha (£7.9m) represents a departure from the crowd.

Although he lays claim to inferior form, the Brazilian found the net against Brighton and Hove Albion in his most recent home appearance, which bodes well as Everton prepare to visit Old Trafford in Gameweek 12.

Delving into his underlying stats, only six FPL midfielders have amassed more shots than Cunha over the last six Gameweeks (14), albeit with only five of those attempts from inside the penalty box.

He also ranks second for chance involvement – behind only Fernandes – among teammates over the same period:

Cunha will certainly fancy his chances in Gameweek 12 against an Everton rearguard that has not managed to keep a clean sheet in any of their five away matches this season.

Additionally, David Moyes’ side have failed to exert any control while playing on the road, as they place 14th for minutes per expected goal conceded (xGC, 62.3), with just 39.1% possession, which is the lowest among all top-flight teams.

It suggests that United will spend the majority of Monday’s match camped in the Everton half, with significant time spent probing in and around the opposition penalty box, with Cunha’s craft and creativity from such situations a potential crucial weapon.

Fixtures against West Ham United, Wolverhampton Wanderers (x2) and Bournemouth before the end of the year further highlight Cunha’s appeal, particularly with Mbeumo and Amad Diallo (£6.3m) off to the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) next month.

KEVIN SCHADE

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW12-16 fixtures: bha | BUR | ars | tot | LEE

Behind Igor Thiago (£6.3m), Kevin Schade (£7.0m) has been Brentford’s most impressive FPL performer this season.

Just 11 Gameweeks in, the German has three goals and two assists to his name, having notably produced three of those attacking returns in the last four Gameweeks.

In that timeframe (Gameweeks 8-11), Schade has combined eight shots in the box and seven chances created, generating 1.78 non-penalty expected goal involvement (NPxGI), the most of any Brentford player.

Next up for Keith Andrews’ side is an away trip to Brighton and Hove Albion in Gameweek 12. The Seagulls have recorded clean sheets in each of their last two matches against Crystal Palace and Leeds United, but before that, shipped four goals at Old Trafford.

In addition, Schade – who has produced points in four of his five home matches this season – will be encouraged by the fact that Brentford subsequently entertain Burnley, who have surrendered the second-most headed attempts in 2025/26 (43).

Schade ranked joint-fifth in the division last season for headed shots (22).

Furthermore, both Brighton and Burnley rank among the four worst sides for key passes conceded from their right flank, thereby increasing the left winger’s assist potential:

Clashes against Leeds United (h), Wolverhampton Wanderers (a) and Bournemouth (a) before the end of the year further strengthen Schade’s case as a mid-price midfielder to consider.

IBRAHIMA KONATE

  • FPL ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW12-16 fixtures: NFO | whu | SUN | lee | BHA

Liverpool may have failed to keep a clean sheet in six out of their last seven league matches, but they are now about to embark on a fine run of fixtures.

Arne Slot’s side face Nottingham Forest, West Ham United, Sunderland, Leeds United (x2), Brighton and Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers before the turn of the year, with five of those encounters on home turf.

As for Konate, the Frenchman is ranked second for clearances (66), blocks (seven) and tackles (17) among Liverpool teammates in 2025/26.

He also ranks third for total defensive contributions (DefCon), behind only Dominik Szoboszlai (£6.6m) and Virgil van Dijk (£5.9m), having hit the DefCon threshold in 45.5% of his appearances.

Moreover, Konate has actually registered more headed attempts than van Dijk over the first 11 Gameweeks, with a tally of five compared to four.

That could be important, too, with upcoming opponents Forest and West Ham having by far the worst record for goals conceded from set-pieces in 2025/26.

Admittedly, Liverpool and Konate have been some way below their best this season, but with an ownership of just 2.7%, early adopters of Konate may just be giving themselves the opportunity to bag a handy differential.

Indeed, in five home league matches this season, Liverpool have kept two clean sheets, conceded only five goals and allowed the third-fewest shots on target (13). Given that aforementioned fixture run, the early indications are that Konate could edge his way back into our affections.


165 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    25 days, 10 hours ago

    2FT.
    A. Gabriel+Semenyo to O'Reilly+Mbeumo
    B.Semenyo+Wolt to Amad+Mateta
    C.Gabriel+Semenyo+Mateta to Cash+Mbeumo+Mateta (for -4)

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      25 days, 10 hours ago

      A

  2. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    25 days, 10 hours ago

    Best option here under 5.7m?

    Sanchez dubravka
    Munoz senesi diouf gudmundsson xxxx

  3. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    25 days, 9 hours ago

    Surely FPL towers should give us 5 free FTs since so many players got injured during the IB? Since they're handing it out for things people can plan ahead (Afcon), these injuries are something out of everyone's control and hence warranting of 5 free FTs minimum.

    1. NZREDS
      • 12 Years
      25 days, 2 hours ago

      That is a very valid point!

  4. The Night Trunker.
    • 2 Years
    25 days, 9 hours ago

    The trouble with statistics and middle management positions that spew this analysis like the froth running down our streams from pesticides and other unknowns, is the lack of perception that filtrate through the human eye and cements other nuances like "gut feeling" of things likely to manifest.
    The models and AI will never get to this stage because as humans we will destroy it before they destroy us.
    I mean we have done it before already if you really think about it....

  5. BR510
      25 days, 9 hours ago

      Im lost

      Pope/Dub
      Gabriel/Timber/Senesi/Andersen/Rodon
      Saka/Semenyo/Sarr/Enzo/KDH
      Haaland/Mateta/Woltemade

      1. Wolte, Enzo, Gabriel --> Welbeck, Bruno, Munoz
      2. Enzo, Semenyo, Wolte --> Bruno, Mbeumo, Guiu
      3. Other

      3FT

      Very much appreciated Thank you

      1. The Night Trunker.
        • 2 Years
        25 days, 9 hours ago

        On a cursory look , 1 easily tops 2, of your choices.
        But I think other would be the play.
        What that would need though is a deep dive.

    • rainy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      25 days, 9 hours ago

      Price changes 18th November

      Rise: Muñoz 5.8

      Falls: Eyestone 3.9, Justin 3.9

      1. The Night Trunker.
        • 2 Years
        25 days, 9 hours ago

        I'm only happy when it rains.

        1. The Night Trunker.
          • 2 Years
          25 days, 9 hours ago

          Why would peeps sell Eyestone.
          Corruption has no hiding place these days.

      2. nanxun
        • 4 Years
        25 days, 9 hours ago

        Thx, R!!

        1. rainy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 10 Years
          25 days, 4 hours ago

          NW, N

      3. Philosopher's Stones
        • 5 Years
        25 days, 4 hours ago

        Might have to buy Eyestone just for the name alone.

        1. rainy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 10 Years
          25 days, 4 hours ago

          Espionage drama plot point if ever there was one.

    • Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      25 days, 9 hours ago

      Will u do guehi and semenyo to cash and cunha for -4?
      Or to rogers and oreilly for -4?

    • SKENG
      • 9 Years
      25 days, 8 hours ago

      Raya
      Munoz Senesi Tarkowski Rodon
      Fernandes Sarr KDH Reijnders
      Haaland Mateta

      Dubravka Gyokeres* Gabriel* Semenyo* - 2 FTs, 0.1M ITB

      Initial plan was get Saka for Gyokeres with 2 FTs. Now I am not sure if I should use the 2 FTs to get rid of the injured players.

      A) Gyokeres & Reijnders > Saka & Guiu
      B) Gyokeres & Reijnders > Cunha & Thiago
      C) smth else??

    • Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      25 days, 6 hours ago

      So Gabriela and Semenyo are out for next gw?

      1. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        25 days, 6 hours ago

        I’d be more worried about Gabriel than Semenyo, but happy to ditch an out of form Semenyo in any case.

      2. FFS ManU
        • 3 Years
        25 days, 6 hours ago

        They might be out - both are currently flagged on FPL as having a 75 percent chance of playing.

      3. Kingy109
        • 4 Years
        25 days, 6 hours ago

        Maybe. Perhaps even probably. Worth waiting to see if there is any more information as neither are dropping imminently although sales will likely pick up.

    • Sz21
      • 14 Years
      25 days, 6 hours ago

      What would you do here especially if Gabriel is confirmed out.

      Have my WC and FH still. May WC next week.
      Sanchez.
      Timber, Gabriel, James, Andersen.
      Semenyo, Ndiaye, Saka.
      Haaland, Mateta, Woltemade.
      Dubravka, Anderson, Reijnders, Esteve.
      2ft's, 0.5m ITB.

      1. Kingy109
        • 4 Years
        25 days, 6 hours ago

        If confirmed out I'd be selling 2 from Semenyo Gabriel and Reijnders.
        Another option to consider is FH13 as your GW14 team will be ok then WC 15 or later.

      2. Guru Mediation
        • 10 Years
        25 days, 5 hours ago

        I also have FH and WC, if the injuries are all niggles I'll FH in 12. This will also give an opportunity to trial Liverpool players Vs Forest. I also think Newcastle away will be tricky for Haaland so could spread funs by selling him on FH.

        If injuries are longer term, I think I'll WC in 12 as only 1 FT. I don't like this though as WC this week kind of forces you to perma get Liverpool players, which is risky considering how poor they've been.

        I think the FH 13 chat is mostly revolving around an expected rest for Haaland, but I think the advantage of FH 12 is that you're targeting the more difficult fixture for City

    • SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      25 days, 6 hours ago

      Best option for this team? 1 ft, 0.3m itb

      a. gabriel semenyo > mbeumo konate -4
      b. gabriel semenyo > mbeumo o'riley -4
      c. gabriel semenyo > vvd gakpo -4
      d. something else

      sanchez
      gabriel munoz senesi
      saka semenyo sarr enzo
      haaland mateta wolte

      dubravka vdv anderson gudmundsson

    • How Green Was My Arrow
      • 1 Year
      25 days, 6 hours ago

      Miss those days when James Justin was essential.

      1. Old Man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        25 days, 3 hours ago

        Never the same after that injury

    • BR510
        25 days, 5 hours ago

        Downgrade Woltemade to Welbeck or Semenyo to 7 mill or less mid

        1. SpaceCadet
          • 12 Years
          25 days, 4 hours ago

          semenyo

          1. BR510
              25 days, 4 hours ago

              Who then??? Thanks though

              1. SpaceCadet
                • 12 Years
                25 days, 3 hours ago

                Who do you have?

                1. BR510
                    25 days, 3 hours ago

                    Saka, Bruno, Sarr, Semenyo, KDH

                    1. FPLamateur
                      • 1 Year
                      25 days, 3 hours ago

                      Rogers

                      1. BR510
                          25 days, 2 hours ago

                          Don't mind that

                      2. SpaceCadet
                        • 12 Years
                        25 days, 1 hour ago

                        Rogers or enzo if he's fit

            • Ballito
              • 2 Years
              25 days, 4 hours ago

              Already have Rice, sell Semenyo for Saka?

            • One for All
              • 7 Years
              25 days, 4 hours ago

              On FH:

              Already have Mbeumo

              A) Saka
              B) Bruno Fernandes

              Thanks

              1. BR510
                  25 days, 3 hours ago

                  Bruno

              2. BR510
                  25 days, 3 hours ago

                  1. Cunha (HAVE BRUNO), Richards
                  2. Schade/(Any mid below 7.0) , Munoz

                  1. The Knights Template
                    • 12 Years
                    25 days, 3 hours ago

                    These are both FFS differential recommendations. Are you happy to go with differentials? Where are you ranked?

                    1. BR510
                        25 days, 2 hours ago

                        Around a mil

                    2. One for All
                      • 7 Years
                      24 days, 23 hours ago

                      1

                  2. Babit1967
                    • 9 Years
                    25 days, 3 hours ago

                    Unfortunately only 1 ft but does this look ok for a -4, could backfire I know.

                    Semenyo & Gabriel to

                    Mbeumo & Virgil

                    1. The Knights Template
                      • 12 Years
                      25 days, 3 hours ago

                      Ok trades. Who would you play without the hit?

                      1. Babit1967
                        • 9 Years
                        25 days, 3 hours ago

                        Gudmonssen & Esteve if the two are out 🙁

                  3. Letsgo!
                    • 9 Years
                    25 days, 3 hours ago

                    Will u do guehi and semenyo to cash and cunha for -4?
                    Or to rogers and oreilly for -4?

                    I have guehi and gab most likely not starting and i dont want to start gudmunsson

                    1. BR510
                        25 days, 2 hours ago

                        guehi to cash and start gud, cash and other defender and get cunha in 14?

                    2. BR510
                        25 days, 2 hours ago

                        1. Rogers, Munoz
                        2. Cunha, Richards - I have Bruno??

                      • boombomclap
                          24 days, 15 hours ago

                          Guys, what do you think?

                          A) Gabriel, Semenyo > Virgil, Mbeumo
                          B) Gabriel, Semenyo > Rodon, Saka
                          C) Gabriel, Semenyo, Enzo > Richards, Saka, Doku
                          D) Hold

                          Cheers!

                        • Ronnies
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 10 Years
                          24 days, 15 hours ago

                          Free transfer;

                          Gabriel to Timber?

                          A) Yes
                          B) No

                          I have VVD and just Saka from Arsenal with Gabriel now injured.

                          Cheers.

                          1. Stranger Mings
                            • 5 Years
                            24 days, 15 hours ago

                            A