Pro Pundits

How I plan to deal with FPL fixture swing in Gameweek 10

Fantasy Premier League managers should keep a keen eye on the upcoming swing of fixtures in Gameweek 10.

This is where advanced planning becomes so important. Looking ahead is always vital for a Fantasy manager but it is difficult when those plans involve getting rid of in-form premium players.

That’s the dilemma that I’m facing over the next couple of weeks with Harry Kane (£10.9m) and Son Heung-min (£9.6m). 

Without potential bad news around Neal Maupay (£6.5m) and Tariq Lamptey (£4.7m) starting, I’m happy with my team for this week.

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But going forward there’s big decisions to be made with some key fixture swings. This is what Tottenham Hotspur fixtures look like after the West Brom game:

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Until Gameweek 16 I don’t see a single fixture where I’d look to captain a Spurs player. Even when they play Crystal Palace (away) in Gameweek 12, there’s the option of Mohamed Salah (£12.4m) against Fulham (away).

No-one can doubt that the pair have been in form, with 142 FPL points between them so far this season. But that has coincided with a relatively easy fixture run, and as shown above it’s about to get a bit more difficult.

I don’t always buy into the common FPL thought process that if you’re not captaining an expensive player they shouldn’t be in your team, but in this case they are blocking me investing into other teams with great fixtures, predominantly Manchester City. It may be worth considering a plan to get them in.

Manchester City Attack

How De Bruyne and Sterling compare as FPL assets for 2020/21?

I am a little bit worried about the Man City attack. They’ve averaged 1.31xG per match so far this season. You can see how low this is compared to their usual high standards from previous seasons:

  • 2019/20 – 2.48
  • 2018/19 – 2.24
  • 2017/18 – 2.11

We are looking at a much smaller sample size so far this season, and it’s worth noting they’ve played some tougher games in Wolves, Leicester, Leeds, and Arsenal. But something isn’t quite right.

The fixtures from Gameweek 10 look appealing though, and are perfect to start increasing the number of goals they’re scoring. Not many people would bet against City doing extremely well and it’s worth thinking now about how you might get them in.

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In fact if you couple a Raheem Sterling (£11.6m) or Kevin De Bruyne (£11.5m) with Salah or Sadio Mané (12.0m) you get this captaincy rotation:

  • GW10 Man City vs Burnley (home)
  • GW11 Man City vs Fulham (home)
  • GW12 Liverpool vs Fulham (away)
  • GW13 Man City vs West Brom (home)
  • GW14 Man City vs Southampton (away)
  • GW15 Liverpool vs West Brom (home)
  • GW16 Liverpool vs Newcastle (away)
  • GW17 Liverpool vs Southampton (away)
  • GW18 Man City vs Brighton (home)
  • GW19 Man City vs Crystal Palace (home)
  • GW20 Man City vs West Brom (away)

In Gameweek 16 you might want to consider Spurs players again, but we can probably re-assess that closer to the time. Either way I know I want to give De Bruyne or Sterling a chance, and I don’t think many people would argue against them turning on the style during this fixture run. 

Man City Defence

Cancelo stars for City as Sheff Utd's weak right-side bodes well for Chelsea

With the most clean sheets last season, City still aren’t usually a team we often consider when buying a defender. But when a lot of FPL managers (including myself) are looking to keep Salah, it becomes difficult to triple up on attack, and with the above fixtures there is a lot of clean sheet potential.

Looking at the defender attacking potential over the season so far one defender in particular stands out – João Cancelo (£5.4m).

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Only four defenders have created more chances so far this season, and when you consider he’s played just three matches it’s impressive to have created on average three chances per game already.

As always rotation will be a concern, especially when Cancelo has been playing left back. City have Oleksandr Zinchenko (£5.5m) who can play there as well as Benjamin Mendy (£5.9m) when he’s back from injury.

Given Cancelo’s performance levels he deserves to keep this spot, but we know that’s not how it necessarily works under Pep.

If you wanted to go a little safer there’s Rúben Dias who’s just a little more expensive at £5.5m and Kyle Walker (£6.0m) who has also been playing really well this season. I’m not sure how much of my savings I would put on them being completely nailed, but they feel a safer bet than Cancelo.

However, if you want to take a risk and go for the big points then Cancelo could be the one.

Cheap Forwards

For a lot of people who might be looking to move cash from Kane into midfield with Sterling or De Bruyne it will be worth looking at the abundance of cheap forwards we have the option of choosing from.

For now my main strategy is not to change this position too often. They’re all performing well and will likely continue to tick over during the medium to long term and there’s probably bigger transfers to priortise. Here’s how they’ve gotten on so far:

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Patrick Bamford (£6.0m) is the one that sticks out to me so far, Leeds are creating plenty of chances for him. None of the forwards listed have taken more shots in the box.

He has blanked three times in the last four Gameweeks however, because of trickier fixtures against Man City, Wolves and Leicester. The upcoming fixtures don’t get much easier either and I think for me I’d be looking at bringing him in closer to Gameweek 12.

If I had to bring one in now (taking into account I already own Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m) then it would probably be Callum Wilson (£6.5m) who has the short to medium term fixtures to keep up his current points scoring.

I still look at the cheap forwards at £6.5m or less and prefer them to the midfielders at the same price. That’s why my long term strategy is to go with two of them up front alongside Calvert-Lewin and to pump more money into midfield. At least until I realise I should never have sold Kane.

LESSONS LEARNED FROM FPL GAMEWEEK 7

1,012 Comments Post a Comment
  1. SHOWSTOPPERRR
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Guys any suggestions or save?

    Martinez
    Robbo chilwell lamptey *
    Salah son grealish havertz
    Kane dcl bamford

    4.0 kwp dallas bissou

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Save

    2. Almathkourq8
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Havertz >>> Ziyech

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Save

    4. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Havertz preventing a knighthood.

  2. Almathkourq8
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Good morning guys..
    Please RMT.. wild card active

    Guaita - McCarthy

    Chilwell-Cresswell-Justin-Tierney-Lamptey

    Son-JWP-Mané-Riedewald-JamesR

    Wilson-DCL-Kane

    Appreciate your advice

    1. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Do NOT get the wasteman guaita on WC...

      1. Brosstan
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Get salah over mane with the downgrade money

    2. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Bellerin over Tierney

  3. Botman and Robben
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Martinez
    TAA Semedo Kilman
    Salah Grealish Son Zaha
    Maupay Kane DCL

    Steer Bissouma Lamptey Dallas

    Pick 1:
    A. TAA -> Chilwell
    B. Maupay -> Wilson
    C. Save FT.

    1. Chelsea91
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B

  4. Brosstan
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Blumpf is winning? But the media told me he had 0.001% chance to win!

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      You placed some bets?

      1. Brosstan
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        No I did last election for a nice pay day, but covid messed up a lot for dumpy drumpf this time. Didn't like the odds

    2. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Is he? Who's telling you that?

      1. Ozzy smith
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Bookies

  5. HARLEY
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Guys any suggestion to use 1 of my 2FT?

    McCarthy
    Robbo Chilwell Lamptey
    Salah Son(c) Zaha Grealish
    Kane DCL Wilson
    (Steer KWP Kilman Bissouma

    1. HARLEY
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      ITB 1.0

    2. Bielsa Murderball
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Looks perfectly fine 🙂

    3. Bielsa Murderball
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      You could get mendy intead

    4. Bielsa Murderball
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      *instead

    5. Whiskerz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Nice team. Maybe grealish to a Chelsea mid for 1 week. But its probably just better to burn a ft.

    6. Chelsea91
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Same as mine Except, Martinez for Mc Carthy and Lamptey for PVA . I am cap Kane

  6. Bielsa Murderball
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    guys, best differential captain this gw? Have kdb, salah, son, kane, bamford, dcl, grealish.

    1. HARLEY
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Son

    2. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Chilwell

    3. Bielsa Murderball
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Don't have chilwell, but have zouma

    4. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Sonny

    5. abhirup780
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Bamford

  7. Whiskerz
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Gtg or anything worth a hit?
    0ft . 1m itb

    Martinez
    Bellerin . Robbo . Lamptey
    Salah . Son . Zaha . Foden
    Kane(c) . DCL . Jimenez

    Dallas . Mitchell . Burke

    1. NO SALAH
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No need to take a hit gtg.

  8. llmja
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    RM WC team plz

    Mccarthy/4.0
    Chillwell/Zouma/Coufal/Justin/Kilman
    Salah/Son/Ziyech/Zaha/Soucek
    Kane/DCL/Wilson

    Thank you

  9. Party time
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Instead of getting Firmino, casuals are getting Jota.

      Firmino brace against City imminent

      1. Flair
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        The ultimate sign of a casual is having Firmino

        1. Nightcrawler
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Harsh on casuals

        2. Party time
            3 years, 4 months ago

            I can’t argue against that tbh

        3. PapaWengzz
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Both are equally bad picks

          1. Party time
              3 years, 4 months ago

              Yeah but I think this will make Firmino better. The competition will make him score goals

          2. Ron_Swanson
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Jota could be genius

            1. Party time
                3 years, 4 months ago

                Yes. True but rotation risk imo

          3. NO SALAH
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Any advice for GW8? 2 FT and 0.2 ITB..

            Martinez
            Chilwell Reguilon Lamptey Kilman
            Sterling Salah Grealish Son
            Kane (c) DCL

            Bench: Brewster Bissouma Targett

            I am worried about Sterling's recent form. He looks exhausted in last couple of games. Is it worth doing Sterling&Bissouma to Ziyech&Jota or Sterling&Targett to Ziyech&Coufal.. When the fixture turns in GW10, I can jump on a KDB..

            Thanks

          4. PapaWengzz
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Start Robertson or Lamptey?

            Currently on Lamptey but its a really tough one.

            1. Christina.
              • 14 Years
              3 years, 4 months ago

              why own Robbo? Sell.

              1. PapaWengzz
                • 4 Years
                3 years, 4 months ago

                Already on -4

          5. Malinwa
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            How benched is Saïss?
            Best replacement? (already have Chilwell-Justin-KWP-Mitchell-?)

            1. Do I Not Like Orange
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              3 years, 4 months ago

              Don't think we'll truly know the answer to that for a GW or 2. If you'd rather not wait, I'd say go for a Hammers defender.

          6. Azathoth
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            McCarthy - 4.0
            Konsa - Zouma - Robbo - Saiss - Taylor

          7. Do I Not Like Orange
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Which one to sell of TAA/Robbo? Robbo been consistently better IMO since project restart but Trent looks to be finding some attacking form again in Europe.

          8. Azathoth
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            One more try
            McCarthy - 4.0
            Konsa - Zouma - Robbo - Saiss - Taylor
            Mane - Son - James - Romeu - Stephens
            Kane - Wilson - Watkins

            a) Saiss to Dias/Cancelo
            b) Mane to Mo/KDB
            c) James to Greal/Ziyech
            d) Save

            Thanx

          9. Jinswick
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Which 2 would you bench this week?

            A) Foden (LIV)
            B) Barkley (ars)
            C) Holding (AVL)
            D) Mitchell (LEE)
            E) Trent (mcy)

            1. balint84
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 4 months ago

              D-E

          10. Azathoth
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            CD

          11. Pompel
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            CTaylor set to drop , really don't need to lose that 01 with transfer plans up to GW10

          12. bennygrimshaw
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Ryan Forster
            TAA Lamptey Justin Saiss Taylor
            Salah Podence Son Sterling Anguissa
            Jimenez Werner Brewster

            I have 2FT transfers to use any advice? Looking at getting Saiss/Podence/Jimenez out maybe

          13. Spg76
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            WBA Spurs score predictions?

            1. balint84
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 4 months ago

              1-1

          14. gstegnar
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Hi guys, i need your feddback.

            My team is:
            button/mccarthy
            webster/mitchell/TAA/KWP/dier
            barkley/zaha/salah/son/havertz
            DCL/ings/wilson

            I have 1 FT and 0,2 mil left in the bank.

            Havertz should go be transffered out, not only due to covid-19, but mainly his performances
            Ings has a long term injury
            Son should perhaps be transffered as well, since Spurs have a difficult schedule ahead

            Should I trade Havertz to 5 mil midfielder and then buy KDB/Sterling?
            Later on, trade Ings for... ? :/