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14 October 2016 2519 comments
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Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. thep025
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Captain Aguero or Sanchez??

    1. noquarternt
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Flip a coin- I'd go Sanchez.

    2. Nigawan
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      im going for costa since no CPL game for him.

  2. bostoncrab
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Austin (c) crazy?

    1. noquarternt
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Why take the risk?

      1. bostoncrab
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Benteke then? or Costa?

        1. noquarternt
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Yeah this might be the week to take a risk, but I personally just go for the poll leader, can't see risks paying off very often.

          1. gwitbrock
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            That's the most boring thing I've ever heard. I bet you're the kind of person to take the ball to the corner flag in fifa.

            1. noquarternt
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              Haha I don't get the ball enough to be able to do that. Just feel there's strength in numbers.

              1. gwitbrock
                • 11 Years
                9 years, 5 months ago

                😉

        2. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Costa

    2. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I wouldn't but as good as any this GW

    3. gwitbrock
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I've been on Austin since last week. Don't think I'll change

    4. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I had Austin C but changed to Sanchez but do think he's better pick than Sanchez or Kun

  3. LONG LIVE ZOLA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    am I GTG for my GW8 wildcard?

    Foster, Pickford
    Mustafi, Vertonghen, Smith, Holebas, Amat
    Sanchez, Firmino, Son, Walcott, Fletcher
    Aguero, Deeney, Austin

    1. noquarternt
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I like it, looks similar to mine below. Good luck!

      1. LONG LIVE ZOLA
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        good luck to u too mate

    2. LONG LIVE ZOLA
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      or should I swap son and deeney for snod and lukaku????

      1. noquarternt
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I think Son and Deeney are good options. Was just a bit worried about Poch's comments about Son coming back from Asia. Although I scare easily on those things.

        1. LONG LIVE ZOLA
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          I was always nervous of son being rotated this week when snoddy is nailed and has better fixtures. lukaku is also in amazing form. what would u recommend then?

          1. noquarternt
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            I'd say your current team is good, can't really find any faults that I'd consider changing. But yeah, my team below shows who I'd pick.

            1. LONG LIVE ZOLA
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              I'll probably end up making a snap decision last minute but thanks anyways mate. good luck!

  4. noquarternt
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Wildcard team

    Boruc
    Koscielny Rose Pieters
    Firmino Sanchez (c) Snodgrass Walcott
    Benteke Lukaku Aguero

    Pickford Holebas Leko Amat

    Looking good? any changes you'd make? Thanks in advance.

    1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Excellent effort.. Good Luck

      1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Any cash itb?

        1. noquarternt
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Cheers!

          Nothing...and I have a feeling I'll probably want De Bruyne or something next GW. Would you downgrade anyone for cash?

          1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Not really tbh Koscielny > Mustafi but not sure this is going to help much 🙂

            1. noquarternt
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              haha yeah cheers, can't have them all. 🙁

          2. Msms
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Sanchez for KdB next week otherwise you have to cash out few players for KdB. Walcott should get you some points from Arsenal week in week out.

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Looks good.
      Koscielny to Mustafi
      Leko to Fletcher.

      1. noquarternt
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers, yeah Leko is definitely a cashconverter. Does Mustafi score? Guess Kosc's goals are clouding my vision. Also is Rose the right Spurs defender?

        1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Love Rose

        2. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          If you check Mustafi stats they're pretty good. I've had Walker since the start and happy with him, but I'd be really wary about rotation with him and Rose. Vertonghen is the safe choice but don't expect any attacking points.

          1. noquarternt
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Yeah that's the Spurs problem, guess I need to make sure I've got an alright bench.

    3. Birds of Prey
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Never mind Leko Coq is fit at 4.3 for Arsenal. Have a friend on a WC and he went Boruc/Grant who rotate well.

      1. badgerboy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Waste of an Arsenal spot though. Might be a time when you need to triple up on them.

      2. noquarternt
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        That takes up a valuable Arsenal spot unfortunately. Yeah Grant could be the answer actually.

        1. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Could always go with Lloris and a Bournemouth defender.

  5. I am 42
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Jakupovic
    Stones Friend Pieters
    Özil Payet Son Capoue
    Agüero Lukaku Benteke

    Foster Shaw Barry Amat

    1 FT, £3.1 in the bank
    who to upgrade?

    1. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Capoue >> Walcott

    2. noquarternt
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Capoue -> Walcott or Friend to Arsenal def.

      Although as I said last time, I'd save the FT.

    3. soxela
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      No Liverpool mid is a problem. Ozil to Sanchez wud be quite obvious. I personally sold Capoue and have snoddy instead.

    4. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Shaw to an Arsenal defender. Shaw uncertain for starts atm.

    5. Msms
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep your money now for getting KdB (by selling ozil?) who will be back today or next gameweek

  6. AJCash
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    0.2 in the bank. 2 free transfers but can't see anything pressing. Thoughts?

    Pickford (Jaku)
    Baines, Walker, Kosc, (McAuley, Amat)
    Capoue, Sterling, Sanchez (c), Antonio, Firmino
    Aguero, Lukaku (Diomande)

    1. noquarternt
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Looks good, maybe cash out on Capoue? or Jaku?

      1. AJCash
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Was thinking of this. Capoue to Snod and then downgrade McAuley to fund it, perhaps?

    2. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Get a playing keeper for Jaku?

      1. AJCash
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Overlooked Jaku - Could do Jaku > Grant. Cheers!

    3. LE GOD(C)-AMERICAN DYCHO-(1…
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Baines >> Smith and Capoue >> Snodgrass

      1. AJCash
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thinking along these lines but not sure if I want Baines out yet. Cheers dude.

    4. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Capoue to Fletcher. Bank the cash and roll your 2nd FT.

      1. noquarternt
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        He's playing 5 mids

        1. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Sorry didn't notice that for some reason.
          Baines to Bournemouth/Stoke and Capoue to Snodgrass.

      2. AJCash
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah doesn't open the door with the banked cash to make a meaningful upgrade to Diomande - ideally I'd love to have Son/Walcott in for that Capoue position eventually but I'd have to lose one of Kosc or Walker.

    5. Msms
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Lets try capoue>bolasie today with your 0.2 itb

  7. LONG LIVE ZOLA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    son and deeney or snod and lukaku?

    1. SC not pearls before swine
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I prefer snod and lukaku. Ive always had a soft spot for Rom and think Everton have been really good at times this season.

    2. AJCash
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I'd go Snod/Lukaku too.

  8. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    I really want Bellerin in my WC team.. but then i went and read this cr@p

    http://www.express.co.uk/sport/football/721272/Arsenal-Team-News-Hector-Bellerin-Gunners-training

    Surely the way that article is written and the basis behind it(the photos released) is absolute cr@p right. would hate to swap Koscielny out for a Bellerin who does not play

    1. noquarternt
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I wouldn't read too much into it.

    2. pax888
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Great spot!

      Nobody else reporting that but he's definitely not in any of the 30 training photos on Arsenal's website.

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        He's in some of the other 23.

        1. pax888
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Link?

    3. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Sigh! Went for Toby instead.

    4. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      watch below

    5. Marquis-Cha-Cha
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      This was posted on Arsenal's Instagram 15 hours ago.
      https://www.instagram.com/p/BLiyyH4DDil/

  9. Mo Salah No Mane
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    I'm captaining Deeney today over Kun and Sanchez. I'm urging you guys to join me if you wanna fly up the rankings 😉 Don't say you weren't warned 🙂

    1. Msms
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I like risk taker. I am also crazy having anichebe (vs stoke) in my team today.

    2. soxela
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Payet for me.

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      great differential 😉

      1. Mo Salah No Mane
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        There's no other way to get away from the pack guys :/

  10. Ravager
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Already used my frees for Ibra> Deeney & Valencia > Mustafi.
    Would you (for a -4):

    A. Fletcher > Walcott
    B. Sterling> Sanchez

    I know A looks better short term. But thinking I might as well push for Sanchez now as I have the funds. Thoughts?

    1. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Guy can't get an answer tonight lol

    2. Zebras
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A. Based on last international break, Sanchez may just make a cameo on the Ellen's so the transfer may be in vain given UCL midweek as well.

      But I'd hold and bring in Sanchez next gw and use other ft to reassess after midweek games

  11. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Better option here guys?

    1. Baines to Rose
    2. Rashford to Benteke
    3. Save ft

    1. gwitbrock
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      1 if no spurs

  12. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Morning my lovelies.

  13. Win'dian
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Help needed...

    Foster (Jaku)
    Baines, Walker, Mustafi, Valencia (McAuley)
    Capoue, Son, Sanchez (c), Wally (Barry)
    Aguero, Lukaku, Deeney

    0ft and .5 itb

    Gtg or take a hit?

    1. Win'dian
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Correction: whom else to bench, baines/capou?

  14. The Red Devil
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Heaton/Pickford
    Lovren/McCauley/Kos/Robertson/amat
    Sterling/Sanchez/Antonio/capoue/fletcher
    Aguero/ibra/Deeney

    1FT 0 ITB

    A- Sterling to Theo/son/someone else
    B- save
    C- lovren to Smith
    D- anything else

    Reluctant to sell ibra

    1. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

  15. TokyoRisingSun
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Rashford to Benteke for a hit. Yes or no?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      No

  16. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    would you play

    a. Coleman V Man C

    b. Lovren V Man U

    Rest of me def is Walker, Holebas (Amat)

    Cheers
    D:)m

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      b maybe

    2. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      b

  17. Jjay
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Help please. Benteke or Austin?

  18. Paul
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Missed the Scousers pressers.... Ipdate on Lallana???

    1. Paul
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      *Update

  19. Puyol Pants Up
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    So Bellerin missed training? Hmmm...

    1. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      wouldn't read so much into it.

  20. PM
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Hazard QUICK POLL:

    1. Hazard, Lukaku, Evans

    2. Costa, Mane, Evans (use 2 FT)

    3. Ozil, Lukaku, Evans (use 1 FT)

    4. Walcott, Lukaku, ARS def use 2 FT)

    1. Jjay
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      2

    2. gwitbrock
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep Haz

      1. gwitbrock
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        i.e. 1

    3. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      4

      1. PM
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks, good luck this GW.

  21. Slyder93
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    G2G?

    Heaton
    Vertonghen/Baines/Stones
    Sanchez/Firmino/Antonio/Snoddy
    Deeney/Kun/Lukaku

    Foster/Amat/Friend/Fletcher

    1FT. 0.1itb.

    1. Ravager
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      G2G

  22. St. Joseph
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    With kun and sanchez possible limited minutes

    Is it wise to captain ibra, a differential in my cash ML

    1. Big Red Dog
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      It could be great.

  23. Ravager
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Foster (Japu)
    Walker Mustafi Williams (Kelly Amat)
    Sterling Firmino Antonio Capoue (Fletcher)
    Aguero Deeney Lukaku

    4.0 ITB, No frees

    A. Sterling > Sanchez
    B. Antonio> Walcott

  24. marquinhos
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    What would you do with this lot?

    Heaton
    Coleman Evans Blind

    Sanchez(c) Firmino Capoue Pucheon

    Aguero Ibra Lukaku

    0.7 ITB

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not alot - subs?

      1. marquinhos
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Robinson; Amat, De Pena, Love,

  25. Big Red Dog
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Ibra -> Costa for free?

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      If you have 1FT no. 2FT and nothing more pressing yes

  26. Nigawan
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    GW 8 team:

    Pickford

    Robertson konscielny williams

    Sanchez Snodgrass Antonio Coutinho

    Costa Aguero Lukaku

    Bench: Jak Capoue Kingsley Love

    Question:

    1. play this squad
    2. Use all out attack replacing Williams with Capoue.

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I have a similar issue. you look pretty good but AOA is pretty worthless anyway. Up to you when you want to play it

  27. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Hey guys now that its quiet would love some help with this one

    Foster
    Williams Valencia Evans
    Firmino Sanchez Sterling Antonio
    Kun Lukaku Rashford

    Jaku Capoue Collins Amat

    A) Save
    B) AOA
    C) Rashford --> Austin
    D) Valencia --> Vert

    Cheers

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I did C yesterday

    2. Nigawan
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      c 🙂

    3. Big Red Dog
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C

  28. Hy liverpool
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    watch the video ....
    Bellerin is fine , get him 😀

    http://www.offthepost.info/blog/2016/10/video-photos-arsenal-training-ahead-swansea-game/

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      @ Valar

  29. Big Red Dog
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    How do we think Liverpool Man Utd is going to turn out? Will united cope with the pressing?

    1. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Will be interesting to see pool formation with no Winj or Lallana

  30. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Just tried fitting in Kun, Payet, Sanchez, KDB
    ruined my team. Ahhh well, can only dream