The Numbers Game - Goal Threat From The Back - Best FPL Tips, Advice, Team News, Picks, and Statistics from Fantasy Football Scout

FPL GW16 Scout Picks - Final Selection

Raya Martin

Lewis-Potter
Chalobah
Andersen

Szoboszlai
Saka
Bruno Fernandes
Eze

Raúl Jiménez
Haaland
Thiago

Dubravka
Spence
Heaven
Le Fée

GW16 Captain Poll

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Ekitiké	LIV	8.5m	223.5%	Very Likely
Foden	MCI	8.7m	183.3%	Very Likely
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.2m	133.0%	Very Likely
Cherki	MCI	6.4m	121.1%	Very Likely
Saka	ARS	10.2m	110.2%	Very Likely
Thiago	BRE	7.1m	109.7%	Very Likely
Chalobah	CHE	5.4m	105.9%	Very Likely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	99.1%	Maybe
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	96.7%	Maybe
Rogers	AVL	7.0m	81.5%	Unlikely
Wilson	FUL	5.5m	80.0%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	87.9%	Unlikely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	86.2%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	83.5%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.3m	80.8%	Unlikely
Marc Guiu	CHE	4.2m	81.0%	Unlikely
Bowen	WHU	7.5m	76.8%	Unlikely
Rúben	MCI	5.6m	74.6%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	75.5%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	73.6%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	70.8%	Unlikely
Raya	ARS	6.0m	69.6%	Unlikely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	66.5%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	66.3%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	66.2%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	64.8%	Unlikely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	63.9%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.1m	65.8%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	60.1%	Unlikely
Tete	FUL	4.5m	61.1%	Unlikely
Calvert-Lewin	LEE	5.6m	56.1%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	57.3%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	56.7%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	56.3%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	54.9%	Unlikely
Dalot	MUN	4.4m	54.6%	Unlikely
Romero	TOT	5.0m	54.2%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	53.7%	Unlikely
Cash	AVL	4.9m	50.9%	Unlikely
Flemming	BUR	5.3m	47.4%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Muñoz	CRY	6.0m	136.2%	Very Likely
Mbeumo	MUN	8.3m	129.0%	Very Likely
Mateta	CRY	7.9m	128.9%	Very Likely
Van de Ven	TOT	4.7m	118.6%	Very Likely
Doku	MCI	6.6m	110.1%	Very Likely
Longstaff	LEE	4.9m	106.4%	Very Likely
Nallo	LIV	3.8m	104.4%	Very Likely
H.Bueno	WOL	4.4m	103.2%	Very Likely
Bobb	MCI	5.2m	102.0%	Very Likely
Minteh	BHA	6.2m	100.0%	Very Likely
Gudmundsson	LEE	3.9m	100.6%	Very Likely
Neave	NEW	4.4m	100.2%	Very Likely
Jordan	BUR	4.0m	99.9%	Maybe
Rodon	LEE	4.1m	99.4%	Maybe
Muniz	FUL	5.4m	98.6%	Maybe
Morgan	BRE	4.4m	97.4%	Maybe
Yarmoliuk	BRE	5.0m	95.2%	Maybe
Mayenda	SUN	5.3m	95.6%	Maybe
Kudus	TOT	6.5m	93.9%	Maybe
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.4%	Unlikely
Elanga	NEW	6.6m	93.7%	Unlikely
Barnes	BUR	4.3m	93.6%	Unlikely
Kulusevski	TOT	6.4m	93.5%	Unlikely
Fitzgerald	MUN	4.4m	93.3%	Unlikely
McKenna	BOU	4.0m	93.0%	Unlikely
Tasker	BHA	3.9m	92.7%	Unlikely
Broggio	AVL	4.5m	92.3%	Unlikely
Jair Cunha	NFO	4.3m	92.8%	Unlikely
Gunn	NFO	4.0m	92.4%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	92.2%	Unlikely
Balcombe	BRE	4.0m	91.8%	Unlikely
Toti	WOL	4.3m	91.3%	Unlikely
Webster	BHA	4.4m	90.1%	Unlikely
Piroe	LEE	5.0m	89.8%	Unlikely
Bentley	WOL	4.0m	89.5%	Unlikely
Nørgaard	ARS	5.2m	87.8%	Unlikely
L.Guilherme	WHU	4.9m	86.8%	Unlikely
Worrall	BUR	3.9m	86.3%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	86.1%	Unlikely
Anthony	BUR	5.3m	84.6%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Alisson	LIV	C
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C, Sus
Up	Kelleher	BRE	C, Vs
Down	Ramsdale	NEW	C
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:16am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	C
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C, Inj
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	C
Up	Andersen	FUL	C
Up	Marc Guehi	CRY	A
Up	van den Berg	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	A
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	C
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	A
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:28am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	B
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
No Change	Foden	MCI	A
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	C
Up	Szoboszlai	LIV	C
No Change	Minteh	BHA	B
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	A
No Change	Schade	BRE	C, Vs, Sus
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:34am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	B
No Change	Thiago	BRE	A, Vs
No Change	Mateta	CRY	C
Up	Ekitiké	LIV	B
Down	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
Down	Woltemade	NEW	B

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:43am

GW16 Free Transfer Poll

GW16 Chip Poll

Members

The Numbers Game – Goal Threat From The Back

15 February 2012 1652 comments

Mark

With template midfields and forward lines now commonplace, recent goals from Benoit Assou-Ekotto and Joleon Lescott demonstrated the value of points from our defenders as a method of boosting Fantasy ranks.

In this latest article for Members, we use Opta data and our own ICT Threat scores to examine the defenders who have presented the most potent threat so far, whilst discussing any worthy options who are potentially due improved returns before the season is out.

This content is restricted to Chief Scout Members. Click here to register and get access to industry-leading stats from Opta and StatsBomb including Defensive Contributions data, the Rate My Team tool, Points Projections, 150+ Member-only articles, exclusive Team Reveals, a customisable Season Ticker, two Transfer Planners... and more!

1,652 Comments Login to Post a Comment

Mílanista
13 years, 10 months ago
Should have passed it there, though a Robinho hat trick would amuse me.
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Hate that rotation
13 years, 10 months ago
Speaking of FIFA, pretty sure the new EA challenge this week will be based on this match. Score 3 goals with arsenal in the next 30 mins.
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1. Parm
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Yep, on the FIFA subject I got IF DAD in a pack today 😆
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  1. Mull
    13 years, 10 months ago
    Discard the f*cker.
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  2. Hate that rotation
    13 years, 10 months ago
    You b*stard. 🙂 Have you managed to get a team of the week player before?
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    1. Ismail
      13 years, 10 months ago
      i havent 🙁
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    2. Parm
      13 years, 10 months ago
      Well a few of the SH*T Ligue 1 ones.
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      1. Ismail
        13 years, 10 months ago
        i am ranked 750 in the world 🙂
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Screaming Midget
13 years, 10 months ago
There is a plus to likelihood that Arsenal will be knocked out... less chance of rotation for RVP and perhaps even the Ox.
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1. The Gambler.
  13 years, 10 months ago
  very true. suppose still in FA Cup.
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Granville
13 years, 10 months ago
Here comes the Ox. I bet he has an impact, stupid not to start him.
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1. The Gambler.
  13 years, 10 months ago
  18/1 to score next goal!
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2. Parm
  13 years, 10 months ago
  +1 Well both you and I have him on Fantasy UCL so he better rip it up.
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COMH
13 years, 10 months ago
What a save!!!
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PL Ball
13 years, 10 months ago
What a save!
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Epic Fail
13 years, 10 months ago
Brilliant vision by Henry.
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hillbillypete
13 years, 10 months ago
anyone thinkin of gettin rid of Silve for Yaya soon?
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1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius�…
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Me. Two weeks.
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2. Epic Fail
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Nah.
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3. HuttonDressedasLahm
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Yep, may need to to afford Aguero to Rooney
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4. Hate that rotation
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Silva to Nani in two weeks time for me.
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5. Mull
  13 years, 10 months ago
  I probably won't as Yaya will likely have a positive impact on Silva's point total. Wait until after the two home games if you are thinking of dong it though.
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  1. hillbillypete
    13 years, 10 months ago
    i think i will be doing
    
    Aguero to Rooney
    Sess to Mclean
    Dyer to Valencia
    Silva to Yaya
    
    over next few weeks. may even ship Bale out for someone like Pienaar. need differentials.
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    1. Shipstontrev
      13 years, 10 months ago
      I like that plan, apart from losing Bale, and Pienaar is too injury prone for me.
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      1. hillbillypete
        13 years, 10 months ago
        maybe keep bale...just everyone has him... dempsey is a good differential for me.
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        Shipstontrev
        13 years, 10 months ago
        Me too. The only one of my players to do anything last week.
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        hillbillypete
        13 years, 10 months ago
        id go for walcott but cant trust arsenal beyond rvp imo
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        Shipstontrev
        13 years, 10 months ago
        True.
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Parm
13 years, 10 months ago
What great play and the Ox is coming on. A recreation of Bale here would do me fine.
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Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius�…
13 years, 10 months ago
Does anyone hate Alan GreenBogie as much as me? 😡
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1. Shipstontrev
  13 years, 10 months ago
  SAF hates him too.
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  1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius�…
    13 years, 10 months ago
    Good company.
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2. Rabbit, Rabbit, Rabbit, Rab…
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Probably. I do bloody hate him.
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3. Parm
  13 years, 10 months ago
  I love him to bits.
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Mílanista
13 years, 10 months ago
We're letting them back into this. Need to go and kill the game.
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1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius�…
  13 years, 10 months ago
  😛
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2. Parm
  13 years, 10 months ago
  We were talking about FIFA a minute ago now you go and mention COD ❓
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HuttonDressedasLahm
13 years, 10 months ago
Need an Arsenal goal to a. Make the second leg interesting, and b. get rid of that Cs!
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halnone
13 years, 10 months ago
Ramsey has been beyond poor
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1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius�…
  13 years, 10 months ago
  I agree. Oh yes!!! 😡
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HuttonDressedasLahm
13 years, 10 months ago
Only just realised Arteta is playing!!
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1. Hate that rotation
  13 years, 10 months ago
  These are the types of games where he really needs to do more than sideways passing.
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Mílanista
13 years, 10 months ago
Robinho to SES soon I hope.
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Ginkapo FPL
13 years, 10 months ago
Rosicky fullback now?
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1. HuttonDressedasLahm
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Looks like Verm, and Song to CB?
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2. the axolotl
  13 years, 10 months ago
  verm fb, song cb.
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Epic Fail
13 years, 10 months ago
"Zlatan doesn't play well against English sides..."
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1. Puzzle
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Jinx of the season?
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Somalion
13 years, 10 months ago
Alright study break is over, come here to me microbiology ya unwieldy behemoth (sounds like something heard all too often from me or my friends on a night out 😉 )
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Hate that rotation
13 years, 10 months ago
Jack Wilshire would have been seriously useful today in midfield. Would show arteta and ramsey how to do it.
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Parm
13 years, 10 months ago
PEN MILAN
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1. Parm
  13 years, 10 months ago
  4-0 Zlatan
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super zlatan
13 years, 10 months ago
Tricky zlatan
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Demí
13 years, 10 months ago
Oh dear
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halnone
13 years, 10 months ago
Penalty!
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Puzzle
13 years, 10 months ago
Wow, Zlatan has been superb. Goal from the spot to seal it off?
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1. Puzzle
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Oh yes!
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2. super zlatan
  13 years, 10 months ago
  Man of the match
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HuttonDressedasLahm
13 years, 10 months ago
Soft, but a pen nonetheless
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Holy See
13 years, 10 months ago
Arsenal humiliated. Bit of a dive by Zlat tho.
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Puzzle
13 years, 10 months ago
goooal
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Hazard267
13 years, 10 months ago
Yes zlatan 🙂
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COMH
13 years, 10 months ago
This is ridonculous! We want 5!
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Hazard267
13 years, 10 months ago
Cheers zlat should of captained you lol
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1. Kagawa-san-mia
  13 years, 10 months ago
  he is my capt knew he would torment arsenal
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  1. Hazard267
    13 years, 10 months ago
    only lose 8 points still happy
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