Spot the Differential
10 August 2018 3777 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us a chance to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

We’ve pulled out three players currently under five percent ownership who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m)

Ownership: 4.3 percent

There is reason to believe that Alexandre Lacazette (£9.5m) could match Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m) in FPL this season, which could help Fantasy managers looking to save money.

The two strikers have scored the same number of goals in Arsenal’s public pre-season friendlies, with six apiece and Aubamayang just one ahead on assists (three to two).

As Lacazette’s involvements have come from slightly less time on the pitch, his minutes-per-goal involvement is remarkably similar to his Gabonese colleague. The Frenchman has averaged one every 31.37 minutes, with Aubameyang involving himself in a public pre-season strike every 32.22 minutes.

As for his position within the team, Lacazette looks likely to start as the central striker, with Aubameyang operating from an inside-left position, as has been the case this summer.

It must also be noted that Lacazette actually finished the end of last season in sensational form, as he began to develop a great relationship with Aubameyang. In his final six appearances of 2017/18 he found the net five times and produced one assist. By comparison, Aubameyang also scored the same number of goals in his last six outings of the campaign, edging the Frenchman only on assists (three to one).

In the last six Gameweeks, Lacazette also bettered Aubameyang for minutes-per-goal (90.3 to 103.6) and was close behind when it came to minutes-per-shot too (33.9 to 30.1).

Having one of the two Arsenal attackers looks to be a smart move for the beginning of the season. Their opening fixture against Manchester City has the makings of a high-scoring game and Gameweek 2 pits the Gunners against a new-look Chelsea side that look defensively vulnerable in the Community Shield final.

After those two fixtures, there are home meeting with West Ham, Everton, Watford and Leicester mixed with trips to Cardiff, Newcastle, Fulham and Crystal Palace before Liverpool come to the Emirates in Gameweek 11. That is certainly a run of matches where there are goals on offer.

In both the climax of last term and in friendlies this summer, Lacazette has demonstrated the ability to match his more esteemed colleague. This could prove hugely important for Fantasy managers as it gives them the potential to save £1.5m to use elsewhere in their squad if they were to opt for Lacazette over Aubameyang, while still investing in an attack with potential for goals.

ANDROS TOWNSEND (£6.0m)

Ownership: 2.6 percent

Andros Townsend (£6.0m) could prove to be a steady supplier of assists for Crystal Palace this season and offer a differential route into their attack, with just 2.6 percent ownership. The Englishman has impressed both in the back-end of last term and during pre-season, so considering the strength of the Eagles’ fixtures, there’s every reason to believe he is worth investing in.

In the final 10 Gameweeks of 2017/18, no midfielder in the league created more big chances than Townsend’s five. Furthermore, no midfielder from a club outside the top six managed more passes received in the final third between Gameweek 29 and 38, while only one (Riyad Mahrez) registered more touches in that area of the pitch. In that time-frame he laid on three assists, but more ruthless finishing from colleague Wilfried Zaha (£7.0m) at the start of this campaign could help improve on that.

In fact, that has largely been the case in pre-season with no Palace player involved in more goals than Townsend. He provided six assists during the summer months, which is actually more than any other Premier League player managed to accrue during their respective off-seasons.

The Eagles also have the fixtures to get the best out of Townsend. No team ranks higher for attack than them on our Season Ticker in the first six Gameweeks of 2018/19, with trips to Fulham, Watford and Huddersfield alongside home meetings with Liverpool, Southampton and Newcastle.

RYAN FRASER (£5.5m)

Ownership: 1.1 percent

Bournemouth midfielder Ryan Fraser (£5.5m) could prove a shrewd investment at the start of the season as an alternative route into the Cherries’ attack.

Eddie Howe’s men have some appealing fixtures in the early part of the season which has led to 7.2 percent of managers looking to Josh King (£6.5m) for their forward lines. They host newly-promoted Cardiff on the opening day of the season before Everton and Leicester come to the Vitality Stadium. Trips to West Ham, Chelsea and Burnley are a little tougher but could still offer goals for this particularly attacking side.

Fraser can provde a cheaper alternative to King while still being central to the Bournemouth attacking output.

In the last six Gameweeks of 2017/18, only four midfielders created more chances than Fraser. Across the course of the season, he was Bournemouth’s most creative player, with 38 key passes played, at a rate of 1.6 per game. He also topped the Cherries’ charts for touches in the final third (23.5m), passes received there (14.7), successful crosses (0.7) and successful passes in the attacking third (10.5).

There is also the potential for finding the net to go alongside his assist credentials. No Bournemouth player had a higher goal conversion rate. He scored 16.9 percent of the 30 opportunities that fell his way, with King behind him on 15.7 and Wilson on 15.1.

Fraser’s strength does largely lie in his ability to create goals, though. In pre-season he was the provider of four assists, adding one of his own strikes to take his goal involvement tally of five – the same as King.

The form of the Norwegian striker also heightens Fraser’s appeal. He found the net four times over the summer and looks set for a good spell now that the Premier League is back. If he does take his chances at the beginning of the campaign, there’s a good chance he’ll be helping Fraser register assist points.

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  1. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone else on the Mitrovic train?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Ew

    2. slove
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Holding fire right now, will be easily converted if he starts firing

  2. Henning
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    2 problems i have to deal with

    1 Neves or Cairney?

    2 Tarkowski or Boly?

    1. semiconductor
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      don't have much clue of the first one but I would go cairney and boly

    2. Olphey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Neves scores the odd worldie, but sits very deep and might be at risk of rotation with the new signings. Would prefer Cairney of the two - not massive attacking potential but more than Neves I think.

  3. Please Help I Don't Kn…
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Who would've thought that I'd be starting with 3 Crystal Palace players, more than all of Chelsea, Arsenal, Man City, Man Utd and Spurs. Only have 2 of them.

    1. Yome
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Do you start with Schlupp?

      1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Nah, Mili, PVA and Zaha.

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      No pool players?

      1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        3 Pool players.

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Same here! Zaha PVA & Wan

      Insanity? 😉

      1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Probably gonna finish last and all of them are gonna flop and I'm gonna wonder why I went for them.

    4. XABI 15
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      you've done something wrong then

  4. Yome
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Can't decide which City mid to go for: Sane, Mahrez or BSilva?
    Surely Sterling will take the spot of Sane or Mahrez and KDB will replace BSilva?

    1. Chockky
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Bsilva is cheaper so not as bad when is rotated. I think he pplay most this season 2

  5. AandyzZ
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Really stuck on this

    Eriksen or Sanchez?

    1. Chockky
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Erik

    2. Yome
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      E

    3. Please Help I Don't Kn…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Eriksen, have him for all 38 games for the last 2 seasons and he has not disappointed.

      1. AandyzZ
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Thank you! Decision made

    4. semiconductor
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Eriksen

  6. Chockky
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Bottomed
    Mahez+King
    or
    Townsend+Vardy ( sub to play first 1/2 gw for Vardy)

    1. semiconductor
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A for me

      1. Chockky
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        thank you 🙂 that my current team but I get sily ideas to fiddle for some reason 😛

        1. semiconductor
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          I'm settled on my team like a week ago and every few hours I check different options. Even now

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Mahrez and King

      1. Chockky
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        thank you 🙂

  7. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Ate there pressers today? When do they start?

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I would start with the first course then onto the entrée 😉

  8. luke25
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Firmino got 19 more points in around 100 less minutes than Lukaku last year yet is 2m cheaper, FPL pricing is odd sometimes

    1. Cok3y5murf
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Firmino's price is fine. Lukaku is overpriced.

  9. semiconductor
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Very happy to come and see you all again. Hope you have a great season guys.

    1. Chockky
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Same to you mate. Good Luck

    2. yakirh
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      U2 mate

  10. hannibalos
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    With Pickford out, who are you picking as your keeper duo?

    1. Four Hit Wonder
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Stekelenburg, Patricio

    2. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      How long is he out for?

      1. hannibalos
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Should have said unavailable. My bad. Logic says he will lose 1-2 gameweeks

    3. Yome
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Leno and Hamer

    4. The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      What?! How is he out?

      1. hannibalos
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        6 days ago he was still in Santorini mate 🙂

        1. Pompel
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks for info. Has manager clearly stated he'll miss GW1 ?

          1. hannibalos
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 5 months ago

            Hmmmm, checking sites now and previews and they are giving him as available. Maybe it is wiser to wait for the press conference indeed and learn for sure. Waiting for further news. Thought he was surely out. If you ask me I do not see him starting but let's wait indeed

  11. Four Hit Wonder
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Need all info/opinion about starters I can get.

    Clyne or TAA? Who starts?
    Shaw to start?
    Holebas healthy?

  12. ElliotJHP
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Mina to outscore PVA in my team Yee haaaaaaaaaaaw lets go

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Mina looks good

  13. Benditlike
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Which two?

    1. Arnautovic
    2. Zaha
    3. Tosun

    1. MGD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Im on Arni + King.

    2. Teror
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Arnie & Tosun

  14. V-2 Schneiderlin
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    any sightings of D Silva? Likelihood of a start?

    1. Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Not sure, I would avoid.

      1. V-2 Schneiderlin
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        got a feeling he'll do well at start of season - but will bring in B Silva initially and monitor

  15. PL Ball
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Bavies or Mendy?

    1. Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Mendy

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Mendy

    3. OldBenKenobi
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Bavies

    4. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      get both

  16. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Robertson, Mendy, PVA/Davies, x, Wan-Bissaka

    A) Boly 4.5
    B) Bednarek 4.0

    Playing 3-5-2 with Kamara and Wan-Bissaka on the bench.
    So question is do I need another nailed on sub or not 😉

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      boly

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I'm doing the exact same thing, and I said yes - so A.

      But then again, I'm doing the exact same thing and went A, so probably B is best. 🙄

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

    4. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Premium defence FTW

    5. Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      thanks all!

  17. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Why aren't people considering Cedric as the 4.5? Great long-term option and will probably start GW1 as well...

    https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-soccer-england-sou-soares/southampton-ready-to-play-soares-despite-no-pre-season-work-idUKKBN1KS0QV

    1. Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Southampton def not looking good in pre-season

    2. MGD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Hopefully he will play..

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      High ownership. Saints are bad. Can see him becoming problematic 4.4 early on.

      1. Leeroy Jenkyns
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Exactly. I see a 4.4 defender by Monday.

    4. Chockky
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      don't think he is fit for GW1 ( he may play but lack of fitness may hinder)

  18. Totti
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    best 2x4.5 goalkeepers combo

    any suggestions plz?

    1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Patricio/Foster and Fabianksi.

  19. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Is mkhi nailed?

    1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      No.

  20. Kamo Warrior
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    I'm stuck!

    Which is better?
    A) Lacazette - Mitrovic - Mkhitaryan
    or
    B) Mané - Lacazette - Kamara

    I realise Kamara is only a bench (at best), but see poss more value in B.

    Thoughts?

  21. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    A) BSilva & Mane
    B) Jota & Sanchez

    Thanks

    1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

    4. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      B) has more goals that’s for sure

    5. GREEN IS GOOD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

  22. dirtypino
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Anfield Express now suspended.

    Anyone know if it moved somewhere?

    1. De Gea Van Dijk. 10
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Ask Mark and Az.

  23. John78
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    a) DDG and Stephens (4.5 bench)

    Or

    b) Kepa and Cairney (bench)

  24. Football Heaven
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    A. King and ward/4.5 mid
    B. Kamara/4.5 striker and jota

    Basically king or jota?

  25. MrFootieIsHere
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    A) PvA + Bilva
    2) Tomkins + Mahrez

    Who would you choose and why?

  26. sufcben
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Thoughts on this draft?
    Patricio
    Mendy TAA Daniels
    Sane Eriksen Mane Have a
    Zaha Aguero Aubamayang

    Speroni Tarkowski Wan-Bissaka Hudson odoi

    1. sufcben
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      NEVES*

      1. Rotation's Alter Ego
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        I'd watch Hudson. Can't see him playing much outside of GW 1, so if you aren't starting him, he may be a waste

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      "Have a" is a top class midfielder, he's due a good goal or two.

      Please post in the RMT article 🙂

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2018/08/09/rmt-collection-legomane/

      1. sufcben
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Haha cheers bud

      2. Straight_Red
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Do you get some satisfaction about telling everyone where to go with the RMT's??????????????????????????????

    3. lsorin
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      don't trust spurs in August

  27. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Which is better:
    A). Peltier/Mitro/Jimenez
    B). Targett(or another 4.5)/Zaha/Kamara

  28. lsorin
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Pick one:
    1) TAA + Peltier;
    2) Tomkins + Stephens;

    * already have Wan-Bissaka

  29. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Pick one:

    A) Auba + Peltier
    B) Laca + Coleman

  30. Garlana
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Best 5m bench midfielder?

    1. Four Hit Wonder
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Ralls, Kante.