Spot the Differential
28 August 2025 334 comments
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Spot the Differential puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Nottingham Forest and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.



PAPE MATAR SARR

Is Sarr the answer to Spurs' problems - and a good FPL pick? 1

  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BOU | whu | bha | WOL | lee

Pape Matar Sarr (£5.0m) looks like a player reborn under new Tottenham Hotspur boss, Thomas Frank.

Currently sitting in just 2.8% of FPL squads, he’s the only central midfielder to have started all three of Spurs’ competitive games this season.

In last weekend’s 2-0 win at the Etihad Stadium, Sarr pushed up right alongside centre-forward Richarlison (£6.7m), as you can see in the image below:

Prior to that, from a deeper role, he provided the assist for Brennan Johnson’s (£7.1m) strike against Burnley.

Sarr’s position and the extent of attacking freedom afforded to him will vary based on the opponent, but his capacity to make late runs into the box will remain.

It’s also worth noting Sarr has nearly reached the defensive contributions (DefCon) threshold in both matches this season, with 10 (BUR) and nine (mci).

While it’s Johnson and Mohammed Kudus (£6.6m) who are understandably dominating most FPL managers’ thoughts when assessing Tottenham’s midfield options this week, there is certainly value to be found elsewhere, particularly in the case of Sarr.

It suggests he could be the perfect differential enabler, with Spurs facing very favourable fixtures beyond Saturday’s home clash with Bournemouth.

DAN NDOYE

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: WHU | ars | bur | SUN | new

Arriving from Bologna in a deal worth £34m this summer, Dan Ndoye (£6.0m) appears to be the perfect winger for Nottingham Forest.

The Swiss international has the ability to provide quality crosses into target man Chris Wood (£7.7m), while he also possesses reasonable goal threat, having scored eight times in 30 Serie A appearances in 2024/25.

Ndoye, who provided the assist for Callum Hudson-Odoi’s (£6.0m) equaliser last week, should be presented with further opportunities to get amongst the points against a West Ham United side that allowed seven big chances in their 5-1 defeat to Chelsea, the most of any team in a single match this season. 

Looking further ahead, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face newly-promoted Burnley and Sunderland in Gameweeks 5 and 6:

For a team not known for its attacking play, Forest have totalled a very respectable six big chances across their first two matches (see image below), with Ndoye playing a direct role in two of these clear-cut opportunities.

It suggests a punt on the overlooked winger, who undoubtedly has the fixtures to excel, could pay off. 

Above: Team sorted by big chances (BCT) in 2025/26

MATTHIJS DE LIGT

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BUR | mci | CHE | bre | SUN

Although Patrick Dorgu (£4.5m) has attracted the majority of transfer interest this season, his Manchester United teammate Matthijs de Ligt (£5.0m) is a viable alternative.

The Dutchman has banked DefCon points in both matches of the 2025/26 season:

He’s yet to record any attacking points; however, he did take three shots against Arsenal in Gameweek 1 and poses a significant threat from set plays. 

Additionally, de Ligt secured three bonus points in the recent match against Fulham, thanks in part to six clearances, including one off the line.

The United centre-back is currently sitting in just 3.2% of FPL squads, but with clean sheet potential in three of the next five Gameweeks (BUR, bre, SUN), along with the capacity to accumulate DefCons in the other two (mci, CHE), he could prove to be a valuable differential asset.

United players admittedly won’t appeal to everyone following their unexpected midweek defeat to Grimsby Town in the Carabao Cup; however, in regard to de Ligt, there is at least rationale behind the selection.

334 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Bye bye Isak.

    Newcastle sign Woltemade

    1. Ziyech on the Bench
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      yep staying away from Etikeke

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Who

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Star of the Germany U21s this summer

        1. TiAgoFPL
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Thougt he was asking who Etikeke was.

    3. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Who dat?

    4. Feanor
      • 16 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      U Wolte made

  2. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Palmer to who? Savings will go to fund Guiu to Wood move.

    1) Sarr
    2) Kudus
    3) Johnson

    1. Ziyech on the Bench
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Kudus

    2. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Eze.

    3. Mozumbus
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      2

  3. Ziyech on the Bench
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    WC Activated! Any thoughts chaps? 1.6M ITB

    Pope

    Cucu, Porro, Milenkovic

    Salah, Gakpo, Mbeumo, Kudus

    JP, Wood, Richarlison (C)

    Dubs, Reijnders, Reinildo, Richards

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      Too early

      1. Ziyech on the Bench
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        can't undo once activated so not sure what's the point of replying that mate

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      You sure about Mbeumo?

      1. Ziyech on the Bench
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        If he doesn't get an assist or a goal against Burnley I will probably ship him to Semenyo

    3. Feanor
      • 16 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      I'm on WC with Haaland not Salah. Think he will smash United in GW4

    4. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      No Arsenal or Haaland. What's the plan?

  4. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Who do you think will be the best option moving forward?

    A) Sarr (from Spurs)
    B) Ndoye
    C) Dango
    D) Caceido
    E) O’Riley
    F) Paulhina
    G) Ndiaye

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      E.

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Nailed?

        1. GreennRed
          • 14 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Seems to be. On set pieces too

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      G

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Nailed?

    3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      B

    4. Unknown1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      C

    5. Leo14CFC
        3 months, 9 days ago

        I like B

      • Raoul Nogues
          3 months, 9 days ago

          BC

        • g40steve
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          B

          1. RamaJama
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Any of the new signings the last week who could threaten his starting role?

        • RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Cheers!

        • Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          B

      • Tonyawesome69
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Isak FPL stock may go up when he moves to Liverpool.

        Newcastle still looking for a second striker

        https://x.com/SkySports_Keith/status/1961118719758729377?t=77zWyDSWDmRAZ77OaAnGhA&s=19

        1. F4L
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          if he could drop closer to 10, that'd be nice

      • ⭐ ABHISHEK - THE CURIOUS …
        • 15 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Part of the backline looking to keep him at bay could be Kyle Walker, who is looking to become the first player in Premier League history to win seven away matches at Old Trafford.

      • Tonyawesome69
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Palmer is not in today's team training photos

        https://www.gettyimages.co.uk/photos/cobham-training-ground

      • chocolove
        • 15 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Here we go, Isak!

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Liverpool to splash even much more cash!

      • Alexis Nonsense
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        How nailed is Pope with Ramsdale lurking ?

        1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Wait and watch

          1. Alexis Nonsense
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Thank you, that's very insightful

        2. chocolove
          • 15 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Watch and learn

        3. Feanor
          • 16 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          I think injury is the concern with Pope

      • Atimis
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Would you sell both Palmer and Rutter for a hit?

        1. Alexis Nonsense
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Yes, the earlier you take the hits the more time you have with assets to get the hit back.

          Last season my 16 point hit made me climb 3m on rank within 10-12 weeks or so

          1. Atimis
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            That may prevent WC for now as well

        2. Feanor
          • 16 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Yeah, you should be able to pick two mids who will make up a 4 point hit

      • Mother Farke
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Has there been a Connor Bradley leak? Fastest rising player at the moment according to LiveFPL.

        1. ‘Tis the Season
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          How do you check this

          1. Mother Farke
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 9 days ago

            On http://www.livefpl.net

            Go to price changes and sort by rising per hour.

        2. Feanor
          • 16 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          I think they start Bradley at RB, and Grav, Mac and Szoboz in midfield

          Wirtz benched against the big boys

          1. Warby84
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            No chance, Szobo will replace Jones, Bradley RB.. Why would they bench wirtz

      • The 12th Man
        • 12 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Palmer,Periera > which option for free?

        A) MGW,J.Pedro
        B) Sarr,Wood

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Sarr, Pedro an option?

          1. The 12th Man
            • 12 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Yes but a Forest attacker fits in nicely to my plans.
            FH4. WC7.

        2. Raoul Nogues
            3 months, 9 days ago

            A

        3. Weeb Kakashi
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Best City mid on FH?
          Foden or Marmoush?

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Reijnders or Bobb

          2. Haa-lala-land
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            I'm a bit worried that Pep is going to do to Foden, what he's already done to Grealish

          3. Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Reijinders

        4. F4L
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          where do you think the new Newcastle striker will land in price, between 7.5-8.5mil?

          1. Leo14CFC
              3 months, 9 days ago

              I’ll go for 7.5

            • FPL Blow-In
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              8.5 would be too much. Not proven in the prem, Bowen and Pedro et al are 8m or less and proven

              1. RamaJama
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Agree, and they’re looking to sign another striker (JSL or Wissa?), so will not play every match

          2. Nightf0x
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Which ?

            A) rogers -4 to cunha/mbuemo
            B) watkins -4 to wood

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              None

              1. Nightf0x
                • 10 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Villa underperforming

                1. Tonyawesome69
                  • 6 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Not for a hit

            2. Leo14CFC
                3 months, 9 days ago

                I’ll go wood ! Easier fixture

              • 420king
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                keep both

            3. chocolove
              • 15 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Forest is signing everyone, spending spree. Lol

              1. RamaJama
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Anyone of them who might threaten Ndoye’s starting role?

            4. lekalatch
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Already done 2 transfers for free, Saka Füllkrug —> Wood Semenyo

              Sels
              Cucu Porro Neco
              Palmer* Semenyo Gakpo Wirtz
              JP Wood Watkins

              Verbruggen - Rutter* VdV Diouf

              Another -4 for Palmer out? As both him and Rutter probably won’t feature, VdV will play…

              1. Tonyawesome69
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                VDV

            5. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Palace still not clicking, 0-0 against Fredrikstad, but 1-0 at home

              1. Glasner Ball
                • 13 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Yep, we were terrible tonight, horrible game - although like at Selhurst low block/park the buss, and not sure how much the AstroTurf affected the game either. Just glad to get that over with 🙂

              2. Tonyawesome69
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                I'm happy to read these stats regardless of the result

                10 shots
                6 shots inside the box
                4 SoT
                1 big chance
                1 big chance missed

                1. Tonyawesome69
                  • 6 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Correcting:
                  2 big chances
                  2 big chances missed

                  1. RamaJama
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 13 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Agree, not bad at all

            6. Dynamic Duos
              • 12 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Well Sarr hasn't passed the eye test tonight, hopefully they can bring some flair in for left 10

            7. HarryFPL
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Keep or sell:
              Minteh
              Wirtz
              Strand Larsen

            8. Thanos
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Not sure with such a small squad Palace can do Thursday to weekend turnarounds without player injuries or drop in output. Plus no Eze. Thinking of binning Mateta on WC.

              1. RamaJama
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                New signings could still come

              2. Tonyawesome69
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Close to signing Yeremi Pino, linked with Akanji, Gallagher and Nelson

            9. 420king
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Don't get why Palace are so popular, specially Sarr who just played 90 min in Norway and bookies rate him under 40% to get a return on Sunday.
              His xG+A last year was really good, though.

              1. Glasner Ball
                • 13 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Its because we are playing Villa I think, if you look at our last matches v them you can see how well we did.

            10. Digital-Real
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Definitely getting this new record signing for Newcastle into my team. Toon have a tradition of good striker(s) at the club

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                He's only scored 35 senior goals since 2019/20 season.

                Albeit he's breakthrough was more recent.

                Is he any good?

                6ft6 target man...

                1. GreennRed
                  • 14 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Not so dissimilar to Gyokeres improving his form the past couple of years.

                2. AC/DC AFC
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  36*

                3. Tommy Template
                  • 11 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  not a target man by any stretch. He's really creative. Really good passing and dribbling numbers for a striker never mind a striker of his build. He does need to take more shots to be worth that fee probably but his all round game is really good, offers much more than Strand Larsen would. Incidentally Hugo didn't have loads of goals before he came to Liverpool, only one significant season on his cv. Same age as Woltemade, both from Germany.

                  1. AC/DC AFC
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Good feet for a gig man then.

              2. RamaJama
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Let’s see who the 2nd striker is first, might share game time

            11. Four Letter Wirtz
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              My bench order is Rutter (MCI), Diouf (nfo), Rodon (NEW) - at least one of them is likely to come on for Palmer. Are they in the right order? BTW, I have Perri (NEW) in goal (don't ask me why, please)

              1. Punned It
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Why do you have Perri in goal, though?

                  1. Punned It
                      3 months, 9 days ago

                      (maybe Rodon before Diouf, but deffo Rutter first)

                    • Four Letter Wirtz
                      • 9 Years
                      3 months, 9 days ago

                      GW1 bench boost, and rotates well with my main gk, Verbruggen

                • HarryFPL
                  • 3 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Keep or sell:
                  Minteh
                  Wirtz
                  Strand Larsen

                  Please help (2FTs)

                  1. Tonyawesome69
                    • 6 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Sell
                    Sell
                    Keep

                • bso
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Should I keep Palmer in my line up (Anderson NF first on bench) or bench Palmer.
                  Not getting up at 2.30 am to check the news tomorrow lol.
                  Cheers fellas!

                  1. Tonyawesome69
                    • 6 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Start Palmer - the deadline is on Saturday 11am BST

                • ☈☾
                  • 8 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  If Wirtz blanks again, would you keep / buy him for the Burnley game?

                  1. Tonyawesome69
                    • 6 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Probably 'don't buy don't sell' in that scenario

                  2. Khalico
                    • 10 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Selling

                  3. Stranger Mings
                    • 5 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Sold for semenyo

                • Sun Jihai
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 13 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Looking at the transfers page, I counted already over 14m transfers in of players for this GW
                  Seems a super high amount, like 1.3x transfers for every single account registered
                  I had been trying to wait for injury news and the transfer window but price changes have been brutal!

                  1. AC/DC AFC
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    People are twitchy

                    Some rolled 2 FTs

                    A fair few hits and wildcards etc.

                  2. Feanor
                    • 16 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    I did Wirtz to Sememyo on the the first Sunday, then wildcarded on this past Friday.

                    TV up to 101.3 already

                    1. Sun Jihai
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 13 Years
                      3 months, 8 days ago

                      Jesus
                      I'm only on £100.3m TV, I've messed up the price changes badly this season

                  1. bso
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    Why do they want him? CHE keep buying and they mostly end up being garbage.

                    1. ☈☾
                      • 8 Years
                      3 months, 9 days ago

                      Don’t you see the buy low sell high all these players

                      1. ☈☾
                        • 8 Years
                        3 months, 9 days ago

                        *they

                  2. grooveymatt65
                    • 12 Years
                    3 months, 9 days ago

                    is he nailed? might get him if so

                    1. Tonyawesome69
                      • 6 Years
                      3 months, 9 days ago

                      Ain't looking good for Neto's mins

                    2. Feanor
                      • 16 Years
                      3 months, 9 days ago

                      No, of course he's not nailed

                • ☈☾
                  • 8 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Chelsea sign Garnacho