FPL
29 October 2025 552 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Two weekend goals have caused Bryan Mbeumo (£8.2m) to be the most-bought Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in the run-up to Gameweek 10. By Wednesday afternoon, he’s already reached 750,000 purchases.

However, while he’s ahead of costlier Manchester United teammate Bruno Fernandes (£8.9m) for points, committing to the Cameroon international isn’t a straightforward decision.

Using basic numbers, deeper stats from our Members Area and some additional context, let’s try to determine which midfielder is best.


RECENT FORM

It’s not just Mbeumo’s brace, but also his Gameweek 8 goal at Anfield, which followed an assist against Sunderland. Whereas Fernandes has only one attacking return over the last four Gameweeks.

During this period, Mbeumo dominates his colleague for both goals and points, while both have created the same number of big chances (two).

[GAMEWEEKS
6 TO 9]
FPL POINTSATTEMPTSSHOTS ON
TARGET
BIG
CHANCES
CHANCES
CREATED
xG (DELTA)xGI (DELTA)
FERNANDES14104291.54 (-1.54)2.17 (-1.17)
MBEUMO3286471.05 (+1.95)1.82 (+2.18)

Fernandes’ shots are more about quantity than quality, as Mbeumo makes up for his fewer efforts by having a high accuracy (85.7%).

Yet here we have a case of overachievement versus underachievement when it comes to expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI) tallies.

Despite the worse FPL output from Gameweek 6, Fernandes has still outdone Mbeumo for both. Still, it’s worth remembering that the latter, when at Brentford, had 2024/25’s biggest xG Delta (+7.74), showing a recent history of beating the data.

GOAL THREAT


defensive contributions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

552 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. iFash@FPL
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Trent back in to rescue Liverpool… 🙂

    1. iFash@FPL
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 7 days ago

      The greatest top-page comment of all time. 😉

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Is he doing so badly in Spain?!? (I honestly haven't checked).

      1. thegaffer82
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Injured a fair bit, and isn’t trusted for tougher opponents when he is fit

        1. tutankamun
          • 16 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          So the same as when he was a Liverpool?

        2. The Big Fella
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          No change then?

  2. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 7 days ago

    Would you do this: Gyokeres Stach > Mateta Sarr (-4)?

    1. Snoopydog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 7 days ago

      Yes

    2. Jimjams
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Yes.

      • I have no Wirtz
          1 month, 6 days ago

          If Gyo and Stach would be your starters, you might make up for the -4 immediately.

      • Nightcrawler
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        potential dgw for whoever crystal palace draw in the league cup

        1. tbos83
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Ooooh

        2. Absolutely Muñozed
            1 month, 6 days ago

            in 2025 or 2026?

          • ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Unlikely. Crellin over-egging this pudding.

        3. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          I don’t know why I get so triggered by those two cretins in the betting ad, set on the car park roof. I want to bang their heads together so badly. Wanna bet?

          1. Albrightondknight
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Every ad on sports channels is for gambling and telling you not to gamble too much while selling their gambling product. Go figure.

            1. The Bandit
              • 15 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Well I don’t gamble and I don’t even know which company they are advertising, so they are wasting their money on me. I just hate the script and the actors delivering it.

        4. pundit of punts
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          Any injuries to worry about in the games tonight?

          1. Haa-lala-land
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Delap RC
            Haaland not on bench
            Matt Docherty injured

            1. pundit of punts
              • 12 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Cheers

        5. Snoopydog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 7 days ago

          GTG?

          Petrovic
          Gabriel Guehi Calafiori
          Saka Semenyo Mbeumo Gakpo
          Haaland Woltemade Mateta

          Dubravka Reijnders Esteve Acheampong

          1. tbos83
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Very much so

            1. Snoopydog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Thanks!

        6. Letsgo!
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          Kudus to rice or ndiaye or iwobi?

        7. Atimis
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          Saka suddenly looking better option after tonight or nothing changes?

          1. Snoopydog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 7 days ago

            As good as he was before

            1. Atimis
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              He wasn’t, that’s why I’m asking

              1. Snoopydog
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 7 days ago

                I don't think anything's changed

          2. thegaffer82
            • 14 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Not reading too much into it, but still happy to see him in the goals as an owner.

          3. Baps Hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            He had been ill and had therefore one game below his normal performance level. That was hardly a worry.

        8. marpy016
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          A) Gordon to Mbuemo (have Woltemade)
          B) Pedro to Mateta (have Sarr)
          C) Both for -4

          1. Baps Hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            C

            1. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              You may need start saving some transfers so taking -4 isn't that bad idea. Objectively B might be correct answer though.

          2. thegaffer82
            • 14 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            B)
            Pedro been rubbish for too long. I did that move this week

          3. Baps Hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Pedro should have been sold long time ago, but content creators had their own stupid bubble 😉

          4. Snoopydog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 7 days ago

            C

          5. Jimjams
              1 month, 6 days ago

              C

          6. AlternativeB
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Got 2FTS.
            1. J Pedro to Mateta
            2. J Pedro and Kudus to Thiago and Mbuemo

            1. AlternativeB
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              Have Sarr (not Woltemade)

            2. cravencottage
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              2- not sure you want to double up on CP attack

          7. liboo
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Kudus out to :

            A. Minteh
            B. Ndiye
            C. Keep kudus

            ???

            1. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              Essugo might be option D if you need money.

            2. cravencottage
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Keep for now- neither is an obvious upgrade

          8. #1 Salah Hater
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Cherki G+A tonight...

            Foden owners count your days.

            1. Bolivian Seaman
              • 15 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              yep gone from my team, its the hope that gets me

            2. I have no Wirtz
                1 month, 6 days ago

                Had Cherki in my week 1 team. Then he got injured.

            3. Visionaries
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Enzo >
              A Sarr
              B Minteh
              C Keep

              1. cravencottage
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                1 month, 6 days ago

                A or keep

                1. Bleh
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 6 days ago

                  This

              2. I have no Wirtz
                  1 month, 6 days ago

                  C

                • Baps Hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 6 days ago

                  Quite similar assets. I have both and feel like jumping from one to another based on just last performance isn't clever idea. Find another way to get Sarr, even for a hit(?)

              3. Mata of opinion
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 6 days ago

                A. Senesi+James
                B. Truffert+Calafiori
                Already have Gabriel

                1. Stranger Mings
                  • 5 Years
                  1 month, 6 days ago

                  B

              4. Absolutely Muñozed
                  1 month, 6 days ago

                  Raya
                  VVD Munoz Senesi
                  Bruno Semenyo Sarr Gordon
                  Haaland Gyokere Pedro

                  Dubravka Gudmundson King Rodon

                  2 FTs and have no Idea what to do because there are so many duds in my team.
                  Help please open to take one hit

                  1. No Professionals
                    • 8 Years
                    1 month, 6 days ago

                    Pedro to Mateta for sure

                    Probably vvd to gabriel too

                    1. Absolutely Muñozed
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        what about Gyokeres and Gordon?

                    2. Kingy109
                      • 4 Years
                      1 month, 6 days ago

                      Give Gykores Burnley and Gordon West Ham and reassess next week

                  2. cravencottage
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 14 Years
                    1 month, 6 days ago

                    Would you rather have :
                    A) Mateta
                    B) Sarr
                    C) Both

                    1. No Professionals
                      • 8 Years
                      1 month, 6 days ago

                      Mateta

                    2. Glasner Ball
                      • 13 Years
                      1 month, 6 days ago

                      Both

                    3. I have no Wirtz
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        B) Sarr had a nice brace today at Anfield

                      • Bleh
                        • 8 Years
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        Leaning A as on pens

                      • Baps Hunter
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 8 Years
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        C

                      • Stranger Mings
                        • 5 Years
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        C

                    4. No Professionals
                      • 8 Years
                      1 month, 6 days ago

                      Pope
                      Gabriel Richards Rodon
                      Saka Mbeumo Semenyo Enzo Sarr
                      Haaland(c) Gyokeres

                      Dubravka Senesi Foster Anderson
                      0.1m 1ft

                      A) roll
                      B) Gyokeres to Mateta

                      Think I just need to roll, Gyokeres should start v Burnley and I’d fancy him to get one…

                      1. Bleh
                        • 8 Years
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        A

                      2. Stranger Mings
                        • 5 Years
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        A

                    5. I have no Wirtz
                        1 month, 6 days ago

                        Guys. Who is the one I should start this week (the other three on the bench.) My order is

                        A) Kroupi (mci) I expect 6 points
                        B) Kudus (CHE) I expect 2 points, maybe 7 points
                        C) Chalobah (tot) I expect 2 points
                        D) Senesi (mci) I expect 3 points

                        Let me know your pick and how many points you think!

                        1. Bleh
                          • 8 Years
                          1 month, 6 days ago

                          A or B. Probably B - 6 points.

                        2. Haa-lala-land
                          • 5 Years
                          1 month, 6 days ago

                          Kroupi 2
                          Kudus 1
                          Chalobah 14
                          Senesi 2

                          1. I have no Wirtz
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Haha, ok! Nice, are you starting Chalobah, too? Would be nice to get 14 points, would make up for the -3 points in gw6.

                              1. Haa-lala-land
                                • 5 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                If Chalobah can just hopefully avoid a RC

                                1. Haa-lala-land
                                  • 5 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Or at least get his G before it

                          2. Stranger Mings
                            • 5 Years
                            1 month, 6 days ago

                            B

                        3. Bleh
                          • 8 Years
                          1 month, 6 days ago

                          Best move?

                          A. Grealish > Sarr (-4)
                          B. Pedro > Mateta (-4)
                          C. Play Grealish

                          1. I have no Wirtz
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              I have sold both. But Grealish gave me a nice 10 points farewell. JP on the other hand, nothing but disappointment. You should jump on the Mateta train.

                              1. I have no Wirtz
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  But -4 is debatable, maybe play Grealish this week.

                              2. Stranger Mings
                                • 5 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                C

                            • Letsgo!
                              • 9 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Will u do kudus to rice?

                              1. Baps Hunter
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 8 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Not bad idea supposing you already have Sarr.

                              2. Stranger Mings
                                • 5 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Yes

                            • F4L
                              • 10 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              nice draw eh, all the big teams missing out on each other. hmm hmm 😉 never seen that one before

                              1. F4L
                                • 10 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                *does it take so long as thats the time needed to heat up the balls?

                              2. Qaiss
                                • 9 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                I mean you could have predicted that being the exact draw before it was done

                              3. Glasner Ball
                                • 13 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Yeah, surprise that 🙂

                              4. brianutd-why always we? 20
                                • 14 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Which GW does it affect?

                            • Bayern Swine Flu
                              • 11 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Porro, Kudus, Pedro > Mateta, Mbeumo, Acheampong (-4) ?

                              Raya (Dubs)
                              Gabby, Munoz, Senesi (Gud, Porro)
                              Semenyo, Gordon, Sarr, Reijn (Kudus)
                              Haaland, Pedro, Gyokeres

                              1. Stranger Mings
                                • 5 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Yea

                            • Stranger Mings
                              • 5 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Will Acheampong start gw10?

                            • Tonyawesome69
                              • 6 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              We may get BGW17 due to Palace EFL Cup QF fixture against Arsenal clashing with Conference League

                              Potential BGW17:
                              Everton vs Arsenal
                              Leeds vs Crystal Palace

                              1. Baps Hunter
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 8 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                That looks like FH to me.

                                1. Baps Hunter
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 8 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Every man and his dog is going to have 3 Arsenal and probably 2-3 CP players (Sarr goes to Afcon). Everton players on dgw vs Arsenal aren't must haves. However, cheap Leeds defenders might be worth having on dgw.

                              2. adstomko
                                • 9 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Some are stating free hit will be an option, but I don’t think it’ll benefit much.
                                Can’t see many owning Palace players from this point anyway during the potential blank

                                1. Baps Hunter
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 8 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Are you joking? Everyone is buying Mateta and Sarr atm 😉

                                  1. adstomko
                                    • 9 Years
                                    1 month, 6 days ago

                                    Sarr will be at AFCON by then

                              3. Hazz
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 8 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                *Stares at photo of Free Hit*
                                *Smiles*
                                *Sleeps peacefully*

                              4. Tonyawesome69
                                • 6 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                - Leeds v Palace likely to be rearranged in the 2nd half of the season.

                                - Everton v Arsenal could be brought forward to midweek GW16

                                Potential DGW16:
                                Arsenal vs WOL+eve
                                Everton vs che+ARS

                                https://x.com/BenCrellin/status/1983666273914679447?t=hsW2AoBSwPAD4kRtb_7W7A&s=19

                                1. Sun Jihai
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 13 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Triple captain Gabriel/Saka could be great

                                  1. Baps Hunter
                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                    • 8 Years
                                    1 month, 6 days ago

                                    Yes. It's going to be difficult decision if that happens, supposing they are both fit. No defcon points to either but Gabi would be very tempting. Two clean sheets and one 9 pt goal isn't impossible.

                                2. Baps Hunter
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 8 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Sarr to Ndiaye is probably going to be quite popular move if that happens. Some will try their luck with Everton defs also.

                                  1. Tonyawesome69
                                    • 6 Years
                                    1 month, 6 days ago

                                    Ndiaye may miss the 2nd game in GW16 due to AFCON unless Everton can get an agreement with Senegal to delay the call up

                                    1. Baps Hunter
                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                      • 8 Years
                                      1 month, 6 days ago

                                      I forgot that also he is going there because he hasn't been on my watchlist anymore 😉

                                3. Hazz
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 8 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Terrible potential DGW for Everton, but makes Grealish/Garner/KDH/Defenders a decent but from GW15 onwards (if you have a Free Hit) through to January.

                              5. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
                                • 10 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                FPL Twitter is the only place suggesting this. Postponing PL matches for a League Cup match when there are other options seems unlikely.

                              6. F4L
                                • 10 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                afcons fts to the rescue as someone who has burnt their fh already lol

                              7. Tonyawesome69
                                • 6 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Alternatively no blanks or doubles and Palace have to play every 3 days

                            • Guttelim
                              • 3 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              FT for 3rd gunner:

                              A) Pope > Raya
                              B) Senesi > Calafiori

                              1. Stranger Mings
                                • 5 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                B

                              2. F4L
                                • 10 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                a, wouldnt sell senesi

                            • Stranger Mings
                              • 5 Years
                              1 month, 6 days ago

                              Budget Sub for wc a) Acheampong or b) lewis miley? Who is more secure? Thanks

                            • Absolutely Muñozed
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                when will we get FTs for afcon? I mean which GW

                                1. Qaiss
                                  • 9 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  I think GW16!

                              • Albrightondknight
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 10 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Sarr was fine after the game no reason to not get him in now?

                                1. Stranger Mings
                                  • 5 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Go for it

                                  1. Albrightondknight
                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                    • 10 Years
                                    1 month, 6 days ago

                                    Thanks. Price change shouldn’t be an issue for a day or 2 but might as well get it done. Usually I don’t even wait for mid week games to finish, get em done Sat or Sun

                              • Tonyawesome69
                                • 6 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                Mateta's game time should be ok for the foreseeable...

                                Nketiah picked up a hammy injury in tonight's game
                                https://x.com/BobbyManzi/status/1983671457562685470?t=m2uNxSQyawxMHUJS30WxBQ&s=19

                                1. Tonyawesome69
                                  • 6 Years
                                  1 month, 6 days ago

                                  Although high chance fatigue will have an impact in his performance unless Glasner manages his mins...

                                  https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2025/09/19/fpl-notes-glasner-on-fatigued-mateta-wood-under-pressure/

                              • Qaiss
                                • 9 Years
                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                https://x.com/bobbymanzi/status/1983671457562685470?s=46&t=i1t6O2FcyTnnnYHKnnDydA

                                Nketiah hamstring injury

                                Mateta’s ownership ^^^^^^^^^^^^^