Paddy Says
4 February 2017 1233 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Just like a London bus, you wait an age for one Gameweek to turn up and then another arrives three days later.

Or is that a Southern Rail service?

However tempting it might be to have a thoroughly good natter about the country’s transport infrastructure, there wouldn’t be time to detail Paddy’s latest Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds, nor the Enchanced Offers for new customers opening an account today.

Before we look at the former, the latter demand our attention, particularly when you can get 10-1 on Chelsea beating Arsenal at the Bridge.

And if those odds aren’t sufficiently monster for you, how’s about Arsenal at 18-1 to beat Chelsea?

Back on only slightly less dramatic ground, you can get 8-1 on Manchester United winning away at Leicester, while Liverpool are 7-1 to win at Hull.

We thought United beating Hull City was a midweek home banker. We were wrong. But Spurs really should be too much for Middlesbrough at White Hart Lane. If you agree, you can get 6-1 on a Tottenham win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 24

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.53
KaneTOT1.80
JesusMCI1.90
LukakuEVE2.00
BentekeCRY2.10
CostaCHE2.20
IbrahimovicMUN2.25
ManeLIV2.29
SonTOT2.37
Be BruyneMCI2.40
SterlingMCI2.40
FirminoLIV2.50
OrigiLIV2.50
AlliTOT2.50
LongSOT2.62
RashfordMUN2.70


Harry Kane (1.80) and Romelu Lukaku (2.00) are the captaincy choices of most Fantasy managers this Gameweek, but Paddy’s digging in his heels and going for Sergio Aguero (1.53) as the most likely scorer of the weekend.

Has he got Pep’s ear? Not literally, like in a box or something, but does he know something we don’t, like Gabriel Jesus definitely going back to the bench? The Brazilian is 1.90 to score, by the way, so Paddy’s bet-hedging can’t disguise one near-certainty – City will surely score at home to Swansea.

Previous captaincy daddy Zlatan Ibrahimovic (2.25) has now blanked two weeks running in the league – a barren spell he’s not experienced since his six-match drought from Gameweek 5. A trip to Leicester City offers promise, though. The Foxes have kept just the four home clean sheets, and three of those came in the first seven matches of the season.

Another sure-fire skipper of old is Alexis Sanchez. He’s scored six times in his last five away matches, but doing it at Chelsea is about as hard as it gets, which is why Paddy is offering a generous 3.50 on the FPL’s biggest points scorer to keep doing his thing.

Liverpool and clean sheets go together like Abel Hernandez and penalties, but the Uruguayan striker is 3.60 to score against the Reds. Just don’t bank on it coming from the spot.

Do you hear that unholy mix of righteous fury and hollow, ironic laughter? That’s the sound of The Hawthorns when Saido Berahino scores for Stoke at West Brom. Tony Pulis told us all that Berahino is ‘not my problem anymore’. You can get 4.00 on the striker begging to differ.

 

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 24

TeamOdds
Tottenham1.61
Man City2.00
Man United2.10
Crystal Palace2.10
Liverpool2.20
Watford2.29
Everton2.40
Southampton2.40
West Brom2.50
Chelsea2.50



Spurs might have blown the chance to claw back a bit of ground on Chelsea when they could only draw at Sunderland in midweek, but at least they kept a clean sheet.

Fantasy interest in Tottenham defenders remains high as a result – Kyle Walker is the third most popular transfer pick of the Gameweek – and it’s no surprise to see Spurs (1.61) with the lowest price for the visit of Middlesbrough.

Man City being next up at 2.00 is a surprise – they’ve managed just two shut-outs at home all season. Paddy clearly has little time for Swansea’s chances at the Etihad on Sunday, but the Swans put three past Liverpool at Anfield and have five in all from their last two away days.

Everton, with two straight home clean sheets and three from their last four in the league, look well-priced at 2.40 to continue the good work when Bournemouth come to Goodison Park. Fantasy managers agree – Seamus Coleman is second only to Gabriel Jesus for transfers-in this Gameweek, with Leighton Baines and Ashley Williams also in the top 30.

Liverpool have only blanked twice on the road all season, and the last time it happened was in Gameweek 12. That goes a long way to explaining the 6.50 you can get on a Hull clean sheet at the KCOM Stadium. As does the zero – count them, zero – home shut-outs they’ve managed this season.

But things are changing under Marco Silva, and they kept United out at Old Trafford on Wednesday…

  1. George James
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Will we know about DGW teams and dates etc by GW28?

    Thinking of filling my team with the best of who is playing on 28 the using WC to sort with potential DGW players.

    1. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Potentially yes, hence why I'm doing the same as you

  2. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Start Rondon or Phillips?

    1. Begbie.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Phillips. Rondon is useless. Source: disgruntled Rondon owner.

    2. some witty pun
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      phillips, rondon been poor lately

  3. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Views?
    What's the status of rose? Is he out for only a week? Or shall I take a hit and replace him with baines?
    Suggestions please

    Heaton
    Azpi-brunt-coleman
    Sanchez(vc) -philips-alli-stan
    Costa-ibra(C)-defoe

    Bench - jaku,pieters,tarrol,rose

    1. Begbie.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      He might be out a while but don't take a hit that defence is fine as it is for this week. Do the transfer next week.

    2. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I took him out already and replaced with Coleman.

      If Jesus becomes a regular. I'll be getting rose back. As he'll save me funds over Costa

  4. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Good morning!

    a)Jones,Friend,Stanislas to Brunt,Funes,Phillips (-8) b)Jones,Friend to Brunt,Coleman(-4) and play Stanislas
    c)Jones to Brunt/Coleman(0) but play Ward and Stanislas
    thanks

    1. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      C

      1. Stokelona
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        And oleman

        1. Old Wulfrunian
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          thanks

  5. makaveli123
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Just opened FPL - notetoself.docx.
    It says: "Never captain Lukaku"

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I've not got that memo
      Armband firmly on him

      1. Les Bleus
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Same.

      2. makaveli123
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Best of luck!

    2. ONE PUNCH MAN
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      lol ,i agree

    3. Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I've got a very rare manual copy dating back a good few years, should be worth a fortune by now.

    4. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Then don't cap him. Easy

      1. The Scholes School
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Is there a YMA captaincy article this GW?

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Don't think so, not seen one yet

      2. makaveli123
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Exactly. I am more than happy with playing him every week and putting the armband on other players.

    5. Cookie Kid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Mine says "never pick Lukaku ever. If you're ever tempted, remember DGW captaining last year"

      1. GreenArrows
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Hash I remember this, took Kane out for lakaku for that DGW and Kane smashed it lol

  6. Weasel51
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Heaton Pickford
    Pieters Alonso Holgate
    Alli Sanchez Antonio Phillips
    Aguero Ibra Giroud

    Need Giroud out and want Lukaku in

    Have 0.3 ITB and 2 FT's

    Any ideas how to get Lukaku in? Preferably keeping Kun and Alonso. Don't mind taking a -4.

    Cheers in advance Guys

    1. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Davies in for Phillips should be enough money?

    2. The Man Pastore
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Antonio --> Zaha gives you enough cash?

    3. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Though I just realised that's a full on toffee side.

      1. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        What Freemlan said.

    4. Dickie1898
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Ibra Giroud >>> Costa Lukaku?

      I'd drop Kun instead of Ibra.

      1. The Man Pastore
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        It is hard to ditch Kun this week

  7. Dickie1898
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Selection headache.

    Alonso or Holgate? I have foster, baines, mcauley so I'm tempted by a west brom / everton double up.

    Any Everton fans think he will change to 4 at the back today?

    1. Toure The Route
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Can't really say, would play Holgate over Mcauley, think Everton have slightly better odds.
      But I think the west Brom, Everton double up is a great differential, go for it. If I had that, I would bench Alonso .

    2. WE ARE RANGERS
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      100% sure they will stay with 5 at the back. Not sure if that helps though with Alonso v Holgate

  8. Magic Box
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    A small but significant part of me wants to go (C)osta. Is this madness? Could see him picking up a brace in this game if Chelsea decide to walk over Arsenal...

    1. Toure The Route
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I feel this too .
      3-1 Chelsea would mean I'd have to go under the couch.
      I think he is surely scoring with the record Chelsea have at the bridge, combined with Arsenal s injured centre midfield .

    2. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Decent option, but not often he gets a brace. Typical 6-point player

    3. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I'm putting the armband in Diego toohe's a due a brace sometime soon and Arsenal are poor defensively go for it.

  9. ThatAsianGuy17
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Captain Alli, eriksen or ibra?

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Alli is my vice

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        And who is Your C

    2. The Man Pastore
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Alli

  10. Mets
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Coutinho out for Sterling or Sanchez out for De Bruyne? For a -4.

    1. Butcher
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Thinking the same thing.

    2. liiusions
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Wouldn't do either for free

    3. Deus
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I changed Sanchez to KDB (c)

  11. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Who to captain?

    Kane or Lukaku?

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Kane if I had him.
      Lukaku for me

    2. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Kane

    3. Emp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      kane easily

  12. Nesvy
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Walker C crazy ?

    1. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      NBNC

    2. Deus
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Neat

  13. Podorsky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Leading my mini league so want to play safe. Which one should I bench.
    Foster in Goal
    Alonso
    Pieters
    Brunt

    1. Podorsky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      In other words: what are the chances of a goalless draw between stoke and W Brom vs a W Brom clean sheet.

    2. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Pieters

      1. Podorsky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        My gut feeling too.
        thanks

  14. GreenArrows
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Play McAuley or Alonso?

    Already starting Baines and Coleman

    1. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Alonso

    2. Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I would try to play both

      1. GreenArrows
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Can't play both. Would mean dropping one of:

        Sanchez
        Hazard
        Eriksen
        Lallana
        Gray
        Lakaku
        Defoe

    3. Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Actually, with double Eve already I'd start Alonso due to his attacking potential

      1. GreenArrows
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        I do see your point. Tough though as McAuley has attacking returns too, just not as much

  15. nic_b27
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Morning...
    G2G?

    Grant
    Cedric, Azpilicueta, Holgate (Amat, Chambers)
    Lallama, Sanchez, Phillips, Eriksen (de Roon)
    Rondon, Ibrahimovic, Kane

    2 free transfers
    A) Save
    B) Lallama & Rondon - Zaha & Lukaku?

    Thanks 🙂

  16. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Can't decide between Lukaku Ibra or Alli for the armband.

    Who would you choose?

    1. Emp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      defintiely not kaku his stats are awful

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        so are ibra and alli's? who do you pick then?

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          actually ibra stats are good but united struggle to score as a team. Alli has taken a nosedive

    2. Toure The Route
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Wouldn't usually cap Lukaku but home games Vs easier sides is his territory . If he is ever captain material, it's games like these.

    3. McQueen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Kaku, his territory.

    4. Goodricke
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Kane

  17. Flynniesta
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    I had planned on rolling my FT in readiness for the blanks but now wondering if it's worth Lallana to Barkley. Need a bit of swaying one way or t'other if anyone has an opinion? Lallana poor points form lately but Liv are playing Hull away this week

    1. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I'd wait till next week. I wanted to do lallana to siggy last GW (mistake) but now holding due to it being hull

      1. Flynniesta
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Cheers

  18. Takedog1
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Baines captain!!! Who's with me

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Never bench never C

      1. GreenArrows
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        This!

      2. The Man Pastore
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        this

    2. Toure The Route
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      No

    3. Takedog1
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Lead balloon 🙁

  19. Blanka
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Not the best dilemma.

    Play Randolph (away to Saints)

    Jaku (away to Liverpool)

    1. Blanka
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Jaku home to Liverpool, even.

    2. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Jaku, and he's at home

      1. Stokelona
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Sorry didn't see your comment

    3. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Rudolph

  20. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    I need to fo something about my keepers.

    Which is better?

    A) Cech > Foster
    B) Pickford > Jakupovic

  21. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    captain lukaku or kane?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      both have been awful last couple of games

      maybe kane

    2. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Kane.

    3. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Kane

  22. FPL Footy Show Pod
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Thinking about GW28 - I've only got 5transfers when I could do with 7.

    Would you consider hits or not?

    Currently got hits for Defoe and Alli to Antonio and Llorente?

    1. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Depends on a lot of things. Money tied up in them, wildcard after to get DGWers in etc

  23. HonestBlatter
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Jaku over Cech?

  24. 824545201
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Alexis Sanchez doesn't score from open play upfront unless Arsenal score 3 or more goals.

    Interesting stat.

    1. Somalion
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Or maybe it's because they play him up front that they're scoring 3 or more goals.

      1. Somalion
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        http://www.transfermarkt.ie/alexis-sanchez/leistungsdaten/spieler/40433

        As can be seen here, the games where they score 3 or more are largely thanks to him. (Also, he scored against Everton as a striker even though they lost 2-1 😉 )

        1. 824545201
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          The goal against Everton came from a deflected free kick. Read what i posted, i clearly stated open play.

    2. Champione
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      lots of counter attacking goals when the opposition must chase to get goals

  25. gotmilkmexicano
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    bench one
    a. alli
    b. haz
    c. zaha
    d. wallcot
    e. phillips
    f. caroll

    1. McQueen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Wally

    2. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Theo

    3. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Phillips

    4. Hotdogs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      D wallcott

    5. Begbie.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      D

    6. The Man Pastore
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      d easy

  26. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Stanislas > Zaha for a hit?

    1. The Man Pastore
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      it's not Worth a hit imo

  27. 50pipsDaily
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Just get Benteke in for Gru for -4, should i captain him or Lukaku?

  28. Henning
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Captain?
    1.Alli
    2.Ibrahimovic
    3.Lukaku
    4.Coleman
    5.Antonio
    Neee to catch up in mini league and think im alone to have Coleman and Lukaku, so maby one of the?

  29. Hotdogs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Pick one to bench out of this lot?

    A. Holebas (BUR)
    B. Brunt (STK)
    C. Baines (BOU)
    D. Walker (MID)

    1. Champione
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      A

    2. Moyeschester
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Clearly Cholevas. Has to be.

    3. The Man Pastore
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      It is not popular on here, but B for me

  30. Moyeschester
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Did Donkey to Tekkers. Feels like I'm on multiyear fantasy loop.

    Heaton

    Brunt - Alonso - Baines

    Phillips - Sanchez - Alli - Eriksen

    Kaku - Teke - Ibra

    Robinson - Holgate - Holebas - Carroll

    As you can see I've already been trolled by having both of the Belgian frontmen. You can never trust 'em. And somehow I'm still on (C)Lukaku. Like I never learn.. So should I go with Eriksen or feel punty with Brunty?