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31 August 2014 4790 comments
J0E J0E
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There was panic among the Fantasy Football Scout community this week, as pre-season bandwagons de-railed and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes became even more difficult to predict. We look back on the reaction to these events, along with some of the week’s top contributions, including some further number-crunching from our community contributors. Elsewhere, we catch up on the latest custom statistics tables created by our members and the runners and riders in the various community tournaments.

The Community Articles

With two weeks’ worth of statistics at their disposal, our community writers felt confident enough to wave goodbye to some early-season punts and follow some new leads.

Stoke City’s mercurial forward Bojan Krkic started the season surrounded by plenty of hype following an impressive pre-season, earning him a handsome ownership level. Sadly, he’s struggled to come to terms with expectations and has failed to make an impression for Mark Hughes’ men, disappointing an army of Fantasy managers. Aussie Pundit was amongst them, leading him to create this article offering an in-depth analysis of the Spaniard and the Fantasy conundrum he’s posed.

The Puntmaster was on hand to offer an immediate solution to Bojan issue – he urged us to take a closer look at West Ham’s Mauro Zarate as a tailor-made replacement as part of three punts going into Gameweek 3 – the latest instalment of his excellent regular article.

Elsewhere, Arvination was another to highlight the talents of Zarate, although the focus of his his round-up of the weekend’s best punts was most definitely Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

As ever, our number-crunching experts have been busily generating new theories with the data at their disposal. Red Lightning has been looking in detail at the measurement of points per 90 minutes, while Rab Mac brought us news of a team and player spreadsheet he’s developed to help Fantasy managers get to grips with the latest statistics.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

There was widespread panic amongst Fantasy managers this week with the realisation that the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) seemed to have tweaked the values that govern the player price changes – leading to some expected results. With less information available and seemingly fewer price falls taking place, Dr Funk wondered whether casual managers will benefit at the expense of veteran managers who have based their strategies on monitoring movement in the market.

That unwelcome development has compounded an uncertain opening to the campaign, with a wide array of options and no cast-iron captaincy contender on offer. AA7’s Hot Topic captured the issue perfectly, as he underlined the bewildering amount choice available, particularly in the key attacking roles.

With panic setting in, it’s far too easy to make rash decisions and, with that in mind, Harrysponge invited the community to look back at the best and worst 11th-hour alterations from the opening weekend of the season.

Talking of rash decisions, last week we witnessed Berbinho’s Forehead and Rayne Wooney’s foolhardy and unpleasant pair of pledges should Liverpool complete the signing of a certain Mario Balotelli. This week it was John Barnes’ turn to make a promise he’d regret: he was so keen to see Stevan Jovetic score a brace last week that he swore to captain the Manchester City striker every week for the rest of the season if he could achieve that feat. The Montenegrin duly delivered against Liverpool, leaving John Barnes banking on a few more braces as the season progresses.

There’s nothing like a trip down memory lane to calm the nerves and anxiety and, fortunately, Leicester’s unlikely signing of Esteban Cambiasso offered us the opportunity for nostalgia as we looked back on other legends who have arrived in the Premier League in their twilight years.

There was further serenity among UFPL managers who are busily completing their Transfer Window selection. A timely contribution from Goonerbyron provided an invaluable list of the teams playing on Matchdays 2 and 3 for those still tinkering those long-term plans.

The Members Tables

Over in the members area, Jesus Navas My Lord has been taking an in-depth look at the underlying stats of attacking full-backs, a group that is thought to be favoured by a change in the Fantasy Premier League bonus calculations this summer. His Bertrand v Clyne table focuses on final third touches among this group, while he has also cast his gaze on the attacking threat of Chelsea’s defenders.

Arvin-ation has been another prolific table builder this week, looking at a comparison between Dzeko and Jovetic, Bojan Krkic replacements and Gameweek 2’s most attacking players in defence and higher up the pitch.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how these work.

The Community Tournaments

In TorresMagic‘s”Last Man Standing” competition, Chrissy Waddle’s 85 was the top score in Gameweek 2, where 102 teams were eliminated, leaving 1502 to progress.

”The Dead Team Challenge”, in which managers selected a team and captaincy in Gameweek 1 that has to remain in place until the end of the season, saw Medo_Je climb to the top of the leaderboard after Gameweek 2’s matches. He scored 142 points in the first two Gameweeks of the competition that has been organised by Zep.

Elsewhere, Kalmoffit won the Gameweek 2 “Scout Picks Challenge”, the competition organised by @ofcprodigy that is loosely based on our Scout Picks. Overall in the competition Lionel’s Messy Boxers and IniestaFiesta are joint top.

In AZ’s “Early Bird FFS Cup” the group leaders ahead of Gameweek 3 were Doosra, Pundit of Punts, Baines on Toast, AZ, Acquafresca, Costa – The Chosen One, cmonster and NTFM.

With the international break, our search for a Gameweek 4 community champion will start on Monday 8 September. Watch out for a hot topic that day when we will be asking for nominations and votes for those wishing to follow Tom Fenley, HVT and Innsie as your champion.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Defcons are for Kinnear
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Dzeko and Jovetic to Costa and Naismith for -4. yay or nay?

    1. carloicecube
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      yay

  2. dribbler
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    falcao to man utd rumour...struggling to believe it myself

    1. Gnu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Man City I think you mean.

    2. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      It makes sense though doesn't it. United need a striker now that Hernandez and Welbeck could be set to leave on loan. RVP could be having knee surgery as well.

  3. Baby Cuties
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    sorry for repost:

    right, now what's the time exactly for price changes again? get confused cos of the shifting of the hours.

    and Roo->Costa for free tonight?

    could still afford as i have 0.5itb, so should I wait for the internationals to be played out?

  4. Fantasy Gold
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Wildcard ACTIVATED 😉

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Nooooo 😉

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah man. Although before I made my transfers my TV was at 100.8.

        Now it's 100.6.

        I don't see how that is possible when I removed all my fallers

        1. dribbler
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          because 2 of your fallers had £0.1m profit already I'd say

          1. Fantasy Gold
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Oh well. Had to be done.

        2. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          I don't have the specific reason for it, but unfortunately that's a normal thingy.

          TV is nothing important, what's more important is your selling value.

    2. Red Elephant
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      About time, really.

    3. HUMZAH96
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Noooooo, he wasn't readyyy

        *Kevin Hart voice*

      • Red Elephant
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Post your provisional WC team!!

      • pundit of punts
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Another one bites the dust...

    4. pundit of punts
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      People stressing too much over TV these days.

      Just try and get players that you think would score highly. TV usually follows them. And if that means holding onto a player who is gonna drop in price, then so be it.

      1. @BigChrisso
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Please Hulk this post!

        Best advice all day

        1. SW6
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          😆

        2. pundit of punts
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          😀

      2. BantamPhil
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        The change to the price system and the array of options this year means value is less of an issue

        1. pundit of punts
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Yep. And players are decently priced as well. One wouldn't easily get priced out.

      3. HUMZAH96
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Yup I agree, hopefully price changes aren't too easy to predict to stop TV hunters. Not good when someone has 3 premium defenders and Nasri on the bench

        • Parm
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          My TV is 52', do I need a bigger one?

          1. HUMZAH96
              11 years, 3 months ago

              AHahaha was waiting for a comment like this

            • pundit of punts
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              😀

              Nope. You're fine.

        • davies
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Who to captain:

          A) Sterling (AVL)
          B) Hazard (SWA)
          C) Aguero (ars)

          1. Francescoli
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            i'd go Hazard (if i had him)

          2. Hy liverpool
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            A

          3. HUMZAH96
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Costa

          4. Moody1000
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            coleman or baines or ivanovic everton has slightly better fixtures

            1. Hy liverpool
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Iva

            2. dribbler
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              you like the look of the everton defence then?

              1. Moody1000
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                not at all but chelsea has swansea and city In next two

          5. jaredwilliams
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            1. Hazard + Young --> Fab + Siggy ??

            OR

            2. Mata + Young --> Sterling + Puncheon

            Also, worth taking -8 for Terry/Mata --> Ivan/Sterling??

          6. Venom Snake
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Crazy of me to hold on to Eriksen?

            1. Francescoli
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              not with their upcoming fixtures

              1. @BigChrisso
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                next 4 fixtures are against teams that like to play football... Eriksen is bound to provide returns soon. Hold

                1. Francescoli
                  • 11 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  sorry that's what i meant. don't get rid of him. spurs have good fixtures

          7. ChampionoftheWorld
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Safe to go without rooney when all my mates in mini league have?

            1. Francescoli
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              he could bag a few against qpr. but i chose to move him on. balotelli or costa better picks in my opinion.

          8. ALegendJ
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Everybody activates wildcards, I buy membership 😀 I think I got the better deal 😉 now, what to do with all those numbers. Been playing FPL for ages, first season to take it really serious though.

            1. dribbler
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              (a) start using the RMT
              (b) remember it's usually a few days out of date
              (c) remember it's only one guys advice...and he's usually but not always competent
              (d) so look at the projections with a critical eye

              1. ALegendJ
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Really appreciate it DRIBBLER. Quick question, and it might sound stupid, but what does ICT stands for ?

                1. dribbler
                  • 16 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  it's a number of attacking stats added together into an index...basically it tells you the players with the most attacking threat IF YOU BELIEVE THE STATISTICS

                  personally I've never used it because I have my own ideas of how to play

                  and I forget what it stands for

                  1. ALegendJ
                    • 11 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    thanks a lot, most helpful

          9. Costa in Wengerland
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Good night guys

            1. Costa in Wengerland
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Will wait for Elninorules new competition 🙂

            2. NABIL - FPL otai
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Night Costa. You do look old in that grav 😛

          10. iveseenitall
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Wanting mata or eriksen out for siggy. Which is the better option and is erik due to drop?

            1. Francescoli
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              mata sure to shine over the long run... but yeah i would move erikson before mata.

          11. dribbler
            • 16 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            negredo going to valencia...falcao to city?

            1. Francescoli
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              falcao will go to real madrid

              1. HUMZAH96
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  They just got Hernandez

            2. chrrizzy
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              oh man messed my WC up. Dropped all my players even those who gained value and added the ones who i thought they would rise, but when I went back to add the same team I was -0.2. shit that's a stupid rookie mistake right? Had no idea I shouldn't have dropped the players who gained value!

              1. gravless
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Christ

              2. Francescoli
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                i did something similar....

              3. Parm
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Did you miss the toilet in your WC?

                1. chrrizzy
                  • 11 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  dude had no idea FML such a stupid mistake haha fail.

                  1. dribbler
                    • 16 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    we all make mistakes...I bought Dummett this week and now I need to make another defensive transfer...it's character building

              4. TheCurseOfRaheem
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Ouch...

              5. @BigChrisso
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Are you Fernando Torres?

                Cause you certainly missed a golden opportunity there....

            3. Farcelona
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Mata to Fabregas, Sterling or someone else?

              Already have Ramsey, Lamela, Sigurdsson.

              £1.4m in the bank.

              1. Francescoli
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Fab

              2. SW6
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                I would rather do Lamela to Sterling than Mata to Sterling.

                Mata + Lamela -> Sterling + Fab even if it was for -4 might be decent though.

            4. pundit of punts
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Team atm-

              Krul
              Terry - Clyne - Wilson
              Mata - Fabregas - Sterling - Sigurdsson
              Rooney - Costa - Jovetic

              Hamer - Moore - Naylor - Marney

              Got 2 FTs and 1m in the bank.

              Any ideas?

              Cheers. 🙂

              1. gravless
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                wildcard

                1. pundit of punts
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  🙂

                  I'll ask again. Any ideas?

              2. Goodnight Kiwi
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Jovetic to Ade?

              3. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Terry to Ivan or Jove to Ade.

                1. pundit of punts
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Keeping Terry. Very sideways for my liking.

                  FPL Gods will punish me for knee jerking. 😀

              4. @BigChrisso
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Mata to 7.0 or below & Jovetic to Sturridge?

                1. pundit of punts
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Nice. Thinking along similar lines. 🙂

                  Mata+Jovetic>Puncheon+Sturridge?

                  1. @BigChrisso
                    • 14 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Looks ideal

                    1. pundit of punts
                      • 12 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      Ta. 🙂

            5. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Who here bought Costa after his haul?

              1. Parm
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Starbucks man myself.

              2. Francescoli
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                yes. after i had wildcarded him out... 🙁

              3. pundit of punts
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Plenty.

            6. Sadio
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              CONFIRMED

              Eriksen/Terry ---> Henderson/Ivanovic for a -8

              Short term I'll likely lose out, but maybe by some miracle I'll break even

            7. BantamPhil
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Looks like Falcao is prem bound but to whom?

              1. Dr Dream
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                City and Arsenal going toe to toe for hin...

                1. BantamPhil
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Would love either of those two from an FPL point of view

            8. sinik
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              A) Yaya + Chambers > Sterling + Moreno
              B) Yaya + Rooney > Sterling + Aguero

              1. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                A

              2. Francescoli
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                A

            9. Moody1000
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              will ivanovic rise in price before the next game?

              1. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Probably 25 hours.

            10. Koflok
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Bego
              Cahill Debuchy Clyne Ferdinand Moore
              Fabregas Ramsey Sterling Siggy Albright
              Sturridge Rooney Bojan

              Bojan to
              A) Naismith
              B) Pelle (Cahill to PvA)
              C) Adebayor (Cahill to 4m)

              1. Hy liverpool
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                A

              2. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                You still have him? B by a whisker for something different

                1. Koflok
                  • 13 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Yeah I held my transfer last week as I was playing Clyne, and thought there would be better transfer.

            11. Parm
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Is Tom Lawrence listed for United?

              1. Parm
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Doesn't look like it, he may be on his way to Leicester, so could be an option if he comes in at £4.5m.

            12. Hy liverpool
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Jovetic 8£→ balotelli 10£ having £ 2m only in the bank
              Now or wait ???????

              1. Francescoli
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                now

            13. Red Elephant
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Does Sterling's appeal drop due to the return of Lallana? I think it's probably he'll be rotated as a result.........

              1. Francescoli
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                i think sterling is nailed

              2. Hy liverpool
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Noooooo
                Allen →lallana

              3. gravless
                • 14 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Oh man, just brought him in.

                Why weren't you on earlier telling me this.

            14. TheCurseOfRaheem
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              So disappointed with Eriksen, 3 blanks in a row. Being hauled off at 59 minutes was just salt in the wound. Certainly one case of faith not being rewarded despite the stats.

              1. Sadio
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                I got rid today, if he explodes next GW at least there's comfort that nobody else will have him.

                1. TheCurseOfRaheem
                  • 12 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Bringing in Sterling myself. If Eriksen does finally do well, it honestly won't even hurt that bad at this point.

            15. jaredwilliams
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Hazard + Young --> Fab/Sterling + Siggy ?? 2 FT

            16. Dr Dream
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Eriksen (and his price drops)..+ Jovetic (stupid pick) > Zaha (BUR eve LEI) + Costa (SWA city VILLA).....Yeah or neah ?

              1. BantamPhil
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Yeah

                1. Dr Dream
                  • 13 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Will he start ?..surely he must ?

                  1. BantamPhil
                    • 12 Years
                    11 years, 3 months ago

                    Seemed to make an impact at Newcastle, certainly deserves it

                    1. Dr Dream
                      • 13 Years
                      11 years, 3 months ago

                      His new manager spent a lot of time convincing the chairman..

              2. Hibbo
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Yeah.

                1. Dr Dream
                  • 13 Years
                  11 years, 3 months ago

                  Leaves a lot of pennies left over Tony..Do you think he'll start ?

            17. Feanor
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Great week in Sky for me. I took Costa out for Adebayor and made Ade captain. Then I replaced Cresswell (who got -1) with Davies on Saturday night, and Davies got -1. I also got a big fat zero from Szczecsny thanks to that bogus yellow card.