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14 October 2016 2519 comments
J0E J0E
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Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    What would you do with this lot?

    Pickford Jaku
    Baines Walker Evans Holebas Amat
    Sanchez Firmino Sterling Antonio Capoue
    Aguero Lukaku Deeney

    2 FTs, 0 in bank

    Which choice would you pick?

    a) Antonio + Evans > Snodgrass + Mustafi
    b) Antonio + Baines > Snodgrass + any Arsenal def
    c) Antonio + Baines > Walcott + up to 5.0 def
    d) Capoue + Baines > 4.4m mid + Mustafi
    e) something else

    Cheers in advance.

    1. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. ⚽️ Omardiola ⚽️
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    3. Tansey
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    4. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers all, surprised other choices weren't picked.

    5. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C

    6. rainy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B over A if you need £ elsewhere.
      C if not.

    7. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      D TM

    8. fedolefan
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C

  2. ⚽️ Omardiola ⚽️
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    chances for sterling to starts ??

    1. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      No idea. All up to Pep

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Hopefully high.

    3. Manchester 17
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      70% chance he starts but with Barca midweek in UCL he might be rested after the injury

    4. Jason Bourne
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Very good IMO. I believe he was in full training.

  3. Tansey
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Bottomed.

    A) Evans + Antonio -> Mustafi + Snod (-4)
    B) Evans, Antonio, Lukaku -> Mustafi, Walcott, Wilson (-8)

    1. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. ⚽️ Omardiola ⚽️
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  4. Manchester 17
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Who should I captain?

    Wally
    Mane
    Kun
    Deeney
    Ozil

    Thanks!

    1. ⚽️ Omardiola ⚽️
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      kun

  5. tokara
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Is milner out with virus? Any link?

  6. Gianfranco Zola
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pick one

    a) Sterling + Valencia > Walcott + Kosc
    b) Bolasie + Valencia > Walcott + Holebas

    1. Gianfranco Zola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Anyone?

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      b but Holebas will need to be upgraded soon.

      1. Gianfranco Zola
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks TM. Holebas was just the first 4.5 that came to mind

  7. Ravager
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Foster (Japu)
    Walker Valencia Williams (Kelly Amat)
    Sterling Firmino Antonio Capoue (Fletcher)
    Aguero Deeney Lukaku

    1 FT 4.5 ITB

    A. Antonio > Sanchez
    B. Valencia > Mustafi
    C. Sterling+ Sanchez> Mustafi + Sanchez

  8. cylus11 ( Manager) - Russia…
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Which Gk should I play :
    1. Pickford vs Stoke A
    2. Heaton vs Sou A

    10 votes to decide

  9. ⚽️ Omardiola ⚽️
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Can AnyBody answer my question ob the Top

  10. Kane Train
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Whose everyones captain pick

    1. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Walcott

    2. Gianfranco Zola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Benteke

    3. Manchester 17
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Kun or Walcott

    4. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Kun. GW 8 superstition.

    5. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Firmino

    6. Jason Bourne
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Alexis

  11. 50pipsDaily
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Evans to Smith or Francis?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Smith

      1. 50pipsDaily
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Tq sir

  12. thep025
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    How is this looking?
    Foster Heaton
    Vertonghen Stones Morgan Holebas Amat
    Sanchez Sterling Firmino Redmond Capoue
    Aguero Lukaku Deeney
    No FTs. Anything worth a hit?
    And in how many GWs should i be playing my WC?

  13. Tansey
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Last dilema then.

    Evans and Antonio to Mustafi and Snodgrass for -4, or just save FT?

  14. thep025
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Time to get rid of Capoue and bank that 0.4m?

    1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      In a few weeks I probably will

  15. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Repost.

    Chances of Clyne starting?

    Still flagged

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      He trained this week, very good chance.

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers.

  16. Live Lad
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Coutinho or Sterling going forwards? Have Kun and Flymino

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Coutinho has great fixtures. But Sterling looks more dangerous.

  17. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Who to (c) & why? Need to get this right this week!

    A - Firmino
    B - Aguero
    C - Ibrahimovic

    1. Birds of Prey
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B on that

  18. Ravager
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    RP

    Foster (Japu)
    Walker Valencia Williams (Kelly Amat)
    Sterling Firmino Antonio Capoue (Fletcher)
    Aguero Deeney Lukaku

    1 FT 4.5 ITB

    A. Antonio > Sanchez
    B. Valencia > Mustafi
    C. Sterling+ Sanchez> Mustafi + Sanchez (-4)

  19. Birds of Prey
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Sanchez/Rashford> Walcott/Costa--no hit
    Yea or Nay? Thx, Cb

    1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Nay just Rashford >> someone

  20. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Remember after the last international break a tweet/source said that Sanchez was going to be benched. Anyone know who it was?

    1. thep025
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      afcamden

      1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks man.

  21. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Want to change Antonio & Bolasie.... Whom to transfer in???

    Current team....
    Pickford
    Valencia Stones Bellerin
    Sterling Sanchez Antonio Bolasie Capoue
    Kun(c) Austin

    1. Birds of Prey
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Antonio> Tadic straight up. nice team already.IMO GL

  22. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    butland how realistic is hism return nov 12 anyone read or hear anything?

  23. thep025
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Play-
    1)Foster or Heaton
    2)2 out of Stones,Morgan,Holebas,Amat
    3)Redmond or Capoue

    1. Birds of Prey
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      1)- I had same coin toss I went Foster just cuz I want to box out someone.
      2)I'd go low and take the ITB.
      3) Redmond for fixture this week.

      1. thep025
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        2??

    2. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Heaton
      Holebas Stones
      Redmond

  24. Alister
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    bench one - sterling, capoue, firmino, antonio, lukaku? surely capoue…

    1. thep025
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      yup

    2. noquarternt
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Why did you even include Sterling, Firmino, Antonio and Lukaku? If you're considering benching any of them, I'd sell them/see a doctor.

      1. Alister
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        sterling injury cloud

        1. noquarternt
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Just an 'international injury' from the looks of it.

  25. rainy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Would you start Chadli or Snodgrass this weekend?

    1. noquarternt
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      If you've got Chadli, you should play him.

    2. Jason Bourne
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Chadli against his old club. Extra motivation.

    3. rainy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers. Good advice both 🙂

      1. Jason Bourne
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yep yep

  26. bostoncrab
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Foster Jakupovic
    Baines Valencia Stones Friends Amat
    Sanchez Hazard Lamela Capoue Firmino
    Lukaku Austin Costa

    Plan to WC next week so got 1 FT for this game week. Any thoughts?

    1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Lamela >> Tadic ?

      1. bostoncrab
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Tadic has always been disappointing me. Had him since the beginning. Also i have Austin cover for The Saints.

        Or Lamela >> Son?

        1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Not a nailed starter for this GW. Just WC now 😎

  27. noquarternt
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Walcott/ Arsenal defender?

    1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Both

  28. I am 42
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Jakupovic
    Stones Friend Pieters
    Özil Payet Son Capoue
    Agüero Lukaku Benteke

    Foster Shaw Barry Amat

    1 FT, £3.1 in the bank
    who to upgrade?
    thanks a million

    1. noquarternt
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Save, you'll have 2 FT next week and De Bruyne might be back.

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Shaw to an Arsenal defender.

    3. I am 42
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      thanks both

  29. Telpuialion
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Robertson or Collins to bring in long term?

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Avoid Collins like the plague.

  30. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    best use of ft?
    1 mccauley> smith
    2 foster > grant
    3 evans> pietters

    1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      1

    2. kenzo.
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      4. McAuley to holebas.... dont buy smith for just 4 good games.... holebas has 10 along with 3 tough home games and 2 tough away!!! also more attacking

      1. Total Foot 5
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        got holeb already

      2. Don Look Back in Wenger
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        how about both? i dont even mind smith for only 3 good games, but yeah mcauley to either 1 of holebas smith or robertson is better

    3. Nigawan
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      i prefer robertson also . maybe evans for robertson.