Spot the Differential
16 October 2025 118 comments
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West Ham United, Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 8 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

These three players all have an ownership of 5% or less.


EL HADJI MALICK DIOUF

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW8-12 fixtures: BRE | lee | NEW | BUR | bou

While it’s been a difficult start to the season for West Ham, the form of El Hadji Malick Diouf (£4.4m) has certainly been a positive.

A summer arrival from Slavia Prague, the Senegal international has provided a real attacking threat down the left flank, registering four assists in seven matches, the joint-second-most of any player.

He also ranks among the top 10 defenders for final-third touches, crosses and chances created.

Above: El Hadji Malick Diouf’s touch heatmap in 2025/26

In their recent matches against Everton and Arsenal, Nuno Espirito Santo used a 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 formation.

However, The Athletic recently reported that the Portuguese tactician experimented with a back three system in a behind-closed-doors friendly against Ipswich Town last week.

Should Nuno indeed transition to a wing-back system, it is sure to further enhance Diouf’s attacking impact.

West Ham host Brentford in Gameweek 8, and with Keith Andrews’ side fourth-worst for key passes conceded from their right flank, Diouf’s raids could translate into more attacking returns.

A clean sheet is also a possibility, as Brentford have only managed to score three goals in three away matches thus far.

Additionally, the fixtures after Brentford are favourable, with Leeds United and Burnley in Gameweeks 9 and 11 respectively, so it could be worth taking a punt on the 3.7%-owned Diouf.

ANTHONY GORDON

FPL notes: Gordon on pens, Livramento + Wissa updates 1

  • FPL ownership: 2.5%
  • Price: £7.4m
  • GW8-12 fixtures: bha | FUL | whu | bre | MCI

While he has failed to deliver any attacking returns so far, Anthony Gordon (£7.4m) is potentially being overlooked in FPL.

The left-winger scored for England against Latvia earlier this week, and has already netted three goals in the UEFA Champions League, including a brace of penalties in Matchday 2.

He now embarks on an appealing run of fixtures, with encounters against Brighton and Hove Albion, Fulham, West Ham and Brentford over the next four Gameweeks.

Crucially, three of those sides sit near the bottom for key passes conceded from their right flank:


Gordon has seen his price drop to £7.4m in FPL, following his red card against Liverpool in Gameweek 2, which resulted in him missing three matches due to suspension.

But after scoring 17 goals and providing 22 assists over the previous two campaigns, he has proven pedigree as an FPL asset, and given the fixtures, could well be worth a roll of the dice, even with Harvey Barnes (£6.4m) potentially eating into his minutes.

Brighton are yet to keep a clean sheet this season, having conceded 10 goals across their first seven matches.

Fulham, West Ham and Brentford have combined for only three shut-outs, too.

Gordon is owned by just 2.5% of FPL managers, and given he’s a name few seem to be considering, there’s no doubt that a return to form for the Newcastle winger would provide instant rewards for those willing to take a gamble.

JHON ARIAS

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW8-12 fixtures: sun | BUR | ful | che | CRY

It’s fair to say that Jhon Arias (£5.2m) has hardly set pulses racing since he arrived at Wolves in the summer, yet clashes against Sunderland and Burnley have brought the Colombian into our thinking.

Arias was restored to Vitor Pereira’s starting XI in Gameweek 6 and delivered a promising performance against Tottenham Hotspur.

Drifting between a position on the wing and a more central role, he registered two shots, three chances created and 14 defensive contributions (DefCons).

Moreover, he has now completed 90 minutes in each of his last two matches, and importantly, wasn’t selected for international duty over the break, allowing him additional time to adjust to his new surroundings.

Having featured for Fluminense at the FIFA Club World Cup in the summer, where he created at least six more chances than any other player, this period of rest could prove crucial.

“I feel good. I feel better with the team, with the ideas of the coach. I think my best version is coming and it’s important for me.

“It’s different. Different intensity, the duels, I think it is very different. The weather is different. So, for me, I know it’s normal, the adaptation to this league, to this country, the language, but I feel better and I am going the correct way.” – John Arias

Although Sunderland have defended well this season, they have conceded in two of their three home matches, and their 2-0 defeat to Manchester United before the international break, when they conceded 1.84 non-penalty expected goals (NPxG), suggests they can be vulnerable.

Furthermore, key centre-back Omar Alderete (£4.1m) is a potential absentee.

Desperate for three points, Wolves then host Burnley, with Arias expected to provide the creativity and inspiration for the home side.

So for those looking for a budget midfielder, Arias could prove an interesting route to follow.


FPL pre-season: Malen + Watkins again, Xhaka debut, secretive Man City 2
118 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 20 days ago

    GW8 anytime goal scorer odds.

    Haaland: 58%
    Salah: 42%
    Isak: 41%
    Gyokeres: 40%
    Mateta: 38%
    João Pedro: 36%
    Ekitike: 36%
    Thiago: 34%
    Bowen: 34%
    Richarlison: 33%
    Wood: 32%
    Watkins: 32%
    Gakpo: 31%
    Woltemade: 31%
    DCL: 30%
    Saka: 29%
    Foden: 29%
    Welbeck: 28%
    Sesko: 28%
    Evanilson: 28%
    Isidor: 28%
    Sarr: 27%
    Larsen: 27%
    Eze: 26%
    Cunha: 26%
    Kudus: 25%
    Gordon: 25%
    Semenyo: 25%

    Probability based on player starting.
    Source: Oddschecker

    1. F4L
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      cheers

      find it abit interesting cunha comes in higher than bruno/mbuemo

    2. F4L
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      and eze only 3% less than saka, and i guess saka has got pens in most peoples view which must be taken into account working these numbers out. eze has more open play threat than saka in some peoples view then, interesting

    3. PartyTime
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Why is Eze so low 😆 I think he outscores the dud, Gyokeres.

      1. have you seen cyan
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Eze is a showreel player. Normally only scores in the last 3rd of seasons when he realises his goal tally is beyond terrible.

    4. have you seen cyan
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      3 in the top 4, 2 in the last 3. Nothing in-between.

    5. LeytonOrient
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Bookies clearly missed JP last few games…..

    6. I have no Wirtz
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Richalison higher than Woltemade

    7. PartyTime
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Big games in Germany & England this weekend.
      Bayern 4-1 Dortmund
      Liverpool 2-2 Man utd

      Hope Liverpool prove me wrong but I don’t think they are well prepared/ regrouped for this one off the back of the intl break. Just think they will struggle to defeat Utd, except King Mo goes nawts with a hatty

      1. White Pony
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        United will probably play 5-4-1 and anti-football like they did last year. I am expecting Pool to win though, I'll say 2-0.

        1. PartyTime
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          In Sallah

    8. Fernandito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Bruno, Richarlison & Tarkowski to Saka Woltemade & Alderete worth a hit?

      1. AlpoShearer
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        No

      2. Boxwoods
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Yes

    9. LeytonOrient
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Likelihood of Doku (EVE) starting?
      I’m planning on BB.
      Should I hold or move to Sarr (BOU)?

      1. PartyTime
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Pep roulette is a tough game to play

        1. LeytonOrient
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          I know I only have myself to blame to end up in this predicament

          1. PartyTime
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 20 days ago

            Good luck. I don think anyone here knows the right answer except Pep

            1. PartyTime
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 20 days ago

              don’t*

            2. AC/DC AFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 20 days ago

              Also Pep probably doesn't know until the morning of the game.

      2. F4L
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        he will surely, savinho did nothing much vs brentford. now marmoush is back only fair to let doku start everton and show why he should keep marmoush out the team for time being, or at least be the main LW

    10. AlpoShearer
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      A. Bruno and Xavi to Sarr and Enzo
      Or
      B. Xavi and VVD to Enzo/Sarr and Gabriel
      BB GW 8

    11. White Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Just read the Scout Notes on Man Utd game, interesting that Cunha has already apparently come in for criticism from Amorim. Definitely has vibes of the new Fellani/Pogba/Rashford/Lingard/Sancho guy: the player to blame when they finish 13th.

      1. LeytonOrient
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        100% he was causing ruptions at Wolves by the end. Exactly the sort of vibe United need to avoid.

        1. LeytonOrient
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          P.S When he bags the winner at the weekend I’ll get his face tattooed on my face x

    12. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Just checking

      Is BB like TC and you can cancel the chip if you want to?

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Yes

    13. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      Benching headache here .

      Play two of
      A Senesai
      B Richard’s
      C Rodon
      D Alderete

      Also GK
      1 Pope
      2 Dubravaka

    14. jeffa79
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      Roll this team? (1FT, £0M ITB)

      Pope (Dubravka)
      Senesi Gabriel Richards (Tawkowski Andersen)
      Semenyo Foden Bruno Minteh (KDH)
      Haaland Gyokeres Richarlison

      Or do I bring in someone this week for one of Gyokeres, Richarlison, Minteh...?

    15. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      1 - Keep of sell Bruno? If sell, who to? Gakpo? Sarr?

      2 - Pedro -> Woltemade yes or no?