Looks good

Yes

Oh yeah

My constraints in case you are wondering:
-I cant go to Wissa because 3 Brentford
-I cant get to Cunha because of budget and I already have Strand
-I like Jimenez less than Welbeck

Both options looks decent but better next GW

Haha you spent money on this website?

Hmm I'm sure Will (TopMarx) does. I'll ask

Ipswich alone have conceded about 40 big chances from errors.

Your question appears to have prompted some sort of existential debate, with further questions for me incoming 😆

Promise I'll get back to you though

Hi Derbz87 (thanks for the heads up The Mentaculus),

They will be different, yes.

A big chance is any shot (goal, save, post, miss) that is deemed a "big chance" by Opta.

Big chances conceded are all the shots conceded by a team that were flagged as big chances, pretty straightforward.

Big chances created is a subset of chances created. There are lots of shots in football that are not the result of a pass, like rebounds, defensive errors (as you mentioned), a heavily deflected pass or cross, and, perhaps most obviously, penalties.

A couple of examples which were both big chances conceded but not big chances created:

Morgan Rogers' goal v Spurs last weekend, a big chance but no assist/chance created https://youtu.be/Jdo1z6EPu0g?feature=shared&t=70

Cameron Archer's goal v Leicester, a big chance but no assist
https://youtu.be/dy2nF-h1Mlg?feature=shared&t=59 In FPL Manning was awarded an assist, but it was a Fantasy assist only and not an Opta assist. For Opta, the pass counted as a "a heavily deflected pass or cross", therefore no assist, no chance created, no big chance created.

So, yes, defensive errors alone wouldn't make that big a difference, but there are a few other reasons why.

I'd start Gabriel. He is the Arsenals most potent attacking threat at present. Lewis, meanwhile, might be a YC and a half time sub.

Will Rico start ?

Gabriel

Gab

Nope, all the cool kids are playing Bioshock on their PS3s!

Why not have both?

No, I'm holding. Haaland is desperately competitive and I imagine it's killing him that he hasn't been scoring and missed the pen this week. I'm gambling that he hits form again and punishes everyone in my MLs that have got rid.

The cool kids have both

If you say so Miguel!

Yes don't take any more hits

Yeah looks good. I mean, I still don't really know what to make of Solanke at the moment with his wild swings between no shots & 1.5+ xG, but I think this squad depth is a long-term improvement.

Mulling a -8 myself now (ESR, Rutter, Watkins - Son, Bruno, Welbeck)

I did a -8 last week and it paid off with a score of 63 so it can definitely be worth it.

In your case, it deepens the squad alot so think they are good moves as long as 100% comfortable with no haaland as he will inevitably get back to form at some point

Devil's advocate version:

A striker who doesn't register a single shot in 3 games straight, the worst xG underperformer in the entire league, and a defender for a team that's conceded 27 in 10 and for whom it's a question of when he gets a 1-game suspension, not if.

For -8.

Jackson is a great option for next week regardless of Havertz. You can go a week early if you have to but he is on 4 yellows so there's a risk of suspension at some point.

I agree, the fascination with rolling lots of FTs this season seems detrimental.

Couldn't agree with you more. It's very difficult to accumulate 2 transfers most of the time, let alone 3 or 4. Even after a wildcard, when everything is supposed to be sorted out, I end up making a transfer the very next week.

Perhaps your definition of a necessary transfer is different to others?

yeah i do kind of think your right, but I also put in a 4 point caveat.

Hits are necessary for a mini WC, but if injuries go smoothly.

The only mistake with FT's is not selling Havertz to Wissa too weeks ago, when on 3 , but he only came on for 25 minutes or so, so wasn't 100%, lost out 12 points?

I think it will be harder if you have played your WC (I had 2 FT's when playing it), and then got 4 and didn't another refresh using 3?

Roll.

A

Not moreno.

Could make a case for either Kerkez or Hall, personally I would probably lean Hall.

Brightons fixtures turn very nice for a long stretch

В

I like the idea of Hall, but won’t he lose his place to Burn when Botman is back?

But then your midfield gets weaken further. Why not use one of Trent/Gvardiol to get couple of decent players. That might lure someone in.

Probably B for me.

Watkins is one of those that can still score big any given week and whilst it's a tough fixture, I'd fancy him to get something.

Any other way you could get Vardy to Solanke with another move?

B, apart from this week I think Watkins has good fixtures coming up - keep

C - Grab the points when they are right in front of you

C

A) 18.71%
B) 10.25%
C) 2.74%

C

Haaland

P

Play Pinnock

a & c

I’d bench them all

DCL has to play, the other 3 are all questionable, maybe gamble with Dibling?

Son

Only concern around Son is his minutes. He clearly has the best fixture.

Easy roll

Looks good, save a transfer and have 3 available for the international break

How in the world did you afford that team?

I have almost the same expect Vardy instead of Wood, and Flekken.

Tricky choice between Raul and Welbeck. Palace is a weak defense, but it's an away fixture and Raul was a let down on Monday, plus there is the risk of an early sub. City are also struggling defensively, Welbeck is in form and plays at home, but you'd expect City to strike back at some point.

I think Burgess might only be playing because Greaves is injured. He wasn't starting before the injury.

I’m so tempted to captain Bruno, but it’s risky.

I’ll probably go Salah.

Bruno

Solanke worth the punt if you have him, clearly the best fixture.

Its probably Salah still. Solanke seems a bit feast or famine. Not sure how short very short is but Solanke has only scored a single career hat trick by the way.

Salah the safest and most reasonable, I wouldn't look anywhere else.

Villa played a day later than Pool and were away. Pool obliterated the Bundesliga champions from last season at home with an extra day’s rest now. Leaning towards Salah; only one other team has him in my mini league and the consensus in the league is fear of selling Haal, so there is massive upside to Salah. Villa seem to be collapsing the last few games and maybe struggling with the demands of the PL and CL. I essentially need to be convinced not to captain Salah I think. Thanks for the feedback!

He’s on fire

Actually thinking about Gakpo.

If I had to guess, Gakpo starts.

Sell Mcneil, not Palmer, but buy someone better than rashford who may not even start.

Don’t get Rashford. He’s been rubbish for years now.

Let's see them with Odegaard.

Injuries in defence hasn't helped

Bunch of softies.

Delap to wood

Delap could easily score against Spurs, I would roll and have 2 transfers for the international break.

Wood Rogers rotate OK next 3 GWs

Could we see the full team?
Probably 5 though, I think Palmer will make it.

Think I’d roll.
Those defender moves won’t get you many points this week for 2 FT’s.

Don't worry about the bench, just roll.

No.

I’ll be shocked if Palmer doesn’t start though.

- no
- maybe
- my current prediction is no

If Palmer's not ruled out (for more than 2 weeks) then just use the bench.

Thanks all.not feeling too confident...

Tough one. I don’t trust West Ham so Flekken.