FPL price change predictions: Who will rise + fall on March 1?

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
O'Reilly	MCI	5.2m	111.9%	Very Likely
Gordon	NEW	7.2m	98.6%	Likely
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	93.7%	Unlikely
Guéhi	CRY	5.2m	66.8%	Unlikely
Cherki	MCI	6.4m	77.5%	Unlikely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	75.4%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	78.2%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	77.4%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	77.9%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	76.1%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	70.6%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	68.3%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	68.2%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	64.6%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.1m	52.1%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	62.0%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	59.5%	Unlikely
Bowen	WHU	7.5m	56.9%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	57.4%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	55.1%	Unlikely
Rúben	MCI	5.6m	52.2%	Unlikely
Romero	TOT	5.0m	53.7%	Unlikely
Raya	ARS	6.0m	48.4%	Unlikely
Foden	MCI	8.7m	23.3%	Unlikely
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.2m	19.0%	Unlikely
Tete	FUL	4.5m	48.9%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	48.1%	Unlikely
Saka	ARS	10.2m	44.4%	Unlikely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	46.1%	Unlikely
Dalot	MUN	4.4m	43.9%	Unlikely
Wilson	WHU	5.8m	42.6%	Unlikely
Flemming	BUR	5.3m	42.3%	Unlikely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	40.8%	Unlikely
Chukwueze	FUL	5.3m	44.0%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	42.1%	Unlikely
J.Palhinha	TOT	5.5m	41.3%	Unlikely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	37.4%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.3m	37.6%	Unlikely
Haaland	MCI	15.0m	37.3%	Unlikely
Thiago	BRE	7.1m	26.1%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Barnes	NEW	6.4m	123.8%	Very Likely
Saliba	ARS	6.0m	122.1%	Very Likely
Nallo	LIV	3.8m	120.1%	Very Likely
Senesi	BOU	5.0m	117.4%	Very Likely
Grealish	EVE	6.6m	113.0%	Very Likely
J.Arias	WOL	5.0m	106.1%	Very Likely
Hato	CHE	4.7m	104.8%	Very Likely
Patterson	SUN	4.3m	104.8%	Very Likely
Ayari	BHA	4.9m	102.6%	Very Likely
Steele	BHA	4.3m	103.2%	Very Likely
J.Murphy	NEW	6.1m	101.3%	Very Likely
Morgan	BRE	4.4m	102.4%	Very Likely
Walker-Peters	WHU	4.3m	102.1%	Very Likely
Walker	BUR	4.4m	99.2%	Likely
Aznou	EVE	4.3m	101.6%	Very Likely
Jordan	BUR	4.0m	99.3%	Maybe
Bates	EVE	4.4m	98.2%	Maybe
Toti	WOL	4.3m	97.5%	Maybe
Neave	NEW	4.4m	97.4%	Maybe
Agbadou	WOL	4.3m	93.5%	Maybe
Muniz	FUL	5.4m	95.8%	Maybe
Fitzgerald	MUN	4.4m	97.2%	Maybe
Kulusevski	TOT	6.4m	95.3%	Maybe
Jair Cunha	NFO	4.3m	93.9%	Maybe
H.Bueno	WOL	4.4m	93.9%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.4%	Unlikely
Longstaff	LEE	4.9m	91.0%	Unlikely
Zubimendi	ARS	5.3m	93.9%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	92.5%	Unlikely
Tasker	BHA	3.9m	91.2%	Unlikely
Webster	BHA	4.4m	91.6%	Unlikely
Elanga	NEW	6.6m	90.8%	Unlikely
Fer López	WOL	5.2m	91.4%	Unlikely
Bobb	MCI	5.2m	91.4%	Unlikely
McAtee	NFO	5.1m	88.8%	Unlikely
Broggio	AVL	4.5m	88.9%	Unlikely
Yarmoliuk	BRE	5.0m	87.6%	Unlikely
L.Guilherme	WHU	4.9m	89.3%	Unlikely
Gunn	NFO	4.0m	88.8%	Unlikely
Barnes	BUR	4.3m	88.8%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Alisson	LIV	C
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C, Sus
Up	Kelleher	BRE	C, Vs
Down	Ramsdale	NEW	C
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:16am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	C
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C, Inj
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	C
Up	Andersen	FUL	C
Up	Marc Guehi	CRY	A
Up	van den Berg	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	A
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	C
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	A
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:28am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	B
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
No Change	Foden	MCI	A
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	C
Up	Szoboszlai	LIV	C
No Change	Minteh	BHA	B
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	A
No Change	Schade	BRE	C, Vs, Sus
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:34am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	B
No Change	Thiago	BRE	A, Vs
No Change	Mateta	CRY	C
Up	Ekitiké	LIV	B
Down	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
Down	Woltemade	NEW	B

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:43am

We’ve a brand spanking new widget on the Fantasy Football Scout home page, which details the predicted Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes for the upcoming evening.

These come courtesy of LiveFPL, who launched their new price change predictor in late 2024.

Since then, the brains behind the site – our friend Ragabolly – has been tweaking his predictor tool to try and make it the most reliable one out there.

Only FPL themselves know how their mysterious price change algorithm works – and the goalposts seem to be moving all the time.

But Ragabolly’s predictor gives a pretty damned good gauge of who is nearing falling or rising in price.

And here is who is close to doing so at 01.30 GMT on Saturday 1 March.…

PRICE CHANGE PREDICTIONS: MARCH 1

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
O'Reilly	MCI	5.2m	111.9%	Very Likely
Gordon	NEW	7.2m	98.6%	Likely
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	93.7%	Unlikely
Guéhi	CRY	5.2m	66.8%	Unlikely
Cherki	MCI	6.4m	77.5%	Unlikely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	75.4%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	78.2%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	77.4%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	77.9%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	76.1%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	70.6%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	68.3%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	68.2%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	64.6%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.1m	52.1%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	62.0%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	59.5%	Unlikely
Bowen	WHU	7.5m	56.9%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	57.4%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	55.1%	Unlikely
Rúben	MCI	5.6m	52.2%	Unlikely
Romero	TOT	5.0m	53.7%	Unlikely
Raya	ARS	6.0m	48.4%	Unlikely
Foden	MCI	8.7m	23.3%	Unlikely
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.2m	19.0%	Unlikely
Tete	FUL	4.5m	48.9%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	48.1%	Unlikely
Saka	ARS	10.2m	44.4%	Unlikely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	46.1%	Unlikely
Dalot	MUN	4.4m	43.9%	Unlikely
Wilson	WHU	5.8m	42.6%	Unlikely
Flemming	BUR	5.3m	42.3%	Unlikely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	40.8%	Unlikely
Chukwueze	FUL	5.3m	44.0%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	42.1%	Unlikely
J.Palhinha	TOT	5.5m	41.3%	Unlikely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	37.4%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.3m	37.6%	Unlikely
Haaland	MCI	15.0m	37.3%	Unlikely
Thiago	BRE	7.1m	26.1%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Barnes	NEW	6.4m	123.8%	Very Likely
Saliba	ARS	6.0m	122.1%	Very Likely
Nallo	LIV	3.8m	120.1%	Very Likely
Senesi	BOU	5.0m	117.4%	Very Likely
Grealish	EVE	6.6m	113.0%	Very Likely
J.Arias	WOL	5.0m	106.1%	Very Likely
Hato	CHE	4.7m	104.8%	Very Likely
Patterson	SUN	4.3m	104.8%	Very Likely
Ayari	BHA	4.9m	102.6%	Very Likely
Steele	BHA	4.3m	103.2%	Very Likely
J.Murphy	NEW	6.1m	101.3%	Very Likely
Morgan	BRE	4.4m	102.4%	Very Likely
Walker-Peters	WHU	4.3m	102.1%	Very Likely
Walker	BUR	4.4m	99.2%	Likely
Aznou	EVE	4.3m	101.6%	Very Likely
Jordan	BUR	4.0m	99.3%	Maybe
Bates	EVE	4.4m	98.2%	Maybe
Toti	WOL	4.3m	97.5%	Maybe
Neave	NEW	4.4m	97.4%	Maybe
Agbadou	WOL	4.3m	93.5%	Maybe
Muniz	FUL	5.4m	95.8%	Maybe
Fitzgerald	MUN	4.4m	97.2%	Maybe
Kulusevski	TOT	6.4m	95.3%	Maybe
Jair Cunha	NFO	4.3m	93.9%	Maybe
H.Bueno	WOL	4.4m	93.9%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.4%	Unlikely
Longstaff	LEE	4.9m	91.0%	Unlikely
Zubimendi	ARS	5.3m	93.9%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	92.5%	Unlikely
Tasker	BHA	3.9m	91.2%	Unlikely
Webster	BHA	4.4m	91.6%	Unlikely
Elanga	NEW	6.6m	90.8%	Unlikely
Fer López	WOL	5.2m	91.4%	Unlikely
Bobb	MCI	5.2m	91.4%	Unlikely
McAtee	NFO	5.1m	88.8%	Unlikely
Broggio	AVL	4.5m	88.9%	Unlikely
Yarmoliuk	BRE	5.0m	87.6%	Unlikely
L.Guilherme	WHU	4.9m	89.3%	Unlikely
Gunn	NFO	4.0m	88.8%	Unlikely
Barnes	BUR	4.3m	88.8%	Unlikely

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These numbers will keep changing throughout the day, responding to transfer market activity on FPL.

All the confirmed changes can be found here.

HOW LIVEFPL’S PRICE PREDICTOR WORKS

You can see these predictions in more detail on the LiveFPL website.

LiveFPL has launched a Price Change Predictor

Players with at least 100% progress are estimated to rise that night and those with -100% or more are estimated to drop.

This column is a standard feature on predictors but what sets LiveFPL’s apart is the measurement of progress per hour, which allows an educated guess of their end-of-day expected percentage.

LiveFPL has launched a Price Change Predictor 1

Furthermore, there’s an at-a-glance table that neatly summarises which players are currently in those zones and which are about to be.

You’re also able to filter out the lower-owned assets, focusing instead on relevant ones.

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