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11 August 2017 2998 comments
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The first Gameweek deadline of the season is now just hours away and our community writers have been busy sharing their thoughts on the urgent issues to consider, such as where to find value and whether to trust players from promoted sides.

For our Hot Topic posters, this week has been a final chance to collect the raft of data from pre-season and help address concerns such as the best defenders to draft in and whether Paul Pogba will be capable of finding the net in 2017/18.

Southampton’s backline comes under scrutiny in our Members’ tables round-up and finally, there’s a reminder to sign up to a new team-based community competition.

The Community Articles

Hutch_James has been canvassing the opinion of thousands of football fans on where Fantasy managers should be investing their 100m Fantasy Premier League budget. According to his analysis, Manchester City looks the sure-fire place to find goal scorers in Gameweek 1.

Investing in the likes of Kevin De Bruyne and Gabriel Jesus is costly though, which is why Red Arrows’ insight into how to get the biggest bang for your buck will come in handy.

Those looking at Spurs’ pricey assets are advised to read FPL Poker Players analysis of which Spurs players are likely to suffer most when they play at Wembley – the North Londoners’ temporary home this summer.

Similar buyer beware warnings are the theme of Firetogs article on players from promoted sides Huddersfield, Brighton and Newcastle.

There are no such fears of failure surrounding Southampton, who embark on a stellar run of games that stretches well into autumn. FPL Chief dropped by to cast his eye over a trio of Saints to consider as they kick off the season at St Mary’s with a visit from Swansea City.

Elsewhere, Milvus has submitted his latest analysis of the winners and losers in the pre-season FPL transfer market, while Cisco Kid served up four top tips on making Fantasy Draft leagues fun.

Finally, congratulations to Prokoptas ,who has scooped the accolade of Community Writer of the Month for July and a £20 Amazon voucher after our latest vote, for his examination of the Plexiglas Principle and how it can be used to predict an upturn in fortunes for last year’s poor performing teams.

His talents have also been acknowledged by us and this week we saw the publication of his analysis of Arsenal’s Community Shield performance, which is the first of many articles we have asked him to write for the site’s main pages this season.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 1 is a minefield. It is the set of fixtures which Fantasy managers have the most time to prepare for, but we also have the least knowledge to hand, with no recent competitive Premier League form to review.

Nevertheless, analysis of pre-season performances can be a useful guide and already many of the community have used this to alter their opinion about certain players and teams, according to Sleep Talk’s Hot Topic on the summer schedule.

A prime example is a drop in interest for Paul Pogba, who some are now doubting will ever become the rampaging midfield dynamo he has threatened to be at times. Certainly, the inclusion of Nemanja Matic in a defensive midfield role for Manchester United has done little to unleash the Frenchman on opposition defences, says theBoose’s analysis of the Red Devil’s 2-1 Super Cup loss to Real Madrid.

There were also questions raised in our discussion on last Sunday’s Community Shield on whether Arsenal striker Alexandre Lacazette will hit the ground running following his lacklustre attacking display.

At least both Pogba and Lacazette are set to start, even if they may not get on the scoresheet, according to Couti and the Below5th’s incredible round-up of minutes played over pre-season.

There was further chat about pre-season from Bowstring the Carp, who has put together his own opus, having collected all the key manager quotes over the summer, and Lyonaais, who has been getting his abacus out to compile a FFScout template team from mentions in rate my team posts.

In addition, Evs dropped by to offer a timely reminder that for every success story from pre-season, like Swansea’s goal scoring midfielder Michu, there is also Wigan’s Mario Boselli, who excelled in friendlies over the summer of 2010 but did not find the net in the Premier League until late October that year.

Marcos Alonso has scored over Chelsea’s summer schedule, but he hardly needed that strike against Bayern Munich in July to prove his Fantasy credentials.

But why, Granville wonders, are so many shunning him and instead recruiting his midfield team mate Willian, who is also priced at 7.0 but gets less clean sheet points. Trogg’s Hot Topic on defence spend certainly indicates Alonso is not a popular pick among the community.

As Enzo the Baker points out, even if premium defenders like Alonso let down their suitors, at least their hefty price tags can be put to good use by being sacrificed to divert cash into emerging midfield assets.

Among cheaper defenders that could prove worthwhile replacements for underperforming premium defenders is Southampton’s Jack Stephens, who has the edge over his team-mate Maya Yoshida, according to responses to Keno’s discussion on the Saints backline.

Scott Dann, Crystal Palace’s 5.0 priced central defender who has scored in his last six Premier League campaigns, is another to consider, suggests Whazza.

There is clearly a wealth of options in defence this year, but the same cannot really be said of third striker options.

Our forward thinking Hot Topic laments the lack of worthwhile options  in the 6.0 to 8.0 price bracket, although Ludo points out that Bournemouth’s Josh King (7.5) may just be unfairly overlooked since his reclassification from midfielder to striker.

Just above that price bracket sits Jamie Vardy (8.5) of Leicester, who was a controversial ‘Fantasy Island Risk’ Scoutcast pick by Disable for Gameweek 1. His co-hosts’ displeasure at this former heavy hitter being classed as a risk prompted this discussion on how we should better define a risk on future episodes.

There are certainly lots of options for risk takers among cheap midfielders, says Andy85wsm, including Swansea midfielder Tom Carroll, who has excelled in pre-season and Lilmessipran believes Fantasy managers are underestimating due to his lowly 4.5 price tag.

The amount of time and mental energy being used up by the community in the search of the perfect Gameweek 1 team can be frustrating sight for their friends and families. But as Tamagotchi’s discussion on how Fantasy management is viewed by the outside world, most loved ones are understanding of our obsession.

That is perhaps until the time reaches today’s 6:45pm deadline and the panic levels increase. Our community was on hand with some key advice to tackle such last minute nerves and ensure all the summer’s careful planning is not wasted.

To view all our discussions please visit our Hot Topics page.

The Members’ Tables

For those struggling to select the best Southampton defender, I’ve constructed this table looking at statistics such as baseline bonus and CBI, and FPL Virgin has also being delving into the Saints rearguard’s key figures.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

The Community Tournaments

Those running the Community Watch tournament have asked us to remind you that the deadline for their team-based tournament is approaching. Those wanting to take part as a manager have until August 14 to put their name forward. The deadline for taking part as a player is August 21.

If you are running a community tournament and would like the latest scores included in future Community Round-ups, please email us a summary of the current leaders and a link to your league, spreadsheet or head to head competition, at jonty@fantasyfootballscout.co.uk.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Dele
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Morning all,

    After weeks of tinkering GTG?

    Foster,
    Bertrand, Kola, Stones
    Zaha, KDB, Salah, Ritchie
    Kane, Abraham, Lukaku

    Elliott, Carroll, Suttner, Mariappa

    Pretty template but should see me through the first few weeks I feel?!

    1. Boris Bodega
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Looks good, may the force be with you.

  2. aehii
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    How are city likely to line up?

    1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      🙂

    2. QPRUTD
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      God doesn't know

  3. Gunners.The.Best
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Tom Carroll as a 4th mid in a 4-4-2?

  4. Visionaries
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Have no Liverpool and have KDB

    A Jesus & JWP
    B Gabbiadini & Sala

    1. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Neevesy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      B (as you have KDB)

  5. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Aguero vs Kane for the armband is very very tricky indeed

    1. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Na it's not Aguero will run riot against Brighton 😉

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah tis on him currently

    2. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Aguero for me. Much more chance of a hammering. (and hamstring...)

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Oh, did somebody say hamstring?

    3. Respect My Authoritah
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Hmm. I'd heavily favour Aguero

    4. Pether
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I go with Kane

    5. Smurf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Why Aguero over Jesus out of interest?

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        He's one of the best fantasy players of all time. Had a poor season last season and missed games but still registered the most goal attempts, shots in the box, shots in the six yard box, big chances and was 3rd for shots on target. I prefer Aguero as a captaincy option too as he is explosive. Jesus still has things to prove to me, not a big enough sample size for him yet.

  6. fedolefan
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Is Lejeune first choice for Newcastle?

    1. Tellloth
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Hard to tell to be honest. Rafa may do some rotation in that position. Only nailed on I think is Lascselles cause he's captain.

      1. fedolefan
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks!

  7. Old Gregg
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    My mind is tellin' me Kane-o but my body, my body's tellin' me Augero.
    Baby, I don’t want to hurt nobody.

    I don't see nothing wrong with a little Lukaku

    1. Leafy
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Superb

      1. Old Gregg
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        R Kelly - Bump N' Grind. Absolute Classic

        I genuinely having that dilemma. But actually with Jesus. However, Jesus didn't work as well.

  8. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Hey guys, how is my squad looking. 0 ITB. Any feedback welcome:

    Foster - Elliott
    Bailly - Betrand - Danilo - Mee - Hunemeier
    KDB - Salah - Zaha - Carroll - Ritchie
    Kane - Lukaku - Abraham

  9. Kevin Twine
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Ritchie or Phillips?

    1. gunnerboy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Ritchie by far

      1. Pether
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        yup

      2. Kevin Twine
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Interesting. The set pieces are very appealing for sure. Cheers.

  10. Weasel51
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    A) Salah + Zaha

    OR

    B) Mane + Redmond

    1. Pether
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      B. jwp has better fixtures, plus i prefer mane over salah

  11. james_lebron
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Which is the better option?

    A) Stepehens - Alonso - Salah - JWP and Quaner
    or
    B) Bertrand - Rosenior - Willian - Ritchie and Firmino

  12. Respect My Authoritah
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Oooo lovely Saints team news

    1. gunnerboy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      What is it?

      1. Respect My Authoritah
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Scout tweets

  13. BooYaKasha
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Final draft,

    Forster (Elliot)
    Valencia, Bertrand, Daniels (Marriapa, Hun)
    Eriksen, Walcott, Zaha, Willian (Carroll)
    Lukaku, Jesus, Firmino

    Any glaring mistakes?

    Good luck everyone, Happy FPL!

    1. Kingston
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Apart from 2 non playing defenders it looks good

      1. BooYaKasha
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        I see Marriapa starting GW1, not sure about Hun
        Any 4.0 u recommend?

    2. Pether
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      First Walcott Ive seen in a while. Please persuade me to pick him over Willian

  14. AFL
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Pickford and Cedric
    or
    Foster and Bertrand

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Foster/Bertrand

    2. arndff_
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      b

  15. white heart pain
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Calling all player with rank 50k and under:
    League code 351421-450005

    1. Pub Crawl to the Townsend
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      29k last season

    2. Neevesy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      9K last year

  16. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Wish I'd never discovered FPL 😥

    1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      The doors that way.

    2. QPRUTD
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Wish it was never invented in the first place

  17. Guendomeyang
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Spur vs Newcastle would be 1-1 or goalless draw they said.
    Kane (C) shouldn't be worth it at this point.

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I'd say that's pretty accurate

  18. jackhammer1
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    A. Gabbi, Ritchie and Stephens
    B. Abraham, Willian and Bertrand
    C. Mounie, Willian and Stephens

    Cheers all

    1. Dee Lixon
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I have A but with Yoshi instead

  19. Kingston
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Why is Hunemeier in so many teams? Surely it's best to pick a 4 mil defender with low ownership?

    1. Neevesy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      It's the fashion, he was reserve last year. Suttner better option at 0.5 more

  20. FPL Panda
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone else considering the SPERONI / ELLIOT combo?

    Surely one of them plays which which would be fine until WC?

    Speroni has great fixtures

    1. Tmel
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Currently have that combo, not sure Speroni will start but Elliot's fixtures are decent for a while at least

    2. Bambi
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      currently on it. Not feeeling good though

    3. MTPockets
        8 years, 5 months ago

        It's tempting

      • FPL Panda
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Yeh Hennessy started vs Metz and speroni started last week v shalke

        Both were full strength teams

        Would love to get a palace fans view on things in nets ?

    4. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      What are people's thoughts on Steve Mounie @ 6m?

      1. Darth_Newdar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        If Huddersfield were a good team I'd be happy to take the risk, but they finished with a -2 goal difference in the Championship so I'm not getting any of their players for now.

      2. Lecky Legs FC
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        In my squad Huddersfield will play to his strengths being a target man get him in your team

      3. Kingston
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        I think he's worth a punt with those opening fixtures. It's a gamble but if he's going to get goals it will be in those early fixtures I reckon

    5. Tornado
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Any news on cedric or should we play safe with bertrand?

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        I've just gone Bertrand, don't need uncertainty at this stage in the season....

      2. Boris Bodega
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Bertrand if you can afford him.

      3. IRBOX ⚽
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        I've got both

    6. Hitman MHK
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Anyone doing a draft league or willing to join one? No idea how they work but looks like good fun!

      1. Leafy
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        I'll join if there's one going this morning

        1. Hitman MHK
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 5 months ago

          By the way these pages are flying I don't like the chances of gauging an audience :/

          1. Leafy
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 5 months ago

            Good point!

    7. Leeds2116
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Foster Elliiot
      Stephens Mee Long Kolasnaic Daniels
      KDB Willian Zaha Ritchie Carroll
      Firmino Kane Lukaku

      gtg?

      1. scarlet
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Like it. Very similar to mine!

    8. FPL ElasticO
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      G2G for first 3 GWks???

      Foster
      Bertrand/ Daniels/ Stephens
      Zaha/ KDB/ Mane/ JWP
      Kane/ Lukaku(c)/ Gayle

      1. Leeds2116
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        gayle u mad?

        1. FPL ElasticO
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 5 months ago

          I have 6.5 ITB looking for a forward.....

    9. DV8R
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Why all the Tammy Abraham love? Tough opening fixtures and Llorente will be fit by the Newcastle game

      1. Reuser
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        I have him (although love is a bit strong).

        Chose him largely due to the fact that I can see him matching/outscoring many of the mid-priced options. Did really well last year, and has looked extremely confident and capable in pre-season.

        I watched their last pre-season match, and he had great movement, got in great positions and was a constant threat. Swansea's game seemed much fluid than last year and I don't necessarily see Llorente walking into the team again if Tammy is doing well.

        At 5.5 - low risk with potentially plenty of upside. With decent fixtures, he could be in for some big price-rises.

    10. korbendallas82
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I almost outsmarted myself. did some math on players i had in squad, and munutes playes/points. Did firmino. 11goals 11 assists. - 1 point pr. goal, to convert to striker 4 points pr. game.
      So did 3062 / 169 = 18.11, that was a pretty high number for Firmino , even compared to Jesus, 651/67= 9.716. I thought wow, his number looks high. But i interpreted it wrong.

      Firmino, 169/3062= 0.055
      Jesus, 67/651 =0.102

      Jesus numbers are much better of course. I did number on Gabbiadini to,38/724= 0.052. This number is lower than Firmino, but with lower price i think it not bad.
      Joshua King on 0.065 after his season was pretty good to

      This was just a nother twist to the point pr. game. Which Kane with highest pricetag tops with 7.5 ppm, and his number ends on 0.088.That is pretty good, considering he had 2500 minutes played. Jesus will have to deliver over a whole season this time.

      This encouraged me to do a little change in my team
      Salah,Firmino to Fabregas,Jesus. This also spread my cover a bit, or i would have ended up with 3 liverpool players. And just 1 City asset.
      Losing Salah to fabregas i can live with. I think my frontline looks overall better now.

      My team now is:
      Foster
      Dawson,Ake,Stephens
      Zaha,De Bruyne,Mane,Fabregas
      Kane,Jesus,Gabbiadini.

      Elliot Carroll Mee Long

      I really felt i was starting to lose the grip on things after a long day, last night. But it helped alot to listen to the last scoutcast.

      If i go with Lukaku, i ended up with no Jesus, and 2 strikers. in 4-4-2. And my 4th defender wasn`t even any good.
      I think my punts on Gabbiadini , Fabregas is a decent risk. Zaha i feel can be all season material.

      Anybody have any thoughts? or feel like their team is getting ready?

      1. Reuser
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Have decided to "embrace Jesus" too - its a risk, but feel there is more value there and some differential upside.

        The key thing for me was that I am not impressed with any/many of the mid-priced midfield/forward options - and that 1 million could be spent on another quality big-hitter with cheaper value options. Essentially, it enabled me to get Alli rather than Mhiki:

        DDG (Elliott)
        Monreal, Stephens, TAA (Suttner, Long)
        KDB, Salah, Alli, Fraser (Carroll)
        Kane, Jesus, Abraham

        1. korbendallas82
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 5 months ago

          Team looks good. Good luck.

          1. korbendallas82
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 5 months ago

            Oh yes, 1 mill doesent look like that much, but it does things to the whole shape of the team.

      2. Neevesy
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Good team. Try and enjoy MOTD!

    11. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Foster
      Bertrand Ake Long and A, B or C? Danilo/PVA probably to Tripper when back

      A Kompany PVA
      B Kolasinac Danilo
      C Bailly Danilo

      1. Boris Bodega
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        b

    12. FPL ElasticO
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      How certain that Gayle will start this weekend???

    13. Wings Fan
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Foster

      Stephens - Kompany - Dann

      Salah - Redmond - KDB - Zaha

      Kane - Lukaku - J Rod
      ------------------------------------------
      Elliot - Carroll - Mee - Long

      1. Should I look at doing J Rod + Redmond > Gabbiadini + Ritchie

      2. If so, where do I find the 0.5 ?