Spot the Differential
10 August 2018 3777 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us a chance to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

We’ve pulled out three players currently under five percent ownership who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m)

Ownership: 4.3 percent

There is reason to believe that Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m) could match Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m) in FPL this season, which could help Fantasy managers looking to save money.

The two strikers have scored the same number of goals in Arsenal’s public pre-season friendlies, with six apiece and Aubamayang just one ahead on assists (three to two).

As Lacazette’s involvements have come from slightly less time on the pitch, his minutes-per-goal involvement is remarkably similar to his Gabonese colleague. The Frenchman has averaged one every 31.37 minutes, with Aubameyang involving himself in a public pre-season strike every 32.22 minutes.

As for his position within the team, Lacazette looks likely to start as the central striker, with Aubameyang operating from an inside-left position, as has been the case this summer.

It must also be noted that Lacazette actually finished the end of last season in sensational form, as he began to develop a great relationship with Aubameyang. In his final six appearances of 2017/18 he found the net five times and produced one assist. By comparison, Aubameyang also scored the same number of goals in his last six outings of the campaign, edging the Frenchman only on assists (three to one).

In the last six Gameweeks, Lacazette also bettered Aubameyang for minutes-per-goal (90.3 to 103.6) and was close behind when it came to minutes-per-shot too (33.9 to 30.1).

Having one of the two Arsenal attackers looks to be a smart move for the beginning of the season. Their opening fixture against Manchester City has the makings of a high-scoring game and Gameweek 2 pits the Gunners against a new-look Chelsea side that look defensively vulnerable in the Community Shield final.

After those two fixtures, there are home meeting with West Ham, Everton, Watford and Leicester mixed with trips to Cardiff, Newcastle, Fulham and Crystal Palace before Liverpool come to the Emirates in Gameweek 11. That is certainly a run of matches where there are goals on offer.

In both the climax of last term and in friendlies this summer, Lacazette has demonstrated the ability to match his more esteemed colleague. This could prove hugely important for Fantasy managers as it gives them the potential to save £1.5m to use elsewhere in their squad if they were to opt for Lacazette over Aubameyang, while still investing in an attack with potential for goals.

ANDROS TOWNSEND (£6.0m)

Ownership: 2.6 percent

Andros Townsend (£6.0m) could prove to be a steady supplier of assists for Crystal Palace this season and offer a differential route into their attack, with just 2.6 percent ownership. The Englishman has impressed both in the back-end of last term and during pre-season, so considering the strength of the Eagles’ fixtures, there’s every reason to believe he is worth investing in.

In the final 10 Gameweeks of 2017/18, no midfielder in the league created more big chances than Townsend’s five. Furthermore, no midfielder from a club outside the top six managed more passes received in the final third between Gameweek 29 and 38, while only one (Riyad Mahrez) registered more touches in that area of the pitch. In that time-frame he laid on three assists, but more ruthless finishing from colleague Wilfried Zaha (£7.0m) at the start of this campaign could help improve on that.

In fact, that has largely been the case in pre-season with no Palace player involved in more goals than Townsend. He provided six assists during the summer months, which is actually more than any other Premier League player managed to accrue during their respective off-seasons.

The Eagles also have the fixtures to get the best out of Townsend. No team ranks higher for attack than them on our Season Ticker in the first six Gameweeks of 2018/19, with trips to Fulham, Watford and Huddersfield alongside home meetings with Liverpool, Southampton and Newcastle.

RYAN FRASER (£5.5m)

Ownership: 1.1 percent

Bournemouth midfielder Ryan Fraser (£5.5m) could prove a shrewd investment at the start of the season as an alternative route into the Cherries’ attack.

Eddie Howe’s men have some appealing fixtures in the early part of the season which has led to 7.2 percent of managers looking to Josh King (£6.5m) for their forward lines. They host newly-promoted Cardiff on the opening day of the season before Everton and Leicester come to the Vitality Stadium. Trips to West Ham, Chelsea and Burnley are a little tougher but could still offer goals for this particularly attacking side.

Fraser can provde a cheaper alternative to King while still being central to the Bournemouth attacking output.

In the last six Gameweeks of 2017/18, only four midfielders created more chances than Fraser. Across the course of the season, he was Bournemouth’s most creative player, with 38 key passes played, at a rate of 1.6 per game. He also topped the Cherries’ charts for touches in the final third (23.5m), passes received there (14.7), successful crosses (0.7) and successful passes in the attacking third (10.5).

There is also the potential for finding the net to go alongside his assist credentials. No Bournemouth player had a higher goal conversion rate. He scored 16.9 percent of the 30 opportunities that fell his way, with King behind him on 15.7 and Wilson on 15.1.

Fraser’s strength does largely lie in his ability to create goals, though. In pre-season he was the provider of four assists, adding one of his own strikes to take his goal involvement tally of five – the same as King.

The form of the Norwegian striker also heightens Fraser’s appeal. He found the net four times over the summer and looks set for a good spell now that the Premier League is back. If he does take his chances at the beginning of the campaign, there’s a good chance he’ll be helping Fraser register assist points.

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  1. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    I’m a member again! I think...

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Also, really want Mahrez now over BSilva! Panic mode 🙂

      1. TaiwanHC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Why?

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          Preference 🙂

  2. Kroos Kontrol
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    A) Mane + Robbo + 5.5(Coleman?)
    B) Salah + 4.5(Boly) + 4.0

    So this is hard. I'm pretty set on keeping Sanchez (and going to KdB/Hazard), Firmino and Aguero. But I'm very wary of Salah, esp on how much he overshadows Mane, and thinking to integrate him.

    Which of these would you pick?

    1. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I wouldn’t include Salah in any of these ‘player a + player b or player c + player d’ dilemmas. You get him and find other compromises.

      1. Kroos Kontrol
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Fair point, I just don't think he can explode again like that which is what is hampering me. Can't remember any player doing so (in fairness Ronaldo/Suarez never got the chance) apart from RvP from 11/12 to 12/13. Most others do well, but never truly stand out from the rest in a similar way. But still, it's West Ham H and captain him...

        Obvs there can be false dawns (RvP's 2 goals on opening day in 2013/14 were one), but they still leave you really behind + really hard to re-integrate.

        Anyway, do you feel the majority here going with him? I think I have enough differentials around to not risk this one

        1. Homer21
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          Almost 54% have selected him at this stage!!!

          1. Kroos Kontrol
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 5 months ago

            Yeah, but he could not score a goal all season and that ownership is still probably going to stay at around 25-30%.

  3. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    A) Bobby and Kante/Cairney (have Costa)
    B) Mane and Kamara (as fodder)

    Have been on B all preseason!!

  4. TheBabyfacedAssassin
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Can't make up my mind on this one..

    A) Mane and Mitrovic
    B) Firm and Jota

    1. The Head-Ake
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

      1. Botman
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        B

    2. jiGGidyJ1
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. fantasyfog
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 4 months ago

      wow

  5. Pompel
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    What's the consensus on TAA - will he start GW1?

    1. Firmino
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Yes, almost certain

      1. Pompel
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Coming from Firmino himself, I'll take that as confirmed 😉 !

  6. Water_Pink
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Will kdb and lingard start?

    1. Kippers
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Nopr

  7. F5jason
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Trying for a power front 3 AND Salah.

    Patricio (Stekelenburg)
    Mandy, Alexander-Arnold, Tomkins (Wan-Bisaka,Peltier)
    Salah, B. Silva, Richarlison, Jota (Stephens)
    Aguero, Lacazette, Firmino...

    Thoughts?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Not bad

  8. Typo
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Best 2 5.0 mids to rotate?

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Costa and Cairney

    2. Hoofedgod
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Neves and Cairney

  9. Kippers
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    I have Salah and Keita over having firmino/mane.

    Good choice or bad choice?

    1. jiGGidyJ1
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Keita could be golden, definitely have my eye on him. He got a goal/assist every other game playing for RB Leipzig

      1. jiGGidyJ1
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        It's a wait and see for me though

  10. Leone
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Who's the cheapest playing goalkeeper? If there is a couple who would you plump for?

    1. Sharkytect
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I don't think there are any 4.0s, but a bunch of 4.5s. Then it depends if you're rotating them or just want a set-and-forget

    2. Lazaretti
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Stekelenburg and Hamer should start in Gw1. Hamer has some changes to keep no1 place.

  11. Gee_mm
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Tosun or Jimenez ?

    1. vopemartin
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Tosun...

      1. Gee_mm
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Even with Evertons poor pre-season ?

        1. vopemartin
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          They will score goals and after the transfer-spree yesterday (Mina) I think they will concede less toto. Digne will take gametime off Baines, so Tosun will most likely take pens too.

  12. indiangunner
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Hi will rashfod start every game?

    1. vopemartin
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      No

    2. JustPark
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      You know the answer.

  13. Carcetti
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Which one? Last decision.

    A) Aubamayang + Ruben Neves

    B) Lacazette + Jota

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A but not Neves. Ralls/Cairney

  14. Benster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Does anyone know a site where I can see full player stats for last season broken down by fixture? Basically like I would see if I hit the 'info' button on a player this season.

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      understat.com

      1. Benster
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Great, thanks!!

  15. rl248
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Any thoughts guys? Cheers in advance:

    Alisson / Hamer

    Mendy / Bavies / Daniels / Peltier / WB

    Salah / Mane / BSilva / Rich / Kante

    Kun / Zaha / King

    1. TaiwanHC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Hamer, Daniels and Peltier are not nailed. Kante is a terrible fantasy player.

  16. DRIZ ✅
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Surprising to see so many people not secure with their teams yet.

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I'm not surprised at all

    2. JustPark
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I don't know how you people do it.

    3. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Only picked mine last night.

    4. Homer21
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Ha, it'll be right down to the wire!!

  17. Bring the Cavalry
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Is a triple up of Everton too much?
    Coleman, Richarlison, Tosun

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Yes imo

    2. Jumping Jurgen
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Yes, regardless of their business they've been dire in pre season...

    3. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Great fixtures but two would do I think

    4. Bring the Cavalry
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers everyone, swapping Richarlison for Townsend

  18. nkhoughton
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Best 7m or less midfielder?

    Currently own lucas and Richarlison

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Walcott

      1. Feed tha Sheep
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        I don’t think he will start once everyone is match fit?

        1. OPTA FPL
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          he is very good in pre season

          1. JJO
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 5 months ago

            He played 1 game i think

    2. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Mhiki possibly?

    3. HAMMERTIME107
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I have Lucas Moura and Richarlison also but thinking of taking a punt and swapping Richarlison for Maddison? is that a bad move?

  19. Thinkering like a Boss
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Which option is the best? My team have Aguero, Salah and no Arsenal and no second attacking from City & Liv.

    1) Aubameyang & Bernando Silva
    2) Firmino & Mahrez

  20. Oven Glover
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    If you’re thinking about going Salahless. Join 51-141909, the No Salah League. Only for the foolish and/or brave. Full info in my user profile.

    Good luck for the season 🙂

  21. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Which option is best?
    A. Eriksen & Cairney
    B. Mhiki & BSilva

    1. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. vopemartin
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A. mhiki two firste fixtues not good.

    4. Homer21
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

  22. Moyseehh
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Hey guys, need your help please.
    Do you think it is better to have a set keeper or a rotation?

    A) Ederson - Hamer - Luiz
    or
    B) Fabianski - Foster - Mendy

    Really can't decide..

    Thanks for your feedback!

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Homer21
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B

  23. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Can’t decide.

    A
    Pickford
    Mendy PVA Robertson
    Salah Mane Richarlison BSilva
    Zaha Kun King
    (Stek AWB Bednarek Stephens)

    B
    Kepa
    TAA Shaw Mendy
    Richarlison Sanchez Salah BSilva Lucas M
    Kun King
    (Stek Kamara AWB Bednarek)

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

  24. UKG
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Jota vs Neves and Schurrle vs Sessegnon...can’t decide

    1. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Jota + Sessegnon

  25. Michelle Davin
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Best Wolves defender?

    1. JustPark
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Boly?

      1. Michelle Davin
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Isnt a wing back better?

    2. Lazaretti
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Boly or Doherty imo

  26. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Deondocker a good shout at 4.5? Thinking of having him as my sub midfielder instead of Stephens.

    1. HAMMERTIME107
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Dendoncker or Lerma I'm stuck between the 2 for a sub ?

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      is he nailed?

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        I’d like to think so considering they’ve just brought him in

    3. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Wow he is 4.5!?
      For sure then

    4. You never give me your Man&…
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Could be utilised as one of three centerbacks

  27. Salah'd n Sauce
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Maybe it's just me being stupid... Which let's face it, isn't uncommon...

    But has the pre-season articles dropped off? I'm viewing on the mobile site and I can no longer see the pre-season games section?

    1. tambourineman
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Its been replaced by team news, here's a link to it:
      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/the-complete-guide-to-fpl-pre-season-2018-19/

      1. Salah'd n Sauce
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Appreciate it buddy. Not sure why I couldn't see that.

  28. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    1) Eriksen or Lacazette
    2)Someone convince me on Richarlison

    1. Firmino
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Eriksen 2 first GWs and then switch

  29. Firmino
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Select three from these:

    A) King
    B) Mitrovic
    C) Zaha
    D) Arnautovic
    E) Moura
    F) Richarlison
    G) Jota
    H) Maddison

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      King Arnautovic Maddison

    2. Lazaretti
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A C F

  30. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    I have 3 City players: Mendy, Mahrez and Aguero.

    How nailed are each of these?

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      No one knows

    2. BadgersBoys
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      It's City, mate. No one can really be described as 'nailed' with Citeh. We just have to hope. Most people in the same boat though