FPL
7 March 2026 81 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Joe’s highly popular ‘Goals Imminent’ table from the Members Area is the basis for this weekly article.

Heading towards Gameweek 30 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL), we try to identify some more underachieving players who look ‘due’ for a goal and/or assist.

Naturally, we’ll attempt to assess whether they’re unlucky, suffering a rare blip, or just aren’t particularly good.


LAST WEEK’S SUCCESSES

FPL notes: Anderson adds penalty to DefCon 2

It was a very successful couple of days for Gameweek 29’s lot. Mohamed Salah (£14.0m) ended his 10-match barren spell, Crysencio Summerville (£5.7m) hit the winner against Fulham, Anthony Gordon (£7.2m) netted for 10-man Newcastle United, and Ismaila Sarr (£6.3m) grabbed a brace at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

And congratulations to the FPL managers who benefited from Elliot Anderson‘s (£5.4m) strike versus Manchester City – whether it was as a starter or via autosub.

As for those due assists, Callum Hudson-Odoi (£5.7m), Bruno Fernandes (£10.0m) and James Garner (£5.2m) did just that.

GOALS IMMINENT

 

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The rest of this article below is completely free to read but requires a Fantasy Football Scout user account for access – you can get yours at no cost here

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defensive contributions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

81 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. _Greg
    • 16 Years
    14 days, 23 hours ago

    Thinking of capping Bruno this week. That guarantee of 90 mins + home form seems worthwhile. Plus Villa are genuinely terrible ATM.

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      14 days, 23 hours ago

      Between him and Ekitike, can't really trust Ekitike though, no matter how dreadful Spurs are

      1. _Greg
        • 16 Years
        14 days, 22 hours ago

        Ekitike could score a hat trick or miss three big chances, it's a bit of a lottery! He's a great player though and will only get better.

      2. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        14 days, 22 hours ago

        Against Spurs Id cap even Beto or Barry

    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 12 Years
      14 days, 21 hours ago

      Bruno over Ekitike comfortably. Liverpool will comfortably beat that Spurs side but Ekitike as an individual is just not consistent enough. Bruno is central to everything at United.

  2. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    14 days, 23 hours ago

    The goals imminent table is good for revealing who is going to break their goalscoring duck, but is it good for showing who is going to go on a sustained run of form?

    Should we be targeting players who need so many goal attempts to finally score a goal or two or should we be looking at players who are getting the shot volume but who are also more clinical?

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      14 days, 23 hours ago

      I find it useful for other games where you need to pick differentials(or different kind of players)

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        14 days, 23 hours ago

        It's probably the best stats table I've ever seen in the members area to be fair. And this article is excellent at predicting the short term future in FPL.

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          14 days, 23 hours ago

          Is there an xYC stat? That would be helpful.

          1. FPL Virgin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            14 days, 22 hours ago

            Expected yellow cards? Sort your table by 'fouls committed'.

            1. The Knights Template
              • 12 Years
              14 days, 21 hours ago

              Mine table is for feasting only! Huzzah!

      2. Dubem_FC
        • 10 Years
        14 days, 22 hours ago

        Yeah, DFS contests.

    2. _Greg
      • 16 Years
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      I really wanna sell Mbeumo but it's clearly a mistake!

      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 9 Years
        14 days, 22 hours ago

        Yes it is

      2. I have no Wirtz
          14 days, 21 hours ago

          I feel the same, but mostly when looking at KDH and Wilson, who could have been in my team instead of Mbeumo 2points when they hauled. Is that maybe why?

    3. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      14 days, 22 hours ago

      A) Rogers and Rice to Wison

      A) Mbeumo
      B) Someone Else (already have Wirtz)

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        14 days, 22 hours ago

        C

      2. OH... KEVIN DE BRUYNE
          14 days, 22 hours ago

          BRUNO F or mbuemo if fruno already owned

        • Old Gregg
          • 9 Years
          14 days, 22 hours ago

          B) MGW

      3. Old Gregg
        • 9 Years
        14 days, 22 hours ago

        I’m Looking at brining in 2 out of the 3 below by gw 31. This is with Half an eye on operation target Spurs.

        WC 32 currently

        Assuming Wilson fit. Which 2 pls.

        A) Wilson
        B) Sboz
        C) Gibbs-White

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 7 Years
          14 days, 21 hours ago

          Wilson Anderson

          1. I have no Wirtz
              14 days, 21 hours ago

              You rate Anderson goal threat higher than MGW against spurs?

              1. Ze_Austin
                • 7 Years
                14 days, 19 hours ago

                No, but I rate his career consistency much higher

        2. Sir Michael Taker
          • 11 Years
          14 days, 21 hours ago

          I've always found them interesting tables although I don't personally subscribe to the idea that anyone is due anything after 4 matches without doing much. Indeed some of these have scored 1 goal off 10 shots in the spell and that is at a higher rate than their shot conversion rate for the season over a much bigger sample. Perhaps that is a useful way to use it? Food for thought anyway. Obviously XG comes into it too as not all shots are equal.

          1. FPL Virgin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            14 days, 20 hours ago

            Ideally you want to cross reference the data from the last 4 with the season long data for the players who feature in the table in order to make the inferences more robust.

        3. I have no Wirtz
            14 days, 21 hours ago

            Thiago is on that table.

            Wolves up next. A few weeks ago I would have expected a high scoring goal fest. But what now?

            I also have Dango, has he become less relevant for Brentford vs Daamsgard, Schade?

            1. JBG
              • 7 Years
              14 days, 21 hours ago

              Wolves aren't a team to target anymore it seems. Probably a 2-1 win to Brentford. If that.

              1. I have no Wirtz
                  14 days, 20 hours ago

                  Yes, not to target, that’s for sure.

                  However, I find it difficult to ignore the green 2 staring at me in the fixture tracker. I find it influences me unconsciously, hard to resist, even if I know better. Do you have a trick or did you just learn to fully ignore?

                  1. z13
                      14 days, 20 hours ago

                      It's still a green 2 fixture though, the ticker is right. It might stop us from overreacting becuase even though Wolves are better they still are 'bad'. To ignore just don't go on the website, use one of the many planners like planfpl.com or fpl.team

              2. Maddamotha
                • 9 Years
                14 days, 21 hours ago

                Pull the trigger on this? 0.1 in spare for this, so if both Ekitike and Anderson go up in price, Im priced out.

                Rice, Kroupi > Anderson, Ektike for free

                1. I have no Wirtz
                    14 days, 21 hours ago

                    I can see why that is very tempting. But it’s 7 eventful days. You know you should stay patient.

                    1. Maddamotha
                      • 9 Years
                      14 days, 21 hours ago

                      Yeah. I dont usually take risks, no hits so far this season, and always go late. But sometimes you gotta risk it.

                      1. I have no Wirtz
                          14 days, 20 hours ago

                          No hits all season. Very impressive.

                          Well. They are very good moves. Maybe it’s time for you to move early and take that risk.

                          Do you have a view on getting the edge in your ML for the final stretch rather than protecting a lead?

                          1. Maddamotha
                            • 9 Years
                            14 days, 20 hours ago

                            Yeah I dont like hits. Currently top of ML. Horrible last gw, dropped
                            from 40k>80k with 50 points. Guy in 2nd place has Ekitike.

                    2. z13
                        14 days, 21 hours ago

                        I would do it especially as Ekitike already played his first game. But its ovbiously very risky

                    3. Sandy Ravage
                      • 10 Years
                      14 days, 20 hours ago

                      Rogers to:
                      A - E.Anderson
                      B - M.Gibbs-White

                      1. The Knights Template
                        • 12 Years
                        14 days, 20 hours ago

                        A

                      2. Ze_Austin
                        • 7 Years
                        14 days, 19 hours ago

                        Mr. Anderson

                    4. The Knights Template
                      • 12 Years
                      14 days, 20 hours ago

                      Play Watkins (ManU away), or Enzo (Newcastle home)?

                      Very angry with Watkins, if that helps!

                      1. Ze_Austin
                        • 7 Years
                        14 days, 19 hours ago

                        Enzo

                      2. FPL Virgin
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 9 Years
                        14 days, 19 hours ago

                        Do you already have Pedro?

                      3. Raoul Nogues
                          14 days, 19 hours ago

                          Enzo

                        • Ausman
                          • 2 Years
                          14 days, 19 hours ago

                          Enzo because Newc are rubbish away from home.

                      4. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                        • 5 Years
                        14 days, 20 hours ago

                        Morning ladies

                        1. FPL Virgin
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 9 Years
                          14 days, 19 hours ago

                          S.U.D. in da house! 😀

                      5. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                        • 5 Years
                        14 days, 20 hours ago

                        I hope Spurs go down, I want those tight fisted ****s on the board to pay for it, literally

                      6. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                        • 5 Years
                        14 days, 20 hours ago

                        Passed up a once in a lifetime striker handed to them on a plate and shopped around at Lids, ****s

                        1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                          • 5 Years
                          14 days, 20 hours ago

                          *Lidl

                        2. x.jim.x
                          • 11 Years
                          14 days, 19 hours ago

                          Spurs wanted Kane to stay while he pushed to leave, and Lidl sell good stuff for cheap.

                          This whole post is actually the complete opposite from reality.

                          1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                            • 5 Years
                            14 days, 19 hours ago

                            They failed Kane and they failed the fans

                            1. x.jim.x
                              • 11 Years
                              14 days, 19 hours ago

                              Elaborate

                              1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                                • 5 Years
                                14 days, 19 hours ago

                                so are you!

                          2. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                            • 5 Years
                            14 days, 19 hours ago

                            yeah look at where that cheap stuff has got us now?

                            1. x.jim.x
                              • 11 Years
                              14 days, 19 hours ago

                              You haven’t got anything cheap, you’ve bought expensive rubbish - that was my point. More Ralph Lauren than Lidl.

                              1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                                • 5 Years
                                14 days, 19 hours ago

                                cheap wages

                              2. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                                • 5 Years
                                14 days, 19 hours ago

                                and yeah, we absolutely bought cheap, can't be arsed to elaborate, let me ask chatGPT...

                              3. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                                • 5 Years
                                14 days, 19 hours ago

                                they're exactly where they fkn deserve to be

                                1. x.jim.x
                                  • 11 Years
                                  14 days, 19 hours ago

                                  And it’s very very funny

                                  1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                                    • 5 Years
                                    14 days, 19 hours ago

                                    they're dead to me now, honestly wouldn't give a f if they won the prem next year. The only thing that keeps me remotely interested in football now is beating my cuz at fantasy

                                    1. x.jim.x
                                      • 11 Years
                                      14 days, 19 hours ago

                                      Be some achievement to win the Prem in the Championship

                        3. I have no Wirtz
                            14 days, 19 hours ago

                            Passed up? Which striker was offered to them? Did I miss that Mbappe wanted a stint with the Lilywhites? If you mean Kane, they kept him well beyond what they could have hoped for. What a loyal soul Kane, all those years without hope.

                            1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                              • 5 Years
                              14 days, 19 hours ago

                              OK, they didn't build on what they had, they showed next to no ambition in the transfer market, the first ever club to go through a summer transfer window without a single signing. Kane would have stayed if we had matched his ambition

                              1. x.jim.x
                                • 11 Years
                                14 days, 19 hours ago

                                You spent nearly £200m the summer before he left - Richarlison, Romero, Bissouma, Udogie, Porro, Perisic…

                                1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                                  • 5 Years
                                  14 days, 19 hours ago

                                  Njie, Nkoudou, Sissoko, Vicario (instead of Raya), Gil, Royal.... I'm sure there's more.

                                  Perisic was free. And if you want to be cynical, Richarlison was Kane's replacement, ahead of time

                            2. x.jim.x
                              • 11 Years
                              14 days, 19 hours ago

                              If only they had Kane, they’d still be winning everything like they did when he was there…

                              1. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                                • 5 Years
                                14 days, 19 hours ago

                                no but surely you can see how much he papered over the cracks for us?

                        4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
                          • 9 Years
                          14 days, 19 hours ago

                          Haaland + Mane to JP and Ekitike?

                          1. Raoul Nogues
                              14 days, 19 hours ago

                              Looks good

                            • BECKS TO THE FUTURE
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 4 Years
                              14 days, 19 hours ago

                              I did 50% of that last week. Picked the wrong destination.

                          2. Raoul Nogues
                              14 days, 19 hours ago

                              Arsenal (against Mansfield) : Kepa, Salmon, Mosquera, Calafiori, Trossard, Norgaard, Madueke, Havertz, Martinelli, Dowman, Jesus.
                              Subs: Setford, Hincapie, Saka, Eze, Timber, Gyokeres, Dixon, Harriman-Annous, Ibrahim.

                              1. The Bandit
                                • 15 Years
                                14 days, 19 hours ago

                                No Gabby?

                                1. Raoul Nogues
                                    14 days, 19 hours ago

                                    Out of the squad with Raya, Rice and Zubi

                                    1. The Bandit
                                      • 15 Years
                                      14 days, 19 hours ago

                                      I never understand that. Of course, they shouldn’t be needed and it’s fair to rest them if carrying a knock, but why not have them on the bench, just in case the unimaginable happens?

                                      1. x.jim.x
                                        • 11 Years
                                        14 days, 19 hours ago

                                        Because the odds of needing to use a sub is astronomically greater than the odds of them losing to Mansfield

                                2. Raoul Nogues
                                    14 days, 19 hours ago

                                    (Against/versus)

                                  • x.jim.x
                                    • 11 Years
                                    14 days, 19 hours ago

                                    Rather have Lee Dixon on the bench than Lewis-Skelly, fair play

                                    1. Raoul Nogues
                                        14 days, 19 hours ago

                                        Lewis Skelly suspended

                                      • Raoul Nogues
                                          14 days, 19 hours ago

                                          This Dixon (Jaden) was born in 2007 (don't know if they are related)

                                    2. FPL Virgin
                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                      • 9 Years
                                      14 days, 19 hours ago

                                      Over the last 6 gameweeks, Pedro's minutes per NPxGI is almost 300% better than Haaland's.

                                      73 compared to 215.

                                    3. Snoop Udogie Dogg
                                      • 5 Years
                                      14 days, 19 hours ago

                                      Sorry guys, had to vent, I'm banned from the Spurs forum