Spot the Differential
19 April 2025 618 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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Gameweek 33 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us but there’s still time to pick out three more differentials.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester City, Aston Villa and Fulham, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

To qualify, the player should have an ownership of 5% or less.

We’ve slightly bent the rules this time on Kevin De Bruyne (£9.3m), who was owned by under 4% of managers when we earmarked out differentials earlier this week but who has attracted nearly 400,000 transfers in since.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE

­­­FPL Gameweek 15 differentials: De Bruyne, Paqueta + Enzo 3

  • FPL ownership: 8.3%
  • Price: £9.3m
  • GW33-35 fixtures: eve + AVL | – | WOL

Given that he’s not in the Scout Picks, it felt remiss not to cover De Bruyne in some capacity this week.

Be it sentimentality or just desperation to tap into the City attack ahead of their Double Gameweek 33, the veteran Belgian is back in vogue.

The third-most-bought midfielder of the upcoming Gameweek, he’s more than doubled his ownership in the process.

De Bruyne was sublime in Gameweek 32, securing a 12-point haul in Manchester City’s 5-2 win over Crystal Palace.

He topped both the shot and key pass tables in that match, too:

Speaking after his starring role, the City stalwart said he was pain-free for the first time in a long time.

“It’s been a hard year. You know, having a hernia wasn’t fun but I think now I would say I’m basically pain-free for the last six weeks and that’s a massive difference playing with pain or no pain. It was hard but now I feel free, I’m able to do a lot of training sessions and I feel I can do a good job.” – Kevin De Bruyne

Currently, he’s operating in a roaming ‘false nine’ capacity – possibly to limit the amount of hard yards he has to put in, something he would be doing in a more orthodox central midfield role. The two wingers on either side of him are playing narrower and running beyond him:

There are two schools of thought.

One, that Guardiola is going to get as much out of De Bruyne as he can before the Belgian departs in the summer and give him a fitting, prominent farewell.

Or, the 33-year-old playmaker is just another pawn on Guardiola’s moving chessboard. The slippery City boss could go back to ‘wide wingers’ and an orthodox striker at the drop of a hat and/or merely manage his veteran midfielder’s minutes.

We can’t even guarantee two starts in Gameweek 33 (a start and a substitute appearance would be our best guess) but that may well be the case for most City attackers and indeed a lot of the Villa and Arsenal midfielders.

At least we know that when De Bruyne gets on the grass, he’s capable of the special.

YOURI TIELEMANS

­­­FPL Gameweek 6 differentials: Tavernier, Savinho + Tielemans 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW33-35 fixtures: NEW + mci | – | FUL

The ‘undroppable’ status of Morgan Rogers (£5.7m) has been widely discussed in recent weeks but there is another Aston Villa midfielder who has logged even more minutes than the England international in 2024/25.

Youri Tielemans (£5.5m) is the only Villan to start all 32 league matches for his club, completing 90 minutes on 25 of those occasions.

Unai Emery discussed both players’ durability last weekend.

“Some players are showing us their consistency, playing minutes and recovering. It is not easy to play at the level we demand in matches in a row without being injured.

“Youri and Morgan, they are being very important and consistent. I am always analysing if we can take some minutes to rest them, but until now they are being consistent and playing the demands we need.” – Unai Emery

Minutes aside, Tielemans is not the most glamorous of picks. He’s never managed more than 10 attacking returns in a single season, and is currently on eight for 2024/25.

Two of those have arrived in the last two Gameweeks, at least.

Tielemans’ recent underlying numbers haven’t been bad, either. Over the last six Gameweeks, he’s Villa’s leading chance creator (CC, below) and joint-second for shots (Tot, below):

differentials Gameweek 33

With Gameweek 33 opponents Newcastle United and Manchester City possessing two of the higher, more aggressive defensive lines in the division, Tielemans could find ample space in behind for his superb through-balls from central midfield.

differentials Gameweek 33

The Belgian is also on a share of set plays.

RYAN SESSEGNON

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £4.1m
  • GW33-35 fixtures: CHE | sou | avl

Ryan Sessegnon (£4.1m) might be a pick that some FPL managers will want to hold fire on, with the really good stuff – Southampton (a) – not until next weekend. He could enter the Gameweek 34 Free Hit conversation in particular.

If you’re going early on the budget Fantasy defender, Chelsea aren’t exactly formidable foes right now. After nearly losing to Championship-bound Ipswich Town, the Blues fell to a 2-1 loss at home to Legia Warsaw on Thursday.

Enzo Maresca’s side are also winless in their last eight Premier League matches on the road.

differentials Gameweek 33

Above: Chelsea are bottom of the eight-match away form table

The Cottagers even turned over their neighbours at Stamford Bridge in December, winning 2-1.

Why Sessegnon? If you’ve not watched Fulham in the last few weeks, you may have missed the former Tottenham Hotspur defender playing ‘out of position’ on the right wing.

differentials Gameweek 33

After successive returns off the bench in Gameweeks 29 and 30, Sessegnon was rewarded with a start in the last home match against Liverpool and turned in a superb showing, scoring for the third time in five matches.

He unsurprisingly kept his place on Monday at Bournemouth. Don’t be spooked by his early withdrawal: that turned out to be a touchline admin error, something that sent Marco Silva apoplectic.

Those two starts have brought six shots in the box, a Fulham high over that period:

differentials Gameweek 33

Sessegnon has also had more than twice as many penalty area touches (16) as any teammate in the last two Gameweeks.

There’s obvious risk involved with Fulham well stocked with wingers but Sessegnon seems to hold the upper hand for now.



618 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Babit1967
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Just looking beyond at 34 FH & it’s going to be 3 Pool, Toon & Wolves and throw in maybe a Chelsea & Forest.

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Iwobi and/or Sessegnon

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Maybe Bowen

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Also consider a Fulham player. Sessegnon or Muniz maybe.
      Don't rule out João Pedro either who has 10 goals 6 assists in 26 games this season.

  2. Urban Cowboy.
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Bradley or Konate in a draft league. Can see the occasional benching for Konate.

  3. Pegboy
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Who looks the best AM option for 35-37 or 36-38?

    I'm considering bringing in Ruben Dias, but he'd be my third MCY and I don't want to block Pep if he's the best option.

    I'm FH-ing in 34.

    Thanks!

    1. Babit1967
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Probably Pep

    2. Al Pacho
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Moyes

    3. Goro Majima
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Exactly the same here, thinking maybe Moyes in 35 then sell Dias and move to Pep if they double in 36. Could just stick with Moyes though.

  4. Buck The Trent
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Cash or Digne ?

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Already have Digne from WC 31, so he better finally start some games 😆

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        I hope that too

  5. Yoyoyoman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Bowen or Rogers? For long term.
    (Free hit next week 34)

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Probably Rogers

  6. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Keep it sell Savinho? 1FT, can go upto 6.7m.

    Midfield is Sarr Saka Salah Murphy

    Thanks

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      KEEP OR SELL sorry.

      Still no edit button on this site? Haha

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Not fancy a punt on Rashford?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Perhaps. Just annoying they play Newcastle and I want him to flop haha

    3. gers23
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I think I'd sell

    4. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      To rash/rogers?
      Or just take chane on sav starts in dgw

    5. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I'd just keep this week and hope for starts

    6. elpiratacordobes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Same mid players
      I wanted to do Sav+Sarr to KdB+Rogers but priced out
      Now probanly Murphy to Rogers

    7. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Tempted to get Bowen

    8. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Struggling with this one. Leaning towards selling because I can get Dias in defence if I do. It's Sav or Sarr to Rogers though

  7. niaz1982
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Post fail.
    Last minute updates to below to get more DGW players as BB33?

    2FT 2.7 ITB

    Raya
    Timber gvardiol munoz
    Salah saka sarr rogers
    Isak marmoush mateta

    Subs: Areola burn dunk Murphy

    Who should come out / come in?

    Thinking dunk to Ruben dias and Areola to Martinez?

  8. gers23
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Digne to Kiwior worth a hit?

    1. Denis Tueart on the wing
      • 15 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      no

      1. gers23
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Thanks

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      absolutely not

      1. gers23
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Thanks

  9. Alli
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    BB and 2 FT

    A. Livra > Dias
    B. Livra, Isak > Dias, Watkins
    C. Murphy, Isak > KDB, J.Pedro / Wissa / Wood

    Raya - Areola
    Gvardiol - Saliba - Munoz - Livra - Konsa
    Saka - Salah - Rogers - Sarr - Murphy
    Mateta - Isak - Marmoush

    1. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Probably just A

  10. Thomas Magnum
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    KDB for TC too much? Had him TC for his mega haul in a double a few years back, but worried it’s a nostalgia pick. Really unsure who else to TC besides him, Marmoush and Salah

    1. Babit1967
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Saka?

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Think his minutes will be good?

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I'd go for it if not BBing, Tom.

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Yep. Wasted my BB last week as I still have TC, AM and FH chip to use. Cheers!

        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 months, 21 days ago

          Good luck!

    3. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      One of KDB, Saka, Marmoush.

      Thinking KDB or Saka?

      Marmoush has Everton away who don’t concede many & Villa at home.

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 10 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Yeah I worry the Everton game could be a low scorer and you don’t know which Villa will turn up, especially now they’re out of Europe. Saka and KDB just hope they both get good minutes in both games but can’t be too sure. Salah an easy option but feel it makes more sense on a doubler

  11. Will
    • 15 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    My big decision is

    A. Sarr (x2) Rogers (x2) Agbadou
    or
    B. Rogers (x2) Murphy Burn

    On BB. Free hitting next week so one week punt. Likely doing A for more doublers and to punish Sarr sellers. Agbadou just for value but likely also facing a youth team this week. Newcastle fan so it hurts

  12. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Saliba or kiwior?(have raya)
    Save 1.8 on kiwi help future upgrade of a savinho Sarr mateta etc

    Feel better benching kiwi in upcoming trick fixtures than saliba

    1. thom830g
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Kiwi

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Cheers

  13. thepirates
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Planning to BB this gw and FH next. Got 5FT thinking ederson, isak, murphy to martinez, kdb och joao pedro (exact money) Bad or good idea? 🙂

    Raya

    Gvardiol - Munoz - williams
    Salah - Sarr - rogers - Murphy
    Isak - Mateta - Marmoush

    Bench: Ederson - saka - Konsa - saliba

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      That’s made up, your true BB

      Ederson (might not play), Murphy, Munoz, Williams,

      Everyone not playing BB will play the prime 11

  14. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Really unsure whether to roll and do nothing, or make a couple of moves and BB. Trailing by 40 points in ML

    Current team:
    Martinez
    Saliba / Munoz / gvardiol
    Saka / salah / sarr / asensio
    Mateta / Isak / marmoush

    Raya / Gordon / burn / dorgu

    2 fts, 0.2 itb

  15. PulseB7
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 21 days ago

    I’m at a crossroads between Marmoush and Saka for captain. Arteta AM.

    Who’s everyone giving it to?

    1. MADCHESTER UTD
      • 10 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Trossard differential. I think he starts striker vs Ipswich

      1. PulseB7
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Arteta said they’re refocusing on the PL. Makes one understand he’s starting Saka once again, no?

    2. Football99
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Stuck aswell. Thinking saka but worried he might not play full games

    3. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      With Arsenal only 5 points ahead of top 4 Arteta should start him both games.

  16. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Which would you have this DGW?

    a. Merino

    b Saka (-4)

    Cheers

  17. FF Dirtbag
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Whose better this GW:
    A) Eze
    B) Rashford

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      B

    2. gomez123
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      A

  18. Football99
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Have saka and marmoush. Do I get rid of mbuemo or elanga and put in arsenal or Man City Mid if so who?

  19. Fat Frank
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Which of these moves would you make?

    A) Palmer & Justin to Saka & Kiwior (-4)

    B) Palmer, Bruno & Isak to Saka, KDB & Watkins (-8)

    C) Palmer, Bruno, Isak & Burn to Saka, KDB, Watkins & Kiwior (-12)

    Will be playing BB.

    Thanks!

    1. Fat Frank
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Or:

      D) Palmer, Justin & Pope to KDB, Kiwior & Raya

  20. tabby98
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    What to do here guys?

    Planning to bench boost.

    Raya, Areola
    Gvardiol, Burn, Munoz, Konsa, Kiwior*
    Sarr, Murphy, Salah, Saka, Rogers
    Isak, Mateta, Marmoush

    £0.6m ITB
    2 FT

    1. Fat Frank
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Why have you starred Kiwior?

    2. Fat Frank
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Would be tempted by Sarr/Murphy to Rashford

  21. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Would you BB the below?

    Areola Isak Kerkez Burn

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Depends if you see better options in the incoming weeks?

  22. ZTF
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    On bench boost, 0 hits taken

    Stick with Gordon (avl) or -4 for someone at 7.8m (Rashford? Bowen? Merino?)

  23. Who Ate All Depays?
    • 12 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Any changes/suggestions on this FH team?

    Raya
    Saliba, Munoz, Gvardiol
    Eze, Salah, KDB, Rogers, Saka (c)
    Mateta, Marmoush (vc)

  24. marpy016
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    This worth a BB, have 10 doublers + Salah?

    Verbruggen - Isak - Livra - Neco

    1. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Looks familiar. I have exactly the same and thinking using last ft for Livra to Bradley/Konate/Villa. And I am using bb.

      1. marpy016
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        I already used my FT for Murphy to Rogers. Not sure a hit is worth it

  25. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Raya (sels)
    Konate kiwior munoz (burn milenkovic)
    Saka palmer salah rogers (murphy)
    Mateta marmoush isak

    Which ? 5 fts

    A) palmer to kdb, gw34 4fts & bench other 4 players, AM33-35, BB36, FH38
    B) palmer to kdb, BB33, FH34, AM35/36-37/38
    C) palmer to kdb, FH34, AM35-37, BB38

  26. sklarface
    • 14 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Raya
    Konsa, Munoz, RAN
    Salah, Saka (c), Murphy, Sarr, Savinho
    Marmoush, Mateta

    Bench: Areola, Isak, Milenkovic, Kerkez
    AssMan: Arteta

    Am I mad to bench Isak here? Debating benching Sarr/Mateta instead, but torn by the palace double.

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Same, just telling myself Mateta, Munoz & Sarr cannot bomb again

  27. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Final dilemma for this bb team.

    A. Livra > Konsa/ Williams -4
    B. Play Livra

    Raya
    Saliba gvardiol Munoz
    Salah Saka Sarr rogers savinho
    Marmoush mateta

    Areola bradley livramento isak

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      B

  28. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Burn to VVD worth a free transfer to improve BB?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      yeah

  29. Football99
    • 1 Year
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Play elanga or mbuemo?

    1. Silecro
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Mbeumo

    2. ignado
      • 11 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Mbeumo

  30. amck27
    • 2 Years
    7 months, 21 days ago

    Why are people not considering luis Diaz over Bowen?

    Tempted to swap him in - only AM chip left so looking to capitalise on SGW players.

    Thoughts?

    1. Hey_Arnold
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      Because Bowen has Southampton, Diaz not guaranteed starts in both games and misses next week when bowen plays.

      1. DRINKWINE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Why Luis Díaz would not play next week?

      2. amck27
        • 2 Years
        7 months, 21 days ago

        Luis Diaz, not Ruben Dias. LIV play next week & although Southampton, Bowen hardly scores more than 1..

    2. DRINKWINE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 21 days ago

      I am considering bringing him in instead of Saka actually, as i won't use FH in gw34. Already have Bowen