Spot the Differential
10 February 2026 277 comments
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It’s time to look at some more differentials as Gameweek 26 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) comes swiftly into view.

These three players all have an ownership of 5% or less.


JORGEN STRAND LARSEN

  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW26-30 fixtures: BUR | WOL | mun | tot | LEE

While Ismaila Sarr (£6.3m) was the main headline-maker in Crystal Palace’s derby win over Brighton and Hove Albion on Sunday, it’s also important to mention the role played by Jorgen Strand Larsen (£6.1m).

The Norwegian, who played as the lone striker in Oliver Glasner’s 3-4-2-1 formation (see image below), ultimately blanked, but he led the line well, racked up three shots and probably should have scored late on, when his low strike from Daniel Munoz’s (£5.8m) cutback was saved.

Jean-Philippe Mateta (£7.5m) has, of course, been ruled out of Gameweek 26.

It opens the door for a Strand Larsen punt against Burnley, who are ranked 20th for actual and expected goals conceded (xGC) in 2025/26. Scott Parker’s side are also without a win in 16 league matches.

Furthermore, with upcoming fixtures against Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, three of the current bottom five are set to visit Selhurst Park over the next five Gameweeks, before a likely blank in Gameweek 31.

Strand Larsen has obviously only just arrived at Palace, but when you consider the chances Mateta has been presented with this season, it’s clear they will play to his strengths.

“The style of play here suits me. It is intense, high pressure, winning the ball high up the pitch. We had a few chances today, and the more we train together, the more we play together, they will know my qualities and my strengths. I felt like I had a good game today but there is a lot of improvement as well, but a really good start to my journey here. I got fed a lot today and I will be in the future, so I’m looking forward to it.” – Jorgen Strand Larsen

So, while it is Sarr who has understandably attracted the most transfers in this week, having scored in back-to-back Gameweeks, it could actually be Strand Larsen who represents the strongest attacking option against the deep blocks of Burnley and Wolves.


MARTIN ZUBIMENDI

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £5.3m
  • GW26-30 fixtures: bre + wol | tot | CHE | bha | EVE

Martin Zubimendi (£5.3m) has quietly racked up nine attacking returns in all competitions this season.

Five goals have arrived in the Premier League, the joint-second-most of any Arsenal player:

Now admittedly, Zubimendi doesn’t shoot a lot – he’s averaging a goal attempt every 94.9 minutes in 2025/26.

He doesn’t create much either (139 minutes per chance created), but as a nailed-on, in-form £5.3m ‘doubler’, Zubimendi could be worth a look if, for example, you can’t afford Declan Rice (£7.5m).

It’s also important to mention that Zubimendi has banked defensive contribution (DefCon) points in two of his last six matches, and wasn’t far off in Gameweek 24, with three clearances, six recoveries and two tackles.

Notably, Zubimendi’s strike against Sunderland last week was his second from outside the box this season. Next up are Brentford and Wolves, who both rank in the bottom four for shots conceded from such situations.

“Zubi’s [goal] is a special one as well. He’s contributing now to the team in a way that probably we didn’t expect that much, but he really has an intuition and quality to deliver those moments in and around the box.” – Mikel Arteta on Martin Zubimendi

Beyond the ‘double’, Zubimendi can easily be benched without eating up too much of your budget, so perhaps we shouldn’t be too hasty in overlooking the Spaniard as a valid budget option this week.


TOLU AROKODARE

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW26-30 fixtures: nfo + ARS | cry | AVL | LIV | bre

Another ‘doubler’, Tolu Arokodare (£5.4m) could be gambled on in Gameweek 26.

The Nigerian centre-forward has been presented with some decent chances over the last six Gameweeks, finding the net against Chelsea on Saturday, with his StatsBomb shot map from this period included below.

Tolu’s shot-to-goal conversion rate is admittedly poor this season (6.7%), so you aren’t getting a reliable finisher.

However, his minutes look relatively secure in light of Strand Larsen’s departure.

A four-point floor in Double Gameweek 26 consequently looks possible, then.

Tolu is obviously most likely to get some joy against 17th-placed Nottingham Forest on Wednesday, rather than Arsenal. Indeed, across the Tricky Trees’ last four home matches, they rank 19th for shots conceded and 16th for xGC.

Although Wolves have lost their last three games, performances have been much better under Rob Edwards this year, with favourable results against West Ham United, Everton and Newcastle United.

So, for those needing to free up some cash, Tolu could present a handy solution, and with an ownership of only 0.3%, he also provides a bit of upside if he can build on his goal against Chelsea.


price change predictions
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  1. Tripleh123
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Who to captain this week?

    A. Gabriel
    B. Rice
    C. Haaland

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      I'm on B

    2. Count Olaf
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Gabriel

    3. The Tonberry
      • 2 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      A

    4. Noah OFlaherty
      5 months, 7 days ago

      A

  2. FPL_Mall
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    A) Semenyo to Rice (play Wilson and Rodon)
    B) Thiago and Andersen to Kroupi and Timber

    Triple captain Gabriel and own Raya.

    1. Count Olaf
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 7 days ago

      I'd want Thiago from next week, so A.

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Prefer A, but I'm not in love with it

    3. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      A

      Thinking you'll want Thiago back and triple defence is eggs in baskets and all thst

  3. Count Olaf
    • 1 Year
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Start Wilson (M.City away) or Alderete (Liverpool home) ?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Wilson

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Wilson

  4. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Hypothetically what scores more :

    A) Gabriel (bre, wol)
    B) Haaland (ARS, CPA)

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Same as before

    2. Count Olaf
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Gabriel should score around 10. Anything more and you've been lucky, anything less and you've been unlucky.
      Haaland could score anything between 4 and 26 and we wouldn't be shocked.
      High floor vs high ceiling.

    3. I have no Wirtz
      5 months, 7 days ago

      A

  5. Dave2008
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    TC Rice chasing mini league leader 60 points behind? he will C or TC Gabriel

  6. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Gab
    Rice
    Timber
    Cala
    Madu

    Top 5 expected points here

    11 of the top 12 are Arsenal picks, with Haaland 9th

    Heavily skewed to the defenders etc.

    https://x.com/i/status/2021255131463881010

    1. Dave2008
      • 5 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      What do you think if chasing mini league leader to Rice?

  7. thebizzle
    • 14 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    I have Raya, Timber and Saliba

    Who would you captain from them?

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Timber

      1. thebizzle
        • 14 Years
        5 months, 7 days ago

        Is Saliba more likely to play both

  8. I have no Wirtz
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Which Defense looks better to start today:

    A) Roefs, Gabriel, Timber, Richard

    B) Raya, Gabriel, Tarkowski, Richard
    C) Roefs, Gabriel, Saliba, Munoz -4

    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      A

    2. Sgt. Schultz
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      A

  9. The Tonberry
    • 2 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Start one:

    A - Guehi
    B - Kroupi Jr
    C - Thiago

    Am currently thinking Guehi

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      A

    2. FDMS All Starz
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      A or B

  10. McSwegan
    • 12 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Pick/Dub
    Muk/Anderson/Gabs/Timber/Dorgu
    Bruno F/Mbuemo/Wilson/Semenyo/Rice
    Haaland/Thiago/Guiu

    1FT.

    Dorgu > Munoz and bench Muk?

    Or roll?

  11. Noah OFlaherty
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Rice or timber?

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Tim

    2. The Tonberry
      • 2 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Rice if you're on Gab and Raya

  12. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Play
    A cash
    B senesi

    Cheers all

    1. The Tonberry
      • 2 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      B

  13. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      I've picked and stuck. Accepting the consequences either way

      (C) Gabriel, (TC) Haaland/Palmer/BrunoF. BB when fixtures align on my bench, rather than forcing 15 for a DGW

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 months, 7 days ago

        I have got the BB to worry about so maybe I should just hold off on the TC this GW and hope a better opportunity presents itself later on.

        Can smell a Brentford goal on Thursday in a 3-1 Arsenal win.

  14. Steavn8k
    • 3 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Still can't decide on who to start?
    A: Senesi
    B: Kroupi
    On Senesi at the moment, as I expect a low scoring game v. Everton.

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      I'd go Senesi

      1. Steavn8k
        • 3 Years
        5 months, 7 days ago

        Cheers, think I'll stick then.

  15. BrockLanders
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Where's all the Rayan buyers??

    CAAAAAMAAAAAN

  16. thebizzle
    • 14 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Raya (Dubrovnik)
    Timber Saliba Guehi (Hill Esteve)
    Semenyo Rogers Bruno Palmer (Miley)
    Haaland Pedro Mane

    1. thebizzle
      • 14 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Is this worth bench boosting ?

      1. BrockLanders
        • 11 Years
        5 months, 7 days ago

        Yeah. May be few other opportunities tbf

  17. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    TC Gabriel

    A) Yes
    B) No

    1. Sgt. Schultz
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      A

  18. Sgt. Schultz
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Any Duffy Triple Captainers around?

  19. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Hi all.

    G2G here? I’m tempted to play Keane over Thiago given I am hoping for/expecting an Arsenal clean sheet::

    Sanchez
    Gabriel(C) Timber Chalobah
    Zubi(v) Bruno F Semenyo Enzo
    Haaland Ekitike Thiago
    (Dubs, Keane, Senesi, Devenny)

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      I'd still play Thiago.

    2. Sgt. Schultz
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Keane not predicted to start.

  20. Noah OFlaherty
    5 months, 7 days ago

    A. Lammens
    Gabriel tc timber lacroix
    Bruno G gomes Fernandes enzo
    Haaland Pedro gyokeres
    Bench: kelleher e. Anderson ballard esteve

    B. Lammens
    Gabriel tc lacroix timber
    Bruno G rice gomes Fernandes enzo
    Haaland Pedro
    Bench kelleher anderson ballard esteve

    C. Lammens
    Gabriel tc lacroix Cash
    Bruno G rice Fernandes enzo
    Haaland Pedro gyokeres
    Bench kelleher anderson ballard esteve

    1. Noah OFlaherty
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Leaning towards a at the moment

  21. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Would you do these moves?

    Keane & LeFee —> Munoz & Sarr (2FTs)

    Verbruggen (Areola)
    Gabriel* Timber* Keane (VDB Andersen)
    Rice* Bruno Mbuemo Enzo (LeFee)
    Haaland* Thiago Kroupi
    (2FTs & 3.7itb)

    * = blank in gw31 (already have 4 and possible 5 if VDB is dropped)

  22. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Is there any chance of GW35 being a a double?

  23. Ze_Austin
    • 7 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    In the reverse fixtures, Wolves scored while Brentford blanked

    Not what I expected to find

    Gabriel was injured though, so they weren't as watertight

  24. Tripleh123
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Which one to bench this week?

    A. Thiago
    B. Summerville
    C. Enzo

  25. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Currently
    Raya
    Gabriel Chalobah Guehi Vvd
    Wirtz Enzo Rice
    Haaland Watkins Thiago

    Dubravka Wilson Alderete 4m

    1.9m itb and 2fts. What to do here chaps? Thinking Vvd to Munoz? Anyone else need to go? For who? Best Captain choice, Rice , Gabriel?

  26. Bigler
    • 8 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    What to do here? 3ft 2.6itb

    Verbruggen
    Gabriel Timber VVD NOR
    Bruno Mbeumo Rice Enzo Anderson
    Haaland

    Dubravka Thiago Rodon Guiu

    A) Save
    B) Verbruggen>Sa
    C) NOR>Munoz
    D) Both B and C

  27. DandyDon
    • 7 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    A or B!?

    a) Mbuemo to Martinelli + Taty to Strand Larsen
    b) Mbuemo to Dewsbury-Hall + Taty to Gykores

    most likely in the coming weeks A) will pivot into Rogers and B) will Watkins

  28. Gorky
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Will we get Chelsea lineup before the deadline?
    Could do with knowing if James is starting

  29. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    What’s your opinion about Gabriel this GW?
    A) up to 5pts
    B) up to 10pts
    C) up to 15pts
    D) up to 20pts
    E) 21+

    1. Mighty Duck
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 7 days ago

      C

    2. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 months, 7 days ago

      C