Spot the Differential
26 August 2022 1222 comments
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Gameweek 4 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leeds United, Manchester United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

BRENDEN AARONSON

Auto Draft 33
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: bha | EVE | bre | NFO | mun

Brenden Aaronson (£5.5m) has made a great start at Leeds United following his summer move, scoring his first goal for the club in Gameweek 3.

Against Chelsea, the former RB Salzburg man added energy and creativity from his central attacking midfield position and was always looking to press and run in behind Thomas Tuchel’s defence. “He’s tireless. He’s relentless” were Jesse Marsch’s words when asked about Aaronson’s performance after the match.

Marsch later vowed that his team would “always attack”, which is a promising sign ahead of fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Everton (h), Brentford (a) and Nottingham Forest (h), given that Leeds are unbeaten so far this season.

Across the opening three rounds, amongst teammates, only Jack Harrison (£6.0m) has received more passes in the final third, while he has also racked up five goal attempts, three created chances and nine crosses. It’s also worth noting that he has also seen a goal taken away from him and given as an own-goal against Wolves.

Aaronson’s career numbers suggest he won’t ever be a prolific goalscorer, but there are often caveats with players at this price point, and it does feel like the US international is one of the best budget midfielders on offer right now.

MARCUS RASHFORD

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 3
  • FPL ownership: 5.4%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: sou | lei | ARS | cry | LEE

We’d originally included Anthony Martial (£6.9m) in this slot, only for Erik ten Hag’s Friday press conference to derail us.

As a result, we’ve turned to 5.4 per cent owned team-mate Marcus Rashford (£6.3m), who we’ve made an exception for despite sitting just over our usual differential threshold.

The 24-year-old has already suffered two price drops this season but netted his first Premier League goal of 2022/23 in an excellent display against Liverpool on Monday night.

Indeed, no player from either side racked up more goal attempts (five), shots in the box (five) or efforts on target (two) than Rashford.

United got off to a terrible start to the 2022/23 campaign and sat rock bottom following defeats to Brighton and Hove Albion and Brentford. However, there were encouraging signs in their win over Liverpool, which means they can approach Saturday’s trip to Southampton in a more positive frame of mind. Notably, the Saints’ have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine Premier League matches, extending back to last season.

There is competition for places at United, and we can’t simply forget that Cristiano Ronaldo (£10.4m) is still an option, but it does feel like Rashford can become an important player for ten Hag, who clearly has a lot of faith in him.

GONCALO GUEDES

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NEW | bou | SOU | liv | MCI

Goncalo Guedes (£6.0m) made a promising first Wolverhampton Wanderers start in Gameweek 3, as he went close to scoring in the first half.

The 25-year-old made some very good runs in behind Tottenham Hotspur’s defence, registering five shots – more than any other player on the pitch – and three chances created. He did fade a little as the match wore on, but that’s understandable given he is new to the league.

Guedes scored 11 La Liga goals and assisted a further six in 2021/22, his most productive season in Spanish football, and not only featured on the left coming inside onto his favoured foot but also centrally and on the right. His versatility and ability to play as a striker is appealing, then, especially with Raul Jimenez (£6.9m) still building up his fitness.

It must be said that Wolves aren’t in great form after a winless start to the campaign. Last season’s goalscoring woes, when they finished as the division’s lowest scorers outside of the relegated teams, have continued into 2022/23. However, there has been progress in each of the three games so far, with the signing of Guedes and fellow Portuguese Matheus Nunes (£5.0m) perhaps going some way to alleviate those concerns.

Guedes is a product of the Benfica academy, where he rose through the system under the watchful eye of Bruno Lage, who served as a youth at the Portuguese club. Now reunited at Molineux, the £6.0m midfielder could be a smart differential to capitalise on Wolves’ next three fixtures: Newcastle United (h), Bournemouth (a) and Southampton (h).



  1. 420king
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Bailey is on my bench. I don't need him and I got 1 FT. Sell or swallow the price drop?

    1. SalahFingers
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I'd take the price drop. No point making transfers where you will not get any point benefit. Money is important, but having 2 free transfers next week is going to be valuable. Remember the gameweek after this is only 3 days later.

  2. nerd_is_the_werd
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    On a WC, which would you keep:

    a) Andreas (4.5)
    b) Da Silva (4.6)

    1. SalahFingers
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      on a WC? Andreas. Dasilva's minutes are all over the place.

      If I had a team with Da Silva, I would keep for a few weeks since his value will probably go up.

      1. nerd_is_the_werd
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        True, Brentford's fixtures are better.
        the 4.5 MID is unlikely to be in my starting XI most GWs.
        Andreas seems a bit more attacking out of the two.

    2. Vlekz
        3 years, 3 months ago

        A

      • Alcapaul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Andreas

    3. SalahFingers
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Mendy (Ward)
      TAA - Cancelo - James - Trippier - Perisic
      Salah (C)- Rodrigo - Martinelli (Neto, Andreas)
      Jesus - Haaland (Taylor)

      1FT, 0.9ITB.

      GTG right?

      1. Taegugk Warrior
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Right

      2. Ynwalfc
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Like the back five option

      3. Vlekz
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Gtg

      4. Taegugk Warrior
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Sanchez
        TAA,James,Cancelo,Trip
        Salah,Mount,Martinelli,Rodrigo
        Haaland,Jesus

        Ward,Andreas,Neco,Archer
        1FT.
        A. G2G
        B. Mount to Diaz

        1. SalahFingers
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Similar to mine tbh. I would go A.

          Next gameweek is midweek. I think having 2 transfers will be good for that.

        2. Ynwalfc
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          I would go with Diaz, he could get massive points this gw

      5. Tmel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Ramsdale
        Robbo TAA James Cancelo Perisic
        Neto Salah(c) Martinelli
        Haaland Jesus
        (Ward Pereira Reed Archer)

        2FT + 0.4ITB

        a) Ramsdale > Sanchez
        b) Archer > Stansfield
        c) Robbo & Archer > Veltman & Toney
        d) Ramsdale, Robbo & Archer > Sanchez, Saliba & Toney (-4)

        1. SalahFingers
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          A, but I kinda like D too.

        2. BERGKOP
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          D

        3. DycheDycheBaby
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          B.
          I don't understand the appeal of Ramsdale to Sanchez, especially this week.

          1. Rosey Palmer
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            It must be a money thing...free up .5 to upgrade elsewhere on the second FT. Would not do it for a hit personally.

        4. Scratch
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          None of those options particularly appeal. I'd be ridding myself of Neto

          1. Scratch
            • 16 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Probably A
            Then Robertson & Neto -> Saliba / Fofana & quality midfielder next week.

      6. Zoostation
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Good to go?

        Mendy (Ward)

        TAA Cancelo Saliba (Williams, Patterson)

        Salah (C) Kulusevski Martinelli Gross (Andreas)

        Haaland Jesus Toney

        1. SalahFingers
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Looks good to me.

      7. Louis99
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        For captain:

        A) Haaland
        B) KDB
        C) Jesus
        D) Diaz

        1. SalahFingers
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Probably KDB

      8. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        My team:
        Ramsdale
        Perisic. James. Cancelo. Taa
        Salah. Diaz. DaSilva. Martinelli
        Jesus. Kane

        Fodders: Ward. Archer. Ansreas. N. Williams

        2Fts.. 0.9m itb

        What to do:
        A) ramsdale+ nico -> saliba/zinchenko + sanchez
        B) lose the FT
        C)?

        1. Eleven Hag
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          I would do Cancelo to Walker

          1. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Why? For fear of benching?

            1. Eleven Hag
              • 8 Years
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Nope at the moment Cancelo is not looking like he is worth 2.0 more than walker and you have one transfer to burn, so if I were you I would do this move and use the 2.0 to upgrade Dasilva to Rodrigo/Rashford/Harrison

      9. sully29
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Which for the next few weeks?

        A) Aaronson
        B) Gross
        C) Neto

        1. Eleven Hag
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Guedes?

      10. PrestigeWorldwidewidewide..…
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Grealish to:

        A) Kulu
        B) Gundo
        C) Other

        1. Eleven Hag
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          B

        2. Gareth M
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          A

      11. Eleven Hag
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        No Salah, will be watching the game from.behind the couch.

        G2G or would you punt captaincy on Son?

        Ederson
        TAA James Cancelo Saliba
        Diaz Son Martinelli
        Jesus (c) Haaland Toney
        - Andreas Dasilva NWilliams

        -

        1. SalahFingers
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Honestly, Son or Jesus look both like decent captains if you don't own Salah.

          1. Eleven Hag
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            I am also thinking of punting on Son, however I haven't seen forest play so far but saw somewhere that they had conceeded insane amount of shorts onf target in the first three games.

      12. C_G
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Kane(C) a good shout? Dont have Haaland, have KDB and Salah

        1. SalahFingers
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Kane could do very well if you wanted to go against the popular vote (Salah). KDB either.

        2. Eleven Hag
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Both Salah and KDB are significantly better options than Kane imo

        3. Scratch
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Definitely a good shout but would choose Salah in your position.

        4. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Kane is a very good option but risky to go against salah

        5. Gareth M
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Salah for me

      13. Tmel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Who scores more this week?

        a) Robbo (BOU) & Neto (NEW)
        b) Saliba (FUL) & Toney (EVE)

        1. Eleven Hag
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          A just

        2. nerd_is_the_werd
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          B imo

        3. Gareth M
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          B

      14. Random Name
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Maupay has already scored more goals than Agbonlahor did in his entire career

      15. Scratch
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Sanchez
        TAA, James, Trippier, Walker
        Martinelli, Salah, Diaz
        Haaland, Jesus, Mitrovic

        Ward, Cucurella, Andreas, Colback

        Team all set, possibly a last chance saloon for TAA

      16. SpaceCadet
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Chances of Bailey starting today?

      17. Moose™
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        2FT.

        Saka Bailey > Martinelli Rodrigo

        No brainer?

        1. Minty1337
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          I'd do it. Would you play bailey this week if you didn't make the transfer? Or would he be on the bench?

          1. Moose™
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Hes playing. Is it any difference?

        2. RICICLE
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          It’s a yes from me Moose

        3. Vlekz
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Yup

          • Gareth M
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Yep

        4. Minty1337
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Need some help. 2 free transfers. My natural response is to just leave it and waste the transfer. Any suggestions?
          0.0 itb

          Ederson - ward
          James - taa- perisic - Cancelo - neko
          Andreas - Salah - Diaz - martinelli - dewsburyhall
          Haaland - jesus - archer

          I could try shift KDH but not convinced it's worth it.

          1. Vlekz
              3 years, 3 months ago

              Instead of wasting it. Go for Iverson to get 0.1 or archer to the fulham 4.5 who for some reason is playing and is in the predicted line up for the coming week too

          2. RICICLE
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            G2G here guys?

            Ederson
            Cucurella - TAA - Cancelo - James
            Martinelli - Rodrigo - Salah (c)
            Toney - Jesus (vc) - Haaland
            _____________________________
            Ward: Andreas: Reed: N.Williams

            1FT, 0.2 ITB

            Have been undecided all week wether to bring in an Arsenal defender for Cucurella.

            What would you gents suggest here?

            A) Cucurella > Zinchenko for exact funds
            B) Cucurella > Saliba and pocket the 0.6m
            C) Do nothing, have 2FT’s next GW

            Cheers guys!

            1. Vlekz
                3 years, 3 months ago

                Don't sell cucurela before lei without Madison I guess. Plus arsenal have fulham who are attacking

                1. RICICLE
                  • 3 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  Cheers man, yeah I was thinking along these lines, are Leicester will be less potent without Maddison I guess.
                  It does feel like a lateral move because se know Cucurella is very likely to play anyway in Koulibaly’s absence.

                  1. RICICLE
                    • 3 Years
                    3 years, 3 months ago

                    Typos, sorry, tired 🙂

            2. Vlekz
                3 years, 3 months ago

                WC team. Gtg?
                Ederson
                TAA James perisic Walker
                Salah kdb martineli guedes
                Jesus toney

                Iverson trippier andreas stansfield

                (If leeds still look good after brighton then guedes to harrison/aaronson.)

                1. JT11fc
                  • 7 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  Looks good

                2. 15men1cup
                  • 7 Years
                  3 years, 3 months ago

                  Love it. I am on a WC and have very similar team.

                  What was your thinking of Ederson over Cancelo?

                  1. Vlekz
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Money and lack of defensive spots. I want one good defender to cover for the upcoming weeks of rotation.
                      Plus I probably don't think he is worth 2 mil more than Walker unless Walker starts getting benched way more than him

                      1. 15men1cup
                        • 7 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        me too, I got Dunk on the bench and have Ederson as my City cover as he is totally nailed.
                        I have Zinchenko instead of walker to mix it up

                        1. Vlekz
                            3 years, 3 months ago

                            I had saliba but I don't like the arsenal defence considering I would have to use a transfer on it after gw 8(19th on ticker between gw 9-16). Moreover they are 6th on the ticker from now to gw 8(below city). So probably made more sense to go triple city over triple arsenal

                    • Gareth M
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 13 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Superb except Guedes imo

                      1. Vlekz
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          2 great fixtures after this one. I am ranked 4.5 mil. It's more hope than anything that leeds might revert to mean and some new differential like this one might emerge.

                    • Conte's Son
                      • 3 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Is there any solid news that Robertson is to be benched this week?

                      1. The Iceman
                        • 3 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        There’s always rumours Robertson is going to be benched and he never is. No point speculating.

                    • JT11fc
                      • 7 Years
                      3 years, 3 months ago

                      Who to play?
                      1. Gabriel

                      2. Bailey

                      I have Ramsdale

                      1. 15men1cup
                        • 7 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        I would double with Gabriel for the better fixture

                      2. The Iceman
                        • 3 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        Gabriel.

                      3. Vlekz
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          1

                        • Gareth M
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 13 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          Gabriel

                        1. The Iceman
                          • 3 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          Half of Twitter thinks it’s De Jong and the other half thinks it’s Ruben Neves.

                          Cue Sander Berge on deadline day.

                      4. 15men1cup
                        • 7 Years
                        3 years, 3 months ago

                        Quick poll

                        A) Ederson and James

                        B) Sanchez, Cancelo

                        Thanks

                        1. The Iceman
                          • 3 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          B.

                        2. KanteTouchThis
                          • 8 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          A

                        3. RICICLE
                          • 3 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          A

                        4. Funky Monks
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 3 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          A

                        5. Vlekz
                            3 years, 3 months ago

                            A

                          • 15men1cup
                            • 7 Years
                            3 years, 3 months ago

                            Cheers for the input....a blessing for my brain

                        6. KanteTouchThis
                          • 8 Years
                          3 years, 3 months ago

                          On wc
                          A) Rodrigo Zinchenko Patterson
                          Or
                          B) Aaronson Saliba James

                          1. 15men1cup
                            • 7 Years
                            3 years, 3 months ago

                            Probably B

                            1. KanteTouchThis
                              • 8 Years
                              3 years, 3 months ago

                              Could just do Aaronson and James instead of Rodrigo zinc

                              Is zinc worth the cost over Saliba?

                              1. 15men1cup
                                • 7 Years
                                3 years, 3 months ago

                                I ran a comparison and Zinchenko plays a lot higher up the field and clearly has more of an attacking threat.....thats not to say Saliba wont get a cheeky goal.....I settled with Z and happy with my choice

                          2. Vlekz
                              3 years, 3 months ago

                              If you have to play them every week then B Or of you want rodrigo badly then something like rodrigo saliba dunk

                            • Funky Monks
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 3 Years
                              3 years, 3 months ago

                              B

                            • Gareth M
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 13 Years
                              3 years, 3 months ago

                              B

                          3. LFC
                            • 3 Years
                            3 years, 3 months ago

                            Which one;

                            A) Nunez to any other 9mil forward and who? (Already have Jesus and Toney)

                            B) Nunez and son to Kane and Diaz (-4)

                            C) Nunez and son to Haaland and Diaz (-4)

                            1. KanteTouchThis
                              • 8 Years
                              3 years, 3 months ago

                              C

                            2. 15men1cup
                              • 7 Years
                              3 years, 3 months ago

                              B

                            3. Vlekz
                                3 years, 3 months ago

                                Haaland good shout this week. Next week who knows. So not sure on the hit. But i would want a city attacker. Maybe KDB or else B

                              • nerd_is_the_werd
                                • 6 Years
                                3 years, 3 months ago

                                How do you still have Nunez???
                                That's mind-boggling

                              • Gareth M
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 13 Years
                                3 years, 3 months ago

                                C

                            4. JuanTP
                              • 5 Years
                              3 years, 3 months ago

                              WC chaos.

                              Sanchez (Ward)

                              Saliba Canelo Perisic (Trippier NecoW)

                              Almiron Dasilva KDB Salah Martinelli

                              Jesus Haland (Greenwood)

                              Is KDB + Haland false economy when I could have better midfield balance without Kdb?

                              Is TAA a must?

                              Newcastle false dawn?

                              Help.

                              1. 15men1cup
                                • 7 Years
                                3 years, 3 months ago

                                mate we are worlds apart in our thinking, but I will give you my 10c worth.
                                I love the KDB pick. A lot of goals will go though him and he can score AND he is as nailed as it gets.
                                No TAA is not a must, but I would have him for GW4 and can always downgrade
                                The 3 premiums is a bad idea, IMHO. Choose either KDB or a 11.5+ forward.
                                I would personally have Toney and Jesus upfront. The run of fixtures is well worth the punt coupled with Toneys form of late. Then stick the money back in your weak defence.

                                1. JuanTP
                                  • 5 Years
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  Good advice

                                  Haland / Almiron out for Toney & Kulu

                                  Haland Hattrick incoming 😉

                                  1. 15men1cup
                                    • 7 Years
                                    3 years, 3 months ago

                                    Ha, yeah, you know it

                                2. tokara
                                  • 11 Years
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  Gd advice

                            5. DycheDycheBaby
                              • 10 Years
                              3 years, 3 months ago

                              Need to use a transfer. Choose:
                              a) Ramsdale to Sanchez
                              b) Plange to Stanfield
                              c) James to Perisic

                              1. Vlekz
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  B or none

                                  1. DycheDycheBaby
                                    • 10 Years
                                    3 years, 3 months ago

                                    Cheers

                                • 15men1cup
                                  • 7 Years
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  B

                                • Gareth M
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 13 Years
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  B

                              2. Gigi_Fernandes
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 15 Years
                                3 years, 3 months ago

                                Sanchez
                                Trippier Saliba Perisic
                                Salah(c) KDB Rodrigo Martinelli
                                Jesus Kane Toney

                                Ward, Andreas, N Williams, Patterson

                                Thoughts?

                                1. DycheDycheBaby
                                  • 10 Years
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  GTG.

                                2. RICICLE
                                  • 3 Years
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  I like it! Some heavy hitting team that is for sure! Sacrifices a tad in defence which I’m not too much of a fan of but overall great!

                                  1. Gigi_Fernandes
                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                    • 15 Years
                                    3 years, 3 months ago

                                    Yeah, definitely aware that it’s light at the back, but hoping to counter that with multiple heavy hitters elsewhere.

                                3. 15men1cup
                                  • 7 Years
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  the 3 premiums to me IMHO still looks too weak at the back .
                                  But I hope it works out for you.

                              3. FPL Scoop
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 8 Years
                                3 years, 3 months ago

                                Already had to swallow some price drops… do I just roll FT and reassess next week? I know the weakpoints but tough to fix with 0.2 ITB 1FT

                                Ramsdale (Ward)
                                TAA Cancelo James Trippier (Neco)
                                Salah(c) Martinelli Diaz DaSilva (Neto)
                                Haaland Jesus (Archer)

                                Best of luck everyone !

                                1. tokara
                                  • 11 Years
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  Save, play 433

                                2. Gareth M
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 13 Years
                                  3 years, 3 months ago

                                  Save. Play Neto this week