Spot the Differential

Spot the Differential – Lacazette can match Aubameyang output

The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us a chance to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

We’ve pulled out three players currently under five percent ownership who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m)

Ownership: 4.3 percent

There is reason to believe that Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m) could match Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m) in FPL this season, which could help Fantasy managers looking to save money.

The two strikers have scored the same number of goals in Arsenal’s public pre-season friendlies, with six apiece and Aubamayang just one ahead on assists (three to two).

As Lacazette’s involvements have come from slightly less time on the pitch, his minutes-per-goal involvement is remarkably similar to his Gabonese colleague. The Frenchman has averaged one every 31.37 minutes, with Aubameyang involving himself in a public pre-season strike every 32.22 minutes.

As for his position within the team, Lacazette looks likely to start as the central striker, with Aubameyang operating from an inside-left position, as has been the case this summer.

It must also be noted that Lacazette actually finished the end of last season in sensational form, as he began to develop a great relationship with Aubameyang. In his final six appearances of 2017/18 he found the net five times and produced one assist. By comparison, Aubameyang also scored the same number of goals in his last six outings of the campaign, edging the Frenchman only on assists (three to one).

In the last six Gameweeks, Lacazette also bettered Aubameyang for minutes-per-goal (90.3 to 103.6) and was close behind when it came to minutes-per-shot too (33.9 to 30.1).

Having one of the two Arsenal attackers looks to be a smart move for the beginning of the season. Their opening fixture against Manchester City has the makings of a high-scoring game and Gameweek 2 pits the Gunners against a new-look Chelsea side that look defensively vulnerable in the Community Shield final.

After those two fixtures, there are home meeting with West Ham, Everton, Watford and Leicester mixed with trips to Cardiff, Newcastle, Fulham and Crystal Palace before Liverpool come to the Emirates in Gameweek 11. That is certainly a run of matches where there are goals on offer.

In both the climax of last term and in friendlies this summer, Lacazette has demonstrated the ability to match his more esteemed colleague. This could prove hugely important for Fantasy managers as it gives them the potential to save £1.5m to use elsewhere in their squad if they were to opt for Lacazette over Aubameyang, while still investing in an attack with potential for goals.

ANDROS TOWNSEND (£6.0m)

Ownership: 2.6 percent

Andros Townsend (£6.0m) could prove to be a steady supplier of assists for Crystal Palace this season and offer a differential route into their attack, with just 2.6 percent ownership. The Englishman has impressed both in the back-end of last term and during pre-season, so considering the strength of the Eagles’ fixtures, there’s every reason to believe he is worth investing in.

In the final 10 Gameweeks of 2017/18, no midfielder in the league created more big chances than Townsend’s five. Furthermore, no midfielder from a club outside the top six managed more passes received in the final third between Gameweek 29 and 38, while only one (Riyad Mahrez) registered more touches in that area of the pitch. In that time-frame he laid on three assists, but more ruthless finishing from colleague Wilfried Zaha (£7.0m) at the start of this campaign could help improve on that.

In fact, that has largely been the case in pre-season with no Palace player involved in more goals than Townsend. He provided six assists during the summer months, which is actually more than any other Premier League player managed to accrue during their respective off-seasons.

The Eagles also have the fixtures to get the best out of Townsend. No team ranks higher for attack than them on our Season Ticker in the first six Gameweeks of 2018/19, with trips to Fulham, Watford and Huddersfield alongside home meetings with Liverpool, Southampton and Newcastle.

RYAN FRASER (£5.5m)

Ownership: 1.1 percent

Bournemouth midfielder Ryan Fraser (£5.5m) could prove a shrewd investment at the start of the season as an alternative route into the Cherries’ attack.

Eddie Howe’s men have some appealing fixtures in the early part of the season which has led to 7.2 percent of managers looking to Josh King (£6.5m) for their forward lines. They host newly-promoted Cardiff on the opening day of the season before Everton and Leicester come to the Vitality Stadium. Trips to West Ham, Chelsea and Burnley are a little tougher but could still offer goals for this particularly attacking side.

Fraser can provde a cheaper alternative to King while still being central to the Bournemouth attacking output.

In the last six Gameweeks of 2017/18, only four midfielders created more chances than Fraser. Across the course of the season, he was Bournemouth’s most creative player, with 38 key passes played, at a rate of 1.6 per game. He also topped the Cherries’ charts for touches in the final third (23.5m), passes received there (14.7), successful crosses (0.7) and successful passes in the attacking third (10.5).

There is also the potential for finding the net to go alongside his assist credentials. No Bournemouth player had a higher goal conversion rate. He scored 16.9 percent of the 30 opportunities that fell his way, with King behind him on 15.7 and Wilson on 15.1.

Fraser’s strength does largely lie in his ability to create goals, though. In pre-season he was the provider of four assists, adding one of his own strikes to take his goal involvement tally of five – the same as King.

The form of the Norwegian striker also heightens Fraser’s appeal. He found the net four times over the summer and looks set for a good spell now that the Premier League is back. If he does take his chances at the beginning of the campaign, there’s a good chance he’ll be helping Fraser register assist points.

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3,777 Comments Post a Comment
  1. SkipperTG
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Guys, midfielders:

    1. Is Jota good enough to be 4th mid?
    2. Who are 5th mid enablers?

    Thanks!

    1. GoonerByron
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      1. Yes, should be.. Plenty to move to if it doesn't come off though.

      2. I like Ralls at 5.0 on all set pieces. Hughes, Caierny and Kenedy could be good options too.

    2. GAMBIT
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      1. I'm pretty sure everyone's guessing at this point

      2. Stephens is popular around here

    3. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      I think so he will play as a false nine

      1. SkipperTG
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks all

  2. New Video - Mark discusses his Gameweek 1 side
    J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    New Video

    Mark takes his turn in the RMT hot seat to discuss his Gameweek 1 side in details

    Rotating goalkeepers
    Going Dutch in defence
    Premium priced midfield
    Budget frontline

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMPdx3wffBw

    Also remember to subscribe to our channel to get updates of all our latest video releases https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKxYKQ8pgJ7V8wwh4hLsSXQ

    1. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      *gets pen & paper*

    2. Santi sensei
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Not too wise to leave Arnie and Mendy on the bench imo

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        That is discussed in the video.

    3. V K
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Great team there! Would love to see Firmino up top with Bernardo replacing Mahrez

    4. Saint Steve-O (@EliteFPL)
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Been really enjoying these short pods.... Look forward to watching

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks. Really pleased with the response to them. Many more planned.

        1. Christina.
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 8 months ago

          This calling you "Joe" is really silly.

          1. El Lobito 10
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 8 months ago

            Reminiscent of Andy Cole refashioning to Andrew!

          2. J0E
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 8 months ago

            Not sure how to take that from a bloke called Christina. 😉

            1. Eden Wizard
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 8 months ago

              You can’t assume people’s gender these days - should know that being from Brighton

            2. Christina.
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 8 months ago

              I can explain mine at least.

              You suddenly just changed yours.

              odd.

              1. WesMantooth
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 8 months ago

                Yeah, I bet he will find it really hard to explain.
                Especially as Joe is his name.

    5. Cok3y5murf
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      GW3 wildcard confirmed 😉

      1. Pieterke30
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        that's not a problem is it?

        1. Cok3y5murf
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 8 months ago

          Depends on how you look at the most precious chip in the game.

      2. Uppercut Panda - A legend i…
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        called it

    6. Ragabolly
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Have to disagree with Mark on that one.. Any forward big hitter emerges and that's automatically a hit or waiting an extra week of price rises and potential points.. Not very flexible imo. But well what do I know!

      1. WesMantooth
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        Already seemed to have his thoughts ready as to how he could get that premium striker in gw3 without a hit. Not saying his route is the way to go, just think his team is about as "flexible" as any other team i've seen.

    7. Fantasy Gold
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      If that is still Mark’s team when the deadline arrives then I’ll eat my hat 😆

      1. fclackless [Brazil Nuts]
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        THIS

      2. muggaz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        exactly what I was thinking. It's the old double revese sideways bluff.

    8. JAC THE CAT
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Do we know why Mark is no longer on the FPL show?

      1. Chenku╰☆╮
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        He cant be bothered to clean his house, and tired of getting slated for it each time.

  3. Kroos Kontrol
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    A) Salah + Robbo + 5.5(Coleman?)
    B) Mane + 4.5(Boly) + 4.0

    So this is hard. I'm pretty set on keeping Sanchez (and going to KdB/Hazard), Firmino and Aguero. But I'm very wary of Salah, esp on how much he overshadows Mane, and thinking to integrate him.

    Which of these would you pick?

    1. Ninjaa
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      A. By a mile

      1. Kroos Kontrol
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        Wait whoops, I meant Mane is in A and Salah is in B! Reposting

        1. Chenku╰☆╮
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 8 months ago

          A

    2. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      You sure you picked them right if you did A by a country mile

  4. Leeds12
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Best 5.5 keeper that isn't Ederson?

    Already got three city players.

    1. tyiocoyg34
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Chelsea's new guy Kepa?

      1. Leeds12
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        Think he's nailed for first week?

    2. GAMBIT
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Find the 0.5 for DDG

    3. Limit80
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Allison had a good save record last year and should see more shots against him than the other 5.5s. Feel Liverpool will keep more clean sheets this year.

  5. Backonthecoupon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Will there be press conferences/team news today?

    Itching over the Tottenham news...

    1. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      No. Total silence today

    2. James H
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Spurs was yesterday, and Pochettino gave very little away regarding the players involved in the World Cup. Without naming anyone, some will start, others will be on the bench and a few left at home to build their fitness levels.

  6. ForEvra Young
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    A) Zaha (3-4-3)

    B) Lucas Moura (3-5-2)

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. Tree House
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      A all day long

    3. Jimjam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      A

  7. tuvok
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Any Saints fans around?

    I think Austin will be first choice, with Ings/Gabbi/Long competing for the second CF spot.

    I also think Cedric is nailed once he's back up to speed and is great value as a wingback.

    Am I wrong?

    1. Irish Villan 1985
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Really? I think Ings is nailed surely?

      1. tuvok
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        Austin is the most accomplished finisher of that four. With Ings, they've not bought a striker on the top of his game, they've taken a punt by loaning a player who hasn't played for 2 years. He may become nailed, but even then I don't see it being at the expense of Austin. I'm happy to be convinced otherwise though.

        1. Irish Villan 1985
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 8 months ago

          They have agreed to pay 18M for him though, that to me says he will play - I like Austin but he wasn't a Mark Hughes signing, Ings is, I think he will play, maybe not this weekend but going forward.

          1. tuvok
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 8 months ago

            Good point. Could be great value at 5.5 if you're right (and an easy downgrade if Austin loses his spot).

  8. jia you
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    4.5 mids and 4.5 forwards are a bit of a waste of space! Especially forwards with Kamara's mins really looking under threat now. Quaner also doubtful to get much gametime.
    Think I might go with Jimenez as third striker and hope he does something!
    Thoughts on Jimenez?

  9. Merlinho
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Is Peltier the only nailed on £4m DEF other than AWB?

    1. Tree House
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      I asked similar question below. How nailed is AWB?

    2. OPTA FPL
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Peltier not even nailed

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Looks it.

  10. Infamy, Infamy
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    How nailed is Jimenez at Wolves?

    1. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Competing with Bonatini for the spot

    2. OPTA FPL
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      until they realize he is not good enough
      never scored >7 goals league in a season

  11. anish10
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    a) Patricio + Davies
    or
    B) DDG + Tomkins

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      B

  12. Ronin13
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Best def to have at 5.5 or under?
    Coleman
    Luiz
    Bailly/Shaw
    Any others?

    Rest of def is Mendy, TAA, Schlupp, WanBis

    1. jiGGidyJ1
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      I like Bellerin, he was the top 5.5 defender last season and he's got a more defensive manager this season.

      1. Ronin13
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        Starting fixtures aren't great for Bellerin.

        Coleman has great fixtures but no form.

        1. jiGGidyJ1
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 8 months ago

          Bellerin can easily get attacking returned in either game though, and GW3 onwards you're golden. I personally don't like to plan too many future transfers, so I've got him in my GW1 team

          1. Ronin13
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 8 months ago

            Sounds good. Thanks!

        2. jiGGidyJ1
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 8 months ago

          All of the options that you mentioned have question marks too.

          Coleman - form
          Luiz - not nailed after a couple of games
          Bailly - injury concern
          Shaw - not nailed after a couple of games

          At least Bellerin is as nailed as they come

          1. Chockky
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 8 months ago

            new Arensal manager has a reputation of rotating his wing backs. id of gone him but his nailedness is up for debate become of that

  13. MGD
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Current Backline

    Kepa / Stekelenburg
    Mendy - Robertson - Cedric / WB - Dunk

    Should i ship Cedric for someone? Kiko Fermeina maybe?

    1. Tree House
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Not a terrible plan

  14. jiGGidyJ1
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Obviously not a GW1 pick, but is anyone else keeping an eye on Vietto? I was surprised to see he was only 5.5

  15. Khazana
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    The Salah conundrum

    A) Salah + Arno + Sessegnon?
    or
    B) Mane + Firmink + Mkhi?

    I like B, but worried about Salah ownership & (c)ners

  16. Ninjaa
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts here please Guys?

    Patricio
    Mendy Robertson B.Davies
    Salah ***** Mhki Jota
    Aguero Arnautovic *****

    Fabianski Gunarsson Malone, VanBissaka

    1. Mane and Mitrovic
    2. Richarlison and Fiminho
    3. Eriksson and King
    4. Any other combo..

    4.5mid
    A. Gunarsson
    B.Chalobah.

    1. Jimjam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      3A

  17. Irish Villan 1985
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Does Ings going to Southampton change anyone's thoughts? He frees up 1M if I swap him for King and allows me to upgrade a defender to Robertson??? Thoughts??

    Also, decent fixtures and is surely nailed??

  18. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Kepa or Ederson (have Mendy)

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Kepa

  19. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts about Andre Gray over the likes of Arnie/Zaha for first few gameweeks? Opening fixtures look promising

    1. tyiocoyg34
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      True ... i have him and zaha in my squad tbh 🙂

  20. Tree House
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    How nailed is this Wan-Bisaka character? Who is his competition?

    Same question for Peltier... Guess these are the two most likely to get minutes?

    1. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Wb is 60% and peltier is 50% imo.

      1. Tree House
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 8 months ago

        thank you

  21. DRIZ ✅
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Great news Shaw looks certain to start tonight!

    https://twitter.com/JonnyGabriel/status/1027517100120784898

  22. Thinkering like a Boss
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Which option is the best? My team have Aguero, Salah and no Arsenal and second attacking from City & Liv.

    1) Aubameyang & Bernando Silva
    2) Firmino & Mahrez

    1. tyiocoyg34
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      1

    2. Jimjam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      1

    3. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      1

  23. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    4-4-2 defence

    Robertson - Mendy - ??? - ??? (Wan-Bissaka)

    A) Bailly - Lowton
    B) Bavies - Kabasele

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      A

  24. GAMBIT
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Seeing a lot of Mkhi today, is he nailed? Will go into my team if he is!

  25. tyiocoyg34
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    RMT PLS!!!!

    Ederson ( fab )
    Robbo - Bellerin - Daniels - Cédric (Wan-B)
    Eriksen - Sanchez - Mané - Richarlison - ( Stephens )
    Kun - Zaha - ( Gray )

    Think this will be my final one ... just want some opinions 🙂

    1. GAMBIT
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Don't like Daniels and Cedric... PTSD from last season

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Surely play Gray over Daniel/Cedric

    3. vopemartin
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      fab to 4m
      bellerin to bavies
      or gray to king/mitrovic

    4. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Don't like that defense.

  26. vopemartin
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    In which order? GW1-4

    a) Zaha + 4m def
    b )Arnie + 4m def
    c) Tosun + 4m def
    d) King + 4.5 def (rotation with Cairney)

    3-5-2

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      D

  27. Kaneyonero
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Alisson Wonderland

  28. Bojaninho
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Any love for Seri at Fulham? Or we unsure on starts?

  29. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    A) Bobby and Kante/Cairney (have Costa)
    B) Mane and Kamara (as fodder)

    Have been on B all preseason!

  30. Chrisitis
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 8 months ago

    Siggy and Bernard fighting for the same spot?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 8 months ago

      Siggy nailed