634x258 The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. Mike Skinner
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    So what's everyone's thoughts on Dzeko for the weekend?

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    1. Goaldigger
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Wouldn go near

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      1. 42 Rules
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Negredo limped off I heard but still for me would be pure punty luxury !!!

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    2. The ghost of a Pug's g…
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      He'll start

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    3. Rafabio
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Should start, but will will wait for presser

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    4. Noisy Neighbour
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Will start, won't do squat for 70 minutes, will come off for Negredo who will score.

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  2. Ole Gunnar Kush
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    How did Navas play today?

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    1. dodger49
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      He was pretty good, hungry and active

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      1. Ole Gunnar Kush
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Nailed on until Aguero returns?

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  3. mgrea
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    A) Just Terry -> Zabaleta

    B) Terry -> Chester
    Negredo -> Roon (-4)

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    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Zab could be rested.

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    2. ccc
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Why selling Negredo? Injured or just a knock?

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      1. mgrea
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Unsure on his injury I think he just hobbled off. But surely he will be rested? Suppose same goes for Zab as above.

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      2. floydy_floyd
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Knackered, doubt he starts vs palace.

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    3. Rafabio
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Zab will be rested on weekend, confirmed.

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      1. mgrea
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Great news if true. Kolarov/Lescott for next few then?

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  4. Mr Smith
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone know how much longer Aguero is supposed to be out for?

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    1. MattysFantasyFooty
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      4/5 weeks

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      1. Mr Smith
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Yikes that long, hopefully his return will coincide with the end of the Jan WC period...can't wait to have the SAR back again.

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    2. Snikiii
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      read somewhere he might be back for Barcelona

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  5. ccc
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Keep or sell Lukaku and Ramsey?

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    1. Mr Smith
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Sell Ramsey, keep Lukaku

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    2. dodger49
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Definitely sell ramsey, I'm trying to decide on Lukaku, probably worth keeping one more gw...

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  6. Elniñorules
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Where was Cabaye playing today lads?

    In the hole or CM?

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    1. Prime
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      More CM for the parts I watched, but it was with Remy, Ameobi and later even Cisse on as well cause of Stoke being 9.

      His previous 2 games he played as the closest man to Remy.

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  7. Neto
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Is it the end of point-scoring Ramsey we all know?

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    1. Mr Smith
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      He's injured, so yes.

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    2. dodger49
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

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    3. Balotellitubbies
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Yh gonna be a massive value loss from 5.5 though

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  8. Noisy Neighbour
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    For those wondering about a potential price rise for Walcott tonight, he has risen right about 4% every half hour for the last 2 hours, with TotalFPL updating right around the :20 and :50 mark. With only a further 10-11% to go and 5 more of those time frames to come, a rise looks to be a certainty.

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  9. floydy_floyd
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Walker and Ramsey to bardsley and silva -4??

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    1. Alton E.
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'd keep Walker if you can find that money for Silva elsewhere.

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      1. floydy_floyd
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Can't see where else unfort. Can't see too many spurs cleanies under timmy tbh

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        1. Alton E.
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Good fixtures though.. He's been gettin decent points lately even though they have struggled as a team.

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  10. Nabs Kebabs
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    McGregor

    Coleman, Sagna, Burner

    Walcott, Hazard, Cabaye, Mirallas

    Suarez, Rooney, Lukaku

    Migs, Ravel, Ward, Williams

    Hazard(flat track bully) ->Silva(c) with FT??

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    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      fit in nicely for City GW 19

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    2. dodger49
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Looks like everything Chelsea produces will come from Hazard, so I'd keep him

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  11. Gooner Kebab
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    No reply earlier, is it right to bench Terry (LIV)

    Playing these lads: Mert (new), Coleman (SOU), Chester (FUL)

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    1. SW6
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I'd play Terry over Chester

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      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        reckon Terry could get a headed goal in?

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      2. dodger49
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        +1

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  12. Balotellitubbies
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Podolski knows where the back of the onion bag is

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    1. The Shadow
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      It's nice to have someone who doesn't hesitate to shoot.

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  13. Holy See
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Rooney's delivery is outstanding this season.

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  14. Hank Scorpio
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Hey guys,

    Howard - Daniels
    Vidic - Cahill - Bardsley - Burner - Chester
    Hazard - Walcott - Silva - Whittingham - Amalfi
    Suarez - Negredo - Adebayor

    FT got to be Howard ---> Somebody right?

    Who?

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  15. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Drop ravel for: pls put in order from best to least

    1--henderson
    2--sterling
    3--cabaye

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    1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      You don't have ramsey?

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      1. Total Foot 5
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        yep, i got ramsey. but also have ravel, clyne, ward against mci away, so was thinking maybe dropping ravel also for hit - for cabaye or sterling

        for ft ramsey > wally

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    2. Gooders
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      2
      3
      1

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    3. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      2

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  16. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Team for next week... what do you think? I am worried after an awful return today...

    Krul (ars)

    Clyne(eve)/Olsson(MUN if clyne doesnt play) --- Dawson (STK) --- Coleman (SOT) (Vlaar)

    Walcott (NEW) Navas + Silva (CPL) Hazard (LIV) (Rmorr)

    Suarez (che) Lukaku (SOT) Rooney (nor)

    What do you think? Should I be worried? I have captained Walcott as it stands.

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    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      save ft?

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  17. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    been stuck around 350k for 7 weeks...frustrating

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      No green arrow?

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  18. Demel
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Started the gameweek 72 points off my mini league leader. I beat him by 38 points this week to put me 34 behind 🙂

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    1. Hank Scorpio
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Nice

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    2. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Nice, never surrender

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    3. Demel
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Gives hope to all. A few weeks ago I was over 100 points behind then I played my wildcard and on the up ever since.

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  19. AriseSirGiggsy
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    What's wrong with Negredo? Can't find anything online

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    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Nothing. Just tired.

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      1. Mr Smith
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        He was limping quite badly when he came off.

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    2. The Shadow
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Visibly limping when he left the game.

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  20. iCon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone know what story with Parr/Moxey. Who's more likely to play regularly?

    On a similar note, best DF for 4.0?

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  21. Wild Card this!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Cant decide between Sterling or Henderson in for Ramsey...I expect his value to go down quickly, considering number of people have him in their teams...think its better to sell for a good price.
    Any suggestions?

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    1. Gooders
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      I got Sterling in a week or 2 ago and still think he's the better choice for now.

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      1. Wild Card this!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        Might be...probably will get him...cheaper as well...

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        1. Gooders
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 1 month ago

          Yes, I'm unsure when Gerrard and Sturridge are back though. However, think Gerrard's return will impact Henderson who will play a bit deeper. A Sturridge return would probably impact Sterling slightly more although I'm not 100% sure.

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    2. Ole Gunnar Kush
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Henderson is not a fantasy asset

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  22. Gooders
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Sub order right here do you think, might not get chance to check again? Unsure about Sterling/Whittingham:

    Gazzaniga
    Coleman Distin Collins
    Walcott Silva Hazard Sterling
    Suarez Rooney Lukaku

    Vorm Whittingham Burner Ward

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  23. MITRO'S ON FIRE
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Looking for a new goalkeeper - which team rotates best with Sunderland, in your view?

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    1. Spectrum-FFS Doubles Champ
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Cardiff

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  24. najk
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Evening lads, hope you had a lovely Christmas! Need some help with this weeks transfers, got 4 troublemakers (Ramsey, Begovic, Myhill, Brunt)...
    1 FT, 2.9 ITB
    Begovic (Myhill)
    Ward Terry Coleman (Shaw, Rat)
    Barkley Ramsey Whittingham Hazard (Brunt)
    Suarez Rooney Negredo

    Was thinking:
    1. Begovic + Ramsey -> Szczzcz + Walcott
    2. Begovic + Ramsey -> Szczzcz + Silva
    3. Begovic + Ramsey -> Man-On + Walcott
    4. Begovic + Brunt -> Gazz + Walcott
    5. Other?

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  25. boyler
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    is mannone going to keep his place wen westwood comes back ?

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  26. KiwiBirds
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Option A
    Silva and Podolski

    Option B
    Navas and Walcott

    Which one is better?

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  27. ClaireT
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Have Walker and Ramsey suspended and injured, worth taking 4pt hit to get rid of both next GW ? 0.2m in bank

    Mignolet, Myhill
    Walker, Coleman, Gabbidon, Jagielka, Baker
    Januzaj, Hazard, Ramsey, Toure, Morrison
    Suarez, Lukaku, Rooney

    Thanks in advance 🙂

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  28. Dago
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    Will Walcott rise tonight?

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    1. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      totalfpl

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    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Very likely.

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      1. Dago
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 1 month ago

        I checked just trying to work out how quickly hes going up.

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    3. SW6
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      maybe

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    4. Gooders
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      Will be close

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  29. SuperOsçarBaby
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 1 month ago

    anyone think Luiz might play in midfield if Ramires is out?

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    1. Ole Gunnar Kush
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 1 month ago

      possibly

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