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31 August 2014 4790 comments
J0E J0E
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There was panic among the Fantasy Football Scout community this week, as pre-season bandwagons de-railed and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes became even more difficult to predict. We look back on the reaction to these events, along with some of the week’s top contributions, including some further number-crunching from our community contributors. Elsewhere, we catch up on the latest custom statistics tables created by our members and the runners and riders in the various community tournaments.

The Community Articles

With two weeks’ worth of statistics at their disposal, our community writers felt confident enough to wave goodbye to some early-season punts and follow some new leads.

Stoke City’s mercurial forward Bojan Krkic started the season surrounded by plenty of hype following an impressive pre-season, earning him a handsome ownership level. Sadly, he’s struggled to come to terms with expectations and has failed to make an impression for Mark Hughes’ men, disappointing an army of Fantasy managers. Aussie Pundit was amongst them, leading him to create this article offering an in-depth analysis of the Spaniard and the Fantasy conundrum he’s posed.

The Puntmaster was on hand to offer an immediate solution to Bojan issue – he urged us to take a closer look at West Ham’s Mauro Zarate as a tailor-made replacement as part of three punts going into Gameweek 3 – the latest instalment of his excellent regular article.

Elsewhere, Arvination was another to highlight the talents of Zarate, although the focus of his his round-up of the weekend’s best punts was most definitely Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero.

As ever, our number-crunching experts have been busily generating new theories with the data at their disposal. Red Lightning has been looking in detail at the measurement of points per 90 minutes, while Rab Mac brought us news of a team and player spreadsheet he’s developed to help Fantasy managers get to grips with the latest statistics.

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

There was widespread panic amongst Fantasy managers this week with the realisation that the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) seemed to have tweaked the values that govern the player price changes – leading to some expected results. With less information available and seemingly fewer price falls taking place, Dr Funk wondered whether casual managers will benefit at the expense of veteran managers who have based their strategies on monitoring movement in the market.

That unwelcome development has compounded an uncertain opening to the campaign, with a wide array of options and no cast-iron captaincy contender on offer. AA7’s Hot Topic captured the issue perfectly, as he underlined the bewildering amount choice available, particularly in the key attacking roles.

With panic setting in, it’s far too easy to make rash decisions and, with that in mind, Harrysponge invited the community to look back at the best and worst 11th-hour alterations from the opening weekend of the season.

Talking of rash decisions, last week we witnessed Berbinho’s Forehead and Rayne Wooney’s foolhardy and unpleasant pair of pledges should Liverpool complete the signing of a certain Mario Balotelli. This week it was John Barnes’ turn to make a promise he’d regret: he was so keen to see Stevan Jovetic score a brace last week that he swore to captain the Manchester City striker every week for the rest of the season if he could achieve that feat. The Montenegrin duly delivered against Liverpool, leaving John Barnes banking on a few more braces as the season progresses.

There’s nothing like a trip down memory lane to calm the nerves and anxiety and, fortunately, Leicester’s unlikely signing of Esteban Cambiasso offered us the opportunity for nostalgia as we looked back on other legends who have arrived in the Premier League in their twilight years.

There was further serenity among UFPL managers who are busily completing their Transfer Window selection. A timely contribution from Goonerbyron provided an invaluable list of the teams playing on Matchdays 2 and 3 for those still tinkering those long-term plans.

The Members Tables

Over in the members area, Jesus Navas My Lord has been taking an in-depth look at the underlying stats of attacking full-backs, a group that is thought to be favoured by a change in the Fantasy Premier League bonus calculations this summer. His Bertrand v Clyne table focuses on final third touches among this group, while he has also cast his gaze on the attacking threat of Chelsea’s defenders.

Arvin-ation has been another prolific table builder this week, looking at a comparison between Dzeko and Jovetic, Bojan Krkic replacements and Gameweek 2’s most attacking players in defence and higher up the pitch.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how these work.

The Community Tournaments

In TorresMagic‘s”Last Man Standing” competition, Chrissy Waddle’s 85 was the top score in Gameweek 2, where 102 teams were eliminated, leaving 1502 to progress.

”The Dead Team Challenge”, in which managers selected a team and captaincy in Gameweek 1 that has to remain in place until the end of the season, saw Medo_Je climb to the top of the leaderboard after Gameweek 2’s matches. He scored 142 points in the first two Gameweeks of the competition that has been organised by Zep.

Elsewhere, Kalmoffit won the Gameweek 2 “Scout Picks Challenge”, the competition organised by @ofcprodigy that is loosely based on our Scout Picks. Overall in the competition Lionel’s Messy Boxers and IniestaFiesta are joint top.

In AZ’s “Early Bird FFS Cup” the group leaders ahead of Gameweek 3 were Doosra, Pundit of Punts, Baines on Toast, AZ, Acquafresca, Costa – The Chosen One, cmonster and NTFM.

With the international break, our search for a Gameweek 4 community champion will start on Monday 8 September. Watch out for a hot topic that day when we will be asking for nominations and votes for those wishing to follow Tom Fenley, HVT and Innsie as your champion.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. davies
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 3 months ago

    Who to captain:

    A) Sterling (AVL)
    B) Hazard (SWA)
    C) Aguero (ars)

    1. Francescoli
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      i'd go Hazard (if i had him)

    2. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      A

    3. HUMZAH96
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Costa

    4. Moody1000
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      coleman or baines or ivanovic everton has slightly better fixtures

      1. Hy liverpool
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Iva

      2. dribbler
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        you like the look of the everton defence then?

        1. Moody1000
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          not at all but chelsea has swansea and city In next two

    5. jaredwilliams
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      1. Hazard + Young --> Fab + Siggy ??

      OR

      2. Mata + Young --> Sterling + Puncheon

      Also, worth taking -8 for Terry/Mata --> Ivan/Sterling??

    6. Venom Snake
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Crazy of me to hold on to Eriksen?

      1. Francescoli
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        not with their upcoming fixtures

        1. @BigChrisso
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          next 4 fixtures are against teams that like to play football... Eriksen is bound to provide returns soon. Hold

          1. Francescoli
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            sorry that's what i meant. don't get rid of him. spurs have good fixtures

    7. ChampionoftheWorld
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Safe to go without rooney when all my mates in mini league have?

      1. Francescoli
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        he could bag a few against qpr. but i chose to move him on. balotelli or costa better picks in my opinion.

    8. ALegendJ
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Everybody activates wildcards, I buy membership 😀 I think I got the better deal 😉 now, what to do with all those numbers. Been playing FPL for ages, first season to take it really serious though.

      1. dribbler
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        (a) start using the RMT
        (b) remember it's usually a few days out of date
        (c) remember it's only one guys advice...and he's usually but not always competent
        (d) so look at the projections with a critical eye

        1. ALegendJ
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Really appreciate it DRIBBLER. Quick question, and it might sound stupid, but what does ICT stands for ?

          1. dribbler
            • 16 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            it's a number of attacking stats added together into an index...basically it tells you the players with the most attacking threat IF YOU BELIEVE THE STATISTICS

            personally I've never used it because I have my own ideas of how to play

            and I forget what it stands for

            1. ALegendJ
              • 11 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              thanks a lot, most helpful

    9. Costa in Wengerland
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Good night guys

      1. Costa in Wengerland
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Will wait for Elninorules new competition 🙂

      2. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Night Costa. You do look old in that grav 😛

    10. iveseenitall
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      Wanting mata or eriksen out for siggy. Which is the better option and is erik due to drop?

      1. Francescoli
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        mata sure to shine over the long run... but yeah i would move erikson before mata.

    11. dribbler
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 3 months ago

      negredo going to valencia...falcao to city?

      1. Francescoli
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        falcao will go to real madrid

        1. HUMZAH96
            11 years, 3 months ago

            They just got Hernandez

      2. chrrizzy
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        oh man messed my WC up. Dropped all my players even those who gained value and added the ones who i thought they would rise, but when I went back to add the same team I was -0.2. shit that's a stupid rookie mistake right? Had no idea I shouldn't have dropped the players who gained value!

        1. gravless
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Christ

        2. Francescoli
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          i did something similar....

        3. Parm
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Did you miss the toilet in your WC?

          1. chrrizzy
            • 11 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            dude had no idea FML such a stupid mistake haha fail.

            1. dribbler
              • 16 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              we all make mistakes...I bought Dummett this week and now I need to make another defensive transfer...it's character building

        4. TheCurseOfRaheem
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Ouch...

        5. @BigChrisso
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Are you Fernando Torres?

          Cause you certainly missed a golden opportunity there....

      3. Farcelona
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Mata to Fabregas, Sterling or someone else?

        Already have Ramsey, Lamela, Sigurdsson.

        £1.4m in the bank.

        1. Francescoli
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Fab

        2. SW6
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          I would rather do Lamela to Sterling than Mata to Sterling.

          Mata + Lamela -> Sterling + Fab even if it was for -4 might be decent though.

      4. pundit of punts
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Team atm-

        Krul
        Terry - Clyne - Wilson
        Mata - Fabregas - Sterling - Sigurdsson
        Rooney - Costa - Jovetic

        Hamer - Moore - Naylor - Marney

        Got 2 FTs and 1m in the bank.

        Any ideas?

        Cheers. 🙂

        1. gravless
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          wildcard

          1. pundit of punts
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            🙂

            I'll ask again. Any ideas?

        2. Goodnight Kiwi
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Jovetic to Ade?

        3. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Terry to Ivan or Jove to Ade.

          1. pundit of punts
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Keeping Terry. Very sideways for my liking.

            FPL Gods will punish me for knee jerking. 😀

        4. @BigChrisso
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Mata to 7.0 or below & Jovetic to Sturridge?

          1. pundit of punts
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Nice. Thinking along similar lines. 🙂

            Mata+Jovetic>Puncheon+Sturridge?

            1. @BigChrisso
              • 14 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Looks ideal

              1. pundit of punts
                • 12 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                Ta. 🙂

      5. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Who here bought Costa after his haul?

        1. Parm
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Starbucks man myself.

        2. Francescoli
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          yes. after i had wildcarded him out... 🙁

        3. pundit of punts
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Plenty.

      6. Sadio
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        CONFIRMED

        Eriksen/Terry ---> Henderson/Ivanovic for a -8

        Short term I'll likely lose out, but maybe by some miracle I'll break even

      7. BantamPhil
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Looks like Falcao is prem bound but to whom?

        1. Dr Dream
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          City and Arsenal going toe to toe for hin...

          1. BantamPhil
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Would love either of those two from an FPL point of view

      8. sinik
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        A) Yaya + Chambers > Sterling + Moreno
        B) Yaya + Rooney > Sterling + Aguero

        1. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          A

        2. Francescoli
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          A

      9. Moody1000
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        will ivanovic rise in price before the next game?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Probably 25 hours.

      10. Koflok
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Bego
        Cahill Debuchy Clyne Ferdinand Moore
        Fabregas Ramsey Sterling Siggy Albright
        Sturridge Rooney Bojan

        Bojan to
        A) Naismith
        B) Pelle (Cahill to PvA)
        C) Adebayor (Cahill to 4m)

        1. Hy liverpool
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          A

        2. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          You still have him? B by a whisker for something different

          1. Koflok
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Yeah I held my transfer last week as I was playing Clyne, and thought there would be better transfer.

      11. Parm
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Is Tom Lawrence listed for United?

        1. Parm
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Doesn't look like it, he may be on his way to Leicester, so could be an option if he comes in at £4.5m.

      12. Hy liverpool
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Jovetic 8£→ balotelli 10£ having £ 2m only in the bank
        Now or wait ???????

        1. Francescoli
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          now

      13. Red Elephant
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Does Sterling's appeal drop due to the return of Lallana? I think it's probably he'll be rotated as a result.........

        1. Francescoli
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          i think sterling is nailed

        2. Hy liverpool
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Noooooo
          Allen →lallana

        3. gravless
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Oh man, just brought him in.

          Why weren't you on earlier telling me this.

      14. TheCurseOfRaheem
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        So disappointed with Eriksen, 3 blanks in a row. Being hauled off at 59 minutes was just salt in the wound. Certainly one case of faith not being rewarded despite the stats.

        1. Sadio
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          I got rid today, if he explodes next GW at least there's comfort that nobody else will have him.

          1. TheCurseOfRaheem
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Bringing in Sterling myself. If Eriksen does finally do well, it honestly won't even hurt that bad at this point.

      15. jaredwilliams
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Hazard + Young --> Fab/Sterling + Siggy ?? 2 FT

      16. Dr Dream
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Eriksen (and his price drops)..+ Jovetic (stupid pick) > Zaha (BUR eve LEI) + Costa (SWA city VILLA).....Yeah or neah ?

        1. BantamPhil
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah

          1. Dr Dream
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Will he start ?..surely he must ?

            1. BantamPhil
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 3 months ago

              Seemed to make an impact at Newcastle, certainly deserves it

              1. Dr Dream
                • 13 Years
                11 years, 3 months ago

                His new manager spent a lot of time convincing the chairman..

        2. Hibbo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah.

          1. Dr Dream
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Leaves a lot of pennies left over Tony..Do you think he'll start ?

      17. Feanor
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Great week in Sky for me. I took Costa out for Adebayor and made Ade captain. Then I replaced Cresswell (who got -1) with Davies on Saturday night, and Davies got -1. I also got a big fat zero from Szczecsny thanks to that bogus yellow card.

      18. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        I don't like this Falcao rumors. As a Chelsea fan don't really know where is better for us to go Arsenal or City. I think City are more of a competition but Arsenal looks like need him more and will improve them massively.

        On the other hand I don't understand why Monaco are so keen to sell? Something is fishy in there,

        1. ChampionoftheWorld
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Erm I don't think Chelsea will still go for Falcao after getting Remy as the backup striker.

          They will still prefer to play 1 up front, Drogba and Remy good backups imo.

      19. Rossamous
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Is this team set for success:

        Krull-Elliot
        Terry-Clyne-PVA-Vlaar-Wisdom
        Ramsey-Hazard-Siggy-Sterling-Albrighton
        Rooney-Aguero-Naismith

        Burnt this week's FT (Mata to Sterling). The first of my next two transfers will be Terry to Pieters in GW5 because of Terry's tough fixtures for a few weeks and Stoke looking really solid in defense. The second will be Albrighton to De Jong GW6 to take the pressure off of Naismith GWs 6 and 7 when Everton have tough fixtures. Que switch to a 3-5-2. Sound strategy?

        1. fitzy
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Planning too far ahead. It's alright to look 4-5 games ahead for fixtures but transfers this early on almost always change. Look at all the jovetic with 492715 NTI last week..

      20. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Going with PoP style. 😀
        Team atm-

        Krul
        Terry - Clyne - Chester
        Mata - Haz - Ramsey - Sigurdsson
        Rooney - Costa - Jovetic

        Elliot - Marney - Huton - Wisdom

        Got 2 FTs and 0 in the bank.

        Any ideas?

        Cheers. 🙂

        1. pundit of punts
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          😀

          Post in the new page.

        2. Hy liverpool
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Mata → STERLING
          Or
          Jovetic → naismith ana wisdom → moreno

      21. Venom Snake
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Just did mata and dzeko out for costa and sterling -4. Keeping Eriksen for now

        1. @BigChrisso
          • 14 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Wise move, well done

        2. chrisjdgrady
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Sensible

      22. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 3 months ago

        Cahill and Caulker to Clyne and Shawcross worth -4 ? Frees up funds ? Will wait to see if Shawcross moves club or not first...

        1. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          Maybe. Taking hit for defenders is not popular here. I'd do Cahill to Clyne for now.

          1. FPL Blow-In
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 3 months ago

            Thanks

        2. kingofchicken
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          keep cahill
          chelsea defence is important dont miss out on their cleanies

        3. dribbler
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 3 months ago

          no definitely not worth a hit and neither of those transfers is worth doing for 11-12 days (if at all)