FPL price change predictions: Who will rise + fall on March 1?

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.9m	95.7%	Likely
Thiago	BRE	7.1m	93.5%	Likely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	100.8%	Very Likely
Ekitiké	LIV	9.0m	84.9%	Maybe
Raúl	FUL	6.1m	92.6%	Maybe
Mainoo	MUN	4.6m	93.0%	Unlikely
Gabriel	ARS	7.1m	82.6%	Unlikely
A.Becker	LIV	5.4m	88.4%	Unlikely
Kroupi.Jr	BOU	4.7m	89.5%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.6m	74.7%	Unlikely
Iwobi	FUL	6.3m	52.7%	Unlikely
O.Dango	BRE	5.9m	62.1%	Unlikely
Mac Allister	LIV	6.2m	58.6%	Unlikely
Gravenberch	LIV	5.5m	59.9%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	61.4%	Unlikely
Hill	BOU	4.1m	55.4%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	58.6%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.2m	60.7%	Unlikely
Barry	EVE	5.7m	57.5%	Unlikely
Adli	BOU	5.4m	58.7%	Unlikely
Martinez	MUN	4.8m	59.2%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	56.2%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	54.5%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	52.2%	Unlikely
Gordon	NEW	7.2m	52.8%	Unlikely
Lammens	MUN	5.0m	51.0%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.4m	52.8%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	47.2%	Unlikely
Gakpo	LIV	7.3m	43.7%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	49.1%	Unlikely
Diouf	WHU	4.0m	45.9%	Unlikely
Schade	BRE	6.9m	41.6%	Unlikely
Rodon	LEE	3.9m	44.7%	Unlikely
Nallo	LIV	3.7m	44.3%	Unlikely
Kayode	BRE	4.5m	42.6%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.0m	31.5%	Unlikely
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	41.7%	Unlikely
Van den Berg	BRE	4.5m	40.2%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	40.9%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	42.3%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Chalobah	CHE	5.7m	115.0%	Very Likely
Pablo	WHU	5.5m	99.3%	Likely
Haaland	MCI	14.8m	86.0%	Likely
Strand Larsen	CRY	6.2m	92.8%	Likely
Cash	AVL	4.9m	94.6%	Likely
Tarkowski	EVE	5.7m	99.2%	Maybe
Roberts	BUR	4.4m	97.4%	Maybe
Kluivert	BOU	7.0m	92.6%	Unlikely
Bajcetic	LIV	4.3m	92.1%	Unlikely
Trésor	BUR	4.4m	91.0%	Unlikely
Wood	NFO	7.2m	91.9%	Unlikely
Poveda	SUN	4.8m	89.4%	Unlikely
Perri	LEE	4.5m	89.8%	Unlikely
Ekdal	BUR	3.9m	86.0%	Unlikely
D.Leon	MUN	4.2m	87.4%	Unlikely
McGinn	AVL	5.4m	86.0%	Unlikely
Carvalho	BRE	4.7m	86.5%	Unlikely
Byram	LEE	3.8m	86.9%	Unlikely
Tchaouna	BUR	4.9m	85.2%	Unlikely
Gnonto	LEE	5.2m	82.0%	Unlikely
Fredricson	MUN	3.8m	82.1%	Unlikely
Arrizabalaga	ARS	4.1m	80.7%	Unlikely
Van de Ven	TOT	4.5m	80.4%	Unlikely
Armstrong	WOL	5.4m	73.1%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	78.2%	Unlikely
Soler	BOU	4.0m	75.7%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.6m	65.2%	Unlikely
Lewis-Skelly	ARS	5.1m	74.2%	Unlikely
Heaton	MUN	3.9m	73.2%	Unlikely
Bruun Larsen	BUR	5.3m	69.4%	Unlikely
Romero	TOT	5.0m	71.2%	Unlikely
Tóth.A	BOU	5.0m	62.8%	Unlikely
Weiss	BUR	4.3m	71.4%	Unlikely
Evanilson	BOU	6.9m	61.1%	Unlikely
Clarke	ARS	3.8m	69.4%	Unlikely
Isak	LIV	10.3m	70.0%	Unlikely
J.Palhinha	TOT	5.5m	64.5%	Unlikely
Mateta	CRY	7.5m	64.8%	Unlikely
Burrowes	AVL	4.4m	64.3%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	63.8%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Alisson	LIV	B, Vs, Rest
No Change	Kelleher	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Martinez	AVL	B, Vs
No Change	Petrovic	BOU	A
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 27 Feb, 2026 5:16pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	A, Vs
No Change	Gabriel Magalhães	ARS	B
No Change	Hill	BOU	A, £
Up	O’Reilly	MCI	A, OoP
No Change	Andersen	FUL	C, Vs
No Change	Muñoz	CRY	B
No Change	Kayode	BRE	C, Vs, Inj
No Change	Cash	AVL	C, Vs
Up	Ballard	SUN	B

Last updated: 27 Feb, 2026 5:22pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
No Change	Salah	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Rogers	AVL	B, Vs
No Change	Semenyo	MCI	A
No Change	Wilson	FUL	C, Vs
No Change	Dango Ouattara	BRE	A, Vs
No Change	Ismaila Sarr	CRY	B
No Change	Rice	ARS	B
No Change	Rayan	BOU	B
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £

Last updated: 27 Feb, 2026 5:28pm

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	A
No Change	Thiago	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Ekitiké	LIV	B, Vs
No Change	Bowen	WHU	B
No Change	Kroupi	BOU	C, Rest, £
No Change	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	C

Last updated: 27 Feb, 2026 5:30pm

We’ve a brand spanking new widget on the Fantasy Football Scout home page, which details the predicted Fantasy Premier League (FPL) price changes for the upcoming evening.

These come courtesy of LiveFPL, who launched their new price change predictor in late 2024.

Since then, the brains behind the site – our friend Ragabolly – has been tweaking his predictor tool to try and make it the most reliable one out there.

Only FPL themselves know how their mysterious price change algorithm works – and the goalposts seem to be moving all the time.

But Ragabolly’s predictor gives a pretty damned good gauge of who is nearing falling or rising in price.

And here is who is close to doing so at 01.30 GMT on Saturday 1 March.…

PRICE CHANGE PREDICTIONS: MARCH 1

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.9m	95.7%	Likely
Thiago	BRE	7.1m	93.5%	Likely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	100.8%	Very Likely
Ekitiké	LIV	9.0m	84.9%	Maybe
Raúl	FUL	6.1m	92.6%	Maybe
Mainoo	MUN	4.6m	93.0%	Unlikely
Gabriel	ARS	7.1m	82.6%	Unlikely
A.Becker	LIV	5.4m	88.4%	Unlikely
Kroupi.Jr	BOU	4.7m	89.5%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.6m	74.7%	Unlikely
Iwobi	FUL	6.3m	52.7%	Unlikely
O.Dango	BRE	5.9m	62.1%	Unlikely
Mac Allister	LIV	6.2m	58.6%	Unlikely
Gravenberch	LIV	5.5m	59.9%	Unlikely
Wan-Bissaka	WHU	4.1m	61.4%	Unlikely
Hill	BOU	4.1m	55.4%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	58.6%	Unlikely
Amad	MUN	6.2m	60.7%	Unlikely
Barry	EVE	5.7m	57.5%	Unlikely
Adli	BOU	5.4m	58.7%	Unlikely
Martinez	MUN	4.8m	59.2%	Unlikely
Justin	LEE	3.9m	56.2%	Unlikely
Richards	CRY	4.4m	54.5%	Unlikely
Aaronson	LEE	5.4m	52.2%	Unlikely
Gordon	NEW	7.2m	52.8%	Unlikely
Lammens	MUN	5.0m	51.0%	Unlikely
Anderson	NFO	5.4m	52.8%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	47.2%	Unlikely
Gakpo	LIV	7.3m	43.7%	Unlikely
Igor Jesus	NFO	5.8m	49.1%	Unlikely
Diouf	WHU	4.0m	45.9%	Unlikely
Schade	BRE	6.9m	41.6%	Unlikely
Rodon	LEE	3.9m	44.7%	Unlikely
Nallo	LIV	3.7m	44.3%	Unlikely
Kayode	BRE	4.5m	42.6%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.0m	31.5%	Unlikely
Alderete	SUN	4.1m	41.7%	Unlikely
Van den Berg	BRE	4.5m	40.2%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	40.9%	Unlikely
Shaw	MUN	4.5m	42.3%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Chalobah	CHE	5.7m	115.0%	Very Likely
Pablo	WHU	5.5m	99.3%	Likely
Haaland	MCI	14.8m	86.0%	Likely
Strand Larsen	CRY	6.2m	92.8%	Likely
Cash	AVL	4.9m	94.6%	Likely
Tarkowski	EVE	5.7m	99.2%	Maybe
Roberts	BUR	4.4m	97.4%	Maybe
Kluivert	BOU	7.0m	92.6%	Unlikely
Bajcetic	LIV	4.3m	92.1%	Unlikely
Trésor	BUR	4.4m	91.0%	Unlikely
Wood	NFO	7.2m	91.9%	Unlikely
Poveda	SUN	4.8m	89.4%	Unlikely
Perri	LEE	4.5m	89.8%	Unlikely
Ekdal	BUR	3.9m	86.0%	Unlikely
D.Leon	MUN	4.2m	87.4%	Unlikely
McGinn	AVL	5.4m	86.0%	Unlikely
Carvalho	BRE	4.7m	86.5%	Unlikely
Byram	LEE	3.8m	86.9%	Unlikely
Tchaouna	BUR	4.9m	85.2%	Unlikely
Gnonto	LEE	5.2m	82.0%	Unlikely
Fredricson	MUN	3.8m	82.1%	Unlikely
Arrizabalaga	ARS	4.1m	80.7%	Unlikely
Van de Ven	TOT	4.5m	80.4%	Unlikely
Armstrong	WOL	5.4m	73.1%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	78.2%	Unlikely
Soler	BOU	4.0m	75.7%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.6m	65.2%	Unlikely
Lewis-Skelly	ARS	5.1m	74.2%	Unlikely
Heaton	MUN	3.9m	73.2%	Unlikely
Bruun Larsen	BUR	5.3m	69.4%	Unlikely
Romero	TOT	5.0m	71.2%	Unlikely
Tóth.A	BOU	5.0m	62.8%	Unlikely
Weiss	BUR	4.3m	71.4%	Unlikely
Evanilson	BOU	6.9m	61.1%	Unlikely
Clarke	ARS	3.8m	69.4%	Unlikely
Isak	LIV	10.3m	70.0%	Unlikely
J.Palhinha	TOT	5.5m	64.5%	Unlikely
Mateta	CRY	7.5m	64.8%	Unlikely
Burrowes	AVL	4.4m	64.3%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	63.8%	Unlikely

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These numbers will keep changing throughout the day, responding to transfer market activity on FPL.

All the confirmed changes can be found here.

HOW LIVEFPL’S PRICE PREDICTOR WORKS

You can see these predictions in more detail on the LiveFPL website.

LiveFPL has launched a Price Change Predictor

Players with at least 100% progress are estimated to rise that night and those with -100% or more are estimated to drop.

This column is a standard feature on predictors but what sets LiveFPL’s apart is the measurement of progress per hour, which allows an educated guess of their end-of-day expected percentage.

LiveFPL has launched a Price Change Predictor 1

Furthermore, there’s an at-a-glance table that neatly summarises which players are currently in those zones and which are about to be.

You’re also able to filter out the lower-owned assets, focusing instead on relevant ones.

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