[sbu_large_image] Community
14 October 2016 2519 comments
J0E J0E
Share:

Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. pjomara
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Is Zlatan falling in value tonight?

    1. T444
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Doubt it

      1. FPL Emu
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Why? He is past 100%

    2. Professor Red
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Looks like it

      1. bring_on _the_fantasy
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Looks like it. Past 100

    3. Pariße
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      yes

  2. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Play Pieters or Lovren?

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Pieters

    2. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Same boat, Cameron or Lovren. Going Cameron

  3. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    for a FT, Lallana > Iwobi

    Yay or Nay?

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Nay. consider snoddy

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      nay, hope hes fit for monday, !

  4. GuillermoDickero
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone have a decent 4.5m Defender to replace JEvans? Sadly can't afford Smith of B'Mouth

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Robertson Holebas .Both are very attacking and has nice fixtures

      Pieters is a good shout too

      1. GuillermoDickero
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I have holebas. Decent player

        You not worried about how poorly Stoke are playing? Hull's defence is hardly better either

      2. lespaul
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yor team is worth 104.3?

    2. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      seems like cameron an pieters are being talked about this week with stokes good fixtures

    3. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Pieters 4.4, Francis 4.5.

    4. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Steve Cook is 4.3m and has Hull at home.

      1. GuillermoDickero
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Plays CB right?

        1. Jersey
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Cook is 4.9, not 4.3

          1. Shipstontrev
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Oops, You're right, it's Lewis Cook who is 4.3m.

  5. Everyday im Schneiderlin
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    What to do with this sorry lot?
    1ft 1.5 m in bank

    Foster
    Valencia walker mcauley
    Sanchez coutinio sterling snod
    Aguero lukaku benteke

    Jaku amat love capoue

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      nice team . id do Valencia --> Kosc

      1. Everyday im Schneiderlin
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers considering that one or maybe foster to cech ?

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Mccauley to Mustafi. Takes away your WBA double up.

      1. Everyday im Schneiderlin
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks good point that

    3. lespaul
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Your team is worth 104.3?

      1. Everyday im Schneiderlin
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Sorry it should have been 1.0 in bank

  6. T444
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Soares and Bertrand out.

    Enter Matt Targett to FPL16/17

    At home to Burnley absolute banker for triple captain

  7. Professor Red
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Heaton

    Bellerin {} McAuley {} Pieters

    Sanchez {} Sterling {} Walcott {} Snodgrass

    Aguero {} Lukaku {} Deeney

    Foster {} Capoue {} Williams {} Amat

    You know you want this team guys!

  8. semiconductor
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Should i start jak over foster in case he starts? Foster is playing tot

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      nahh play foster

  9. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Evenin all are these 3 players sure to start?thx

    1 baines
    2 lukaku
    3. Sterling

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      yes
      yes
      70%

  10. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Who for Ibra? After having him as captain last week against Stoke and pretty much getting slapped in the face I can't keep any longer....

    Benteke or Costa?

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Benteke. could do some damage against a porous westham defense

    2. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Benteke, West Ham can't defend.

    3. CunkOnFPL
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      teke

    4. bring_on _the_fantasy
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Leicester can't defend away from home either though??

      1. Shipstontrev
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        True, but Ranieri will not want to lose heavily at Chelsea.

        1. bring_on _the_fantasy
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Ranieri is not on the pitch lol

          1. Shipstontrev
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            But the team he picks will be more defensive.

  11. jai1212
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    G2G?
    Pickford
    Holebas - Vertonghen - Koscielny
    Sanchez- Mane - Sterling - Antonio - Snodgrass
    Kun - Lukaku

    Subs - Jaku - Diomande - Evans - Kingsley

    Should I use AOA and play Diomande in place of Holebas?

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      No play holebas

  12. Jive Turkey
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Hi folks, better long term pair...

    A) Koscielny & Austin

    OR

    B) Mustafi & Wilson

    Thanks.

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. DRAFTSNAKE
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  13. Rian23
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    so what's vile ronka done 😀 ?

    1. Captain Blanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      He had 1.6 itb before the moves

      1. Captain Blanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I'd imagine 1 of the moves is an Arsenal defender

        1. Cecil The Lion
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Is he a sheep or the shepherd?

        2. Rian23
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          hazard & valencia to payet & kosc?

  14. CunkOnFPL
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    will Ibra drop in price?

    FPLS says yes
    FFF, no
    which is more reliable?

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      probably

    2. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      FPL Statistics

    3. CunkOnFPL
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers!

  15. Rhinos
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pickford
    Holebas Clyne Cameron
    Hazard(c) Mane Sanchez Payet Snoddy
    Ibra Benteke
    Jakupovic Diomande Mcauley Amat

    Breaking a lot of rules captaining you Eden so you better repay me lad

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      nice differential. have a feeling he'll do well too

      btw a team without kun around these parts o.o

    2. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Super team fella. Good luck 🙂

      1. Rhinos
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        only 2m people to fly past 😎

  16. HurriKane
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Repost (Didnt get any response in last page)

    Start one from below ?

    A) Williams (mci)

    B) Amat(ars)

    C) Evans(TOT)

    D) Capoue (mid) AOA

    Thinking this could be a good week to play AOA

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      evans

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      AOA for me. Williams at a push.

    3. DRAFTSNAKE
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Capoue seems better away from home, arriving late in the box in counterattacks so makes sense to go AOA. plus your definitely won't get any points from those 3 defenders...

      1. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        good point. cheers mate.

  17. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Kone yellow flagged is a bonus if he plays.. resets back to 0%
    Still unsure why I bought him on WC and still have him tbf

  18. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    So selling Antonio + someone else to get Wally is apparently wrong.

    Selling Sterling is apparently also wrong.

    That leaves Firmino. Is he really good enough for a spot in such a crowded midfield as we have now?

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      getting wally is not wrong. 3 goals and 3 assists so far and plays for better side

      and arsenal plays 3 sides in bottom 5 in next 3 games.can see goals in them

    2. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I sold Sterling for Walcott due to Arsenals upcoming fixtures.
      With Barca for Citys midweek games I can see him being rested/rotated and feel Walcott will outscore him over the next 3

      1. FPL Emu
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Arsenal also have CL though. Both Sanchez and Walcott could be in danger. Probably not this week, but after that they play Ludgorets -away- on Tuesday after Middlesbrough at home

  19. Captain Blanks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Valencia > ?
    5.7 to spend

    Other defenders:
    Kosc, Baines, Holebas, Amat

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Vertonghen

    2. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Clyne or this ^^^

    3. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Vertonghen. Or take it down to a Stoke/Bournemouth and use the cash elsewhere.

    4. Jersey
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Clyne

  20. Clickzy
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Who to get rid of first?

    A) Puncheon
    B) Antonio
    C) Defoe
    D) Collins

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      D

    2. Cecil The Lion
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Depends on your rank

      1. Clickzy
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        2,718

        1. Cecil The Lion
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          D

    3. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A, B and C should be fine for this week. Collins should be your main priority.

    4. Jersey
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      D

  21. marquinhos
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Ibrahimovic to ?

    A) Deeney
    B) Austin
    C) Wilson

    Thanks

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

      1. marquinhos
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        why not austin?

    2. Clickzy
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  22. bigbudgie
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    What would you do.....1FT 0.1 ITB.....Save the best option? Tempted on Rashford>Austin/Wilson

    Pickford Jaku
    Kos Williams Lovren Amat Holebas
    Sanchez Sterling Antonio Firmino Fletcher
    Kun Lukaku Rashford

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Save. Reassess next week.

    2. Jersey
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      save

  23. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Current price changers according to statsuk

    Robinson Burnley G -100.1
    Delph Man City M -100.1
    Friend Middlesbrough D -100.5
    Guzan Middlesbrough G -100.7
    Hazard Chelsea -101.5
    Ibrahimovic Man Utd F-102.1
    Holding Arsenal D -103.0
    Lallana Liverpool M -104.1
    Barkley Everton M -104.3
    Zaza West Ham -105.3
    Iheanacho Man City -105.4
    Kenedy Watford M -105.9
    Pérez Arsenal F -109.1
    Sterling Man City M -112.7

    1. Cecil The Lion
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Is that Ibrahimovic's third of the GW, then?

      1. Twelve years a slave
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        First of the Gameweek

        1. Cecil The Lion
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Nah, the mods and everyone else said he'd go down 0.3. Can't be right

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            I didn't.

            1. A.T
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              Me neither.

          2. A.T
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            https://youtu.be/8E4znu82XhE

        2. Twelve years a slave
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          11.9 down to 11.4 in last Two Gameweeks and only Three points
          during that time. That is the reality

  24. maglia rosa
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Having played my WC in week 6 I really should resist taking out Snodgrass for a hit to get Walcott in but i do quite fancy an Arsenal double up with two home games against leaky Swansea and Boro up next.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Adds to my choices lol.

      1. maglia rosa
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        What say you T.M.
        Snoddy & Rashford >Theo & Diomande and a switch to 4 4 2 for -4

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Could work out short term. Who do you bench with no transfers?

          1. maglia rosa
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Holebas.

  25. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Ibra or lukaku > benteke?

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Ibra

    2. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Ibra

  26. BLANKET DEFENCE
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Will clyne be okay for Monday

    1. Shipstontrev
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Almost certainly

  27. bring_on _the_fantasy
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Is benteke really a better option than Costa this Gw?

    Leicester can't defend away from home?

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      both equally good options

  28. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Is an Arsenal defender essential? Would it be worth downgrading any of my front 8 to fit one in?

    Sanchez - Sterling - Antonio - Firmino - Capoue
    Kun - Lukaku - Deeney

    I have 2 FT and 0m ITB

  29. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    snodgrass or shaqiri?

    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      snodgrass

    2. DV8R
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Snodgrass

    3. Cecil The Lion
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Shaqiri

  30. elnino75
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    antonio or snodgrass for this week? cheers

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Antonio