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31 August 2014 4790 comments
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There was panic among the Fantasy Football Scout community this week, as pre-season bandwagons de-railed and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes became even more difficult to predict. We look back on the reaction to these events, along with some of the week’s top contributions, including some further number-crunching from our community contributors. Elsewhere, we catch up on the latest custom statistics tables created by our members and the runners and riders in the various community tournaments.

The Community Articles

With two weeks’ worth of statistics at their disposal, our community writers felt confident enough to wave goodbye to some early-season punts and follow some new leads.

Stoke City’s mercurial forward Bojan Krkic started the season surrounded by plenty of hype following an impressive pre-season, earning him a handsome ownership level. Sadly, he’s struggled to come to terms with expectations and has failed to make an impression for Mark Hughes’ men, disappointing an army of Fantasy managers. Aussie Pundit was amongst them, leading him to create this article offering an in-depth analysis of the Spaniard and the Fantasy conundrum he’s posed.

The Puntmaster was on hand to offer an immediate solution to Bojan issue – he urged us to take a closer look at West Ham’s Mauro Zarate as a tailor-made replacement as part of three punts going into Gameweek 3 – the latest instalment of his excellent regular article.

Elsewhere, Arvination was another to highlight the talents of Zarate, although the focus of his his round-up of the weekend’s best punts was most definitely Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

As ever, our number-crunching experts have been busily generating new theories with the data at their disposal. Red Lightning has been looking in detail at the measurement of points per 90 minutes, while Rab Mac brought us news of a team and player spreadsheet he’s developed to help Fantasy managers get to grips with the latest statistics.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

There was widespread panic amongst Fantasy managers this week with the realisation that the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) seemed to have tweaked the values that govern the player price changes – leading to some expected results. With less information available and seemingly fewer price falls taking place, Dr Funk wondered whether casual managers will benefit at the expense of veteran managers who have based their strategies on monitoring movement in the market.

That unwelcome development has compounded an uncertain opening to the campaign, with a wide array of options and no cast-iron captaincy contender on offer. AA7’s Hot Topic captured the issue perfectly, as he underlined the bewildering amount choice available, particularly in the key attacking roles.

With panic setting in, it’s far too easy to make rash decisions and, with that in mind, Harrysponge invited the community to look back at the best and worst 11th-hour alterations from the opening weekend of the season.

Talking of rash decisions, last week we witnessed Berbinho’s Forehead and Rayne Wooney’s foolhardy and unpleasant pair of pledges should Liverpool complete the signing of a certain Mario Balotelli. This week it was John Barnes’ turn to make a promise he’d regret: he was so keen to see Stevan Jovetic score a brace last week that he swore to captain the Manchester City striker every week for the rest of the season if he could achieve that feat. The Montenegrin duly delivered against Liverpool, leaving John Barnes banking on a few more braces as the season progresses.

There’s nothing like a trip down memory lane to calm the nerves and anxiety and, fortunately, Leicester’s unlikely signing of Esteban Cambiasso offered us the opportunity for nostalgia as we looked back on other legends who have arrived in the Premier League in their twilight years.

There was further serenity among UFPL managers who are busily completing their Transfer Window selection. A timely contribution from Goonerbyron provided an invaluable list of the teams playing on Matchdays 2 and 3 for those still tinkering those long-term plans.

The Members Tables

Over in the members area, Jesus Navas My Lord has been taking an in-depth look at the underlying stats of attacking full-backs, a group that is thought to be favoured by a change in the Fantasy Premier League bonus calculations this summer. His Bertrand v Clyne table focuses on final third touches among this group, while he has also cast his gaze on the attacking threat of Chelsea’s defenders.

Arvin-ation has been another prolific table builder this week, looking at a comparison between Dzeko and Jovetic, Bojan Krkic replacements and Gameweek 2’s most attacking players in defence and higher up the pitch.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how these work.

The Community Tournaments

In TorresMagic‘s”Last Man Standing” competition, Chrissy Waddle’s 85 was the top score in Gameweek 2, where 102 teams were eliminated, leaving 1502 to progress.

”The Dead Team Challenge”, in which managers selected a team and captaincy in Gameweek 1 that has to remain in place until the end of the season, saw Medo_Je climb to the top of the leaderboard after Gameweek 2’s matches. He scored 142 points in the first two Gameweeks of the competition that has been organised by Zep.

Elsewhere, Kalmoffit won the Gameweek 2 “Scout Picks Challenge”, the competition organised by @ofcprodigy that is loosely based on our Scout Picks. Overall in the competition Lionel’s Messy Boxers and IniestaFiesta are joint top.

In AZ’s “Early Bird FFS Cup” the group leaders ahead of Gameweek 3 were Doosra, Pundit of Punts, Baines on Toast, AZ, Acquafresca, Costa – The Chosen One, cmonster and NTFM.

With the international break, our search for a Gameweek 4 community champion will start on Monday 8 September. Watch out for a hot topic that day when we will be asking for nominations and votes for those wishing to follow Tom Fenley, HVT and Innsie as your champion.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. RabMac
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    All of this weekends data has been added to the player/team analysis spreadsheet found here:

    http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2014/08/29/player-and-team-analysis-spreadsheet/

  2. kimoo
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    http://strawpoll.me/2466683 Who is out for Costa

    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      What are the options?

    2. Mr_Partridge
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Peter

  3. Telloth
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Team is:

    Krul Bego
    Colo Debuchy Cahill Clyne PVA
    Siggy Sterling Fab Ramsey Barton
    Rooney Naismith Costa

    Already did Sterling in for Eriksen this week, is it worth taking a hit to do PVA to Wisdom? Or Debuchy to Williams?

  4. Amateur Pundit Zan
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    2ft already used
    Going to be a long international break 🙁

    1. World XI
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Why? At least wait till deadline day!

      1. Amateur Pundit Zan
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Prices, could be close to 1m difference from waiting on Naismith sterling Erik and jovetic

        My WC is my safety net if I get major injury headache over the break, was close to using it anyway

        1. World XI
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Okay i see.I hope your players stay injury free

    2. @BigChrisso
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      ballsy

  5. xuwei
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Do we think Naismith is for real? Can't decide whether to transfer for Bojan now, or wait til deadline. I currently have 2ft.

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      He'll chip in here and there. Luton worth a punt at that price.

      1. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Where the feck did luton come from....meant to say prob.

        1. xuwei
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Lol was just trying to figure out who you meant! Thanks

    2. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      He's scored in every game including against Arsenal and Chelsea. What's he got to do?

      1. xuwei
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Well he won't stay that hot! 🙂

  6. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Should I wild card?

    Beg myhil
    Caulker Lovren vlaar Bruce wisdom
    Fab siggy Ramsey mata Sanchez
    Jov Rooney bojan

    I want costa and sterling which I could do for -4 for Rooney and Sanchez

    Will get a fair few price drops though. Jov up front who will share game time with dzeko and a poor defence for gw4... Any ideas?

    1. World XI
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Nah just needs a couple of pressing transfers at most surely!

  7. Fantasy Gold
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Who is likely to rise in price the quickest?

    Duff, Wisdom, or ShawX?

  8. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    15,818 in FPL and 398 in UFPL. A very nice start, best ever in FPL so really pleased. Night all 🙂

    1. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Great going WR, well done.

    2. Cheeseoid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Well done

  9. HUMZAH96
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Will Mata, Sterling, Yoshida or Wilson change in price tonight?

      1. In Like Flynn.
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Does it make a difference to what you'll do?

        1. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Yes 100%

        2. Sess!
          • 15 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          No

          1. HUMZAH96
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Thanks pal!

        3. Bøss ⭐
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Rooney to Costa for a 4point hit worth it?

          1. World XI
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            get them both. Otherwise you will knee jerk too and from them the whole season.

        4. Dr Dream
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          If City sign a big name striker tomorrow then is it the end of all forward as picks for City ?..Aguero will obviously get reduced minutes all season and rotated with Falcoa...and Jovetic...and Dzeko...And what of Negredo ?..will he move tomorrow ?

          1. Cheeseoid
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Do you know something?

            1. Dr Dream
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Only the same as everybody else...Arsenal and City set to go toe to toe for Falcao tomorrow...Negredo > somewhere else...maybe Valencia..

        5. Bojaninho
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Clyne, Ivanovic, Moreno for next 3-4 gw starters every week with Wisdom and Chester as back up.

          yes or no?

          1. Sess!
            • 15 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Those three is what I'm aiming for. You don't need two 4.5 as back up though. Too much spent in defence.

        6. applebonkers
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          roberto martinez lining up a 352?

          --------------------------------- howard -------------------------------
          ------------- stones -------- jagielka -------- distin -------------
          coleman ----------- mccarthy -- barry --------------- baines
          ------------------------- mirallas/naismith -------------------------
          --------------------- lukaku -- eto'o/naismith --------------------

          1. World XI
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Looks strong like that. gets the best out the full backs. Megeady has to fit in there after Martinez said he is the most talented footballer he has every worked with.

            1. Dr Dream
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              and Piennar...not the greatest player in the world but works supremely well with Baines..

          2. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            he should have a word with Van Gaal

          3. HUMZAH96
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Nah not for the long term, he likes Stevie P too much

            • Dr Dream
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Dunno, but those front four are a worry as picks..

            • Reeker
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              4-2-3-1 is the superior formation. And Atsu and McGeady have to play somewhere

            • Mull
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              -------------------------------Howard
              ------------Jagielka---------Barry ---------Distin
              Coleman -----------------McCarthy ------------------Baines
              ---------Mirallas-------- Naismith -------McGeady
              -------------------------------Lukaku

              Can't see them straying from something like this.

              1. Mull
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                That's how it plays in game and not the starting formation.

            • SW6
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              I think he is yes, if this ShawX thing is legit it makes it look likely too. They'd also need a new striker or two though imo.

          4. ChampionoftheWorld
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Is Costa going up today? And what's the prediction for price changes till deadline, for Costa, Rooney and Aguero from now?

            My guesses are up 0.2, down 0.1 and unchanged.

            1. ChampionoftheWorld
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Who else is selling rooney? Safe to go without him when everyone else have him?

              1. AxeMinion
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Keeping for sure - He's unlikely to drop, and with those fixtures (and on FK/pens) he could still be valuable. At least waiting till after QPR game

          5. sweglet
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            a) silva + debuchy -> sterling + azpi (-4)

            b) jovetic + debuchy -> ivan + naismith (-4)

          6. Spatburgunder
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Any risers you guys would go for? just about to wc so any help would be ace !

            1. Sess!
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Dyer, costa, sterling, Moreno.......only the first two should rise tonight though.....oh and Ivan too.

              1. Spatburgunder
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                cheers buddy thanks for the tips

                1. Sess!
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Fabs/signs will rise sometime this week too and might have double rise. You'll want the, in your team on WC anyway.

                  1. Sess!
                    • 15 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    *sigs

                    1. ChampionoftheWorld
                      • 11 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      During intl week, so 2 full weeks, is the cap on rises and falls still 0.3?

          7. @BigChrisso
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Morning all

            Rooney v Mata. Who to transfer out 1st? Go.

            1. Demí
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Mata

              1. Gnu
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Hi Demi, Thought I had an imposter in the Wigan to me league, couldn't work out who was the guy with 'Men behaving Chadli' was. 🙂

                1. Demí
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Haha, guilty. 🙂

                  Sorry for causing any alarm, deciding to just add a name and change the team name a couple weeks ago.

                  1. Gnu
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 16 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    It was the name, one of 'our' regulars is Ciaron Lamont and I was seriously doubting my facultys and had to go through each one, ticking off the names.
                    I'm not really getting any smarter.
                    I see you scraped a hard fought victory this week, the 3 triple ManU has not paid off, has it.

            2. Sess!
              • 15 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Has to be mata

            3. HUMZAH96
                11 years, 3 months ago

                It doesn't Mata

              • @BigChrisso
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Cheers All.

            4. HUMZAH96
                11 years, 3 months ago

                If you're under 1m you're still in there like swimwear

                https://twitter.com/tomfenley/status/500338234187350018

              • Adam
                • 16 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Happy Jim White day everyone.

                1. Gnu
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 16 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  🙂

                2. Sess!
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  I've already had my own white day looking at those Jennifer Lawrence pics.

              • chrrizzy
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Can someone please explain to me what happens when I wildcard and with the prices? I will drop for example fabregas who I had from the start and I will gain .1 from him and then add someone who will rise, sterling and then gain another .2 when I sell him right? Cause someone earlier said this " It's.. tough. Can't find the funds for him without sacrificing players who've already gained .1 tbh." and got me a bit confused. That means if I sell fabregas I won't gain anything? It's my first time playing fantasy so need some guidance lol

                1. In Like Flynn.
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  If a player has risen .2 you get .1 when sold. 7.0 player rises to 7.2, you actually get credited with 7.1 when you sell him.
                  Correct on Fab.

              • Defcons are for Kinnear
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                From what we know so far it is harder to increase TV this year and more important not to lose TV. With this in mind, rather than reversing the Costa to Jovetic transfer, would it be wiser to do Dzeko to Costa to avoid the highly probable Dzeko fall in price?
                I'm going to get rid of Dzeko and Jovetic eventually but for this week this seems the safer choice in terms of TV (I got Jovetic at 8.1 so he need to fall twice for me to lose TV. On the flip side I expect Dzeko to start the next match and Jovetic to make a sub appearance.
                So what it basically comes down to tonight is
                A) Keep Dzeko and take the 0.1 decrease expecting him to start next match
                B) Keep Jovetic to avoid 0.1 decrease expecting him to come on as a sub

                What do the people say?

                1. Dr Dream
                  • 13 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  I say get rid of both...run for the hills...

              • kimoo
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Who is out to get Big Costa Agian ?

                A- Rooney

                B- Jovetic

                C- Dzeko

                http://strawpoll.me/2466683

                Repost sorry

                1. FPL Daniel
                  • 16 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  b

              • Davido989
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Need some help with my wildcard suggestions.

                http://strawpoll.me/2466870

                1. World XI
                  • 13 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Troll?

                  1. World XI
                    • 13 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Haha banter

              • Gashead9
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Is it worth a 4 pt hit?

                Bojan > Naismith & Luis > Lovren?

                1. Sess!
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Probably although consider Moreno too.

              • @FPL_Salah
                • 16 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Hey guys!

                WC activated. From what I can gather likely risers over night could be:

                Guzan
                Ivanovic
                Moreno
                Dier
                Ramsey
                Fabs
                Siggy
                Dyer
                Naismith
                Costa

                Anyone I am missing? any help will be appreciated.

              • FPL Daniel
                • 16 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Transfers

                Player(s) in Player(s) out
                Ivanovic Terry
                Sterling Mata

                Should I press the confirm button? 2 FT BTW

                1. Sess!
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  No wait and see what transfer deadline day brings tomorrow.

              • Venom Snake
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Some advice please.

                1 FT / 2.5m itb
                I want to get rid of Eriksen and mata, as well as bring Costa in. Worth WC or take hits?

                Begovic
                Kelly - Clyne - PvA
                Eriksen - Mata - Siggy - Ramsey
                Dzeko - Balotelli - Rooney

                Gilks -- Marney - Ferdinand - Chester

                1. @BigChrisso
                  • 14 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Dont WC and keep Eriksen

                  Dzeko to Coata
                  Mata to anyone under 9.4

              • Sess!
                • 15 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                If Falcao goes to arsenal it will be pure porn.

                1. FPL Daniel
                  • 16 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  If Wenger only knows what he is doing. He has chances for title then

              • Ashjrobbo
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Terry to Ivan worth the -4 hit?

                1. Sess!
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Yeah then keep him for the season.

                2. Otis
                  • 15 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  The stats suggest yes (Ivan at 9+ ppg, Terry at 3), but my gut says Ivan won't don't it against the Swans. I'd wait for a free next week.

              • Telloth
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Krul Bego
                Colo Debuchy Cahill Clyne PVA
                Siggy Sterling Fab Ramsey Barton
                Rooney Naismith Costa

                Already did Sterling in for Eriksen this week, is it worth taking a hit to do PVA to Wisdom? Or Debuchy to Williams?