Big Numbers
9 November 2022 475 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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With plenty of Premier League player and team data available to pore over in 2022/23, it’s time to once again wheel out the Big Numbers article ahead of Gameweek 16.

If you’re new to the site, this article series looks at the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) statistics ahead of the upcoming Gameweek.

These cherry-picked Opta stats can all be found in our Premium Members’ Area.

Only subscribers can read the full article; those wishing to sign up to our site and continue reading, as well as see a list of the benefits that Membership brings, can do so by clicking here.

-8.00 expected goals prevented (xGP) by Mark Travers (£4.3m) this season, the worst xGP total in the division. For the uninitiated, this means that the Bournemouth goalkeeper has conceded eight more goals (24) than Opta thinks he ought to have (16) based on the quality of shots he has faced. Compare that to the now-injured Neto (£4.5m), whose xGP was a third-best +2.80, and there’s a rather convenient explanation as to why the Cherries now appear a softer touch to when Neto was between the sticks. Travers has had the misfortune of facing four big-six clubs in his five starts, however.

+6.20 xGP by Alisson (£5.4m) in the last six matches alone, underscoring the suggestion that whatever Liverpool have achieved in terms of results (wins over Spurs, West Ham and Man City) and clean sheets (two) in that time has been in large part down to their goalkeeper. The Reds are indeed rock-bottom of the table for expected goals conceded (xGC, 10.75) in their last six fixtures.

67.6% is Edouard Mendy‘s (£4.8m) save percentage this season, the 14th-best in the division among goalkeepers who have made more than one start. Top of the list? The man he replaced, Kepa Arrizabalaga (£4.5m), who thwarted 88.0% of the attempts he faced before falling victim to a foot injury.

5 shots from inside the six-yard box attempted by Timothy Castagne (£4.5m) this season, two more than any other FPL defender. It’s a stat we reported on a fortnight ago but the Belgian has added another couple of close-range efforts since then and is behind only Gabriel Magalhaes (£5.1m) for expected goals (xG) in 2022/23 among players in their position.

19 shots attempted by Romain Perraud (£4.4m) this season, a total that no other defender can better. Ten of these efforts have arrived in the last three Gameweeks alone, with the left-back noticeably allowed to get forward more in the absence of a natural right-back on the other side of the pitch. He’s not an FPL transfer target for Gameweek 16, of course, but one to monitor if Nathan Jones takes over at the south coast and brings his wing-back system with him. Southampton top our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 17-26.

FPL Gameweek 4: Which players have the best 'match-ups' with opponents?



475 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Slitherene
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Bench which ONE?

    A) Wilson
    B) Andreas
    C) Solanke

    1. Bruno Commando
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      B

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Andreas is consistently getting points.

      Loads of value in the deep midfield

    3. FPL_trail_runner
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Bench Boost!

    4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      B

    5. FPL Xylophone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      A

    6. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      B

  2. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Wilson to Darwin for a one-week punt anyone?

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      That will be one of my moves this week.

      1. Bruno Commando
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        Thanks mate!

    2. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Nice move!

  3. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    2.80 xGI registered by Leon Bailey (£4.5m) in his last six matches, the fourth-best total among FPL midfielders. Bailey has been involved in five big chances in that time, two falling to him and three created for others.

    Foofi... Bailey's been pretty explosive and great value too

    1. dansully3
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Unreliable as you can get though!

    2. Superflymonk
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Well, as any GW1 Bailey owner will tell you, that was what we all saw but by gawd, did we get trolled!

      1. dansully3
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        I know too well, I was one!

  4. tbos83
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    I know we all mock Grealish but this vid is really lovely https://youtu.be/fNdDLx1MUTY

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Yep. I totally didn’t cry.

      1. elcesc
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

    2. Capocannonieri
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      What an amazing video. Kids love their heros and this kid is a true football fan.

    3. The Abyss
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      How can Grealish be anyone’s favourite player?? Needs to play a bit more like Almiron if you ask me.

  5. Tomas_brolin
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    This worth a -4? Exact money tonight to do

    Mitro and Justin to solanke and Perisic

    Yay or nay?

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Looks good but i wouldn't do any transfer this early.. Wait for more news on Friday, not sure about waiting for leaks on Saturday morning but at least press conferences on Friday.

  6. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Any updates on Justin or Wilson?

  7. Tinfoil Deathstar
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Best punt for my squad? I have £1.3m ITB and 1 FT.

    A) Mitro -> Firminho
    B) Doherty -> Perisic (likely bench Mitro)
    C) Andreas -> Benrahma (likely bench Mitro)
    D) Pope -> Alisson

    Pope
    Trippier - Cancelo - Gabriel
    KDB (vc) - Saka - Zaha - Martinelli
    Haaland (c) - Mitro - Wilson

    Iversen; Andreas, Neco, Doherty

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      C then a (if bobby is benched tonight or jesus)... If doherty starts tonight then B

      1. Hy liverpool
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 28 days ago

        My bad Ignore jesus.

        1. Tinfoil Deathstar
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 28 days ago

          No worries. Probably on A, B, C, D in order of preference atm. As a Saints fan I seem to recall Firminho doing well against us and he’s due a haul.

      2. No Kane No Gain
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Still B with perisic starting?!

    2. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      I'd go A

  8. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Rude gesture by Perisic.

    1. Just showing how many trophies Spurs have won in the last 30 years

  9. CheesyZoot
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 28 days ago

    Pope or ward this week?

    Have tripper

    1. tbos83
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 28 days ago

      Ward

    2. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Pope

  10. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Guaita
    Trippier, Cancelo, Dunk
    Salah, Zaha, Almiron, Martinelli,
    Haaland (c), Alvarez, Solanke

    Ward, Neco, Guehi, Andreas

    1ft 6.4itb

    My transfer is very likely Alvarez > Kane.

    Which defence combination?

    A Guaita and Dunk
    B Ward and Guehi

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      A

    2. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      A

  11. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Kane & Perišić Stars

  12. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Starting to feel like my life is effectively what happens between City line ups

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Haha. Same

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Zazen meditation for you. Start today please.

  13. No Kane No Gain
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Perisic starting tonight makes me now hugely doubt punting on him this gameweek!

    1. FPL_trail_runner
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Spurs have a thin squad + injuries

      He basically nearly had to start

      1. No Kane No Gain
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Do you think he still starts Saturday

        1. FPL_trail_runner
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          Yes , early sub tonight should make it 90% imo

          I reckon sess starts lwb with Perisic in front 3

          However Doherty i reckon is benched seems most likely now

  14. Firminooooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Lineups please.

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      ^^

      1. Firminooooo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Is that Perisic. Second to the left?

    2. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Thanks.

  15. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Does Alisson always start as 1st choice for Brazil ahead of Ederson?

    Who would be your 1st choice out of those two?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Allison is first choice. My pick would be Ederson because he has more flair.

    2. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Ederson would be my choice but yeah Alisson is first choice.

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Agree with you both, I prefer Ederson too. More flair and dynamism in the role. Spoilt for choice are Brazil.

  16. Hope Springs
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Arsenal team v Brighton
    Hein
    Cedric, Holding, Saliba, Tierney
    Lokonga, Elneny, Nelson, Viera, Marquinos
    Niketia

  17. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Annoyingly, I can't afford Wilson > Nunez so,..

    a) Wilson > Jesus
    b) Wilson + Zaha > Odegaard + Darwin
    c) Wilson > Firmino *vomits*

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Why sell him, is he out?

    2. putana
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      why get rid of wilson? they will batter chelsea

    3. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Not keen on Almiron and Wilson vs Chelsea as I don't think they will spank them. Also, FOO on Liverpool vs rudderless Southampton who have a history of taking absolute hammerings.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        *FOMO*

    4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Hope you did not vomit on the keyboard.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        😆

    5. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Would sell him. Also, wouldn’t sell Zaha.

    6. snow pea in repose
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      C might work. Firmino didn't make the Brazil squad so maybe he has a point to prove?

  18. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Doherty has been an awful pick

    1. putana
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      was always going to be. Had to score big when sess was out

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      The game starts in 42 minutes

    3. FPL_trail_runner
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Same,

      Was gona hope he didnt play tonight , was also looking at buying Perisic

      I still think Perisic starts at the weekend , most likely in the front 3. But highly doubtful for Doherty now.

      May just bench Doherty and then decide if i go with Saliba or Perisic as a one week punt .

  19. putana
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    what would you rather have this gameweek:

    a) kdb + alvarez + 4 points

    b) saka + darwin

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      A

  20. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Foden nailed for weekend.

    Maybe

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Just seen. Is he worth keeping now

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        I'm defo keeping now

        1. Bucket Man
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          See below

          1. Weasel Boy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 27 days ago

            Ah ok lol

  21. Bucket Man
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Guiata
    Cancelo, Trippier, Gabriel
    Salah, Saka, Foden*, Martinelli
    Haaland, Wilson*, Mitro*
    Ward, Andreas, Webster, Guehi

    1FT and 0.7 ITB

    Foden to
    A) Trossard
    B) Kulusevski
    C) Rashford
    D) Another move

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Keep

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Why Foden

      He's benched in EFl Cup

      Surely he starts vs Brentford

      1. Bucket Man
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Just seen as I posted this. What other move do you recommend. Only really Nunez I like upfront and I can't afford him.

        1. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          Tough call.
          Maybe Mitro to someone if out but who I'm not sure.

          Maybe Solanke

          1. Bucket Man
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 27 days ago

            Thanks. Yes not many options. Edouard injured. Scamacca- West Ham struggling. Martial - Not sure I can go there again.

  22. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Best defender max 6m? (Not Trippier)

    1. FPL_trail_runner
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Perisic or Arsenal defender

    2. Nuka Girl
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Gabriel

  23. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Arsenal XI: Hein, Cedric, Saliba, Holding, Tierney, Elneny, Lokonga, Vieira, Marquinhos, Nelson, Nketiah.
    Subs: Turner, White, Zinchenko, Gabriel, Partey, Xhaka, Odegaard, Martinelli, Jesus.

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Where’s Saka?

      1. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Chilling at home.

        1. RICICLE
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          Nice!

  24. Superflymonk
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Lol! Foden too exhausted to start carabao cup after completing a grueling 26 minutes on Saturday. Had to be rested. I own the bugger tho ad still won't sell. Too late now.

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      It’s ok, you’re providing a lot of pleasure for non-owners with your stubborness.

      1. Superflymonk
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        I'll bookmark this comment when he scores 1 point monster haul on Saturday!

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          Don’t forget the 48pts he owes you for the no-shows! Good luck,

  25. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    a) Should James Maddison go to the World Cup in your opinion?

    b) Will Southgate pick him?

    In my option a) is 100%. Unfortunately I think b) is 10%.

    1. CABAYE4
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      He should go and I think he’ll make it.

      If it was 23 I don’t think Southgate would pick him.

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        Good point, the 26 man squad definitely allows for a few maverick picks. Or more right backs in Southgate’s case 😆

  26. FPL_trail_runner
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Haaland on the bench tonight and already posted pictures in training - so ya he will be fine for the weekend to start i reckon

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Yes sure

  27. Free Hat
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    If Foden still wont start vs Brentford and plays more than 60 minutes,
    I will personally write a bad review for Peps restaurant...

    1. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Looking at the reviews I don’t think another bad one will make much difference. 😆

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Haven't been there but I am sure entrees are served before Hors-d oeuvres.

    3. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      He needs to be playing the full 90min. Grealish is pony

  28. Firminooooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    No Foden or Håland. Thank God!

    XI | Ortega Moreno, Lewis, Dias, Laporte, Gomez, Rodrigo, Gundogan (C), Palmer, Mahrez, Grealish, Alvarez

    SUBS | Ederson, Phillips, Stones, Ake, Haaland, De Bruyne, Bernardo, Akanji, Foden

    1. gooberman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      Why thank god?

      1. Yozzer
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        I was thinking this too. Surely he doesn't think this means anything

        1. Firminooooo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          If he started this I would sell. Now I will keep 100%. If Pep bench him vs Brenford I think Foden is finished in ManC.

        2. gooberman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 27 days ago

          If anything its more likely he's benched again at the weekend. The lack of minutes over the last month isnt giving Foden any rhythm at all and Pep likes his players to have rhythm. Im starting to think he has done something to upset Pep.

      2. The Knights Template
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 27 days ago

        He’s a Foden holder. Now just needs him to score 48pts on w/e to make up for the no-shows.

  29. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Is Firmino to Nunez worth it for free?

    Probably back fire with my recent luck.

    1. Branch Warren
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      for free before the world cup yeh probably worth it on paper but Bobby tends to come up with surprises. The punt would be to hold. Smart choice to trade

  30. FCSB
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 27 days ago

    Pope
    Cancelo Trippier Perisic
    Salah Bilva Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Mitrovic Wilson

    Iversen Andreas Guehi Neco

    1FT, 2.5itb

    1. Mitrovic >> Darwin Nunez
    2. Bilva >> Saka
    3. Bilva >> Foden

    Thanks

    1. OLLY G
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 27 days ago

      1