Spot the Differential
6 November 2025 259 comments
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Arsenal, Nottingham Forest and West Ham United assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 11 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

All three of these players have an ownership of 5% or lower.


MIKEL MERINO

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: sun | TOT | che | BRE | avl

In the wake of Mikel Merino’s (£5.9m) impressive performance against Slavia Prague, the Spaniard’s differential appeal in Gameweek 11 cannot be ignored.

After a quiet first half, Merino burst into life by scoring two goals on Tuesday, one of which was a superb backwards header.

“It’s a joy to have him, I always say the same thing. It’s his versatility on the pitch, the things that he can do, it’s his mindset, it’s his leadership, it’s the way he is as a person. Today we are missing a lot of attacking players and we have to find different solutions, he comes in the Champions League and scores two goals.” – Mikel Arteta on Mikel Merino

Owing to that superb UEFA Champions League display and the likelihood that Viktor Gyokeres (£9.0m) will once again miss out through injury, Merino furnishes Fantasy managers with a unique route into an Arsenal side that is currently in excellent form, having secured 10 consecutive wins in all competitions.

During his temporary stint as a stand-in striker in 2024/25, Merino posted some very decent numbers, scoring four goals in six league matches from mid-February to April. In that period, he was either top or joint-top among Arsenal teammates for shots in the box, penalty box touches and expected goals (xG).

“My view was always that he had really good timing and the capacity to finish in the box, especially one-touch. And then talking to him and making sure that he plays closer to the box, and he identifies the opportunities, the timing, the way he needs to attack the spaces in relation to how they defend the box, which today was a bit different as well, the way they set up. And then it’s obviously his quality, his willingness to learn and practice every day.” – Mikel Arteta on Mikel Merino

Next on Arsenal’s itinerary is a trip to newly-promoted Sunderland, who have recorded two clean sheets in five home matches this season, whilst conceding only three goals.

That being said, they have only faced West Ham United, Brentford, Aston Villa, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Everton at the Stadium of Light, who are mostly bottom-half material for xG thus far.

For those with the Wildcard already booked in for the international break, Merino therefore looks the perfect gamble.

MORGAN GIBBS-WHITE

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: LEE | liv | BHA | wol | eve

A favourable home fixture against Leeds United leads us to believe that Morgan Gibbs-White (£7.3m) can deliver in Gameweek 11.

The attacking midfielder was on the scoresheet in last week’s 2-2 draw with Manchester United, having previously converted a penalty against FC Porto in Europe.

Over the season, Gibbs-White is top among Nottingham Forest teammates for shots and penalty box touches, with 22 and 33 respectively.

In fact, when combining shots with key passes, Gibbs-White is ranked seventh among all Fantasy players:

Certainly, Leeds don’t appear to have the defensive resolve to deal with the Forest threat, particularly at the City Ground, where the Tricky Trees have scored four goals in two home matches in all competitions since the appointment of Sean Dyche.

Furthermore, Daniel Farke’s side arrive without a clean sheet on the road in 2025/26, having conceded 12 goals across five away matches, the most of any top-flight team except Burnley.

Upcoming encounters against Brighton and Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers over the next four Gameweeks mean Gibbs-White also has the platform to maintain form beyond Sunday’s clash.

So, with his confidence levels up and perhaps extra motivation gained to impress Thomas Tuchel (provided he’s named in the squad!), this may be a good time to take a punt on the England international.

LUCAS PAQUETA

­­­FPL Gameweek 4 differentials: Elliott, Truffert + Paqueta 4

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: BUR | bou | LIV | mun | bha

Handed the No 10 role for West Ham United’s 3-1 win over Newcastle United on Sunday, Lucas Paqueta (£5.9m) now looks a much more enticing option for Fantasy managers.

In a performance full of attacking intent, the Brazilian international scored and created a big chance.

“I’ve spoken to him about many things. We need Lucas. I told him personally and the squad that being a No 10 is more than a number, it’s a symbol. That’s what we need from Lucas. We need him to help his teammates because they trust him. We know there is more to come from him, and we need him as a No 10.” – Nuno Espirito Santo on Lucas Paqueta

He wasn’t far away from gaining defensive contribution (DefCon) points, too, with one clearance, one block, one interception, four recoveries and three tackles in Gameweek 10.

Paqueta, who took and scored West Ham’s last penalty against Nottingham Forest in August, now hosts a Burnley side that have conceded 15 goals in five away matches, the most of any top-flight club.

Furthermore, the Clarets are bottom for shots conceded, shots in the box conceded and big chances concede.

They also rank 18th for key passes conceded from the centre zone, which should interest Paqueta, who leads the way at West Ham for chances created this season with 14.

The Hammers’ upcoming fixtures beyond Gameweek 11 may put off any would-be suitors, but with guaranteed minutes, open play attacking threat, penalties, corners/free-kicks and DefCon potential, Paqueta could be a very decent set-and-forget option for the busy upcoming period.  


259 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Hutchiniho
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Saka, Mbeumo, Thiago

    Or

    Rice, Bruno, Woltemade

    1. Colonel Getafe
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      B

    2. Leaf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      A

    3. beerhockeyrock
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      A
      Hoping to have that in place after the break

  2. Dangles
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    G2G? 2FT 1.7m ITB

    Sanchez
    Gabriel Timber Munoz
    Enzo Sarr Fernandes Semenyo
    Haaland Thiago Mateta

    Dubravka Anderson (Ful) Anderson (Not) Esteve

    1. beerhockeyrock
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      GTG

  3. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 12 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Gab(c)?

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      70% likelihood for me.

  4. Moon Dog
      1 month, 6 days ago

      I want Sarr. How best to get him in?

      Raya
      Gabriel Timber Lacroix Senesi
      Bruno Mbeumo Semenyo Gakpo
      Haaland Mateta

      Dubravka, Rodon, Kroupi, King

      +1.8m, 1FT

      A. Kroupi/King -> Sarr/Guiu +0.0m (-4), bench Senesi (avl) - 352
      B. Gakpo -> Sarr +2.7m - 442

      1. Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        B

      2. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        See posts re Sarr below.

    • Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Oliver Glasner says that Ismaila Sarr noted “very, very small tightness in his hamstring” yesterday.

      A key reason for his early withdrawal ahead of a busy schedule for club and country.

      https://x.com/JamesSavundra/status/1986567265823957015?t=DtIUTtrHdYckEPXFazTcDA&s=19

      1. Glasner Ball
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        He has had this a couple of times, he will be fine come Sunday.

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          His last injury was a grade 2 hammy injury...

          1. Casual Player
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Yeah and re-injury rate on hamstrings is high (~10-25% depending on the sport), with not much that can be done to minimise the risk.

            Saying he will be fine come Sunday is fairly cavalier. He could be but there is no guarantee of it.

    • Flynny
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      https://x.com/JamesSavundra/status/1986567265823957015?t=PpjpI7KIo2cEnq-032E_og&s=19

      This doesn't sound great re Sarr. Possible benching at weekend?

      Not sure if there is palace pressers tomo.....

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Yes there will be a presser tomorrow

        Glasner's likely response:
        "we have a recovery session today to assess the players from yesterday"

        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Glasner doesn't seem very concerned about player welfare. He has no issue with flogging them 3 times a week again and again.

          1. Glasner Ball
            • 13 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Man up.

            1. Flynny
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Well it's obvious sarr is a hold. But the bench might be heavily needed this week i fear.....

      2. Glasner Ball
        • 13 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        He wont want to rest him vs Brighton unless he really has to, think he will start ok.

        1. iFash@FPL
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Probably worse if he starts and doesn’t make 61 minutes… 🙁

    • RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Good enough to roll here would you say guys?

      Raya
      Munoz - Chalobah - Gabriel
      Ndiaye - Saka - Semenyo - Enzo
      Woltemade - Haaland - Mateta
      ______________________________
      Dubravka: Senesi: Gudmundsson: Stach

      1FT, 0.2 ITB

      Considered doing Woltemade + Stach > Guiu + Mbuemo for a hit, but doesn’t feel right.

      Would you captain Saka here or still Haaland?

      Any help appreciated cheers gents!

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Roll

        Haaland

        1. RICICLE
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Thank you bud!

    • Gazwaz80
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Not understanding all this love for Saka, he’s not exactly been pulling up any trees. Rice 63 points, Zubi 43 points, Eze 39 points Saka 33 points and Trossard 32 points. I’m getting rid and getting Rice in and banking the 3.3 milllion…

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Personally I still prefer Saka to Rice, but if you need the funds elsewhere it's totally understandable

      2. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        It’s about predicting the points, and Saka is primed for them

      3. RogerC
        • 16 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        What’s great about Saka is his low TSB% combined with his explosiveness — he’s the type who can suddenly deliver a brace out of nowhere. If my team is still performing decently even when he’s not scoring, then I’m more than happy to just hold him.

        1. OverTinker
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          He costs 10.0

          1. Gazwaz80
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            We said the same thing about Salah…

    • Koflok
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Gordon to
      A) Sarr
      B) Minteh
      C) Keep and play Senesi. Interested to get Gakpo next GW.

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Sarr

      2. Dangles
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Wait for Glasner's presser tomorrow. Sarr is the best option if he's fit

    • IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      All good?

      Dubravka
      Gabriel Muñoz Senesi
      Saka Bruno Mbeumo Semenyo Enzo
      Haaland(C) Mateta(V)

      Petrovic Richards Alderete Obi

      1. Dangles
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Senesi vs Richards is a good one. I would lean to Richards

        Otherwise looks great

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Feel like Palace are gonna concede against Brighton, like to spread the risk on this one. Cheers!

      2. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Without knowing if you have money or FT available, don't like having only a single Arsenal defensive option. Keepers choices weak.

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Forfot to mention, 0FT and 0.2 ITB
          Second Arsenal def would be good but like my defence as is at the moment
          This keeper combo has served me quite well in rotation actually

          1. Sheffield Wednesday
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            OK, so you can't Petrovic > Raya. Good to know keeper rotation working out for someone for a change.

    • Manumana
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Hi. If I have 1 transfer & use my free hit. Will I still have 2 transfers next week?
      And will my original team value be affected my price changes ? Thank you

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        1. 1FT the following GW - you don't gain or lose FT when using WC/FH.

        2. Yes

        1. Manumana
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Normally if have 1 transfer & not use it next go I'd have 2. Your saying after using FH I'd still only have 1 ? Thanks

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Correct

            "Please note that when playing either a Wildcard or your Free Hit chip, any saved free transfers are retained for the following Gameweek. If you had 2 saved free transfers, you will still have 2 saved free transfers the Gameweek after playing the chip."

            https://fantasy.premierleague.com/help/rules

            Help -> Rules -> Chips

            1. Manumana
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Thanks a lott. Willtry & avoid playing it then. Have a few potential injuries at the moment

    • Keane There Dunne That
      • 13 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Dubravka (whu)
      KDH (FUL)
      Van De Ven (MUN)
      Konsa (BOU)

      Is this strong enough for a bench boost?

      1. Dangles
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Nup. GW16 & GW18 towards the end of the year look good for bench boost fixture wise. Rotations a slight worry though

      2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        I wouldn't

      3. Haa-lala-land
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        I like it as BB. Theyll all play. Get it done!

    • Manani
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      A. Gordon > Enzo (bench Kudus)
      B. Save FT (Play Kudus/Gordon)

      Only 1 FT, 0ITB

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Gordon to Szoboszlai

      2. Stevie B
        • 15 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        I would transfer Gordon out.

    • Stevie B
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Play Pope or Dubravka?

      Thanks!

    • rainy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Price changes 7th November

      No rises

      Falls: Gvardiol 5.8, Ramsay 3.8

      1. Emiliano Sala
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Thanks rainy days

      2. nanxun
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Thx, rain man!

      3. maverickga
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        A couple drops. Thanks Rainy

    • Dynamic Duos
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Sarr(c)?

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Definitely

    • Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Would you play Senesi, Andersen or Rodon?

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Andersen

      2. Casual Player
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Senesi

        Unless you mean Elliot not Joachim

        1. Cruyff's Eleven
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Defence - Joachim.

          Seems no unanimous verdict.

          1. Casual Player
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Only a sample of 2, not sure a unanimous verdict would be that useful hahaha

            My take - Fulham are maginally higher on CS odds (I think 27% to 24%) but that amounts to only 0.12 expected points more. Does Senesi make up 0.12 in xG, xA and bonus potential? Probably. Also Bournemouth actually being a good team and Fulham below average edges it toward Senesi for me too. I'm assuming DEFCON is pretty even.

            1. Cruyff's Eleven
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Interesting. I'm leaning towards Rodon. I think Forrest away is the least difficult fixture, and whenever I bench Rodon, he scores.

    • Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Do we think rjames will start this week?

    • Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Just seen Caicedo was subbed in the 8th minute midweek. Any further info?

      1. Casual Player
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        He was subbed on, they wanted to give him a rest. Lavia got injured.

        1. Philosopher's Stones
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Reijnders -> Caicedo then?

          1. Casual Player
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Personally I can't see Caicedo keeping up the attacking returns he's managed so far. But fixtures are good and if you don't have cash spare he as good as option as any.

            1. Manani
              • 14 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              If anything Caicedo benefit more with bad fixture due to defcon

            2. Cold Palms
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Injury issues or form ? Say why ? His price bracket with Rice is gold season keeper !

    • Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Will u bench boost with foster?

      1. Cruyff's Eleven
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Sounds like the name of a really funny TV show.

    • Longiss
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      1. Is Fernandez still a good option even with Pedro at 10 and Delap at 9?
      2. Is there much difference between Timber and Calafiori?

      1. Cold Palms
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        No and he’s out of form out of points and 5 foot 2 tall

    • Kaneyonero
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Mateta or Gab (C)?

      1. egan
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Gab

    • egan
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Pick one.
      a. Sarr
      b. Munoz
      c. Guehi

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        b

      2. Cruyff's Eleven
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Play, or captain?

        1. egan
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          To buy

          1. I have no Wirtz
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Which palace you have got already?

      3. Legohair
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Raya
        Gabriel-VVD-Munoz
        Semenyo-Sarr-Gakpo-Gordon
        Haaland-Gyökeres-Mateta

        Dubravka, Senesi, King, Tuanzebe

        1 FT 0 itb

        A. Gyökeres to Thiago
        B. Gyökeres&Gordon to Thiago&Saka
        C. Save
        D. FH

        I have possible 3 injured players(gordon, sarr, gyökeres) so Im little tempted to go FH also...

      4. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Capt saka or sarr?

        1. Holmes
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Sarr if fit

          1. Letsgo!
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            ??? Hes not injured isnt it?

            1. Holmes
              • 12 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              Some issue last night: https://x.com/JamesSavundra/status/1986567265823957015

              will probably be alright but something to keep an eye on.

      5. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Rjames gonna be bench this week?
        Was thinking to start him or senesi

      6. FantasyFooty01
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Pope
        Gabriel Timber Keane
        Enzo Saka Semenyo Sarr
        Haaland Pedro Mateta
        Dubravka Miley Senesi Rodon
        0.0 ITB 1 FT
        Should I make any changes to starting lineup or transfer in at a cost. Bench Boosting this week?