Scout Notes
25 April 2023 426 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We begin our analysis of the Gameweek 33 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) action in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on three Tuesday night matches – Wolverhampton Wanderers v Crystal Palace, Aston Villa v Fulham and Leeds United v Leicester City.

Any numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.




15 POINTS FOR MINGS

Around a fifth of the top 100k managers were delighted to receive a 15-point haul from Aston Villa defender Tyrone Mings (£4.6m). England’s centre-back scored the only goal of a dull match with Fulham, rising high to head home a John McGinn (£5.1m) corner.

Just like left-back Alex Moreno (£4.5m), he was part of Villa’s seventh clean sheet in ten matches – five in a row at home. Truth be told, Fulham posed very little goal threat, with their only shot of the night coming from an acrobatic Andreas Pereira (£4.4m) effort in the first minute.

A late Daniel James (£5.9m) strike was ruled out for offside, allowing Villa to hold on and leapfrog Spurs into fifth place.

Auto Draft 61

IS WATKINS’ RUN OVER?

For those FPL squads without a Villa defender, our Season Ticker suggests that the time might have passed. Villa have the third-worst fixture run until the end, where they’ll face four of the top eight.

Then again, it’s hard to rule against a side in such strong form. They have now scored in the first 20 league games under Unai Emery, thanks to Ollie Watkins (£7.7m) netting 11 times between Gameweeks 21 and 31.

However, at a time when many managers are looking for the downgrade that enables a Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) purchase, Watkins has blanked in successive matches before poor fixtures.

Those wanting to take the 3-5-2 route could risk moving Watkins to the likes of Dominic Solanke (£5.6m) or Sam Greenwood (£4.0m), although Odsonne Edouard‘s (£5.0m) appeal was dented by being benched for Crystal Palace tonight.

Despite all this, he still mustered four shots versus Fulham, with three from inside the penalty area.

A MADDISON ASSIST

PALACE BLANKS

The first match brought Roy Hodgson’s first defeat since his return to Crystal Palace. It came from a Joachim Andersen (£4.5m) own goal and a stoppage time Ruben Neves (£5.2m) penalty, giving Wolves their third consecutive clean sheet.

There were blanks throughout the Eagles’ squad, for names like Sam Johnstone (£4.4m), Michael Olise (£5.6m) and Marc Guehi (£4.5m). A bright spark was midfielder Eberechi Eze (£5.6m), who led the way for chances created (4) and goal attempts (5) but only one of these shots was from inside the box, meaning his xGI was just 0.18.

While he forced a superb save from Jose Sa (£5.0m) in the 75th minute, the 24-year-old couldn’t find a way past the Portuguese stopper.

The final five Palace matches look good on paper but, as seen tonight, their good start under Hodgson has put them in a safe mid-table position that may bring similar no-shows.


GAMEWEEK 33 LINE-UPS

Wolverhampton Wanderers: Sá; Semedo, Dawson, Kilman, Bueno (Toti 79′); Nunes (Neto 89′), Neves, Lemina; Hwang (Traore 79′), Diego Costa (Collins 89′), Cunha (Joao Gomes 68′)

Crystal Palace: Johnstone; Richards, Andersen (Ward 46′), Guéhi, Mitchell; Milivojevic (Schlupp 65′), Sambi Lokonga (Edouard 65′), Hughes (Mateta 90′); Olise, Ayew, Eze

Aston Villa: Martinez; Young (Chambers 85′), Konsa, Mings, Moreno (Digne 77′); McGinn, Dendoncker, Douglas Luiz, Ramsey (Traore 77′); Buendia, Watkins

Fulham: Leno; Tete (Cedric 68′), Tosin, Ream, Robinson; Reed (Kebano 83′), Palhinha; Wilson (Decordova-Reid 17′), Andreas (Cairney 68′), Solomon (Vinicius 68′); James

Leeds United: Meslier; Ayling, Koch, Cooper, Firpo; Roca, McKennie; Harrison, Rodrigo (Aaronson 68′), Sinisterra (Summerville 32′); Bamford

Leicester City: Iversen; Castagne, Faes, Soyuncu, Kristiansen; Soumare, Tielemans; Tete (Vardy 70′), Maddison, Barnes (Daka 70′); Iheanacho (Praet 82′)



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

426 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. romperstomper
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Sell Trips for Trent for GW34 or
    Sell other defender and take a hit for Trent or
    Just bring in Konate

    1. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Other defender

    2. Bobby Crush
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      sell another, and don't spend a lfc slot on konate

  2. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Good evening folks!! Going to bring in a keeper this week… best option for now until the end of the season???…

    A- DDG
    B- Ederson
    C- Someone else??

    Advice appreciated!!!

    Cheers everyone!!!

    1. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'm happy with Raya & Iversen til the end.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I’m on Kepa and Neto, might move Neto to DDG

  3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    How viable does a Wilson and Isak double-up sound until GW36? I have 2FT and Watkins and Wilson (alongside Haaland). I was going to drop Wilson as he's not playing much (although I'm sure he'll get at least one of these next 2 games), but if I hold Watkins I won't be playing him in GW34 (which is a shame as I think it could be decent for him) and then maybe not in GW36 either, I'd probably only really want him for GW37+38.

    Wilson not playing is a problem but he's still picking up points off the bench (2g+1a from last 4 sub apps, adding up to just 113 mins) and he'll probably get one start in DGW36? I can bench next week + GW35.

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      *holding a Wilson + Isak double up until 36, not actually playing both until then of course

    2. Brehmeren
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Could work out. But rule number one in fpl is pick starting players. So would probably still drop Wilson

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Fair point, not like Villa really have a ready Watkins replacement either

  4. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    What to do with watkins?

    A...keep

    B....swap to isak as part of a - 8 _ - 4

    Thanks

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      It depends if other moves depending on getting Isak. I am considering but actually would end up benching in 34 and 35 so probably best to get in for double in 36. So perhaps just keep Watkins and bench

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers. Yeah may do that...I'm looking at a 451 formation for dgw34 potentially

  5. Diedhiou See That?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Have exact money and 2 FTs for Kane & Saka to Isak and Salah

    Do it tonight?

    Also have Bruno

  6. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Looking at my FH team for next week
    Ederson/Fodder
    Shaw/Estupinan/TAA/Fodder(2)
    Mo(C)/Mahrez/Mitoma/Rash/Fodder
    Haaland/Jota/Martial

    Anything better than Shaw and Martial I could get? Just can't squeeze in KDB over Mahrez

  7. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    My rival leading frm the start has to be tue jammiest guy I know. I go Moreno he goes Mings, I go Toney he goes Watkins and so on.

  8. Cheeky Reijnders
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Looking forward to getting rid of my last Chelsea uselessness next GW. Bad > TAA will do nicely.

  9. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Best option to use TC chip folks???….

    Gameweek 34-

    A- Haaland(Fulham away, West Ham at home)

    B- Salah(Spurs and Fulham at home)

    Or

    Gameweek 37-

    C- Haaland(Chelsea at home, Brighton away)

    D- Rashford( Bournemouth away, Chelsea at home)

    Thoughts appreciated!!

    1. Saqsman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Ha just asked same question - think Salah at home for two fixtures against Fulham and Spurs in disarray. But Haaland is a beast.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Haha nice one mate!! Yeah it’s really
        Close, Salah with 2 decent back to back home games is soooo tempting!! We just know what Haaland can do tho!! Going to have to give it some serious considerations!!

        1. Saqsman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Same will have to see results tomorrow and then call it. Nothing beats the eye test. Still leaning towards Liverpool at home

          1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Yeahi will too mate!! Yeah that’s absolutely right!! Will be watching the games closely!!

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Definitely prefer this week, especially if for Haaland given City have no CL fixtures on either side of these fixtures. Salah a good shout too, hard to argue against two home fixtures (although his stats weren't great against Forest)

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Ah do they not?? I hadn’t checked that, definitely this week then for sure!! Think they might make me edge to Haaland!! Salah a great option too, will give it some thoughts!!

  10. KDB4PREZ
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Would you do Raya>Ederson -4

    1. Sure You Did
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      No

  11. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone know where I could get a Cumbrian bungalow for 9?

    1. Sure You Did
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Natedog is on for food stamps, ask him.

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Struck a nerve did I? 😛 Also making fun of anyone that requires the use of food stamps to feed themselves or their family is pretty pathetic

        1. Sure You Did
          • 2 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Cope 🙂

        2. Brehmeren
          • 15 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Don't feed the troll

  12. Saqsman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Triple captain Salah or Haaland for the upcoming double? Leaning towards Salah but reckon it’s a coin toss, thoughts?

    1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      H

      1. Saqsman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks. Pep might manage H minutes though and reckon Salah will get full 180. Down to likeliest to haul. Arrrrrgh conundrums as this is my chance to play catch up

  13. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Best differentials against the pack for a 34 FH? Currently thinking KDB, Martial, maybe Bowen.. There don’t seem to be many..

    Are any of Mahrez/Foden/Gundo reliable alternatives to Grealish?

  14. Scalper
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Why is Watkins rising ?

    1. Sure You Did
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Bad managers are buying.

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I am very happy with him rising whatever the reason as means I will not be .1 m short for moves I want to make.

      1. Sure You Did
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        What 0.1 moves are you short making?

        1. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Bruno to Salah and Watkins to Isak

    3. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Has gone from 2.2m owners in GW31 to 2.7m this week

  15. Fit_to_drop
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Watkins and Solanke to Jota and Enciso (-4) would give me 7 doublers (inc Salah and Haaland) along with 4 good singles next week. Worth holding my FH?

    1. Scalper
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Enciso won’t play many games imo

    2. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      For what? The 37 doubles don't look as tasty to me, but I'm in much the same boat.

    3. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I did Toney & Jesus to Jota & Enciso (-4)! Looks like madness, and probably is. 🙂 GL.

      1. Fit_to_drop
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Not mad at all. We only need Enciso to play 150 mins and get a couple of goals for GW34 and he can sit in the bench for the rest of the season. Like i said, other 2 main strikers will both be out.

        1. Cheeky Reijnders
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Fingers crossed. And switch him to Ferguson asap.

  16. Fit_to_drop
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Both Fergie and Wellbeck could be out?

    1. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Held the BHA slot for Ferguson for a while. Shame he's injured. Enciso scored last time out so figured worth the punt. Not enough £ for Isak and wanted Jota, like now!

  17. klopptimusprime
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    About to be priced out of Rashford/March, worth hitting the early transfer, or risking it that March doesn't go up to get another day of info

  18. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Points per game since GW25:

    Haaland 8.8
    Martinelli 8.3
    Foden 8.3
    Salah 7.2
    Mings 6.8
    De Bruyne 6.8
    Grealish 6.7
    Watkins 6.5

    Look who 4.3m Mings is sandwiched inbetween - what a hero!

    1. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Don't fancy his next 6 fixtures though.

  19. Yes Ndidi
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Been waiting for FH34, and now its arrived, I'm looking at my team and thinking it could score well on its own merits:
    Steele (WOL, MUN)
    Trippier, Botman (SOU), Mitchell (WHU), Dunk (WOL, MUN)
    Salah (TOT, FUL), Saka (CHE), Mitoma (WOL, MUN)
    Haaland (ful, WHU), Isak (SOU), Toney (NFO)
    bench Kepa (ars), Benrahma (cry, mci), Andreas (MCI, liv), White (CHE)

    Heck, I've BB'd worse than that.
    Would y'all FH away from this, & is there a better time to use it now though (and don't say 32)?

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I may only get marginal gains from my FH in 34 as I have managed the transfers fairly well upto now and have most of the key players already. I may decide not to use it.

      1. Yes Ndidi
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        This is what I would FH to:
        Ederson
        Dalot/Shaw, Dunk/Veltman, TAA
        Mitoma, March, Salah, KdB, Rashford
        Haaland, Jota
        All doublers
        (Iversen Castagne Williams Greenwood)
        There is potential to go really big, which is bugging me.

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      For a -4, I would have 7 good doublers. Zouma, Estu, Mitoma, Salah, Jota, Haaland, Enciso. Singles: Kepa/Raya, Tripps/Chilwell, Ode/Mart/Saka.

  20. Ohh1454
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    For people on FH coming, are you considering a city attack triple up or is that too much ? I like KDB, Grealish and Haaland

    1. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I have those 3

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Good - if they all play. Twice.

    3. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'm on Stones, KDB, H. No FH.

    4. Yes Ndidi
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Grealish is difficult, given I'd want 2xBHA, Mo, Kev & Rash.
      I'd be on Haaland, Kev & Ederson I think

  21. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    This gon be a bad week. I can already tell

  22. George Sillett
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Is Watkins to Jota worth it if I already have 5 decent DGW midfield players . Would mean benching Isak home to Southampton and would only have Trippier as a single game . No Pool cover though

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I’d replace Watkins with Jota, Yes.

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Not sure. There’s Diaz and Nunez that will be given some game time over the double. Then again, I think there’s a strong chance Wilson starts vs Southampton.

  23. Deulofail
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    A) WC34
    B) FH34 (-4)*

    *GW35 team would be this after a hit to get Haaland:

    Iversen (ful)
    Trip (ARS) | Robbo (BRE) | 5.0m
    Salah (BRE) | March, Mac Allister, Mitoma (EVE)
    Haaland (LEE) | Jota (BRE) | Watkins (wol)

    1. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Have used all my chips and having spent so much time&energy thinking about them I'm all out giving any sound advice on chip strategy. Sorry. GL though.

      1. Deulofail
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Haha thanks for your honesty

  24. gart888
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Have exact money to do Henry+Saka+Kane to Trent+Salah+Isak for -4, but it means benching Isak or Trippier this week which just feels wrong.

    Thoughts?

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      It’s not unreasonable to think Wilson starts vs Southampton if Isak plays midweek.

      1. gart888
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Hmmm I like it.

        But in that case, why am I even buying Isak if I don't trust him to play both games of their double?

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          It’s a risk for sure, but he’s priced favourably and Newcastle are in form.

        2. tokara
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          He will play

          i am gg to have Wilson, Isak and Haaland

      2. Cheeky Reijnders
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        But it is unreasonable to think reasonably about footy. 🙂

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          Overthink everything!

          1. Cheeky Reijnders
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            Hahaha. I do, but wish I didn't.

    2. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      the thing about Izak for me is will Wilson get 25 min

  25. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Not sure if this actually has new info, but more expectation that Bruno misses TOT (maybe even AVL)

    https://twitter.com/MirrorFootball/status/1650925927252078593

    Good for me because I started him. Auto-sub! Bad for me because he hasn't had a return since I got him :mrgreen: Easy Salah move though with my 2 FT!

  26. Ohh1454
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Quick FH draft. Is defence to weak ? 0.7itb
    Alisson
    Dunk Lindelof Estupian
    Salah KDB Rashford Mitoma Grealish
    Jota Haaland

    1. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Would prefer TAA to Alisson but alternative DB keepers not that attractive. Flaps, perhaps, or singler.

  27. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    What happen to wilson?

    1. Scalper
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Lost @ sea

    2. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Denis Healey

  28. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    A) De Gea, Burn, Botman, KDB (0.2 ITB)
    B) Ederson, Tripper, Dalot, Grealish (3.5 ITB)

  29. Ange Ball
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    What time price changes

  30. Scalper
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Think Jota will trip a lot of people up with Diaz coming back. Yes he should start but expect rotation and early subs if Liverpool are chasing. I’m personally sticking with Kane. People say he’s too expensive but he’s 2nd highest pts and cheaper than KDB and Salah.

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      But he doesn't have a DGW. KDB and Salah could do serious damage.

    2. Cheeky Reijnders
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I think Jota is in explosive form so may not need too long to haul. Kane may get another pen but seriously, Spurs are rubbish right now. Hoping this is the case anyway.

    3. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Will be interesting
      Camzy on here sold Kane for Jota for a -4, which feels like an EV negative move for the week, but then Jota probably does have a higher ceiling in terms of multiple goals