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14 October 2016 2519 comments
J0E J0E
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Crystal ball gazing took centre stage during the second week of the international break as our community writers sought to find the best way to predict Fantasy returns.

A host of data, metrics and player attributes came under their watchful eyes as they considered the optimum captains and transfer moves over the coming weeks.

Our hot topics were also in spiritual mood as they prepared for Gameweek 8, a part of the fixture schedule with almost holy status among Fantasy managers. Elsewhere, there’s further number crunching predictions in our Members table section, and we assess whether some of our key players will find themselves benched this weekend or add to the legend that is Gameweek 8.

The Community Articles

Statistical chat stepped up a gear this week with a raft of articles delving deep into the player numbers to see how best to predict Fantasy returns.

Spreadsheet led the numerical charge with two articles, the first looking at how reliable points per game is as a guide to potential points and the second focusing on the best data to use to assess captaincy candidates.

Also armed with facts and figures was Your Mum’s Athletic, who dropped by to explain how fixture and form data can combine with bookies odds to help us pick out Gameweek 8’s best armband options.

Meanwhile, Bowstring the Carp undertook a refresh of Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All research from last year, which looked at the influence of shot accuracy on spotting points hauls. The comments section in this Members community article is particularly fascinating for those looking to gain further insight into points prophesising.

The veterans had mixed fortunes in their ability to number crunch player data over the last three Gameweeks, according to Kavali’s latest update on the fortunes of the 50 experienced Fantasy Premier League managers he is tracking this season

Don’t forget, if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

The Hottest Topics

Gameweek 8 has legendary status among Fantasy managers, with the potential to make or break a season. For the last two years, popular captain pick Sergio Aguero has scored a total of nine goals over this set of fixtures. While its position in the calendar, often around an international break, can make it a potential minefield for rotation and injuries.

Investment in some of Stoke City’s cut-price players is among the potential opportunities open in 2016/17’s Gameweek 8: the Potters now embark on a lengthy run of “easy” match-ups. In our discussion on the Stoke’ schedule we found out whether you are willing to take a risk on the fixtures improving their form.

Another team garnering interest is Tottenham Hotspur, particularly their defenders. As Dino’s hot topic shows, while the likes of Kyle Walker are expensive, they offer considerable points potential for those with some spare change in the bank.

For those looking for some less popular, under the radar options Worzel Gummidge’s hot topic will appeal. There were further differential striker options on offer in our discussion on the best front three to have for Gameweek 8 and beyond.

Chelsea’s Diego Costa may be one card away from a ban, but KTK Interiesta thinks on current form the Premier League’s top goalscorer this term is being unfairly overlooked for one of the three FPL striker roles.

International injuries are just one of the traditional Gameweek 8 pitfalls. Luckily knocks and niggles to the likes of Everton striker Romelu Lukaku looked to have passed. However, there are still concerns that fatigue could curtail the minutes of some of the Premier League’s more well-travelled players, in particular, Arsenal’s Chilean midfielder Alexis Sanchez and Aguero, who played 163 minutes for Argentina during the international break. MNR96 has been looking closely at their minutes for their national squads in his discussion on whether the pair will start or be asked to take a rest this weekend.

One player that is in no danger of fatigue is Wayne Rooney, who was dropped from England’s starting line-up for their Tuesday night clash with Slovenia. His axing from both the England and Manchester United first XI prompted us to start a discussion on other Premier League stars, who look to have passed their sell by date.

Finally, Gameweek 7 proved another poor week for our Scout Picks, but at least the Scoutcast team did well with their successful differential picks, according to Andy85wsm’s review.

The Members Tables

The analyser has taken a look at the best midfielders to choose from. For best results this table should be sorted by either chances created or goal attempts.

Also, here’a reminder that I turned Rakkhi’s One Stat To Rule Them All analysis into a Members table last year. Click here to see the latest accurate chancers with the potential to rack up the points over the coming weeks.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

  1. Geezer
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Bellerin worth the extra cash over Mustafi?

    1. Evans
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Definitely

  2. Evans
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Evening,

    Any help appreciated

    Do I swap Michail Antonio for

    A) Tadic
    B) Arnautovic
    C) Keep and save transfer ( happy with rest of team)

    1. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C- Keep.

    2. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C

    3. andymck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep

    4. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C. He has stats, he has fixtures and he has already done well this season. Have to show patience sometimes.

    5. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C

    6. Evans
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      C it is

    7. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Keep
      Looks like a goal fest between palace and West Ham

  3. wbm
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Baines > mustafi for free? 0 itb after

    Foster / Heaton
    Walker / Baines / Smith / Holebas / Amat
    Sterling / Firmino / Son / Snodgrass / Capoue
    Aguero / Costa / Lukaku

    1. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

    2. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      No
      Your back line is decent d'or this week, Baines will come handy next few weeks

  4. MagicHatFab
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Would be glad to get your thoughts on Francis.
    0.1 cheaper than smith and somehow better prospect than him in the "projection" on the members area

    Thanks

  5. Viper
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Which 1 to start?

    A. McAuley (TOT)

    B. Coleman (mci).

    1. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Dušan Citizen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      b

  6. semiconductor
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Would you do?

    Ibra, zaha and valencia to benteke, firminho and kosc??

    1. Danny x-factor
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yay

    2. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I wouldn't bother with Zaha -> Firmino this week (unless he has been ruled out or something?)

    3. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Sounds good

  7. CERVELO
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Sorry for repost - bottomed - What to do with this - 1FT

    Foster - Jaku
    Valencia Amat Baines McAuley Collins
    Sanchez Mane Sterling Capoue Bolaise
    Aguero Lukaku Rashford

    Use the transfer or save?

    1. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Money in the bank?

      1. CERVELO
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Just .2

    2. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Need a Arsenal defender

      1. CERVELO
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        How would you do that? Valencia and Baines both out for a hit?

    3. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Rash to Deeney?

      1. CERVELO
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Had a heads gone last week by replacing Benteke with Rashford. Shocker.

    4. maglia rosa
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Valencia, Capoue and Rashford could all be replaced with better options. So i say save n have a better chance at sorting some of the chaf out nxt week.

      1. CERVELO
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Bolaise to Snodgrass & Rashford to Deeney?

        1. maglia rosa
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Probably not for a hit Cervelo as Snoddy although a good option does play for Hull who dont score a lot. Deeney is a good choice.

          P.s. Shouldnt you get the cervelo badge as a grav Buddy?

  8. Dušan Citizen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Why am I even losing time here when I am getting no replies on questions. Although I don't post much recently.

    1. The Fantastic Mr Fox
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Don't see a question. Repost it pls

    2. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I just answer yes or no, or a,b,c questions because of my english

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Que?

    3. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Relax these posts come thick and fast so it's hard to see them sometimes what's on your mind?

    4. Dušan Citizen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I was asking is it worth getting Tadic with those fixtures.
      And I am thinking about doing PVA to Vert/Alderweireld for -8.

      1. Dr Dream
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I'd stick hold of PVA and see how they line up tomorrow...

        Alonso and PVA could be one everybody's radar soon as OOP...

      2. Sharpe Shuffle
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I wouldn't get Tadic in. Possibly hold if you already had him. Better options in his price range with better fixtures.

        Toby's due a goal alright. Trying to scrape together the funds on wildcard at the moment but not sure I can stretch to 6.5

      3. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yes. Get him in. It's GW8 for crying out loud and his form is red hot going into the plum home fixture against Burnley.

    5. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Goodnight Aatish.

  9. Danny x-factor
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Which one?

    A) Cech & Stones

    B) Foster & Mustafi

    1. Dušan Citizen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      a

    2. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Probably a

    3. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A

  10. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Captain choice - landed on two somewhat less popular choices, need help,to select between the two:

    A benteke
    B walcot

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Benteke

    2. Danny x-factor
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Walcot

    3. Geezer
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    4. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    5. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    6. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Wow.did not expect a landslide...
      Was thinking benteke on form and on penalties against a leaky defence, but now I'll reconsider

  11. Petr Cech the Table
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    How to improve WC team.

    Foster - Pickford
    Stones - Vertonghen - Amat - Koscielny - Holebas
    Son - Capoue - Firmino - Snodgrass - Sanchez
    Aguero (C) - Benteke - Deeney

    0.1 ITB

    1. Danny x-factor
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      3 strong defence going to play week in week out?

      1. Petr Cech the Table
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Pretty much. Stones hasn't been good to me, but City's fixtures get better.

  12. The Fantastic Mr Fox
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Could everyone not sell Sterling en masse. His home record is off the charts, and he's being sold for questionable fears over reduced gametime 🙁

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Let them sell. More points for me.

    2. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Playing Barcelona away, Barcelona at home and United between these fixtures though

      Not concerned about that?

      1. Hurricane Gilbert
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah, answer this Epic

  13. Mulla
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    If you had the funds would you get Bellerin over Kosc/Mustafi ?
    Or save cash for future transfers

  14. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Tell you what, I'd almost be tempted to get Arnautovic in, instead of Walcott - Sunderland (h), Hull (a), Swansea (h), West Ham (a), Bournemouth (h), Watford (a), Burnley (h)

    1. the axolotl
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      almost 😉

    2. Dušan Citizen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I am between him, Walcott, Tadic and Snodgrass.

    3. Parm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Walcott has a similar next three fixtures, then maybe you could move him on to Arnautovic if he picks up form.

      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah, fair point!

    4. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Arsenal fixtures also great, Wally for me but good shout

      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Maybe Arnie could come in for Antonio soon enough

        1. enrico.palazzo
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Yeah good idea!

    5. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      I've earmarked Shaqiri for next week

    6. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Selling Ibra?

    7. Sharpe Shuffle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yep, and he scored twice for Austria the other night. Quality player. It's between him and Son for me on wildcard. Wish we knew if Son was going to start

  15. Bruno Bruno!!
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    thoughts on the following

    Rashford to Callum Wilson

    Valencia to Walker

    for -4 hit

    1. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not for me

    2. European Bob
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Just do the first transfer, no hit

  16. enrico.palazzo
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Advice on this team? Horrid defence

    Foster (Jaku)

    Stones - Clyne - friend
    Sanchez (c) - Snod - firm -Capoue
    Ibra - Kun - Lukaku

    Evans, Gueye, Amat
    1 FT 0.2 INB

    1. SheBangsTheDrums
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Lose Ibra, upgrade defence and Capoue isn't strong enough as a 4th mid.

    2. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      sell ibra for deeney or benteke and upgarde capoue.

    3. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers both, plan for next week.

      Ibra >
      Gueye >

  17. andymck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Pickford Jaku
    Vertonghen Williams Holebas Evans Amat
    Sanchez Firmino Sterling Antonio Capoue
    Aguero Lukaku Deeney

    Is it worth downgrading Sterling to Son so I can upgrade Jaku or Evans? Got 2 FT and don't want to waste one.

    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      See below, thinking the same

  18. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    A) Williams + Mustafi
    B) Bellerin + Evans

    Which one?

  19. Bantchester United
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Lads - am I reading this right? Sanchez to be dropped tomorrow?

    1. SheBangsTheDrums
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      How is she looking lads? GTG?

      Foster

      Walker | Mustafi | Holebas

      Sanchez | Firmino | Sterling | Snoddy

      Kun (c) | Lukaku | Austin

      Jaku | Capoue | Stones | Amat

      1. SheBangsTheDrums
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        I've had a right Weston here!

        1. Bantchester United
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Haha. Looks good. I'm worried for Sanchez. Reports saying he's rested

          1. SheBangsTheDrums
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Cheers! I wouldn't be surprised at all! I captained him the GW after the last break! Not getting burnt with that one again!

            1. Bantchester United
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 5 months ago

              Haha me too. Reports in Chile though, probably bs

        2. Sharpe Shuffle
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Weston - ha! Team looks good. Would maybe have a look at your keepers sometime soon as Jaku isn't playing and Foster has horrible fixtures but nothing worth a -4

          1. SheBangsTheDrums
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Cheers! Jaku to Pickford will probably be next weeks transfer!

  20. RoysCallerAnne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    2 weeks of pondering. I think I'm set on my first -4

    Zlatan, Sterling, Williams ---> Wilson, Sanchez, Bellerin.

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Thanks mystery +1er 😎

    2. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Not Tempted with toby instead of Bellers. 😕

      1. RoysCallerAnne
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Prefer the Ars fixtures and I love having Bellerin as he so exciting to watch.

  21. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Jaku Pickford
    Williams Amat Lovren Holebas Smith
    Sanchez Antonio Capoue Sterling Firmino
    Kun Luk Deeney

    Downgrade Sterling to sort out defence?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Thats my thinking also

      Thinking Sterling to Son & Williams to Vert

  22. Punter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    GTG?

    Pickford
    Valencia - Evans - Van Aanholt
    Sanchez - Firmino - Alli - Sterling
    Benteke (c) - Aguero - Defoe

    Foster - Capoue - Williams - Amat

    0FT - £0.0 itb

    Could maybe use AOA to bench Evans (TOT) and play Capoue (mid)

  23. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Andy, are you not worried about the next two United fixtures being away (to good teams)? Ibra seems so much better when United are not playing against a high pressing team. He's not exactly Vardy, won't go running in behind the defence anytime soon

    1. andymck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      He did score against City tbf

      1. ZimZalabim
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        but that was bravos fault not gonna happen every time but he could always score from a set piece vs Liverpool

      2. FPL Emu
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        At home

  24. Moose™
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Folks, gtg?

    My team:

    Pickford

    Kosc Evans Kone

    Sanchez(c) Firmino Antonio Snoddy

    Kun(vc) Lukaku Deeney

    Sub: Foster Capoue Williams Amat

    0ft & 1.1itb.

    1. Ange Ball
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Kone won't play nice team tho

  25. che
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    play Lovren or McAuley?

  26. Thomass
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Would you do this for -4?
    Sterling to Tadic and Lallana to lfc mid?

    1. Dr Dream
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Yes.

      Every week you will be asking if Sterling starts...Lallana is doing well but the long haul favours the other mids imo...

      You may be kicking yourself after this weekend, or maybe not, but long term it looks good to me...

  27. Ange Ball
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Please can I get A or B or C

    Currently mid sanchez Walcott Mane Sterling with Capoue bench. No FREE transfer. Front 3 Rashford Aguero Deeney. Should I do the following.

    A) stick no hits
    B) Rashford》Costa
    Sterling 》 Allen (Stoke)
    C) Rashford 》Bony
    Sterling 》 Son (Tottenham)

    C) Mid does look temp but to template.

    1. Thomass
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Easily A. Those look like crazy moves for hits. Turn the computer off and go to bed.

    3. Sharpe Shuffle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      A. Shifting Sterling for a hit is madness

  28. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    why people are selling sterling?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Popular player, yellow flagged.

      1. maglia rosa
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 5 months ago

        Is there a reason he is flagged Epic?

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 5 months ago

          Pulled up with a slight injury but seems like he should be ok.

          1. maglia rosa
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 5 months ago

            Cheers epic.

    2. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Ask them.

    3. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      He's my only yellow flag that hasn't been given the all clear.
      I want Sanchez.

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Want to free up funds to improve defence and Son and Walcott are cheaper and on similar form.

  29. Petr Cech the Table
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    (A) Austin
    (B) Benteke
    (C) C. Wilson
    (D) Deeney

    Pick 2.

    1. Ange Ball
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      BD

  30. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 5 months ago

    Sterling to Walcott and Williams to Kosh?

    1. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 5 months ago

      Have Sanchez