We delve into the data this evening in our first members article of the week. Watford, Man City and Everton’s strikers arrive under analysis, whilst we also assess United and Newcastle’s attacks before casting an eye over a couple of defensive differentials from City and Liverpool.
Seriously having a doubt on Barkley s abilities!! Lad plays deep in midfield with a lesse goal threat...so folks
Barkley> Coutinho/ payet(if yes then who)
Payet, of those. Ozil instead of either.
Never been convinced with Barkley - seems to only score from long-range deflected shots. Would be tempted to ship to Ozil if you don't have him.
Is there a way to stop these BMW ads?
Adblock?
Hazard doing an interview later to clear the air with chelsea tv, should be interesting.
Ighalo's a thing of beauty. Watford have scored 9 goals while Ighalo's been on the pitch, notching in 7 goals & 2 assists. That's 100% contribution to goals, talk about impact 8O. He also boasts a very healthy conversion rate
20% conversion rate: 7g/35 shots
54% Sh%: 7g/13SoT
His xG from Paul Riley's table is a great watch, look at those shots in the box. Marvellous - https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CS51yqPXIAEXVdZ.jpg:large
Some tables for the up-sell - sort by shots in the box, http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/939/
Vs one of the worst defenses in the league (lei), http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/public-stats-tables/view/6810/ - sort by headed goal attempts conceded, aerial duels lost & goal attempts in box conceded.
...& he's only 5.5. Upcoming fixtures (lei, MUN, avl, NOR, sun, LIV, che). C'mon lads, where's the love? He's way more deserving of love than what the false prophet Martial Farts ever got.
My plan was that Vardy would obviously dry up and Vardy to Ighalo would happen. Just cant do it now!
Aguero Lukaku Ighalo
was the plan.Aha, I'm looking at that same frontline come Gw14 😯
Whats your frontline now though, Sab?Pelle Lukaku Vardy
Pelle to Aguero will happen
Spend some money eh guys?
Aguero Lukaku Kane is where the big boys will be at 😉I wish
4.5 KDB Yaya Sanchez Mahrez
Lukaku Aguero Vardy
Is the loose plan with Yaya maybe moving out laterDon't think so Baldy, he's 5.5 & I think he'll get similar returns to whatever Kane/Lukaku produce tbh. I can't see the value or that big of a point swing in that front three IMO. Though what does sway me with that frontline is the matter that they're all arguably the best attacking assets with the most reliable source of points from their respective teams tbh.
I think it will be worth the value to be honest, his xG per 90 is a definite step 90 from the others I looked at last week and he's also yet to serve up any big chances for Troy Deeney whereas Lukaku and Kane have been able to serve up big chances to Kone and Lamela/Dembele on occasion. Also does it not worry you that every single danger zone SoT has been converted by Ighalo so far? A keepers got to get a glove on it more often in the future.
@Balders: Following our discussion last page regarding Ighalo's value vs Kane/Lukku.
That may be true about Kane's xG, I don't dispute he's still under performing relative to his xG, but I still don't think it's large enough of a discrepancy between the two warrant nearly 4.0m more IMO. You can take captaincy into account perhaps, but I'm not sure there's much for this argument now with Agüero in the equation as Kane's best fixtures on paper in the next six also coincide with ideal fixtures for both Agüero & Kane.
If you were to analyze this from a very bare-bones xG perspective, to point toward regression & under performance: Lukaku (total xG = 4.8, total goals = 6.00), Kane (total xG = 5.78, total goals = 4.00), Ighalo (total xG = 3.20, total goals = 7.00). Perhaps a fairer comparison can be drawn between Lukaku & Ighalo, is there really that much a difference of xG here to really warrant an extra 3.0m? I don't think so, Ighalo's still taking quality poacher's shots in the box & has good accuracy to boot., he has great positioning & awareness.
In terms of points per million, I just can't see how Lukaku & to a lesser extent Kane, provide that much more. Now with Agüero back in the mix, I think value takes more precedence. Unless you're expecting double-digit hauls from both (which Ighalo is also capable of), considering the fixtures (lei, MUN, avl, NOR, sun, LIV, che), I just can't look past Ighalo's value tbh.replied further forward 🙂
I sold him last week 😎
Me too ;-(
Same 😎
🙁 Damn Billy, you still have a WC to apprehend that though!
Me three. Didn't want to but something had to give.
Magic isn't he? I can't see past Aguero (soon) Ighalo & Vardy. Which means that Lukaku's stay in my team will be all too brief, good fixtures or not.
Thinking along similar lines, Reedy. He's the ultimate Agüero enabler & has a better run-in than Vardy/Mahrez, IMO.
I just can't bring myself to sell either one of Ighalo and Vardy. It does restrict me upfront a bit, but at least I'll be able to pump some more money into midfield.
I agree, though I think the dynamic Leicester duo may prove to be more expendable come Gw14/15 when the fixtures turn. I'm still skeptical of Leicester producing at this rate, but for now, you obviously can't fault it 😉
Yup. I'll reassess a few GWs down the line.
Agreed. Having bought him at 5.0, he stays in my team and makes getting Aguero in quite easy really
Hmm just found an invoice in my inbox I never realized I had received back in May. Nobody has ever chased me for it. Do I pay it? It is for £250 I was a bit surprised they seemed to do it gratis at the time
You hoping someone will suggest not paying it?
Not really. I know I am not going to pay it unless they chase me.
Depends who its for.
They amended the building warrant for my house. You would not believe how long I had to chase them to do the work in the first place. They clearly are not bothered as the invoice was 5 months ago. What company emails invoices anyway and expects payment? Mine just got lost with all of the junk I usually receive
Just looked up what that is. I would not feel morally compelled to pay that if they didn't chase me up. You have to pay someone for permission to do something to your own property. False economy if you ask me.
I agree. £20 for what was a small edit on a CAD file seemed excessive as well
£250 even
How to get the Butland/Myhill equation right this week? Have Dawson so a double Brom looks hopeful. Or Huth instead of Dawson.
I'd double on Brom. I might do the same at the expense of a Saints defender - and they play Sunderland! That's how low my expectations of United's attack have fallen.
Same issue here KM, probably go Myhill and bench Dawson & Rose unless Bellerin's out... then it get's tricky.
Defence is:
Myhill (Hennesssey)
Bellerin* Janmaat* VVD Francis Mariappa*
1FT, 5.2m ITB.
Some issues with the defence with potentially three non-starters. How should I deal with it?Get Ward or one of the Watford defenders
Mariappa to Moreno
Bellerin should start at the weekend
@Billy can we get an update on the dead team challenge? I want to see my Kane captaincy points from the last two weeks 🙂
and I am desperate to see having Rickie Lambert and Siem De Jong is working for me
My defence is absolutely horrible. Mings Angella Fuchs Haidara and Richards. So that's nil points this week.
😯
Mings is unlucky but you've gotta have a good defence in a dead team.
I have Hazard(c)/Rooney(vc). Ugghh...can't believe what looked so good back then looks utter trash now. Didn't want to risk Aguero(c) due to injury worries.
@Fishy:
Yes, your attack is fine for sure. Maybe you can scrape out a decent back three this GW though, so although a defensive trannie could boost your CS prospects a bit this GW, I think the FT would have more use during the IB. Two FT's, one to bolster your defense perhaps or to set-up for the Agüero transition, who knows.
Defense is real worry though, IMO. Relying on two notorious injury-prone players in Jones & Evans to last you through December, the feast of rotation. Not to mention Huth, who not only plays or one of the weakest defenses in the league, has horrible long term fixtures to boot Gw14 onward (MUN, swa, CHE, eve, liv, MCI, BOU, tot). I'd be hard pressed to play him at all in December. On to Francis who also plays for a woeful defense & who long with Huth also has rather weak defensive fixtures come Gw14 (EVE, che, MUN, wba, CRY, ars, lei).
So depending on any injuries to your backline or bad news, I'd save & prepare to do some backline maintenance soon.Why bother with the detailed RMT'S 😆
Lets say Bellerin is ruled out this weekend, play:
A) Huth vs Watford
B) Evans @UnitedB, IMO.
Don't underestimate Pulis' exaggerated bus away from home as his better away record has shown. Four CS away (wat, stk, avl, nor) with a perfect record thus far vs at home with two CS's (SOU, SUN) & conceding 14 from 6 games. Granted context is needed hiving faced (MCI, CHE, SOU, EVE, SUN, LEI) in those homers, though nevertheless, their away record last year with Puls was also very impressive, ManUnited's attack is also one of the least creative in the league - Sunderland (74), Aston Villa (80), Man United (81), Stoke (82), West Brom (83).
Appreciate the analysis, thanks Zasa!!
B
B). Could even grab a goal against his former club!*
*Joke. There won't be a goal within a mile of that game.Jabba the Huth
I think I would do B regardless of whether Bellerin is fit or not.
I see Trigger has revealed more about Bonkers: "The workings are a complete mystery, as were programmed in when blind drunk."
😀He's lost it, completely lost it.
Who would you start this week between Azpi (stk) and Cedric (sun)?
Cedric no-brainer
Yet stk has the weakest scoring team, but again its chelsea
So yup cedric
Cedric
thanks all
Granville made a point on scoutcast about DDG being too expensive and less save points.on offer
This have made me think about Rojo as united defensive cover.(looked very attacking last night)
Thoughts ?I came to a similar conclusion on my WC, especially as keeper bonus points rely quite heavily on saves. The only problem is I took Jones at 0.2m cheaper 😳
I like Rojo and personally think he 1st choice LB. I just dont trust LVG. If cash no issue the DDG or Smalling for security of starts.
Smalling too expensive for my liking
Still think DDG is the best route into United defence. Nailed-on and a whole 1m cheaper than Smalling.
BTW, I never got a chance to say thanks for your stat attack on Lukaku. It was one of the factors in me going for him over Bony and GiroudCheers happy to hear that i've helped 🙂
Hey Gang. Are the scoutcasts still being posted on FFS to listen to?
I know we can watch it on youtube. But i would rather listen to the podcast than watching it while driving is all.
Cheers.
Yeh I was asking similar question last week. think the reason it didn't get posted was because they had technical difficulties...not sure though.
PS - I listen whilst driving in on a Friday. Great way to kick off the weekend!Fair enough. Thanks for that FFB.
It does help to steam the kettle doesn't it? With all the podcasts about these days it would be nice if they could at least space them out for each day of the week. Would make the morning drive much better.
Call me mad but I am thinking about benching Sanchez this week. He always struggles when Giroud plays and Spurs look tight at the back. Would bring Payet back into my team at home against leaky Everton...
This is also my initial thought. Glad to see an Arsenal fan thinking the same. Not my Spurs blinkers that is swaying me this way.
Am I right in thinking he also goes missing in big games?hmmm I haven't really seen much evidence of that - always steps it up at big international games.
Not that I would call playing Spurs a big game 😉 hehe (laughs nervously at prospect of losing to you!)I dont make any claims of Spurs being a big club to be honest. But the NLD certainly is a big game.
Wont bench sanchez but i agree his points slightly decrease when giroud plays
Its the opposite for Ozil though. Ozil Giroud combo seems to work pretty good for arsenalGood case for Sanchez to Ozil?
Personally im reluctant. but if Ozil keeps his form up and Sanchez isnt gettiing the points id be tempted.
if both are producing i fancy a double up . have to sacrifice someone like Payet from the template mid ifor me to get ozil though
Ohhh, Manchester Unite, they've gone seven hours of football in all competitions without conceding a goal. Yet also just ended a run (vs CSKA) of 404 minutes in all competitions without a goal, they've also created the third least amount of chances in the PL.
Talk about dull affairs eh 😉Yeah. On the plus side they are the new Pulisesque while still being a 'big club'. Guarantee of CSs is therefore greater
I'd agree to a certain extent for sure, they're very solid at the back. That attack though, dear god no.
bring back Depay!
he's mediocre with an attitude that never deserves to play
Bring back CR7!
Agreed. Wouldn't go near any of their attacking options with a barge pole!
They're seeing the vacancy left by Chelsea.
Why didn't KDB play yesterday?
Rested
Was rested and came off the bench. Bit of a masterstroke by Pellegrini as City dominated the game and he only had a 20 min run out.
It was genius tbf.
KDB captain this gw?
Fernandino and Yaya together in the middle of a 4-1-4-1 with Sterling and Navas on the wings was all sorts of brilliant.
Pefect time to play Navas who has experience in spanish soil
Good for KDB owners imo.
Does anybody know what happens if you play AOA but then one of your mids/forwards doesn't play?
Does it auto-sub a defender? Does it still count as using your chip?
ThanksSub def and chip lost.
Thanks
Yes and Yes 🙁
Cresswell --> Premium Defender ?
I currently have Azpi, Kolarov, Targett, Francis.
I think VVD, Rojo and Smalling seem to be good optionsAnyone has any view about which defender I should select
So who's everyone captaining this week? I am torn between Vardy and Mane.
Add Lukakaa to the list too.
De Bruyne at the moment.
Mahrez
Mahrez
KDB captain after being benched midweek?
*rested
KDB played 660 minutes of club and international football in the month of October alone.
Incredible save, De Gea is the best in the world (or top 2 depending on your mood):
http://coub.com/view/8zd04.gifv
Imagine how Doumbia feels..pretty much did everything right and even mostly sold De Gea on the feint to the left..For the follow up he should have squared it to his teammate though. Although Smalling came running in like a champion, it would have hit Young anyway
yep agreed, though maybe whatever option he saw out of his peripheral before taking the shot "wasn't there" as Smalling covered a ton of ground in no time:
https://streamable.com/h1tn
(alternatively only had eyes for goal and didn't notice his teammate haha)aaand having seen this angle its not so great a save
United fan alert! Neuer is streaks ahead fully deserved 3rd in the Ballon D'or last year. He has dimensions to his game 99% of keepers don't even think about. As a keeper that Guardiola thinks could play as a midfielder in Bundesliga 3, that's just mind blowing. But yes very nice save 🙂
that's what the top 2 bit in parentheses was for..
streaks ahead? negatory. 😉yes streaks ahead. He's a libero first and a keeper second and does both jobs to incredible levels.
This'll give a nice run down of just how good he is at the libero role and how important it is for Bayern and Germany:
http://spielverlagerung.com/2015/01/09/in-depth-player-analysis-manuel-neuer/interesting I'll take a look, thanks Balders 🙂
Badaboom, badabing. He zings, you zang. Spielverlagerung is all knowing.
+1
Best in the world 😯
http://i.imgur.com/JvDhbQp.gifonly Neuer has a claim to being better, hence the parenthetical.
As for best keeper in the world? He's not even near best in the premiership. He has raw talent that still needs to be refined. Cech and Lloris much more intelligent keepers imo
Disagree. But to each their own. 🙂
The only keeper in the Premier League that contests DDG for best is Courtois, Cech just behind the pair and Lloris behind the trio.
Come on, nowhere near Neuer.
Looking to see what range the DZ has for HoF?
Just need to be in a FFS League.
81st for me before my red arrow last week.8602
Up 2700 🙂
Oh snap!
''That's one small step for mankind, one giant leap for Zasa's HoF rating."WC should smash the rank up.
Hopefully. Ever the optimist eh, TM? 😉
Nice WC team btw, planning on opting for either Mahrez/Ighalo?Might decide in GW13. Still wish I WC'ed in GW3. Plenty of time to get a good rank and I always do better in the 2nd half of the season.
I see, think you'll definitely need that enabler though, maybe Milner or Cabaye perhaps? I remember you having a massive boost last year after the WC, good luck mate!
How far up do you have to finish?
18th atmYour 12808th in HoF. If you can hold your rank, you'll be top 200.
I see. Can I see it without being a member?
No. Only at the end of the season/start of the new season.
Cheers, I thought you were talking about the mini league. I had a quick gander at the ML and saw a 'Alex Torres M' at 81st and wrongly assumed it was you!
I'd definitely be somewhere in 4 figures, gimme a few seasons though 😉
2 casuals ranks there.
yeep, contemplated a new account for this season but I'd rather wear them with pride.
Soon on here have done that. Pretty disgraceful for full season players.
Some*
Indeed, I know there's a well known, old member of FISO who claims FPL deleted his history after being MIA for a year- http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/3157/history/
Hopefully doesn't join the FFS league.Wow.
Would probably be top 10 on that 1 season. Struggling a bit this year.
Aye, pretty weak WC tbh. He's one to keep an eye on though if gets a good rank again & joins the FFS league. Bit of a fraud.
Asked the professor for a rank anyway.
Oh dear.
so I don't have an entry because I'm not in the FFS League?
what's the ID again?Home page.
I take it I won't be added to HOF until Saturday's update?
Yeah, need to be on the league table.
Cheers, hopefully it won't get confused as there is a Mark K and I have mine listed the same since it's likely just feeding off the ID 🙂
Great start for you.
thanks, so far so good! think the no hits approach has forced me to heavily consider every move before pulling the trigger as opposed to knee-jerking..
I imagine my HoF rank will be trash given the 12/13 season and before when I would stop logging in before Xmas..
Recent season weigh the most so smash a season and be rewarded.
does the progression continue backwards like that? so 12/13 weighted less heavily than 13/14?
Yeah. Mark finish 190K 2 years ago then 42nd last year and got a massive jump.
Awesome, extra motivation to finish high this season.
1639
Probably inside 1000 easily with a top 1K this season.
Hopefully I can creep back into it. I fear freefall
Doubt it.
20817 🙁
Little red arrow for you so far 🙁
Hopefully make that arrow green soon.
Get a green arrow, 3 reds won't help...
Hopefully get more than one green arrow and no reds 😉
4k ?
3623 for you, up 1300+ this season 🙂
my ranks
2012/13 top 1k GW 3 but this not count?
2013/14 top 500 GW 1
2014/2015 top .... 😀All ranks count.
Last season is really holding you back.
ah, it's about OR even I started GW3/4 ..ouch
Great 13/14 season for you.
619
Up 77, nice.
Up 77 compared to? Last season?
Think HoF has only till GW10. This GW11 halved my rank, so hopefully it only gets better from here..Career has 696 so before this season, 619 is GW10, under 600 when it updates later this week.
Got it, thanks! Surprised that the HoF rank has gone up this season considering the poor start...
It's a solid start, hardly poor.
I guess it has improved in the recent weeks. Probably the need to take 5 hits in 11 weeks making me feel otherwise - think I took 3 or 4 hits whole of last season.
Great job running LMS btw, look forward to your update right after an OR update every week!Cheers, seems GW2 was your closest week but made it by 6.
Jeez, it's amazing when a GW Score of 29 still beat the LMS score by 6. 😛
15k ?
12650
@ Sepp
When is the FIFFSA tournament starting? Have all the unaffiliated managers been allocated to teams? Still time to create a new team?GW 13 is teh fisrt gameweek. No there are still plenty of unaffiliated players looking for teams. Yes tehre is still time to create a team. Check the recent article for information
Cheers Secretary General Jerome Cheesoid 🙂
^e
I think my typing went a bit awry. The gist was there though
Thanks guys. I may just captain a team unless Jinswick is creating one.
There's something like 40 players on the unaffiliated list so plenty to choose from if you do start up a team 🙂
I think I counted 47 when I updated it earlier. Enough for a whole continent
😮 they could take us up to 60 teams if they got their heads together
I can't help but feel that if they were going to form teams some of them would have tried by now. I know I would have
Yeah you're probably right, hopefully a few latecomers like Jinnsy can galvanise the crowd.
Why didnt Darmian play last night?
He is suspended this weekend and the break comes after that
Yes, it is not a good sign
I imagine because Young looked good in his cameo at RB vs Palace and LVG took a risk because he knew we needed to win this.
But who is the best Hoff?
David Hasselhof
Phillip Seymour Hoffman
Dustin Hoffman"If we're gonna make it like a true survivor"
Dustin for me. Genuis
Not me though, can't even spell the bloody word!
I doubt I spelled any of the names correctly
Can't be Phillip Seymour, I don't think I've ever watched something where he's played the protagonist.
Very much an ensemble kind of guy.
The Master, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead, Doubt, Charlie Wilson’s War, his range shown in Boogie Nights, & of one of the best single performances of the decade, Capote. I think he wins for Capote, alone.
Louis van Gaal is gold:
https://vine.co/v/eAOEUpQIhiV😀 hate the football but love the guy
That really is gold
HY Liverpool, you missed a GREY arrow by 3 ranks !! Unlucky to say the very least.
at least it's green 😉 .. should have played Mahrez
Never again I presume.
Who is the best Darmian replacement?
A) Smalling/ Rojo
B) Koscielny/ Bellerin
C) VVD
D) Moreno
B Kos
I have BCD+DDG .. I prefer A with smalling (if you have enough cash to get aguero @Gw 13/14)
Safe-A
Punt-ish-C
I have VVD; think he will come good and score and NOT keep CS so that the others don't get the CS points.
I'm so glad I'll four pints into sports night tonight before the Arsenal game kicks off. It'll be on the big screens in the union but I won't be too focused on it, we're going to get smashed.
