FPL Gameweek 4: Analysis of the key underlying statistics

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Raya	ARS	5.9m	97.1%	Maybe
Gabriel	ARS	7.1m	92.4%	Unlikely
J.Timber	ARS	6.4m	91.7%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	4.9m	90.0%	Unlikely
João Pedro	CHE	7.6m	81.8%	Unlikely
Maguire	MUN	4.3m	88.6%	Unlikely
Dalot	MUN	4.5m	84.6%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.5m	69.9%	Unlikely
E.Le Fée	SUN	4.9m	79.8%	Unlikely
Martinez	MUN	4.8m	79.2%	Unlikely
Kroupi.Jr	BOU	4.7m	78.5%	Unlikely
Barry	EVE	5.7m	77.7%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	75.2%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.2m	74.9%	Unlikely
Mainoo	MUN	4.6m	73.1%	Unlikely
Senesi	BOU	4.8m	72.3%	Unlikely
Madueke	ARS	6.8m	69.8%	Unlikely
Garner	EVE	5.2m	65.1%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	61.5%	Unlikely
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.8m	59.7%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	60.2%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	60.0%	Unlikely
Gibbs-White	NFO	7.3m	59.2%	Unlikely
Scott	BOU	5.0m	54.6%	Unlikely
Estêvão	CHE	6.4m	55.1%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	53.4%	Unlikely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	51.7%	Unlikely
G.Jesus	ARS	6.4m	51.6%	Unlikely
Nallo	LIV	3.7m	51.3%	Unlikely
Rayan	BOU	5.5m	43.2%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.6m	48.5%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	47.5%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	47.3%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	46.2%	Unlikely
Reinildo	SUN	3.8m	46.2%	Unlikely
Pickford	EVE	5.6m	46.1%	Unlikely
Ødegaard	ARS	7.8m	45.2%	Unlikely
Solanke	TOT	7.2m	44.3%	Unlikely
Mané	WOL	4.6m	43.9%	Unlikely
Strand Larsen	CRY	6.1m	43.0%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	100.5%	Very Likely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	100.6%	Very Likely
Vicario	TOT	4.8m	100.3%	Very Likely
Abraham	AVL	6.0m	99.5%	Likely
Meslier	LEE	4.2m	100.2%	Very Likely
Pedro Porro	TOT	5.2m	97.2%	Maybe
Roberts	BUR	4.4m	96.8%	Maybe
Virgil	LIV	5.9m	94.4%	Unlikely
Guéhi	MCI	5.2m	92.8%	Unlikely
Haaland	MCI	14.9m	89.7%	Unlikely
Poveda	SUN	4.8m	90.5%	Unlikely
Wood	NFO	7.2m	88.4%	Unlikely
M.Bizot	AVL	4.2m	87.0%	Unlikely
Bajcetic	LIV	4.3m	86.0%	Unlikely
D.Leon	MUN	4.2m	83.9%	Unlikely
Andrey Santos	CHE	4.5m	85.1%	Unlikely
Aké	MCI	5.3m	82.6%	Unlikely
Weiss	BUR	4.3m	81.9%	Unlikely
Kluivert	BOU	7.0m	82.2%	Unlikely
Marc Guiu	CHE	4.2m	81.6%	Unlikely
Carvalho	BRE	4.7m	80.9%	Unlikely
Trésor	BUR	4.4m	80.4%	Unlikely
Xhaka	SUN	5.1m	78.8%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	78.3%	Unlikely
Bruun Larsen	BUR	5.3m	76.5%	Unlikely
Bentancur	TOT	5.3m	75.9%	Unlikely
Zubimendi	ARS	5.3m	77.0%	Unlikely
Mayenda	SUN	5.2m	74.3%	Unlikely
Tchaouna	BUR	4.9m	75.1%	Unlikely
Burrowes	AVL	4.4m	74.2%	Unlikely
Kporha	CRY	4.0m	73.4%	Unlikely
Arrizabalaga	ARS	4.1m	73.0%	Unlikely
Szoboszlai	LIV	6.7m	71.3%	Unlikely
Lavia	CHE	4.9m	72.4%	Unlikely
Gnonto	LEE	5.2m	70.9%	Unlikely
Byram	LEE	3.8m	69.7%	Unlikely
Thiago	BRE	7.0m	69.3%	Unlikely
Fredricson	MUN	3.8m	69.0%	Unlikely
Kilman	WHU	4.2m	67.7%	Unlikely
Webster	BHA	4.4m	68.1%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	B
No Change	Sanchez	CHE	B
No Change	Pickford	EVE	B
No Change	Henderson	CRY	C
No Change	Petrovic	BOU	B, Vs
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 10 Feb, 2026 10:08am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	A
No Change	Chalobah	CHE	B
No Change	Senesi	BOU	B, Vs
Up	van Dijk	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	B
Up	Marc Guehi	MCI	B, Vs
No Change	Lacroix	CRY	B
Down	Tarkowski	EVE	B, VsX
No Change	Cash	AVL	C
No Change	Andersen	FUL	C

Last updated: 10 Feb, 2026 10:17am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
No Change	Rice	ARS	C
No Change	Fernández	CHE	A
No Change	Rogers	AVL	B
No Change	Semenyo	MCI	B, Vs
No Change	Wilson	FUL	B
No Change	Wirtz	LIV	A, Vs
Up	Ismaila Sarr	CRY
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	A
No Change	Anderson	NFO	A, £
Down	Ndiaye	EVE	C, VsX

Last updated: 10 Feb, 2026 10:21am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	B, Vs
No Change	Thiago	BRE	C
No Change	Ekitiké	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Bowen	WHU	A
No Change	Watkins	AVL	B
No Change	Kroupi	BOU	C, Vs, £
No Change	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	C

Last updated: 10 Feb, 2026 10:26am

Our Big Numbers piece takes a look at the vast array of data available in our Premium Members’ Area and presents the eye-catching statistics that may be of interest.

Although we’re only three Gameweeks into 2020/21 and the sample pool is still small, some familiar patterns are emerging – from Mohamed Salah (£12.1m) being top of the shot count table to Aleksandar Mitrovic (£6.0m) bossing the headed goal attempts column.

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Lessons Learned from FPL Gameweek 3